Democratic
Market Model 15.0% 8.9%
Republican
Market Model 88.0% 91.1%
Elections Markets
Active Markets (376)
Republican party
Market Model 26.0% 26.2%
Democratic party
Market Model 80.0% 73.8%
Amanda Pusczek
Market Model 36.0% 73.8%
Shane Weaver
Market Model 9.3% 26.2%
Republican party
Market Model 73.0% 84.2%
Democratic party
Market Model 24.0% 15.8%
Democratic party
Market Model 6.7% 5.4%
Republican party
Market Model 97.9% 94.6%
Republican party
Market Model 93.0% 96.9%
Democratic party
Market Model 5.2% 3.1%
Republican party
Market Model 42.0% 44.2%
Democratic party
Market Model 53.0% 55.8%
Republicans, 26+ pts
Market Model 74.0% 71.2%
Republicans, 29+ pts
Market Model 73.0% 70.2%
Democrats, 2+ pts
Market Model 25.0% 19.2%
Democrats, 5+ pts
Market Model 7.3% 5.7%
Republicans, 30+ pts
Market Model 31.0% 27.0%
Republicans, 12+ pts
Market Model 79.0% 79.2%
Democrats, 10+ pts
Market Model 16.0% 16.3%
Democrats, 1+ pts
Market Model 75.0% 72.3%
Republican party
Market Model 80.0% 81.4%
Seth Bodnar
Market Model 16.0% 14.2%
Republicans, 10+ pts
Market Model 9.0% 5.2%
Republicans, 7+ pts
Market Model 8.9% 5.2%
Republicans, 11+ pts
Market Model 21.0% 28.2%
Republicans, 14+ pts
Market Model 8.4% 18.6%
Democrats, 58+ pts
Market Model 15.0% 15.0%
Democrats, 52+ pts
Market Model 35.0% 28.0%
Jon Husted
Market Model 48.0% 51.5%
Sherrod Brown
Market Model 53.0% 48.5%
Republican party
Market Model 92.7% 96.5%
Democratic party
Market Model 7.7% 3.5%
Democrats, 9+ pts
Market Model 7.9% 5.0%
Democrats, 6+ pts
Market Model 15.0% 8.0%
Democrats, 51+ pts
Market Model 46.0% 30.0%
Democrats, 39+ pts
Market Model 98.6% 98.0%
Democrats, 25+ pts
Market Model 14.0% 14.3%
Democrats, 4+ pts
Market Model 90.5% 89.1%
Democrats, 2+ pts
Market Model 75.0% 57.9%
Democrats, 14+ pts
Market Model 7.9% 4.6%
Republicans, 23+ pts
Market Model 30.0% 32.7%
Republicans, 8+ pts
Market Model 80.0% 80.2%
Democrats, 22+ pts
Market Model 92.2% 86.2%
Democrats, 31+ pts
Market Model 54.0% 38.6%
Spencer Pratt wins
Market Model 31.0% 23.1%
Karen Bass, 4-8%
Market Model 14.0% 19.5%
Democrats, 13+ pts
Market Model 54.0% 39.6%
Democrats, 10+ pts
Market Model 65.0% 50.3%
Republicans, 16+ pts
Market Model 55.0% 55.0%
Republicans, 13+ pts
Market Model 68.0% 69.5%
Steve Hilton, 3+ pts
Market Model 19.0% 11.1%
Steve Hilton, 5+ pts
Market Model 13.0% 7.5%
Republicans, 23+ pts
Market Model 59.0% 44.2%
Republicans, 26+ pts
Market Model 56.0% 41.4%
James Talarico
Market Model 44.0% 43.6%
Republican party
Market Model 57.0% 56.4%
Ryan Millsap
Market Model 54.0% 46.5%
Houston Gaines
Market Model 46.0% 52.5%
Democrats, 8+ pts
Market Model 8.4% 8.6%
Democrats, 5+ pts
Market Model 18.0% 17.9%
Republican Party
Market Model 27.0% 15.0%
Democratic Party
Market Model 73.0% 85.0%
Bobby Pulido
Market Model 43.0% 47.9%
Monica De La Cruz
Market Model 56.0% 52.1%
Democratic party
Market Model 33.0% 27.3%
Republican party
Market Model 60.0% 72.7%
Democratic party
Market Model 77.0% 79.4%
Republican party
Market Model 20.0% 20.6%
Democratic party
Market Model 95.0% 94.0%
Republican party
Market Model 6.1% 6.0%
Democratic Sweep
Market Model 41.0% 34.2%
Republican Sweep
Market Model 28.0% 20.6%
Democratic party
Market Model 12.0% 9.2%
Republican party
Market Model 86.0% 90.8%
Democratic party
Market Model 67.0% 61.3%
Republican party
Market Model 32.0% 38.7%
Republican party
Market Model 77.0% 79.7%
Democratic party
Market Model 23.0% 20.3%
Republican party
Market Model 68.0% 65.9%
Dan Osborn
Market Model 32.0% 32.8%
Democratic party
Market Model 67.0% 71.9%
Republican party
Market Model 36.0% 28.1%
Democratic party
Market Model 76.0% 60.4%
Republican party
Market Model 29.0% 39.6%
Republican party
Market Model 68.0% 71.2%
Democratic party
Market Model 33.0% 28.8%
Democratic party
Market Model 77.0% 80.3%
Republican party
Market Model 26.0% 19.7%
Republican party
Market Model 7.0% 4.4%
Democratic party
Market Model 95.0% 95.6%
Democratic party
Market Model 92.1% 95.1%
Republican party
Market Model 11.0% 4.9%
Republican party
Market Model 10.0% 7.5%
Democratic party
Market Model 89.0% 92.5%
Republican party
Market Model 61.0% 67.3%
Democratic party
Market Model 40.0% 32.7%
Republican party
Market Model 25.0% 31.8%
Democratic party
Market Model 74.0% 68.2%
Roy Cooper
Market Model 85.0% 87.5%
Michael Whatley
Market Model 17.0% 12.5%
Democratic party
Market Model 14.0% 6.3%
Republican party
Market Model 90.1% 93.7%
Democratic party
Market Model 79.0% 78.0%
Republican party
Market Model 19.0% 22.0%
Democratic party
Market Model 58.0% 66.1%
Republican party
Market Model 41.0% 33.9%
Vivek Ramaswamy
Market Model 46.0% 43.8%
Amy Acton
Market Model 54.0% 56.2%
Republican party
Market Model 18.0% 11.8%
Democratic party
Market Model 83.0% 88.2%
Republican party
Market Model 12.0% 13.9%
Democratic party
Market Model 88.0% 86.1%
Republican party
Market Model 30.0% 33.1%
Democratic party
Market Model 71.0% 66.9%
Democratic party
Market Model 20.0% 19.6%
Republican party
Market Model 82.0% 80.4%
Above 3.0M
Market Model 5.1% 20.1%
Above 2.6M
Market Model 3.1% 20.1%
Jose Orozco
Market Model 5.0% 80.0%
Greg Cunningham
Market Model 0.0% 20.0%
0
Market Model 12.0% 84.0%
Above 2
Market Model 3.0% 9.9%
Christina Bohannan
Market Model 96.0% 93.0%
Travis Terrell
Market Model 9.0% 7.0%
Nikki Gronli
Market Model 97.0% 97.1%
Scott Schlagel
Market Model 4.0% 2.9%
Democrats, 56+ pts
Market Model 89.0% 89.0%
Democrats, 80+ pts
Market Model 13.0% 2.0%
Dave Bronson
Market Model 35.0% 22.2%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Market Model 52.0% 39.6%
Democrats, 37+ pts
Market Model 83.0% 80.8%
Democrats, 34+ pts
Market Model 92.1% 90.9%
Julia Letlow
Market Model 67.0% 57.6%
John Fleming
Market Model 31.0% 35.3%
Russ Fulcher
Market Model 99.0% 99.8%
Joseph Morrison
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Democrats, 10+ pts
Market Model 61.0% 58.1%
Democrats, 13+ pts
Market Model 31.0% 30.2%
Before July 1, 2027
Market Model 26.0% 15.4%
Before July 1, 2026
Market Model 5.0% 2.9%
John Cavanaugh
Market Model 60.0% 60.5%
Denise Powell
Market Model 41.0% 38.2%
Republicans, 9+ pts
Market Model 10.0% 10.4%
Republicans, 3+ pts
Market Model 22.0% 21.9%
Republicans, 5+ pts
Market Model 16.0% 8.0%
Republicans, 8+ pts
Market Model 9.8% 4.9%
Yes
Market Model 52.0% 56.0%
Republican party
Market Model 32.0% 40.4%
Democratic party
Market Model 65.0% 59.6%
Democrats, 34+ pts
Market Model 92.6% 95.0%
Democrats, 58+ pts
Market Model 8.6% 7.0%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Market Model 34.0% 21.3%
Marco Rubio
Market Model 66.0% 61.8%
Democrats, 2+ pts
Market Model 89.0% 81.1%
Democrats, 11+ pts
Market Model 0.0% 5.0%
Republican party
Market Model 84.0% 87.8%
Democratic party
Market Model 17.0% 12.2%
Burt Jones, 3-6%
Market Model 96.0% 34.6%
Rick Jackson, 6-9%
Market Model 23.0% 8.5%
Kamala Harris
Market Model 63.0% 40.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Market Model 49.0% 26.0%
Democrats, 37+ pts
Market Model 78.0% 75.4%
Democrats, 34+ pts
Market Model 81.0% 78.6%
Democrats, 35+ pts
Market Model 10.0% 2.0%
Democrats, 11+ pts
Market Model 0.0% 10.0%
Republicans, 22+ pts
Market Model 48.0% 35.9%
Republicans, 28+ pts
Market Model 38.0% 25.0%
Republicans, 9+ pts
Market Model 20.0% 20.1%
Republicans, 3+ pts
Market Model 43.0% 41.1%
Doris Matsui
Market Model 88.0% 77.2%
Mai Vang
Market Model 12.0% 14.4%
Democrats, 3+ pts
Market Model 25.0% 19.2%
Democrats, 6+ pts
Market Model 14.0% 10.8%
Yes
Market Model 41.0% 48.9%
Yes
Market Model 56.0% 44.1%
Republicans, 3+ pts
Market Model 75.0% 57.9%
Republicans, 6+ pts
Market Model 62.0% 43.2%
Republicans, 5+ pts
Market Model 44.0% 24.6%
Republicans, 2+ pts
Market Model 54.0% 32.2%
Haley Stevens
Market Model 31.0% 30.6%
Mallory McMorrow
Market Model 31.0% 24.3%
Senate Republican primary
Market Model 25.0% 13.7%
Governor Republican primary
Market Model 5.0% 1.8%
Republicans, 9+ pts
Market Model 87.0% 88.0%
Republicans, 15+ pts
Market Model 73.0% 74.9%
Democrats, 9+ pts
Market Model 11.0% 6.4%
Democrats, 3+ pts
Market Model 35.0% 21.2%
Democrats, 18+ pts
Market Model 88.0% 91.4%
Democrats, 21+ pts
Market Model 75.0% 81.4%
Republicans, 13+ pts
Market Model 88.0% 100.0%
Republicans, 37+ pts
Market Model 9.9% 0.0%
Above 249
Market Model 9.0% 11.7%
Below 210
Market Model 10.0% 5.4%
Lateefah Simon
Market Model 91.0% 99.6%
Jamie Joyce
Market Model 0.0% 0.4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Market Model 83.0% 88.9%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Market Model 86.0% 85.9%
Republicans, 3+ pts
Market Model 28.0% 16.6%
Republicans, 6+ pts
Market Model 19.0% 11.1%
Democrats, 38+ pts
Market Model 8.3% 10.1%
Democrats, 20+ pts
Market Model 61.0% 62.0%
Yes
Market Model 3.5% 1.5%
Christian Menefee
Market Model 94.3% 95.6%
Al Green
Market Model 6.0% 4.4%
Democrats, 38+ pts
Market Model 27.0% 17.9%
Democrats, 26+ pts
Market Model 46.0% 29.2%
Republicans, 3+ pts
Market Model 26.0% 20.0%
Republicans, 9+ pts
Market Model 9.3% 7.3%
Robb Tucker
Market Model 69.0% 47.8%
Christine Bish
Market Model 22.0% 11.5%
Republicans, 3+ pts
Market Model 48.0% 38.0%
Republicans, 15+ pts
Market Model 10.0% 7.8%
Robert Menendez Jr.
Market Model 89.0% 91.7%
Mussab Ali
Market Model 13.0% 8.3%
Democrats, 19+ pts
Market Model 12.0% 8.7%
Democrats, 22+ pts
Market Model 15.0% 8.7%
Above 64
Market Model 5.1% 5.2%
Above 60
Market Model 70.0% 51.8%
Yes
Market Model 74.0% 77.0%
Republicans, 10+ pts
Market Model 90.0% 93.0%
Republicans, 13+ pts
Market Model 0.0% 20.0%
Yes
Market Model 9.2% 6.9%
Republicans, 26+ pts
Market Model 23.0% 17.7%
Republicans, 14+ pts
Market Model 51.0% 54.6%
Yes
Market Model 95.0% 95.7%
New Democracy
Market Model 77.0% 89.7%
SYRIZA
Market Model 0.5% 0.4%
Republicans, 60+ pts
Market Model 11.0% 20.6%
Republicans, 36+ pts
Market Model 0.0% 20.6%
Keiko Fujimori vs. Rafael López Aliaga
Market Model 4.0% 3.2%
Keiko Fujimori vs. Roberto Sánchez Palomino
Market Model 98.0% 85.7%
Before June 1, 2026
Market Model 12.0% 7.0%
Before September 1, 2026
Market Model 48.0% 30.8%
Democratic party
Market Model 42.0% 34.0%
Republican party
Market Model 56.0% 66.0%
Brit Aguirre
Market Model 78.0% 89.1%
Vince George
Market Model 22.0% 10.9%
Yes
Market Model 7.1% 5.3%
Republicans, 5+ pts
Market Model 7.8% 6.1%
Republicans, 8+ pts
Market Model 7.0% 5.5%
Christopher Gonzales
Market Model 7.5% 4.6%
Eric Troutman
Market Model 26.0% 13.6%
Zach Wahls
Market Model 15.0% 15.9%
Ashley Hinson
Market Model 58.0% 77.0%
Diego Morales
Market Model 81.0% 47.9%
David Shelton
Market Model 91.0% 51.7%
Hilda Solis
Market Model 98.0% 98.1%
Monica Sanchez
Market Model 34.0% 18.4%
Democrats, 30+ pts
Market Model 90.4% 87.3%
Democrats, 33+ pts
Market Model 86.0% 81.8%
Democrats, 1+ pts
Market Model 76.0% 59.2%
Democrats, 7+ pts
Market Model 51.0% 32.5%
Viktor Orbán
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Péter Magyar
Market Model 99.8% 99.9%
Democrats, 1+ pts
Market Model 20.0% 20.1%
Democrats, 4+ pts
Market Model 7.6% 5.9%
Yes
Market Model 92.5% 96.6%
Yes
Market Model 16.0% 10.5%
Brad Sherman
Market Model 96.0% 92.6%
Marena Lin
Market Model 8.0% 1.6%
Above 60k
Market Model 96.0% 96.0%
Above 90k
Market Model 52.0% 53.5%
Yes
Market Model 17.0% 22.0%
Democrats, 31+ pts
Market Model 91.0% 91.7%
Democrats, 34+ pts
Market Model 84.0% 85.2%
Scott Wiener
Market Model 94.3% 91.9%
Saikat Chakrabarti
Market Model 79.0% 69.7%
Ceci Truman
Market Model 28.0% 16.1%
Joe Males
Market Model 77.0% 69.9%
Republicans, 5+ pts
Market Model 7.4% 4.9%
Republicans, 8+ pts
Market Model 4.9% 3.2%
0
Market Model 79.0% 76.7%
1
Market Model 19.0% 14.4%
Yes
Market Model 8.9% 6.1%
Colin Allred
Market Model 79.0% 82.5%
Julie Johnson
Market Model 23.0% 17.5%
Jeremy Moss
Market Model 93.0% 88.5%
Dave Woodward
Market Model 0.6% 0.5%
Democrats, 4+ pts
Market Model 11.0% 11.4%
Democrats, 7+ pts
Market Model 4.0% 4.3%
Democrats, 28+ pts
Market Model 95.1% 95.0%
Democrats, 52+ pts
Market Model 11.0% 20.0%
Democrats, 14+ pts
Market Model 39.0% 73.1%
Democrats, 5+ pts
Market Model 90.0% 95.0%
Jeff Kessler
Market Model 87.0% 83.6%
Rachel Fetty Anderson
Market Model 2.0% 1.5%
Donald Trump → John Cornyn
Market Model 40.0% 29.1%
Donald Trump → Ken Paxton
Market Model 36.0% 20.8%
Chip Roy
Market Model 38.0% 29.5%
Mayes Middleton
Market Model 67.0% 70.5%
Laura Friedman
Market Model 99.1% 98.8%
Scott Meyers
Market Model 75.0% 67.3%
Democrats, 27+ pts
Market Model 91.4% 90.1%
Democrats, 51+ pts
Market Model 9.0% 10.0%
Tarcísio de Freitas
Market Model 91.0% 91.7%
Fernando Haddad
Market Model 8.0% 8.3%
Yes
Market Model 12.0% 12.0%
Talarico vs. Paxton
Market Model 61.0% 58.3%
Talarico vs. Cornyn
Market Model 38.0% 41.7%
Yes
Market Model 9.8% 6.8%
Marco Rubio
Market Model 25.0% 26.6%
J.D. Vance
Market Model 7.1% 8.6%
Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts
Market Model 36.0% 21.9%
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
Market Model 27.0% 16.0%
Haley Stevens
Market Model 13.0% 10.0%
Abdul El-Sayed
Market Model 45.0% 35.1%
At least 10%
Market Model 69.0% 54.7%
At least 20%
Market Model 49.0% 35.2%
María Corina Machado
Market Model 14.0% 4.9%
Delcy Rodríguez
Market Model 28.0% 28.1%
Tom Steyer, 5+ pts
Market Model 10.0% 5.8%
Tom Steyer, 3+ pts
Market Model 21.0% 12.3%
Rakhi Israni Singh
Market Model 49.0% 36.3%
Aisha Wahab
Market Model 98.8% 98.4%
Maxine Waters
Market Model 97.9% 98.0%
David Sedlik
Market Model 7.5% 2.9%
Democrats, 26+ pts
Market Model 92.1% 90.0%
Democrats, 44+ pts
Market Model 30.0% 3.1%
Republicans, 1+ pts
Market Model 90.5% 89.1%
Republicans, 4+ pts
Market Model 82.0% 79.7%
Republicans, 11+ pts
Market Model 50.0% 58.0%
Republicans, 8+ pts
Market Model 61.0% 68.0%
Republicans, 13+ pts
Market Model 44.0% 38.2%
Republicans, 1+ pts
Market Model 80.0% 74.6%
Democrats, 4+ pts
Market Model 17.0% 9.9%
Democrats, 1+ pts
Market Model 32.0% 19.2%
Republicans, 18+ pts
Market Model 11.0% 11.4%
Republicans, 9+ pts
Market Model 43.0% 41.1%
Carlos Álvarez, ≥5%
Market Model 1.0% 1.0%
Keiko Fujimori, 0-5%
Market Model 4.0% 4.6%
Republicans, 7+ pts
Market Model 12.0% 7.0%
Republicans, 4+ pts
Market Model 18.0% 10.5%
Republicans, 1+ pts
Market Model 85.0% 75.1%
Republicans, 4+ pts
Market Model 77.0% 64.2%
Above 52
Market Model 22.0% 18.9%
52
Market Model 12.0% 11.1%
Tiffany Burress
Market Model 10.0% 6.7%
Rosie Pino
Market Model 86.0% 93.3%
Rick Jackson
Market Model 51.0% 54.1%
Burt Jones
Market Model 42.0% 37.2%
Democrats, 5+ pts
Market Model 80.0% 85.3%
Democrats, 11+ pts
Market Model 65.0% 73.3%
Xavier Becerra
Market Model 62.0% 51.2%
Matt Mahan
Market Model 5.6% 2.0%
Above 1.0M
Market Model 1.0% 0.0%
Above 900k
Market Model 3.0% 0.0%
Before Jun 1, 2026
Market Model 2.0% 1.0%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Market Model 3.0% 1.5%
Ken Paxton
Market Model 62.0% 65.7%
John Cornyn
Market Model 38.0% 34.3%
Virginia
Market Model 59.0% 39.7%
California
Market Model 98.4% 98.7%
Before 2027
Market Model 9.9% 6.6%
Before August 1, 2026
Market Model 5.0% 3.4%
Above 195K
Market Model 0.0% 20.0%
Above 200K
Market Model 0.0% 20.0%
Before Jun 9, 2026
Market Model 32.0% 21.8%
Before Jul 1, 2026
Market Model 49.0% 35.2%
Jon Bonck
Market Model 98.6% 97.8%
Shelly DeZevallos
Market Model 4.5% 2.2%
Josh McLaurin
Market Model 68.0% 68.8%
Nabilah Parkes
Market Model 31.0% 30.4%
Yes
Market Model 36.0% 25.8%
Mike Rogers
Market Model 99.0% 93.4%
Kent Benham
Market Model 1.0% 0.8%
Salud Carbajal
Market Model 95.8% 94.5%
Sarah Bacon
Market Model 7.1% 2.7%
Yes
Market Model — —
Kaylee Peterson
Market Model 98.0% 96.1%
Ken Brungardt
Market Model 7.0% 3.9%
David Flippo
Market Model 53.0% 37.1%
James Settelmeyer
Market Model 52.0% 49.5%
Republican party
Market Model 81.0% 64.8%
Democratic party
Market Model 19.0% 35.2%
Cori Bush
Market Model 37.0% 31.2%
Wesley Bell
Market Model 68.0% 68.8%
Maxine Dexter
Market Model 99.0% 88.4%
Jessica Salas
Market Model 9.0% 8.0%
Before Jul 1, 2027
Market Model 42.0% 34.8%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 9.0% 7.6%
Robert White
Market Model 59.0% 44.3%
Brooke Pinto
Market Model 27.0% 23.4%
Andy Biggs
Market Model 96.9% 65.9%
Karrin Taylor Robson
Market Model 1.0% 21.0%
Gavin Newsom
Market Model 25.0% 21.3%
Stephen A. Smith
Market Model 0.6% 0.6%
10
Market Model 51.0% 38.2%
7
Market Model 17.0% 17.1%
Yes
Market Model 8.1% 6.0%
Australian Labor Party
Market Model 59.0% 47.0%
Liberal-National Coalition
Market Model 43.0% 41.8%
Yes
Market Model 9.4% 5.6%
Bob Trammell
Market Model 6.3% 18.0%
Tanya Miller
Market Model 99.0% 82.0%
Yes
Market Model 53.0% 58.9%
Coalition including ODM
Market Model 56.0% 57.2%
Coalition including UDA
Market Model 36.0% 31.3%
Yes
Market Model 57.0% 49.0%
Tim Walz
Market Model 1.6% 0.0%
Amy Klobuchar
Market Model 93.0% 78.9%
Billy Webster
Market Model 18.0% 16.2%
Jermaine Johnson
Market Model 72.0% 64.9%
Sam Bregman
Market Model 13.0% 11.1%
Deb Haaland
Market Model 86.0% 87.1%
Beth Davidson
Market Model 43.0% 28.8%
Cait Conley
Market Model 50.0% 33.0%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Market Model 46.0% 35.9%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Market Model 52.0% 48.6%
Sharice Davids
Market Model 15.0% 15.6%
Noah Taylor
Market Model 17.0% 18.0%
Alexi Giannoulias
Market Model 56.0% 48.1%
Maria Pappas
Market Model 3.1% 1.0%
Ronald Russell
Market Model 95.0% 87.0%
Joshua Pietrowicz
Market Model 33.0% 13.0%
Chris Murphy
Market Model 5.0% 5.0%
Chuck Schumer
Market Model 50.0% 40.6%
Civil Contract
Market Model 92.0% 84.8%
Armenia Alliance
Market Model 3.3% 3.1%
Jerrad Christian
Market Model 95.3% 91.4%
Jason Reynard
Market Model 9.0% 8.6%
Yes
Market Model 14.0% 9.2%
Before Jul 1, 2026
Market Model 3.0% 2.4%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 17.0% 13.1%
Phil Weiser
Market Model 32.0% 26.1%
Michael Bennet
Market Model 73.0% 73.1%
Amy McGrath
Market Model 12.0% 11.5%
Charles Booker
Market Model 87.0% 83.2%
Graham Platner, ≥50%
Market Model 20.0% 18.8%
Graham Platner, 30-40%
Market Model 20.0% 18.8%
Mike Lindell
Market Model 15.0% 15.5%
Lisa Demuth
Market Model 63.0% 62.5%
Troy Jackson
Market Model 30.0% 22.1%
Hannah Pingree
Market Model 24.0% 18.2%
Stefany Shaheen
Market Model 61.0% 62.8%
Maura Sullivan
Market Model 35.0% 28.1%
Ryan Busse
Market Model 56.0% 53.6%
Sam Forstag
Market Model 26.0% 33.5%
Antonio Reynoso
Market Model 24.0% 26.3%
Claire Valdez
Market Model 74.0% 66.2%
Allen Waters
Market Model 7.0% 3.4%
Raymond McKay
Market Model 87.0% 96.6%
Jerri Green
Market Model 86.0% 76.7%
Adam Kurtz
Market Model 11.0% 11.3%
Dan Koh
Market Model 79.0% 76.2%
Seth Moulton
Market Model 3.0% 15.9%
Chris Backemeyer
Market Model 94.0% 94.2%
Eric Moyer
Market Model 8.0% 5.8%
Aaron Ford
Market Model 98.1% 96.3%
Steve Sisolak
Market Model 1.7% 1.8%
Below 53
Market Model 81.0% 70.1%
53
Market Model 11.0% 10.8%
Javier Milei
Market Model 64.0% 67.8%
Horacio Rodríguez Larreta
Market Model 7.9% 6.8%
Ras Baraka
Market Model 96.5% 94.3%
Douglas R. Davis
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Before Election Day
Market Model 25.0% 16.9%
Before 2028
Market Model 14.0% 9.4%
Adrian Boafo
Market Model 61.0% 38.4%
Rushern Baker III
Market Model 14.0% 7.7%
J.D. Ford
Market Model 92.2% 87.2%
Jackson Franklin
Market Model 8.3% 8.2%
Aisha Wahab
Market Model 72.0% 60.2%
Rakhi Israni Singh
Market Model 21.0% 20.1%
Mike Mazzei
Market Model 28.0% 23.5%
Gentner Drummond
Market Model 52.0% 38.0%
Plaid Cymru
Market Model 86.0% 67.1%
Reform
Market Model 3.6% 23.6%
Lindsey Graham
Market Model 87.0% 86.2%
Paul Dans
Market Model 1.0% 0.1%
Chi Ossé
Market Model 7.2% 5.2%
Hakeem Jeffries
Market Model 97.5% 88.0%
Republican party
Market Model 31.0% 18.5%
Democratic party
Market Model 68.0% 81.5%
Bill Cassidy, 9%+
Market Model 1.0% 4.1%
Bill Cassidy, 3-6%
Market Model 1.0% 8.1%
Union of Greens and Farmers
Market Model 2.0% 8.2%
New Unity
Market Model 35.0% 27.1%
Michael Minogue
Market Model 80.0% 93.4%
Brian Shortsleeve
Market Model 6.0% 5.9%
Mejia, 24% and above
Market Model 0.3% 1.3%
Mejia, 16-20%
Market Model 0.5% 3.3%
Jocelyn Benson
Market Model 89.0% 92.5%
Chris Swanson
Market Model 6.7% 6.8%
Katherine Clark
Market Model 88.0% 99.8%
Jonathan Paz
Market Model 12.0% 0.1%
Janez Janša
Market Model 83.0% 70.5%
Robert Golob
Market Model 7.0% 4.5%
Governor
Market Model 76.0% 65.0%
Lieutenant Governor
Market Model 84.0% 78.9%
Yes
Market Model 44.0% 34.5%
Matthew McConaughey
Market Model 10.0% 4.1%
Casey DeSantis
Market Model 19.0% 9.4%
Wilson Witzel
Market Model 5.0% 97.0%
Anthony Garotinho
Market Model 0.0% 0.9%
Yes
Market Model 48.0% 36.4%
John Coupar
Market Model 12.0% 11.2%
Ken Sim
Market Model 32.0% 27.1%
Mike Thompson
Market Model 97.7% 97.4%
Eric Jones
Market Model 90.0% 93.0%
Toby Doeden
Market Model 32.0% 29.1%
Dusty Johnson
Market Model 59.0% 59.4%
Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance
Market Model 12.0% 10.1%
JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom
Market Model 12.0% 17.2%
Laurel Libby
Market Model 1.0% 0.6%
Jonathan Bush
Market Model 23.0% 22.9%
Iliana Yotova
Market Model 57.0% 42.9%
Nikolai Denkov
Market Model 20.0% 17.4%
Fiona Ma
Market Model 70.0% 50.9%
Josh Fryday
Market Model 23.0% 30.6%
5 or more
Market Model 22.0% 22.9%
Exactly 4
Market Model 41.0% 38.8%
SNP
Market Model 99.9% 94.7%
Conservatives
Market Model 0.1% 1.7%
Jim Clyburn
Market Model 96.0% 99.0%
Frederick Goodwin
Market Model 9.0% 1.0%
Ryan Crosswell
Market Model 27.0% 32.7%
Bob Brooks
Market Model 71.0% 58.0%
David Clark
Market Model 15.0% 13.6%
John F. Kennedy
Market Model 33.0% 26.7%
Yes
Market Model 20.0% 20.0%
Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass
Market Model 62.0% 53.5%
Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt
Market Model 17.0% 16.5%
T.W. Shannon
Market Model 89.0% 86.2%
Cindy Byrd
Market Model 2.0% 1.6%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
Market Model 47.0% 21.2%
Adriano Espaillat
Market Model 56.0% 55.1%
Amish Shah
Market Model 72.0% 69.3%
Marlene Galán-Woods
Market Model 2.0% 2.1%
Barry Moore
Market Model 74.0% 78.1%
Jared Hudson
Market Model 27.0% 16.7%
Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Market Model 5.0% 8.1%
Jon Ossoff and Andy Beshear
Market Model 4.0% 6.5%
Yes
Market Model 6.0% 8.7%
Ben McAdams
Market Model 76.0% 85.8%
Nate Blouin
Market Model 24.0% 8.3%
Saikat Chakrabarti
Market Model 37.0% 30.9%
Scott Wiener
Market Model 62.0% 60.0%
Adam Hamawy
Market Model 52.0% 26.4%
Sue Altman
Market Model 15.0% 9.1%
Michael Blake
Market Model 15.0% 3.1%
Ritchie Torres
Market Model 85.0% 90.4%
2 Republicans
Market Model 6.2% 3.1%
1 Democrat and 1 Republican
Market Model 75.0% 77.0%
Mary Peltola
Market Model 59.0% 59.6%
Dan Sullivan
Market Model 45.0% 37.8%
Republicans win
Market Model 15.0% 11.7%
Democrats, 0 to 2%
Market Model 5.9% 3.9%
Graham Platner wins
Market Model 69.0% 71.2%
Republican defeats Graham Platner
Market Model 33.0% 22.1%
At least 3
Market Model 87.0% 75.2%
At least 5
Market Model 37.0% 22.6%
Matt Mahan
Market Model 7.0% 5.7%
Tom Steyer
Market Model 5.0% 4.1%
Cleitinho Azevedo
Market Model 62.0% 86.1%
Mateus Simões
Market Model 10.0% 13.4%
Megan Degenfelder
Market Model 77.0% 77.5%
Eric Barlow
Market Model 28.0% 18.3%
Angie Craig
Market Model 26.0% 18.4%
Peggy Flanagan
Market Model 76.0% 72.8%
Steve Hilton
Market Model 59.0% 55.6%
Xavier Becerra
Market Model 11.0% 12.8%
Georgia
Market Model 7.8% 13.4%
Texas
Market Model 19.0% 15.5%
Julia Letlow
Market Model 62.0% 61.2%
John Fleming
Market Model 39.0% 26.5%
Jasmine Clark
Market Model 79.0% 75.6%
Everton Blair Jr.
Market Model 18.0% 7.6%
Chris Rabb
Market Model 38.0% 39.2%
Sharif Street
Market Model 63.0% 40.3%
Dan McKee
Market Model 29.0% 19.9%
Helena Foulkes
Market Model 70.0% 79.1%
Matt Little
Market Model 69.0% 76.4%
Matt Klein
Market Model 12.0% 14.4%
Democratic party
Market Model 39.0% 45.0%
Republican party
Market Model 56.0% 55.0%
4 or more
Market Model 12.0% 11.3%
2
Market Model 41.0% 38.7%
Randy Feenstra
Market Model 74.0% 69.3%
Zach Lahn
Market Model 17.0% 9.1%
Nicolás Maduro
Market Model 97.0% 77.2%
Delcy Rodríguez
Market Model 3.5% 7.5%
Cherlynn Stevenson
Market Model 47.0% 41.7%
Zach Dembo
Market Model 46.0% 31.8%
Bernadette Wilson
Market Model 22.0% 22.9%
Tom Begich
Market Model 37.0% 31.2%
Before July 2026
Market Model 13.0% 8.6%
Before Nov 3, 2026
Market Model 24.0% 15.9%
Rafael López Aliaga
Market Model 2.1% 2.9%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
Market Model 95.8% 93.7%
Above 1.2M
Market Model 99.5% 99.6%
Above 1.4M
Market Model 99.7% 99.4%
Yes
Market Model 92.9% 95.5%
Derek Merrin
Market Model 86.0% 88.0%
Madison Sheahan
Market Model 0.3% 0.3%
Jay Collins
Market Model 19.0% 24.9%
James Fishback
Market Model 50.0% 58.8%
Celeste Maloy
Market Model 70.0% 75.5%
Phil Lyman
Market Model 29.0% 24.5%
Yes
Market Model 43.0% 47.0%
Susan Mendoza
Market Model 16.0% 12.4%
Alexi Giannoulias
Market Model 63.0% 44.7%
Nancy Mace
Market Model 20.0% 18.2%
Pamela Evette
Market Model 37.0% 28.8%
Andy Barr
Market Model 41.0% 100.0%
Nate Morris
Market Model 14.0% 100.0%
Mike Collins
Market Model 87.0% 61.5%
Brian Kemp
Market Model 1.0% 0.4%
Zach Wahls
Market Model 22.0% 32.7%
Josh Turek
Market Model 75.0% 65.1%
Bennett 2026
Market Model 5.1% 16.8%
Likud
Market Model 49.0% 50.0%
Below 193
Market Model 28.0% 31.1%
223-227
Market Model 4.3% 7.2%
Anthony D’Esposito
Market Model 0.4% 20.0%
Don Clavin
Market Model 3.6% 1.0%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Market Model 8.0% 7.9%
Gretchen Whitmer
Market Model 9.2% 10.0%
Perry Johnson
Market Model 56.0% 41.8%
John James
Market Model 39.0% 36.8%
Yes
Market Model 23.0% 23.0%
Abelardo de la Espriella
Market Model 41.0% 5.8%
Iván Cepeda Castro
Market Model 40.0% 33.8%
Christine Drazan
Market Model 86.0% 78.3%
Chris Dudley
Market Model 5.0% 5.5%
Andy Barr
Market Model 95.1% 72.8%
Nate Morris
Market Model 0.9% 6.9%
Keiko Fujimori
Market Model 96.4% 89.4%
Carlos Álvarez
Market Model 0.1% 2.8%
Francesca Hong
Market Model 38.0% 37.5%
Mandela Barnes
Market Model 52.0% 30.7%
Iván Cepeda Castro
Market Model 89.0% 92.8%
Abelardo de la Espriella
Market Model 15.0% 6.4%
R-House, R-Senate
Market Model 21.0% 17.2%
D-House, R-Senate
Market Model 34.0% 37.5%
Abdul El-Sayed
Market Model 51.0% 36.4%
Haley Stevens
Market Model 21.0% 26.3%
Keisha Lance Bottoms
Market Model 86.0% 68.5%
Michael Thurmond
Market Model 13.0% 14.0%
Pete Ricketts
Market Model 96.0% 98.9%
Edward Dunn
Market Model 2.5% 1.1%
Thomas Massie
Market Model 76.0% 71.9%
Ed Gallrein
Market Model 24.0% 27.1%
Rafael López Aliaga
Market Model 1.9% 1.7%
Keiko Fujimori
Market Model 63.0% 59.2%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Market Model 48.0% 36.5%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Market Model 37.0% 27.8%
Vivek Ramaswamy
Market Model 98.2% 95.3%
Casey Putsch
Market Model 2.7% 3.0%
Spencer Pratt
Market Model 25.0% 18.3%
Karen Bass
Market Model 47.0% 27.8%
James Fishback
Market Model 9.2% 10.1%
Byron Donalds
Market Model 87.0% 79.8%
Yes, 0-3%
Market Model 0.7% 1.6%
No, 0-3%
Market Model 0.5% 0.9%
Republicans, 10+ pts
Market Model 0.0% 0.1%
Republicans, 12+ pts
Market Model 0.0% 0.1%
Nancy Lacore
Market Model 81.0% 69.2%
Mac Deford
Market Model 20.0% 24.7%
April Verlato
Market Model 94.7% 96.9%
Peter Roybal
Market Model 36.0% 11.5%
Chong Won-o
Market Model 89.0% 71.1%
Oh Se-hoon
Market Model 10.0% 13.4%
Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer
Market Model 33.0% 33.7%
Steve Hilton vs. Matt Mahan
Market Model 2.0% 3.4%
Republican party
Market Model 47.0% 41.4%
Democratic party
Market Model 53.0% 58.6%
Renada Collins
Market Model 4.0% 2.3%
Troy Carter
Market Model 95.2% 97.7%
Republican party
Market Model 94.9% 97.8%
Democratic party
Market Model 5.0% 2.2%
Above 500,000
Market Model 31.0% 42.1%
Above 400,000
Market Model 74.0% 80.6%
No new person
Market Model 55.0% 42.2%
Alina Habba
Market Model 20.0% 11.9%
Republican party
Market Model 37.0% 36.2%
Democratic party
Market Model 62.0% 63.8%
Yes
Market Model 22.0% 10.9%
Restore Britain party
Market Model 13.0% 0.5%
Reform party
Market Model 47.0% 40.7%
Yes
Market Model 14.0% 10.6%
Yes
Market Model 28.0% 19.4%
Hungary
Market Model 4.6% 1.6%
Italy
Market Model 4.0% 1.4%
Before 2030
Market Model 12.0% 11.6%
Before 2032
Market Model 13.0% 11.6%
Hungary
Market Model 3.0% 1.2%
Greece
Market Model 4.0% 0.9%
Graham Platner
Market Model 98.2% 81.8%
Janet Mills
Market Model 1.4% 13.1%
Matt Mahan
Market Model 3.0% 15.1%
Eric Swalwell
Market Model 0.2% 0.6%
Yes
Market Model 1.0% 0.6%
Yes
Market Model 14.0% 10.6%
Chen Jining
Market Model 1.0% 1.0%
Ding Xuexiang
Market Model 21.0% 23.1%
Yes
Market Model 6.0% 6.5%
Rupert Lowe
Market Model 6.0% 6.0%
Nigel Farage
Market Model 10.0% 16.4%
Marco Rubio
Market Model 28.0% 28.8%
Tucker Carlson
Market Model 7.2% 5.7%
Cornyn beats Talarico
Market Model 39.0% 34.2%
Talarico beats Paxton
Market Model 25.0% 21.9%
Pietro Parolin
Market Model 8.2% 22.3%
Peter Erdo
Market Model 3.0% 11.2%
Yes
Market Model 43.0% 31.8%
Hakeem Jeffries
Market Model 79.0% 59.2%
Jim Jordan
Market Model 18.0% 24.1%
Naftali Bennett
Market Model 31.0% 30.6%
Israel Katz
Market Model 14.0% 13.8%
Yes
Market Model 15.0% 9.8%
Yes
Market Model 8.0% 5.1%
Marco Rubio
Market Model 19.0% 19.5%
Gavin Newsom
Market Model 17.0% 11.3%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska Governor winner? Top outcome: Democratic | 15.0% | 8.9% | High | $13,415.85 | Refresh |
| Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028) Top outcome: Republican party | 26.0% | 26.2% | High | $5,485.63 | Refresh |
| AL-04 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Amanda Pusczek | 36.0% | 73.8% | High | $4,400.14 | Refresh |
| FL-13 House winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 73.0% | 84.2% | High | $3,687 | Refresh |
| Alabama Senate winner? (2028) Top outcome: Democratic party | 6.7% | 5.4% | High | $243 | Refresh |
| Idaho Governor winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 93.0% | 96.9% | High | $2,119.85 | Refresh |
| Georgia Governor winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 42.0% | 44.2% | High | $64,330.65 | Refresh |
| Illinois's 12th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 26+ pts | 74.0% | 71.2% | High | $1,220 | Refresh |
| Florida's 13th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 2+ pts | 25.0% | 19.2% | High | $4,166 | Refresh |
| Iowa's 4th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 30+ pts | 31.0% | 27.0% | High | $2,646 | Refresh |
| Arizona's 6th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 10+ pts | 16.0% | 16.3% | High | $5,961 | Refresh |
| Montana Senate winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 80.0% | 81.4% | High | $155,399.22 | Refresh |
| Michigan's 10th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 10+ pts | 9.0% | 5.2% | High | $17,513.68 | Refresh |
| Colorado's 4th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 11+ pts | 21.0% | 28.2% | High | $1,772 | Refresh |
| Michigan's 12th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 58+ pts | 15.0% | 15.0% | High | $2,392 | Refresh |
| Ohio Senate winner? Top outcome: Jon Husted | 48.0% | 51.5% | High | $297,560.41 | Refresh |
| IN-04 House winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 92.7% | 96.5% | High | $3,080 | Refresh |
| Florida's 27th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 9+ pts | 7.9% | 5.0% | High | $2,523 | Refresh |
| Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 51+ pts | 46.0% | 30.0% | High | $11,244 | Refresh |
| Arizona's 4th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 25+ pts | 14.0% | 14.3% | Med | $11,452.14 | Refresh |
| Iowa's 3rd District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 2+ pts | 75.0% | 57.9% | Med | $5,041 | Refresh |
| Kansas's 4th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 23+ pts | 30.0% | 32.7% | High | $3,207.72 | Refresh |
| Connecticut's 1st District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 22+ pts | 92.2% | 86.2% | High | $33,164.12 | Refresh |
| Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory Top outcome: Spencer Pratt wins | 31.0% | 23.1% | High | $35,505.07 | Refresh |
| Minnesota's 2nd District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 13+ pts | 54.0% | 39.6% | High | $21,737.9 | Refresh |
| Georgia's 10th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 16+ pts | 55.0% | 55.0% | High | $8,673.02 | Refresh |
| California Governor Primary margin of victory Top outcome: Steve Hilton, 3+ pts | 19.0% | 11.1% | High | $12,712.67 | Refresh |
| Georgia's 3rd District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 23+ pts | 59.0% | 44.2% | High | $12,320 | Refresh |
| Texas Senate winner? Top outcome: James Talarico | 44.0% | 43.6% | High | $2,374,979.98 | Refresh |
| GA-10 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Ryan Millsap | 54.0% | 46.5% | High | $27,839.75 | Refresh |
| Colorado's 5th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 8+ pts | 8.4% | 8.6% | High | $10,018 | Refresh |
| Which party will win the U.S. House? Top outcome: Republican Party | 27.0% | 15.0% | High | $11,199,865.19 | Refresh |
| TX-15 House winner? Top outcome: Bobby Pulido | 43.0% | 47.9% | High | $19,848.26 | Refresh |
| Ohio Senate winner? (2028) Top outcome: Democratic party | 33.0% | 27.3% | High | $13,233.16 | Refresh |
| MI-10 House winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 77.0% | 79.4% | High | $9,026.38 | Refresh |
| Oregon Senate winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 95.0% | 94.0% | High | $2,465.17 | Refresh |
| 2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate? Top outcome: Democratic Sweep | 41.0% | 34.2% | High | $221,678.3 | Refresh |
| Texas Governor winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 12.0% | 9.2% | High | $94,301.42 | Refresh |
| CO-08 House winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 67.0% | 61.3% | High | $4,997.39 | Refresh |
| Florida Governor winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 77.0% | 79.7% | High | $87,713.55 | Refresh |
| Nebraska Senate winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 68.0% | 65.9% | High | $253,333.28 | Refresh |
| Iowa Governor winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 67.0% | 71.9% | High | $128,866.65 | Refresh |
| WI-03 House winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 76.0% | 60.4% | High | $7,433.91 | Refresh |
| Kansas Governor winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 68.0% | 71.2% | High | $10,975.74 | Refresh |
| Arizona Governor winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 77.0% | 80.3% | High | $320,352.08 | Refresh |
| Pennsylvania Governor winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 7.0% | 4.4% | High | $28,720.59 | Refresh |
| New Mexico Governor winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 92.1% | 95.1% | High | $11,349.1 | Refresh |
| New York Governor winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 10.0% | 7.5% | High | $276,381.38 | Refresh |
| Iowa Senate winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 61.0% | 67.3% | High | $199,989.22 | Refresh |
| Michigan Senate winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 25.0% | 31.8% | High | $129,858.03 | Refresh |
| North Carolina Senate winner? Top outcome: Roy Cooper | 85.0% | 87.5% | High | $237,710.2 | Refresh |
| Mississippi Senate winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 14.0% | 6.3% | High | $34,699.68 | Refresh |
| FL-23 House winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 79.0% | 78.0% | High | $14,071.98 | Refresh |
| Alaska Senate winner? (Party) Top outcome: Democratic party | 58.0% | 66.1% | High | $256,169.44 | Refresh |
| Ohio Governor winner? Top outcome: Vivek Ramaswamy | 46.0% | 43.8% | High | $284,126.13 | Refresh |
| Georgia Senate winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 18.0% | 11.8% | High | $243,903.81 | Refresh |
| California Governor winner? (Party) Top outcome: Republican party | 12.0% | 13.9% | High | $681,374.58 | Refresh |
| Maine Senate winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 30.0% | 33.1% | High | $435,845.32 | Refresh |
| South Carolina Senate winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 20.0% | 19.6% | High | $91,447.6 | Refresh |
| Voter turnout for the Virginia redistricting referendum? Top outcome: Above 3.0M | 5.1% | 20.1% | High | $764,655.25 | Refresh |
| NM-02 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Jose Orozco | 5.0% | 80.0% | High | $1 | Refresh |
| How many House seats will Democrats win in Alabama? Top outcome: 0 | 12.0% | 84.0% | High | $51 | Refresh |
| IA-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Christina Bohannan | 96.0% | 93.0% | High | $8,757.4 | Refresh |
| SD-AL Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Nikki Gronli | 97.0% | 97.1% | High | $28,123.49 | Refresh |
| Illinois's 7th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 56+ pts | 89.0% | 89.0% | High | $1,076 | Refresh |
| Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? Top outcome: Dave Bronson | 35.0% | 22.2% | Med | $49,234.15 | Refresh |
| Colorado's 2nd District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 37+ pts | 83.0% | 80.8% | High | $5,850 | Refresh |
| Louisiana Republican Senate primary: first round winner Top outcome: Julia Letlow | 67.0% | 57.6% | High | $17,457.14 | Refresh |
| ID-01 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Russ Fulcher | 99.0% | 99.8% | High | $10,994.95 | Refresh |
| New Hampshire's 1st District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 10+ pts | 61.0% | 58.1% | Med | $17,481.86 | Refresh |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan? Top outcome: Before July 1, 2027 | 26.0% | 15.4% | Med | $15,339.75 | Refresh |
| NE-02 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: John Cavanaugh | 60.0% | 60.5% | High | $49,295.8 | Refresh |
| Pennsylvania's 7th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 9+ pts | 10.0% | 10.4% | High | $917 | Refresh |
| Pennsylvania's 10th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 5+ pts | 16.0% | 8.0% | High | $917 | Refresh |
| 2026 Republican Senate primaries combo Yes refers to: Yes | 52.0% | 56.0% | Med | $26,777.09 | Refresh |
| LA-06 House winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 32.0% | 40.4% | High | $28,596.21 | Refresh |
| Indiana's 7th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 34+ pts | 92.6% | 95.0% | Med | $1,046 | Refresh |
| Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Top outcome: Marjorie Taylor Greene | 34.0% | 21.3% | Med | $266,967.39 | Refresh |
| Michigan's 8th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 2+ pts | 89.0% | 81.1% | High | $1,186 | Refresh |
| IN-05 House winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 84.0% | 87.8% | High | $3,686 | Refresh |
| Georgia Republican Governor primary: first round margin of victory Top outcome: Burt Jones, 3-6% | 96.0% | 34.6% | High | $1,735.51 | Refresh |
| Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Top outcome: Kamala Harris | 63.0% | 40.5% | Med | $519,409.57 | Refresh |
| Georgia's 13th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 37+ pts | 78.0% | 75.4% | High | $1,858 | Refresh |
| Michigan's 11th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 35+ pts | 10.0% | 2.0% | High | $1,211 | Refresh |
| Florida's 12th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 22+ pts | 48.0% | 35.9% | High | $4,956 | Refresh |
| Maine's 2nd District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 9+ pts | 20.0% | 20.1% | High | $2,370 | Refresh |
| CA-07 primary: first place Top outcome: Doris Matsui | 88.0% | 77.2% | High | $13,851.04 | Refresh |
| Colorado's 3rd District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 3+ pts | 25.0% | 19.2% | High | $3,131 | Refresh |
| Will the Switzerland 10 million population cap referendum pass? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 41.0% | 48.9% | Med | $10,873.73 | Refresh |
| Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? Yes refers to: Yes | 56.0% | 44.1% | Med | $27,244.66 | Refresh |
| Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 3+ pts | 75.0% | 57.9% | High | $1,023 | Refresh |
| Michigan's 4th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 5+ pts | 44.0% | 24.6% | High | $2,534 | Refresh |
| Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place Top outcome: Haley Stevens | 31.0% | 30.6% | High | $4,393.88 | Refresh |
| Which Georgia primary elections will have a first-round winner? Top outcome: Senate Republican primary | 25.0% | 13.7% | Med | $24,435.2 | Refresh |
| Arizona's 9th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 9+ pts | 87.0% | 88.0% | High | $10,439.97 | Refresh |
| Montana's 1st District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 9+ pts | 11.0% | 6.4% | Med | $1,891 | Refresh |
| Colorado's 6th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 18+ pts | 88.0% | 91.4% | High | $4,636.27 | Refresh |
| Michigan's 5th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 13+ pts | 88.0% | 100.0% | High | $1,380 | Refresh |
| How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Top outcome: Above 249 | 9.0% | 11.7% | High | $376,436.14 | Refresh |
| CA-12 primary: first place Top outcome: Lateefah Simon | 91.0% | 99.6% | High | $18,075.53 | Refresh |
| Who will run for President of Brazil? Top outcome: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 83.0% | 88.9% | Med | $99,455.41 | Refresh |
| New York's 17th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 3+ pts | 28.0% | 16.6% | High | $1,727 | Refresh |
| Connecticut's 3rd District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 38+ pts | 8.3% | 10.1% | Med | $1,813 | Refresh |
| Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 3.5% | 1.5% | Med | $40,852.69 | Refresh |
| TX-18 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Christian Menefee | 94.3% | 95.6% | High | $84,605.89 | Refresh |
| Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 38+ pts | 27.0% | 17.9% | High | $3,933.9 | Refresh |
| Iowa's 1st District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 3+ pts | 26.0% | 20.0% | High | $3,262 | Refresh |
| CA-03 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Robb Tucker | 69.0% | 47.8% | Med | $33,229.23 | Refresh |
| Montana's 1st District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 3+ pts | 48.0% | 38.0% | High | $1,890 | Refresh |
| NJ-08 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Robert Menendez Jr. | 89.0% | 91.7% | High | $22,455.97 | Refresh |
| New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 19+ pts | 12.0% | 8.7% | High | $4,908 | Refresh |
| How many seats will the SNP win in the Scottish Parliament election? Top outcome: Above 64 | 5.1% | 5.2% | High | $34,652.92 | Refresh |
| Blue wave in 2026? Yes refers to: Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate? | 74.0% | 77.0% | Med | $179,575 | Refresh |
| Indiana's 2nd District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 10+ pts | 90.0% | 93.0% | High | $1,477 | Refresh |
| Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term? Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2029 | 9.2% | 6.9% | Med | $214,682.71 | Refresh |
| Florida's 3rd District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 26+ pts | 23.0% | 17.7% | High | $5,519 | Refresh |
| Will the Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? Yes refers to: Green Party | 95.0% | 95.7% | Med | $15,361.36 | Refresh |
| Who will win the next Greek general election? Top outcome: New Democracy | 77.0% | 89.7% | High | $4,348.33 | Refresh |
| Nebraska's 3rd District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 60+ pts | 11.0% | 20.6% | High | $1,728 | Refresh |
| Peru presidential election matchup Top outcome: Keiko Fujimori vs. Rafael López Aliaga | 4.0% | 3.2% | High | $499,086.3 | Refresh |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office? Top outcome: Before June 1, 2026 | 12.0% | 7.0% | High | $482,563.71 | Refresh |
| FL-09 House winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 42.0% | 34.0% | High | $20,997.02 | Refresh |
| WV-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Brit Aguirre | 78.0% | 89.1% | High | $4,372.15 | Refresh |
| Florida's 4th District margin of victory Yes refers to: Democrats, 3+ pts | 7.1% | 5.3% | Med | $1,802 | Refresh |
| Arizona's 6th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 5+ pts | 7.8% | 6.1% | High | $1,900 | Refresh |
| CA-47 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Christopher Gonzales | 7.5% | 4.6% | Med | $18,825.9 | Refresh |
| Iowa Senate winner? (Person) Top outcome: Zach Wahls | 15.0% | 15.9% | High | $2,821.59 | Refresh |
| Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee? Top outcome: Diego Morales | 81.0% | 47.9% | High | $25,238.32 | Refresh |
| CA-38 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Hilda Solis | 98.0% | 98.1% | Med | $26,981.63 | Refresh |
| Illinois's 3rd District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 30+ pts | 90.4% | 87.3% | High | $2,166 | Refresh |
| Michigan's 7th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 1+ pts | 76.0% | 59.2% | Med | $2,767 | Refresh |
| Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2026 election? Top outcome: Viktor Orbán | 0.1% | 0.1% | High | $3,517,054.72 | Refresh |
| Ohio's 15th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 1+ pts | 20.0% | 20.1% | High | $3,327 | Refresh |
| Will the 2028 presidential election occur? Yes refers to: In 2028 | 92.5% | 96.6% | Med | $58,353.85 | Refresh |
| Minnesota's 8th District margin of victory Yes refers to: Democrats, 2+ pts | 16.0% | 10.5% | Med | $2,427 | Refresh |
| CA-32 primary: first place Top outcome: Brad Sherman | 96.0% | 92.6% | High | $7,298.66 | Refresh |
| KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout Top outcome: Above 60k | 96.0% | 96.0% | High | $20,458.03 | Refresh |
| 2026 Democratic Senate primaries combo Yes refers to: Yes | 17.0% | 22.0% | Med | $121,044.14 | Refresh |
| Illinois's 5th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 31+ pts | 91.0% | 91.7% | High | $2,679 | Refresh |
| Who will advance from the CA-11 primary? Top outcome: Scott Wiener | 94.3% | 91.9% | Med | $100,610.18 | Refresh |
| CA-25 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Ceci Truman | 28.0% | 16.1% | Med | $9,317.84 | Refresh |
| Michigan's 7th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 5+ pts | 7.4% | 4.9% | High | $2,945 | Refresh |
| How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026? Top outcome: 0 | 79.0% | 76.7% | High | $108,537.22 | Refresh |
| New Hampshire's 1st District margin of victory Yes refers to: Republicans, 2+ pts | 8.9% | 6.1% | Med | $3,829 | Refresh |
| TX-33 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Colin Allred | 79.0% | 82.5% | High | $248,957.99 | Refresh |
| MI-11 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jeremy Moss | 93.0% | 88.5% | High | $7,762.72 | Refresh |
| Florida's 7th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 4+ pts | 11.0% | 11.4% | High | $3,544 | Refresh |
| Illinois's 2nd District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 28+ pts | 95.1% | 95.0% | High | $3,318 | Refresh |
| Kansas's 3rd District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 14+ pts | 39.0% | 73.1% | High | $5,578 | Refresh |
| West Virginia Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Jeff Kessler | 87.0% | 83.6% | High | $19,233.31 | Refresh |
| Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who? Top outcome: Donald Trump → John Cornyn | 40.0% | 29.1% | Med | $180,295.07 | Refresh |
| Texas Republican Attorney General nominee? Top outcome: Chip Roy | 38.0% | 29.5% | High | $193,444.6 | Refresh |
| CA-30 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Laura Friedman | 99.1% | 98.8% | Med | $77,961.28 | Refresh |
| Illinois's 4th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 27+ pts | 91.4% | 90.1% | High | $4,133 | Refresh |
| São Paulo Governor winner? Top outcome: Tarcísio de Freitas | 91.0% | 91.7% | High | $24,389.35 | Refresh |
| Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory Yes refers to: Democrats, 3+ pts | 12.0% | 12.0% | Med | $4,104 | Refresh |
| 2026 Texas Senate matchup? Top outcome: Talarico vs. Paxton | 61.0% | 58.3% | High | $3,858,435.42 | Refresh |
| Will anyone win the Colombian presidential election in the first round? Yes refers to: First-round winner | 9.8% | 6.8% | Med | $15,569.12 | Refresh |
| 2028 Republican VP nominee Top outcome: Marco Rubio | 25.0% | 26.6% | High | $991,944.14 | Refresh |
| California Governor Primary margin of victory Top outcome: Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts | 36.0% | 21.9% | High | $4,847 | Refresh |
| Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Top outcome: Haley Stevens | 13.0% | 10.0% | High | $8,335.19 | Refresh |
| Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent Top outcome: At least 10% | 69.0% | 54.7% | High | $41,250.71 | Refresh |
| Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? Top outcome: María Corina Machado | 14.0% | 4.9% | Med | $4,566,175.63 | Refresh |
| California Governor Primary margin of victory Top outcome: Tom Steyer, 5+ pts | 10.0% | 5.8% | Med | $11,793.48 | Refresh |
| CA-14 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Rakhi Israni Singh | 49.0% | 36.3% | Med | $75,946.3 | Refresh |
| CA-43 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Maxine Waters | 97.9% | 98.0% | Med | $8,974.29 | Refresh |
| Illinois's 1st District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 26+ pts | 92.1% | 90.0% | High | $5,396 | Refresh |
| Kansas's 2nd District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 1+ pts | 90.5% | 89.1% | High | $5,427 | Refresh |
| Georgia's 12th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 11+ pts | 50.0% | 58.0% | High | $6,437 | Refresh |
| Florida's 2nd District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 13+ pts | 44.0% | 38.2% | High | $8,731.52 | Refresh |
| Michigan's 4th District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 4+ pts | 17.0% | 9.9% | High | $6,140 | Refresh |
| New Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 18+ pts | 11.0% | 11.4% | High | $6,583.23 | Refresh |
| Peru presidential first round: margin of victory Top outcome: Carlos Álvarez, ≥5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | High | $206,860.97 | Refresh |
| Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 7+ pts | 12.0% | 7.0% | Med | $7,829 | Refresh |
| Indiana's 5th District margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 1+ pts | 85.0% | 75.1% | High | $8,412 | Refresh |
| How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Top outcome: Above 52 | 22.0% | 18.9% | High | $796,806.88 | Refresh |
| NJ-09 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Tiffany Burress | 10.0% | 6.7% | High | $14,991.01 | Refresh |
| Georgia Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Rick Jackson | 51.0% | 54.1% | High | $217,479.14 | Refresh |
| Florida's 23rd District margin of victory Top outcome: Democrats, 5+ pts | 80.0% | 85.3% | Med | $17,735 | Refresh |
| California Governor primary advancers? (Person) Top outcome: Xavier Becerra | 62.0% | 51.2% | Med | $829,852.4 | Refresh |
| Ohio Republican Governor primary: voter turnout Top outcome: Above 1.0M | 1.0% | 0.0% | High | $106,613.83 | Refresh |
| Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 1.0% | High | $57,663.52 | Refresh |
| Texas Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Ken Paxton | 62.0% | 65.7% | High | $12,832,208.68 | Refresh |
| Which states will redistrict before the midterms? Top outcome: Virginia | 59.0% | 39.7% | Med | $1,401,305.31 | Refresh |
| Donald Trump out as President? (Excluding death) Top outcome: Before 2027 | 9.9% | 6.6% | High | $9,140,358.15 | Refresh |
| Hawaii 02 House General Election: voter turnout Top outcome: Above 195K | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | $0 | Refresh |
| Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner? Top outcome: Before Jun 9, 2026 | 32.0% | 21.8% | High | $13,097.8 | Refresh |
| TX-38 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Jon Bonck | 98.6% | 97.8% | High | $37,086.4 | Refresh |
| Georgia Democratic Lieutenant Governor nominee? Top outcome: Josh McLaurin | 68.0% | 68.8% | High | $16,692.44 | Refresh |
| Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 36.0% | 25.8% | Med | $6,458.07 | Refresh |
| Michigan Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Mike Rogers | 99.0% | 93.4% | High | $2,830.3 | Refresh |
| CA-24 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Salud Carbajal | 95.8% | 94.5% | Med | $10,875.14 | Refresh |
| — | — | Low | $0 | Refresh | |
| ID-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Kaylee Peterson | 98.0% | 96.1% | High | $5,390.41 | Refresh |
| NV-02 Republican nominee? Top outcome: David Flippo | 53.0% | 37.1% | High | $11,445.59 | Refresh |
| TX-32 House winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 81.0% | 64.8% | High | $9,087.21 | Refresh |
| MO-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Cori Bush | 37.0% | 31.2% | High | $13,250.89 | Refresh |
| OR-03 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Maxine Dexter | 99.0% | 88.4% | High | $9,265.68 | Refresh |
| When will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy? Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2027 | 42.0% | 34.8% | Med | $608 | Refresh |
| DC Democratic House delegate nominee? Top outcome: Robert White | 59.0% | 44.3% | High | $6,960.07 | Refresh |
| Arizona Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Andy Biggs | 96.9% | 65.9% | High | $59,442.92 | Refresh |
| 2028 Democratic presidential nominee Top outcome: Gavin Newsom | 25.0% | 21.3% | High | $97,154,205.3 | Refresh |
| How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia? Top outcome: 10 | 51.0% | 38.2% | High | $57,720.08 | Refresh |
| Will Nancy Mace resign before the midterms? Yes refers to: Before election day 2026 | 8.1% | 6.0% | Med | $4,455.01 | Refresh |
| Who will win the next Australian House election? Top outcome: Australian Labor Party | 59.0% | 47.0% | High | $16,038.37 | Refresh |
| Will Don Bacon resign his office before the midterms? Yes refers to: Before election day 2026 | 9.4% | 5.6% | Med | $737 | Refresh |
| Georgia Democratic Attorney General nominee? Top outcome: Bob Trammell | 6.3% | 18.0% | High | $12,631 | Refresh |
| Will Rubio and Vance run for President? Yes refers to: JD Vance: Republican, Marco Rubio: Republican | 53.0% | 58.9% | Med | $4,431.31 | Refresh |
| Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election? Top outcome: Coalition including ODM | 56.0% | 57.2% | High | $9,371 | Refresh |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? Yes refers to: Before 2028 | 57.0% | 49.0% | Med | $20,595.9 | Refresh |
| Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Tim Walz | 1.6% | 0.0% | High | $444,024.37 | Refresh |
| South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Billy Webster | 18.0% | 16.2% | Med | $2,610.73 | Refresh |
| New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Sam Bregman | 13.0% | 11.1% | High | $33,451.1 | Refresh |
| NY-17 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Beth Davidson | 43.0% | 28.8% | High | $17,332.8 | Refresh |
| Brazil presidential election: first round winner? Top outcome: Flávio Bolsonaro | 46.0% | 35.9% | High | $11,790.89 | Refresh |
| Kansas Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Sharice Davids | 15.0% | 15.6% | High | $26,397.86 | Refresh |
| Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) Top outcome: Alexi Giannoulias | 56.0% | 48.1% | Med | $36,120.94 | Refresh |
| ME-01 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Ronald Russell | 95.0% | 87.0% | High | $1,005.3 | Refresh |
| Who will win the next Senate Democratic Leader election? Top outcome: Chris Murphy | 5.0% | 5.0% | High | $102,367.34 | Refresh |
| Who will win the next Armenian parliamentary election? Top outcome: Civil Contract | 92.0% | 84.8% | High | $9,284.01 | Refresh |
| OH-12 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jerrad Christian | 95.3% | 91.4% | High | $114.72 | Refresh |
| Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms? Yes refers to: Before election day 2026 | 14.0% | 9.2% | Med | $144,798 | Refresh |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election? Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026 | 3.0% | 2.4% | High | $66,065.63 | Refresh |
| Colorado Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Phil Weiser | 32.0% | 26.1% | High | $32,084.29 | Refresh |
| Kentucky Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Amy McGrath | 12.0% | 11.5% | High | $14,813.75 | Refresh |
| Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary? Top outcome: Graham Platner, ≥50% | 20.0% | 18.8% | High | $4,707.03 | Refresh |
| Minnesota Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Mike Lindell | 15.0% | 15.5% | High | $115,661.33 | Refresh |
| Maine Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Troy Jackson | 30.0% | 22.1% | High | $42,644.04 | Refresh |
| NH-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Stefany Shaheen | 61.0% | 62.8% | High | $5,698.9 | Refresh |
| MT-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Ryan Busse | 56.0% | 53.6% | High | $17,019.27 | Refresh |
| NY-07 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Antonio Reynoso | 24.0% | 26.3% | High | $57,706.19 | Refresh |
| Rhode Island Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Allen Waters | 7.0% | 3.4% | High | $5,199 | Refresh |
| Tennessee Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Jerri Green | 86.0% | 76.7% | High | $8,537.6 | Refresh |
| MA-06 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Dan Koh | 79.0% | 76.2% | High | $11,518.17 | Refresh |
| NE-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Chris Backemeyer | 94.0% | 94.2% | High | $1,677 | Refresh |
| Nevada Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Aaron Ford | 98.1% | 96.3% | High | $8,378.58 | Refresh |
| How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) Top outcome: Below 53 | 81.0% | 70.1% | Med | $12,264.7 | Refresh |
| Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? Top outcome: Javier Milei | 64.0% | 67.8% | High | $7,145.23 | Refresh |
| Newark Mayor winner? Top outcome: Ras Baraka | 96.5% | 94.3% | High | $6,047 | Refresh |
| Will Trump run for a third term? Top outcome: Before Election Day | 25.0% | 16.9% | High | $87,086.32 | Refresh |
| MD-05 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Adrian Boafo | 61.0% | 38.4% | High | $12,268.73 | Refresh |
| IN-05 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: J.D. Ford | 92.2% | 87.2% | Med | $17,561.92 | Refresh |
| CA-14 special election winner Top outcome: Aisha Wahab | 72.0% | 60.2% | High | $11,476.35 | Refresh |
| Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Mike Mazzei | 28.0% | 23.5% | High | $67,235.85 | Refresh |
| Who will win the 2026 Welsh Parliament election? Top outcome: Plaid Cymru | 86.0% | 67.1% | High | $29,547.96 | Refresh |
| South Carolina Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Lindsey Graham | 87.0% | 86.2% | High | $151,849.16 | Refresh |
| NY-08 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Chi Ossé | 7.2% | 5.2% | High | $33,297.61 | Refresh |
| Indiana Secretary of State winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 31.0% | 18.5% | High | $13,768.08 | Refresh |
| Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory Top outcome: Bill Cassidy, 9%+ | 1.0% | 4.1% | Med | $39,534.65 | Refresh |
| Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election? Top outcome: Union of Greens and Farmers | 2.0% | 8.2% | High | $6,948 | Refresh |
| Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Michael Minogue | 80.0% | 93.4% | High | $33,904.62 | Refresh |
| 2026 NJ-11 special election margin of victory? Top outcome: Mejia, 24% and above | 0.3% | 1.3% | High | $658,630.83 | Refresh |
| Michigan Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Jocelyn Benson | 89.0% | 92.5% | High | $43,596.06 | Refresh |
| MA-05 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Katherine Clark | 88.0% | 99.8% | High | $1,208.69 | Refresh |
| Who will be Prime Minister of Slovenia after their election? Top outcome: Janez Janša | 83.0% | 70.5% | High | $68,703.57 | Refresh |
| Georgia: Which elections will be won outright? Top outcome: Governor | 76.0% | 65.0% | Med | $32,033.53 | Refresh |
| 44.0% | 34.5% | Med | $3,670.95 | Refresh | |
| Who will run for public office in 2026? Top outcome: Matthew McConaughey | 10.0% | 4.1% | Med | $99,234.44 | Refresh |
| Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? Top outcome: Wilson Witzel | 5.0% | 97.0% | High | $1 | Refresh |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes refers to: Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate? | 48.0% | 36.4% | Med | $176,557 | Refresh |
| Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Top outcome: John Coupar | 12.0% | 11.2% | High | $35,820.58 | Refresh |
| CA-04 primary advancers? Top outcome: Mike Thompson | 97.7% | 97.4% | Med | $18,900.5 | Refresh |
| South Dakota Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Toby Doeden | 32.0% | 29.1% | High | $93,468.06 | Refresh |
| 2028 Presidential race: exact outcome Top outcome: Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance | 12.0% | 10.1% | High | $11,744.01 | Refresh |
| Maine Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Laurel Libby | 1.0% | 0.6% | High | $56,282.51 | Refresh |
| Who will win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election? Top outcome: Iliana Yotova | 57.0% | 42.9% | High | $14,484.52 | Refresh |
| California Lieutenant Governor winner? Top outcome: Fiona Ma | 70.0% | 50.9% | High | $9,357.29 | Refresh |
| How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026? Top outcome: 5 or more | 22.0% | 22.9% | High | $40,211.14 | Refresh |
| Who will win the 2026 Scottish Parliament election? Top outcome: SNP | 99.9% | 94.7% | High | $20,986.17 | Refresh |
| SC-06 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jim Clyburn | 96.0% | 99.0% | High | $911.01 | Refresh |
| PA-07 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Ryan Crosswell | 27.0% | 32.7% | High | $32,456.39 | Refresh |
| Georgia Republican Lieutenant Governor nominee? Top outcome: David Clark | 15.0% | 13.6% | High | $8,129.83 | Refresh |
| Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? Yes refers to: Before election day 2026 | 20.0% | 20.0% | Med | $193,389.28 | Refresh |
| Los Angeles mayor matchup Top outcome: Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass | 62.0% | 53.5% | Med | $9,344.18 | Refresh |
| Oklahoma Republican Lieutenant Governor nominee? Top outcome: T.W. Shannon | 89.0% | 86.2% | High | $14,552.01 | Refresh |
| NY-13 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Darializa Avila Chevalier | 47.0% | 21.2% | High | $13,494.35 | Refresh |
| AZ-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Amish Shah | 72.0% | 69.3% | High | $19,661.65 | Refresh |
| Alabama Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Barry Moore | 74.0% | 78.1% | High | $110,148.25 | Refresh |
| 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket Top outcome: Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 5.0% | 8.1% | High | $1,856.41 | Refresh |
| 2026: Trump's dream year? Yes refers to: Yes | 6.0% | 8.7% | Med | $419,365.62 | Refresh |
| UT-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Ben McAdams | 76.0% | 85.8% | High | $19,782.44 | Refresh |
| CA-11 House winner? (Person) Top outcome: Saikat Chakrabarti | 37.0% | 30.9% | High | $6,866.94 | Refresh |
| NJ-12 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Adam Hamawy | 52.0% | 26.4% | Med | $5,154.87 | Refresh |
| NY-15 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Michael Blake | 15.0% | 3.1% | Med | $16,176.98 | Refresh |
| California Governor primary advancers? (Party) Top outcome: 2 Republicans | 6.2% | 3.1% | High | $106,509.16 | Refresh |
| Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Top outcome: Mary Peltola | 59.0% | 59.6% | High | $77,120.57 | Refresh |
| 2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) Top outcome: Republicans win | 15.0% | 11.7% | Med | $116,454.39 | Refresh |
| Maine Senate Exact Outcome Top outcome: Graham Platner wins | 69.0% | 71.2% | Med | $2,668.68 | Refresh |
| How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries? Top outcome: At least 3 | 87.0% | 75.2% | High | $9,507.89 | Refresh |
| Will Newsom endorse in the California Governor's race? Top outcome: Matt Mahan | 7.0% | 5.7% | High | $5,389.42 | Refresh |
| Minas Gerais Governor winner? Top outcome: Cleitinho Azevedo | 62.0% | 86.1% | High | $722 | Refresh |
| Wyoming Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Megan Degenfelder | 77.0% | 77.5% | High | $12,535.32 | Refresh |
| Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Angie Craig | 26.0% | 18.4% | High | $61,356.33 | Refresh |
| Who will lead the next qualifying poll in the California governor's race? Top outcome: Steve Hilton | 59.0% | 55.6% | High | $1,523.63 | Refresh |
| Closest Senate race in 2026? Top outcome: Georgia | 7.8% | 13.4% | High | $75,489.42 | Refresh |
| Louisiana Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Julia Letlow | 62.0% | 61.2% | High | $154,382.92 | Refresh |
| GA-13 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jasmine Clark | 79.0% | 75.6% | High | $6,878.25 | Refresh |
| PA-03 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Chris Rabb | 38.0% | 39.2% | High | $53,906.86 | Refresh |
| Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Dan McKee | 29.0% | 19.9% | High | $8,749.43 | Refresh |
| MN-02 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Matt Little | 69.0% | 76.4% | High | $22,258.5 | Refresh |
| Alaska Governor winner? (Party) Top outcome: Democratic party | 39.0% | 45.0% | High | $27,096.11 | Refresh |
| How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026? Top outcome: 4 or more | 12.0% | 11.3% | High | $342,263.96 | Refresh |
| Iowa Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Randy Feenstra | 74.0% | 69.3% | High | $59,213.39 | Refresh |
| Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1? Top outcome: Nicolás Maduro | 97.0% | 77.2% | High | $604,417.62 | Refresh |
| KY-06 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Cherlynn Stevenson | 47.0% | 41.7% | High | $14,160.48 | Refresh |
| Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Top outcome: Bernadette Wilson | 22.0% | 22.9% | High | $91,906.7 | Refresh |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House? Top outcome: Before July 2026 | 13.0% | 8.6% | Med | $75,190.61 | Refresh |
| Peru presidential election: first round second place? Top outcome: Rafael López Aliaga | 2.1% | 2.9% | High | $399,234.72 | Refresh |
| Voter turnout in the 2026 Wisconsin Supreme Court election? Top outcome: Above 1.2M | 99.5% | 99.6% | High | $76,737.74 | Refresh |
| Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot? Yes refers to: Yes | 92.9% | 95.5% | Med | $63,502.05 | Refresh |
| OH-09 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Derek Merrin | 86.0% | 88.0% | High | $34,701.67 | Refresh |
| Florida Republican governor primary: 2nd place Top outcome: Jay Collins | 19.0% | 24.9% | High | $4,747.21 | Refresh |
| UT-03 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Celeste Maloy | 70.0% | 75.5% | High | $16,484.57 | Refresh |
| Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 43.0% | 47.0% | Med | $365,684.95 | Refresh |
| Who will win the Chicago mayoral election? Top outcome: Susan Mendoza | 16.0% | 12.4% | High | $24,001.03 | Refresh |
| South Carolina Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Nancy Mace | 20.0% | 18.2% | High | $294,221.87 | Refresh |
| Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries? Top outcome: Andy Barr | 41.0% | 100.0% | High | $246,311.04 | Refresh |
| Georgia Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Mike Collins | 87.0% | 61.5% | High | $151,294.45 | Refresh |
| Iowa Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Zach Wahls | 22.0% | 32.7% | High | $45,030.94 | Refresh |
| Who will win the next Israeli legislative election? Top outcome: Bennett 2026 | 5.1% | 16.8% | High | $50,326.95 | Refresh |
| How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Top outcome: Below 193 | 28.0% | 31.1% | High | $881,950.08 | Refresh |
| NY-04 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Anthony D’Esposito | 0.4% | 20.0% | High | $36,238.63 | Refresh |
| 2028 Democratic VP nominee Top outcome: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 8.0% | 7.9% | High | $1,317,230.84 | Refresh |
| Michigan Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Perry Johnson | 56.0% | 41.8% | High | $159,844.9 | Refresh |
| Will the Citrini scenario happen? Yes refers to: Yes | 23.0% | 23.0% | Med | $25,769,877.96 | Refresh |
| Who will win the next Colombian presidential election? Top outcome: Abelardo de la Espriella | 41.0% | 5.8% | High | $333,327.28 | Refresh |
| Oregon Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Christine Drazan | 86.0% | 78.3% | High | $78,550.68 | Refresh |
| Kentucky Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Andy Barr | 95.1% | 72.8% | High | $159,603.95 | Refresh |
| Peru presidential election: first round winner? Top outcome: Keiko Fujimori | 96.4% | 89.4% | High | $270,217.63 | Refresh |
| Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Francesca Hong | 38.0% | 37.5% | Med | $123,713.92 | Refresh |
| Colombian presidential election first round winner? Top outcome: Iván Cepeda Castro | 89.0% | 92.8% | High | $136,410.81 | Refresh |
| 2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Top outcome: R-House, R-Senate | 21.0% | 17.2% | Med | $3,015,949.56 | Refresh |
| Michigan Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Abdul El-Sayed | 51.0% | 36.4% | High | $399,844.4 | Refresh |
| Georgia Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Keisha Lance Bottoms | 86.0% | 68.5% | High | $182,066.32 | Refresh |
| Nebraska Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Pete Ricketts | 96.0% | 98.9% | High | $3,254.88 | Refresh |
| KY-04 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Thomas Massie | 76.0% | 71.9% | Med | $1,242,329.52 | Refresh |
| Peru Presidential election winner? Top outcome: Rafael López Aliaga | 1.9% | 1.7% | High | $2,662,236.35 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential election winner? Top outcome: Flávio Bolsonaro | 48.0% | 36.5% | High | $1,198,610.1 | Refresh |
| Ohio Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Vivek Ramaswamy | 98.2% | 95.3% | High | $760,262.81 | Refresh |
| Los Angeles Mayor winner? Top outcome: Spencer Pratt | 25.0% | 18.3% | High | $1,269,442.11 | Refresh |
| Florida Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: James Fishback | 9.2% | 10.1% | High | $3,527,229.59 | Refresh |
| Virginia redistricting referendum margin of victory? Top outcome: Yes, 0-3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | Med | $6,428,408.03 | Refresh |
| Iowa Senate margin of victory Top outcome: Republicans, 10+ pts | 0.0% | 0.1% | Med | $0 | Refresh |
| SC-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Nancy Lacore | 81.0% | 69.2% | High | $13,788 | Refresh |
| CA-28 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: April Verlato | 94.7% | 96.9% | Med | $2,440.03 | Refresh |
| Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election? Top outcome: Chong Won-o | 89.0% | 71.1% | High | $57,395.96 | Refresh |
| California Governor matchup? Top outcome: Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer | 33.0% | 33.7% | Med | $209,346.69 | Refresh |
| Arizona State House winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 47.0% | 41.4% | High | $28.44 | Refresh |
| LA-02 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Renada Collins | 4.0% | 2.3% | High | $118 | Refresh |
| TN-08 House winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 94.9% | 97.8% | High | $4,750 | Refresh |
| Deportations in 2026? Top outcome: Above 500,000 | 31.0% | 42.1% | High | $19,297.1 | Refresh |
| Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? Top outcome: No new person | 55.0% | 42.2% | High | $16,666.05 | Refresh |
| 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) Top outcome: Republican party | 37.0% | 36.2% | High | $398,853.22 | Refresh |
| Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada? Yes refers to: Before the next general election | 22.0% | 10.9% | Med | $59,350.45 | Refresh |
| Which party will win the next UK general election? Top outcome: Restore Britain party | 13.0% | 0.5% | High | $174,681.77 | Refresh |
| EU loses a member before 2030? Yes refers to: By 2030 | 14.0% | 10.6% | Med | $23,020.1 | Refresh |
| Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030? Yes refers to: Before 2030 | 28.0% | 19.4% | Med | $1,602.22 | Refresh |
| Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030? Top outcome: Hungary | 4.6% | 1.6% | Med | $11,539 | Refresh |
| Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes? Top outcome: Before 2030 | 12.0% | 11.6% | Med | $1,422 | Refresh |
| What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU? Top outcome: Hungary | 3.0% | 1.2% | Med | $5,592.76 | Refresh |
| Maine Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Graham Platner | 98.2% | 81.8% | High | $2,568,406.04 | Refresh |
| California Governor winner? Top outcome: Matt Mahan | 3.0% | 15.1% | High | $20,869,149.56 | Refresh |
| Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election? Yes refers to: Before 2035 | 1.0% | 0.6% | Med | $17,181 | Refresh |
| Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045? Yes refers to: Before 2045 | 14.0% | 10.6% | Med | $40,016 | Refresh |
| Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? Top outcome: Chen Jining | 1.0% | 1.0% | High | $12,465 | Refresh |
| Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045? Yes refers to: Before 2045 | 6.0% | 6.5% | Med | $18,866 | Refresh |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? Top outcome: Rupert Lowe | 6.0% | 6.0% | High | $457,285 | Refresh |
| 2028 Republican nominee for President? Top outcome: Marco Rubio | 28.0% | 28.8% | High | $25,693,763 | Refresh |
| Texas Senate: Exact outcome Top outcome: Cornyn beats Talarico | 39.0% | 34.2% | Med | $1,158 | Refresh |
| Who will the next Pope be? Top outcome: Pietro Parolin | 8.2% | 22.3% | High | $77,974 | Refresh |
| Democratic Senate primaries: progressives sweep? Yes refers to: Yes | 43.0% | 31.8% | Med | $32,029 | Refresh |
| Who will be the next Speaker of the House? Top outcome: Hakeem Jeffries | 79.0% | 59.2% | High | $16,077 | Refresh |
| Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel? Top outcome: Naftali Bennett | 31.0% | 30.6% | High | $53,101 | Refresh |
| Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee? Yes refers to: Before 2028 | 15.0% | 9.8% | Med | $15,061 | Refresh |
| Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 8.0% | 5.1% | Med | $117,199 | Refresh |
| 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? Top outcome: Marco Rubio | 19.0% | 19.5% | High | $18,744,212 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (6)
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| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | Med | $6,956 | ||
| — | — | Med | $10,207.72 | ||
| — | — | High | $11,955.94 | ||
| — | — | High | $11,760.72 | ||
| — | — | Med | $10,023.23 | ||
| — | — | High | $572,720 |
