Talarico vs. Paxton
Market Model 93.4% 94.0%
Talarico vs. Cornyn
Market Model 6.0% 6.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 Texas Senate matchup? Top outcome: Talarico vs. Paxton | 93.4% | 94.0% | High | $3,107,882.37 | Refresh |
Texas Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Ken Paxton | 93.9% | 95.8% | High | $14,028,913.93 | Refresh |
MA-06 Republican nominee? Top outcome: John Field | 0.0% | 47.8% | High | $0 | Refresh |
VA-10 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Anthony Suttles | 0.0% | 27.0% | High | $0 | Refresh |
NY-05 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Alexandria Foxworth | 0.0% | 53.1% | High | $0 | Refresh |
Idaho Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Jim Risch | 97.2% | 96.8% | High | $3,146.77 | Refresh |
AL-04 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Amanda Pusczek | 36.0% | 73.8% | High | $4,400.14 | Refresh |
Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory Top outcome: Spencer Pratt wins | 31.0% | 23.1% | High | $35,505.07 | Refresh |
GA-10 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Ryan Millsap | 54.0% | 46.5% | High | $27,839.75 | Refresh |
NM-02 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Jose Orozco | 5.0% | 80.0% | High | $1 | Refresh |
IA-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Christina Bohannan | 96.0% | 93.0% | High | $8,757.4 | Refresh |
SD-AL Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Nikki Gronli | 97.0% | 97.1% | High | $28,123.49 | Refresh |
Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? Top outcome: Dave Bronson | 35.0% | 22.2% | Med | $49,234.15 | Refresh |
Louisiana Republican Senate primary: first round winner Top outcome: Julia Letlow | 67.0% | 57.6% | High | $17,457.14 | Refresh |
ID-01 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Russ Fulcher | 99.0% | 99.8% | High | $10,994.95 | Refresh |
Georgia Republican Governor primary: first round margin of victory Top outcome: Burt Jones, 3-6% | 96.0% | 34.6% | High | $1,735.51 | Refresh |
CA-07 primary: first place Top outcome: Doris Matsui | 88.0% | 77.2% | High | $13,851.04 | Refresh |
Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place Top outcome: Haley Stevens | 31.0% | 30.6% | High | $4,393.88 | Refresh |
CA-12 primary: first place Top outcome: Lateefah Simon | 91.0% | 99.6% | High | $18,075.53 | Refresh |
CA-03 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Robb Tucker | 69.0% | 47.8% | Med | $33,229.23 | Refresh |
NJ-08 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Robert Menendez Jr. | 89.0% | 91.7% | High | $22,455.97 | Refresh |
WV-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Brit Aguirre | 78.0% | 89.1% | High | $4,372.15 | Refresh |
CA-47 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Christopher Gonzales | 7.5% | 4.6% | Med | $18,825.9 | Refresh |
CA-38 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Hilda Solis | 98.0% | 98.1% | Med | $26,981.63 | Refresh |
CA-32 primary: first place Top outcome: Brad Sherman | 96.0% | 92.6% | High | $7,298.66 | Refresh |
KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout Top outcome: Above 60k | 96.0% | 96.0% | High | $20,458.03 | Refresh |
CA-25 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Ceci Truman | 28.0% | 16.1% | Med | $9,317.84 | Refresh |
How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026? Top outcome: 0 | 79.0% | 76.7% | High | $108,537.22 | Refresh |
Texas Republican Attorney General nominee? Top outcome: Chip Roy | 38.0% | 29.5% | High | $193,444.6 | Refresh |
CA-30 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Laura Friedman | 99.1% | 98.8% | Med | $77,961.28 | Refresh |
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent Top outcome: At least 10% | 69.0% | 54.7% | High | $41,250.71 | Refresh |
CA-14 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Rakhi Israni Singh | 49.0% | 36.3% | Med | $75,946.3 | Refresh |
CA-43 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Maxine Waters | 97.9% | 98.0% | Med | $8,974.29 | Refresh |
NJ-09 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Tiffany Burress | 10.0% | 6.7% | High | $14,991.01 | Refresh |
Georgia Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Rick Jackson | 51.0% | 54.1% | High | $217,479.14 | Refresh |
California Governor primary advancers? (Person) Top outcome: Xavier Becerra | 62.0% | 51.2% | Med | $829,852.4 | Refresh |
Ohio Republican Governor primary: voter turnout Top outcome: Above 1.0M | 1.0% | 0.0% | High | $106,613.83 | Refresh |
Michigan Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Mike Rogers | 99.0% | 93.4% | High | $2,830.3 | Refresh |
CA-24 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Salud Carbajal | 95.8% | 94.5% | Med | $10,875.14 | Refresh |
ID-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Kaylee Peterson | 98.0% | 96.1% | High | $5,390.41 | Refresh |
NV-02 Republican nominee? Top outcome: David Flippo | 53.0% | 37.1% | High | $11,445.59 | Refresh |
OR-03 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Maxine Dexter | 99.0% | 88.4% | High | $9,265.68 | Refresh |
Arizona Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Andy Biggs | 96.9% | 65.9% | High | $59,442.92 | Refresh |
Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Tim Walz | 1.6% | 0.0% | High | $444,024.37 | Refresh |
South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Billy Webster | 18.0% | 16.2% | Med | $2,610.73 | Refresh |
New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Sam Bregman | 13.0% | 11.1% | High | $33,451.1 | Refresh |
Kansas Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Sharice Davids | 15.0% | 15.6% | High | $26,397.86 | Refresh |
ME-01 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Ronald Russell | 95.0% | 87.0% | High | $1,005.3 | Refresh |
OH-12 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jerrad Christian | 95.3% | 91.4% | High | $114.72 | Refresh |
Colorado Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Phil Weiser | 32.0% | 26.1% | High | $32,084.29 | Refresh |
Kentucky Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Amy McGrath | 12.0% | 11.5% | High | $14,813.75 | Refresh |
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary? Top outcome: Graham Platner, ≥50% | 20.0% | 18.8% | High | $4,707.03 | Refresh |
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Mike Lindell | 15.0% | 15.5% | High | $115,661.33 | Refresh |
Maine Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Troy Jackson | 30.0% | 22.1% | High | $42,644.04 | Refresh |
Rhode Island Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Allen Waters | 7.0% | 3.4% | High | $5,199 | Refresh |
MA-06 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Dan Koh | 79.0% | 76.2% | High | $11,518.17 | Refresh |
NE-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Chris Backemeyer | 94.0% | 94.2% | High | $1,677 | Refresh |
Nevada Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Aaron Ford | 98.1% | 96.3% | High | $8,378.58 | Refresh |
MD-05 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Adrian Boafo | 61.0% | 38.4% | High | $12,268.73 | Refresh |
Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Mike Mazzei | 28.0% | 23.5% | High | $67,235.85 | Refresh |
South Carolina Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Lindsey Graham | 87.0% | 86.2% | High | $151,849.16 | Refresh |
Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory Top outcome: Bill Cassidy, 9%+ | 1.0% | 4.1% | Med | $39,534.65 | Refresh |
Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Michael Minogue | 80.0% | 93.4% | High | $33,904.62 | Refresh |
Michigan Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Jocelyn Benson | 89.0% | 92.5% | High | $43,596.06 | Refresh |
CA-04 primary advancers? Top outcome: Mike Thompson | 97.7% | 97.4% | Med | $18,900.5 | Refresh |
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Toby Doeden | 32.0% | 29.1% | High | $93,468.06 | Refresh |
Maine Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Laurel Libby | 1.0% | 0.6% | High | $56,282.51 | Refresh |
SC-06 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jim Clyburn | 96.0% | 99.0% | High | $911.01 | Refresh |
Oklahoma Republican Lieutenant Governor nominee? Top outcome: T.W. Shannon | 89.0% | 86.2% | High | $14,552.01 | Refresh |
Alabama Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Barry Moore | 90.1% | 78.1% | High | $110,148.25 | Refresh |
NJ-12 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Adam Hamawy | 52.0% | 26.4% | Med | $5,154.87 | Refresh |
Wyoming Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Megan Degenfelder | 77.0% | 77.5% | High | $12,535.32 | Refresh |
Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Angie Craig | 26.0% | 18.4% | High | $61,356.33 | Refresh |
Louisiana Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Julia Letlow | 62.0% | 61.2% | High | $154,382.92 | Refresh |
GA-13 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jasmine Clark | 79.0% | 75.6% | High | $6,878.25 | Refresh |
Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Dan McKee | 29.0% | 19.9% | High | $8,749.43 | Refresh |
How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026? Top outcome: 4 or more | 12.0% | 11.3% | High | $342,263.96 | Refresh |
Iowa Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Randy Feenstra | 74.0% | 69.3% | High | $59,213.39 | Refresh |
KY-06 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Cherlynn Stevenson | 47.0% | 41.7% | High | $14,160.48 | Refresh |
Voter turnout in the 2026 Wisconsin Supreme Court election? Top outcome: Above 1.2M | 99.5% | 99.6% | High | $76,737.74 | Refresh |
UT-03 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Celeste Maloy | 70.0% | 75.5% | High | $16,484.57 | Refresh |
South Carolina Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Nancy Mace | 20.0% | 18.2% | High | $294,221.87 | Refresh |
Georgia Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Mike Collins | 87.0% | 61.5% | High | $151,294.45 | Refresh |
Iowa Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Zach Wahls | 22.0% | 32.7% | High | $45,030.94 | Refresh |
Michigan Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Perry Johnson | 56.0% | 41.8% | High | $159,844.9 | Refresh |
Oregon Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Christine Drazan | 86.0% | 78.3% | High | $78,550.68 | Refresh |
Kentucky Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Andy Barr | 95.1% | 72.8% | High | $159,603.95 | Refresh |
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Francesca Hong | 38.0% | 37.5% | Med | $123,713.92 | Refresh |
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Abdul El-Sayed | 51.0% | 36.4% | High | $399,844.4 | Refresh |
Georgia Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Keisha Lance Bottoms | 86.0% | 68.5% | High | $182,066.32 | Refresh |
Nebraska Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Pete Ricketts | 96.0% | 98.9% | High | $3,254.88 | Refresh |
Ohio Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Vivek Ramaswamy | 98.2% | 95.3% | High | $760,262.81 | Refresh |
Florida Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: James Fishback | 9.2% | 10.1% | High | $3,527,229.59 | Refresh |
CA-28 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: April Verlato | 94.7% | 96.9% | Med | $2,440.03 | Refresh |
California Governor matchup? Top outcome: Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer | 33.0% | 33.7% | Med | $209,346.69 | Refresh |
Maine Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Graham Platner | 98.2% | 81.8% | High | $2,568,406.04 | Refresh |
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $16,692.44 | ||
| — | — | High | $8,129.83 |