Primaries Markets

Active Markets (96)

Event Market Model Conf Volume
2026 Texas Senate matchup?
2026 Texas Senate matchup?
Top outcome: Talarico vs. Paxton
93.4% 94.0% High $3,107,882.37 Refresh
Texas Republican Senate nominee?
Texas Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Ken Paxton
93.9% 95.8% High $14,028,913.93 Refresh
MA-06 Republican nominee?
MA-06 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: John Field
0.0% 47.8% High $0 Refresh
VA-10 Republican nominee?
VA-10 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Anthony Suttles
0.0% 27.0% High $0 Refresh
NY-05 Republican nominee?
NY-05 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Alexandria Foxworth
0.0% 53.1% High $0 Refresh
Idaho Republican Senate nominee?
Idaho Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Jim Risch
97.2% 96.8% High $3,146.77 Refresh
AL-04 Democratic nominee?
AL-04 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Amanda Pusczek
36.0% 73.8% High $4,400.14 Refresh
31.0% 23.1% High $35,505.07 Refresh
GA-10 Republican nominee?
GA-10 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Ryan Millsap
54.0% 46.5% High $27,839.75 Refresh
NM-02 Republican nominee?
NM-02 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Jose Orozco
5.0% 80.0% High $1 Refresh
IA-01 Democratic nominee?
IA-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Christina Bohannan
96.0% 93.0% High $8,757.4 Refresh
SD-AL Democratic nominee?
SD-AL Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Nikki Gronli
97.0% 97.1% High $28,123.49 Refresh
35.0% 22.2% Med $49,234.15 Refresh
67.0% 57.6% High $17,457.14 Refresh
ID-01 Republican nominee?
ID-01 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Russ Fulcher
99.0% 99.8% High $10,994.95 Refresh
96.0% 34.6% High $1,735.51 Refresh
CA-07 primary: first place
CA-07 primary: first place
Top outcome: Doris Matsui
88.0% 77.2% High $13,851.04 Refresh
31.0% 30.6% High $4,393.88 Refresh
CA-12 primary: first place
CA-12 primary: first place
Top outcome: Lateefah Simon
91.0% 99.6% High $18,075.53 Refresh
CA-03 primary: Who will advance?
CA-03 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Robb Tucker
69.0% 47.8% Med $33,229.23 Refresh
NJ-08 Democratic nominee?
NJ-08 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Robert Menendez Jr.
89.0% 91.7% High $22,455.97 Refresh
WV-01 Democratic nominee?
WV-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Brit Aguirre
78.0% 89.1% High $4,372.15 Refresh
CA-47 primary: Who will advance?
CA-47 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Christopher Gonzales
7.5% 4.6% Med $18,825.9 Refresh
CA-38 primary: Who will advance?
CA-38 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Hilda Solis
98.0% 98.1% Med $26,981.63 Refresh
CA-32 primary: first place
CA-32 primary: first place
Top outcome: Brad Sherman
96.0% 92.6% High $7,298.66 Refresh
96.0% 96.0% High $20,458.03 Refresh
CA-25 primary: Who will advance?
CA-25 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Ceci Truman
28.0% 16.1% Med $9,317.84 Refresh
79.0% 76.7% High $108,537.22 Refresh
38.0% 29.5% High $193,444.6 Refresh
CA-30 primary: Who will advance?
CA-30 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Laura Friedman
99.1% 98.8% Med $77,961.28 Refresh
69.0% 54.7% High $41,250.71 Refresh
CA-14 primary: Who will advance?
CA-14 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Rakhi Israni Singh
49.0% 36.3% Med $75,946.3 Refresh
CA-43 primary: Who will advance?
CA-43 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Maxine Waters
97.9% 98.0% Med $8,974.29 Refresh
NJ-09 Republican nominee?
NJ-09 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Tiffany Burress
10.0% 6.7% High $14,991.01 Refresh
Georgia Republican Governor nominee?
Georgia Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Rick Jackson
51.0% 54.1% High $217,479.14 Refresh
62.0% 51.2% Med $829,852.4 Refresh
1.0% 0.0% High $106,613.83 Refresh
Michigan Republican Senate nominee?
Michigan Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Mike Rogers
99.0% 93.4% High $2,830.3 Refresh
CA-24 primary: Who will advance?
CA-24 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Salud Carbajal
95.8% 94.5% Med $10,875.14 Refresh
ID-01 Democratic nominee?
ID-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Kaylee Peterson
98.0% 96.1% High $5,390.41 Refresh
NV-02 Republican nominee?
NV-02 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: David Flippo
53.0% 37.1% High $11,445.59 Refresh
OR-03 Democratic nominee?
OR-03 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Maxine Dexter
99.0% 88.4% High $9,265.68 Refresh
Arizona Republican Governor nominee?
Arizona Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Andy Biggs
96.9% 65.9% High $59,442.92 Refresh
1.6% 0.0% High $444,024.37 Refresh
South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?
South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Billy Webster
18.0% 16.2% Med $2,610.73 Refresh
New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?
New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Sam Bregman
13.0% 11.1% High $33,451.1 Refresh
Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?
Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Sharice Davids
15.0% 15.6% High $26,397.86 Refresh
ME-01 Republican nominee?
ME-01 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Ronald Russell
95.0% 87.0% High $1,005.3 Refresh
OH-12 Democratic nominee?
OH-12 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Jerrad Christian
95.3% 91.4% High $114.72 Refresh
Colorado Democratic Governor nominee?
Colorado Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Phil Weiser
32.0% 26.1% High $32,084.29 Refresh
Kentucky Democratic Senate nominee?
Kentucky Democratic Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Amy McGrath
12.0% 11.5% High $14,813.75 Refresh
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?
Top outcome: Graham Platner, ≥50%
20.0% 18.8% High $4,707.03 Refresh
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Mike Lindell
15.0% 15.5% High $115,661.33 Refresh
Maine Democratic Governor nominee?
Maine Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Troy Jackson
30.0% 22.1% High $42,644.04 Refresh
Rhode Island Republican Senate nominee?
Rhode Island Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Allen Waters
7.0% 3.4% High $5,199 Refresh
MA-06 Democratic nominee?
MA-06 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Dan Koh
79.0% 76.2% High $11,518.17 Refresh
NE-01 Democratic nominee?
NE-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Chris Backemeyer
94.0% 94.2% High $1,677 Refresh
Nevada Democratic Governor nominee?
Nevada Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Aaron Ford
98.1% 96.3% High $8,378.58 Refresh
MD-05 Democratic nominee?
MD-05 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Adrian Boafo
61.0% 38.4% High $12,268.73 Refresh
Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Mike Mazzei
28.0% 23.5% High $67,235.85 Refresh
South Carolina Republican Senate nominee?
South Carolina Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Lindsey Graham
87.0% 86.2% High $151,849.16 Refresh
1.0% 4.1% Med $39,534.65 Refresh
Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee?
Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Michael Minogue
80.0% 93.4% High $33,904.62 Refresh
Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?
Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Jocelyn Benson
89.0% 92.5% High $43,596.06 Refresh
CA-04 primary advancers?
CA-04 primary advancers?
Top outcome: Mike Thompson
97.7% 97.4% Med $18,900.5 Refresh
32.0% 29.1% High $93,468.06 Refresh
Maine Republican Governor nominee?
Maine Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Laurel Libby
1.0% 0.6% High $56,282.51 Refresh
SC-06 Democratic nominee?
SC-06 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Jim Clyburn
96.0% 99.0% High $911.01 Refresh
89.0% 86.2% High $14,552.01 Refresh
Alabama Republican Senate nominee?
Alabama Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Barry Moore
90.1% 78.1% High $110,148.25 Refresh
NJ-12 Democratic nominee?
NJ-12 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Adam Hamawy
52.0% 26.4% Med $5,154.87 Refresh
Wyoming Republican Governor nominee?
Wyoming Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Megan Degenfelder
77.0% 77.5% High $12,535.32 Refresh
Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?
Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Angie Craig
26.0% 18.4% High $61,356.33 Refresh
Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?
Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Julia Letlow
62.0% 61.2% High $154,382.92 Refresh
GA-13 Democratic nominee?
GA-13 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Jasmine Clark
79.0% 75.6% High $6,878.25 Refresh
29.0% 19.9% High $8,749.43 Refresh
12.0% 11.3% High $342,263.96 Refresh
Iowa Republican Governor nominee?
Iowa Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Randy Feenstra
74.0% 69.3% High $59,213.39 Refresh
KY-06 Democratic nominee?
KY-06 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Cherlynn Stevenson
47.0% 41.7% High $14,160.48 Refresh
99.5% 99.6% High $76,737.74 Refresh
UT-03 Republican nominee?
UT-03 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Celeste Maloy
70.0% 75.5% High $16,484.57 Refresh
20.0% 18.2% High $294,221.87 Refresh
Georgia Republican Senate nominee?
Georgia Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Mike Collins
87.0% 61.5% High $151,294.45 Refresh
Iowa Democratic Senate nominee?
Iowa Democratic Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Zach Wahls
22.0% 32.7% High $45,030.94 Refresh
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Perry Johnson
56.0% 41.8% High $159,844.9 Refresh
Oregon Republican Governor nominee?
Oregon Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Christine Drazan
86.0% 78.3% High $78,550.68 Refresh
Kentucky Republican Senate nominee?
Kentucky Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Andy Barr
95.1% 72.8% High $159,603.95 Refresh
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Francesca Hong
38.0% 37.5% Med $123,713.92 Refresh
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Abdul El-Sayed
51.0% 36.4% High $399,844.4 Refresh
Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?
Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Keisha Lance Bottoms
86.0% 68.5% High $182,066.32 Refresh
Nebraska Republican Senate nominee?
Nebraska Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Pete Ricketts
96.0% 98.9% High $3,254.88 Refresh
Ohio Republican Governor nominee?
Ohio Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Vivek Ramaswamy
98.2% 95.3% High $760,262.81 Refresh
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: James Fishback
9.2% 10.1% High $3,527,229.59 Refresh
CA-28 primary: Who will advance?
CA-28 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: April Verlato
94.7% 96.9% Med $2,440.03 Refresh
California Governor matchup?
California Governor matchup?
Top outcome: Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer
33.0% 33.7% Med $209,346.69 Refresh
Maine Democratic Senate nominee?
Maine Democratic Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Graham Platner
98.2% 81.8% High $2,568,406.04 Refresh
Expired Markets (2)
Event Market Model Conf Volume
High $16,692.44
High $8,129.83