Salud Carbajal
Market Model 95.8% 94.5%
Sarah Bacon
Market Model 7.1% 2.7%
Primaries Markets
Active Markets (68)
Kaylee Peterson
Market Model 98.0% 96.1%
Ken Brungardt
Market Model 7.0% 3.9%
David Flippo
Market Model 53.0% 37.1%
James Settelmeyer
Market Model 52.0% 49.5%
Maxine Dexter
Market Model 99.0% 88.4%
Jessica Salas
Market Model 9.0% 8.0%
Andy Biggs
Market Model 96.9% 65.9%
Karrin Taylor Robson
Market Model 1.0% 21.0%
Tim Walz
Market Model 1.6% 0.0%
Amy Klobuchar
Market Model 93.0% 78.9%
Billy Webster
Market Model 18.0% 16.2%
Jermaine Johnson
Market Model 72.0% 64.9%
Sam Bregman
Market Model 13.0% 11.1%
Deb Haaland
Market Model 86.0% 87.1%
Sharice Davids
Market Model 15.0% 15.6%
Noah Taylor
Market Model 17.0% 18.0%
Ronald Russell
Market Model 95.0% 87.0%
Joshua Pietrowicz
Market Model 33.0% 13.0%
Jerrad Christian
Market Model 95.3% 91.4%
Jason Reynard
Market Model 9.0% 8.6%
Phil Weiser
Market Model 32.0% 26.1%
Michael Bennet
Market Model 73.0% 73.1%
Amy McGrath
Market Model 12.0% 11.5%
Charles Booker
Market Model 87.0% 83.2%
Graham Platner, ≥50%
Market Model 20.0% 18.8%
Graham Platner, 30-40%
Market Model 20.0% 18.8%
Mike Lindell
Market Model 15.0% 15.5%
Lisa Demuth
Market Model 63.0% 62.5%
Troy Jackson
Market Model 30.0% 22.1%
Hannah Pingree
Market Model 24.0% 18.2%
Above 1.1M
Market Model 10.0% 10.4%
Above 1.2M
Market Model 1.0% 1.1%
Allen Waters
Market Model 7.0% 3.4%
Raymond McKay
Market Model 87.0% 96.6%
Dan Koh
Market Model 79.0% 76.2%
Seth Moulton
Market Model 3.0% 15.9%
Chris Backemeyer
Market Model 94.0% 94.2%
Eric Moyer
Market Model 8.0% 5.8%
Chip Roy
Market Model 22.0% 24.9%
Mayes Middleton
Market Model 82.0% 75.1%
Aaron Ford
Market Model 98.1% 96.3%
Steve Sisolak
Market Model 1.7% 1.8%
Adrian Boafo
Market Model 61.0% 38.4%
Rushern Baker III
Market Model 14.0% 7.7%
Mike Mazzei
Market Model 28.0% 23.5%
Gentner Drummond
Market Model 52.0% 38.0%
Lindsey Graham
Market Model 85.0% 86.2%
Paul Dans
Market Model 1.0% 0.1%
Bill Cassidy, 9%+
Market Model 1.0% 4.1%
Bill Cassidy, 3-6%
Market Model 1.0% 8.1%
Michael Minogue
Market Model 80.0% 93.4%
Brian Shortsleeve
Market Model 6.0% 5.9%
0
Market Model 83.0% 83.9%
1
Market Model 9.0% 9.1%
Julia Letlow
Market Model 74.0% 76.2%
John Fleming
Market Model 13.0% 11.5%
Jocelyn Benson
Market Model 89.0% 92.5%
Chris Swanson
Market Model 6.7% 6.8%
Mike Thompson
Market Model 97.7% 97.4%
Eric Jones
Market Model 90.0% 93.0%
Toby Doeden
Market Model 32.0% 29.1%
Dusty Johnson
Market Model 59.0% 59.4%
Laurel Libby
Market Model 1.0% 0.6%
Jonathan Bush
Market Model 23.0% 22.9%
Jim Clyburn
Market Model 96.0% 99.0%
Frederick Goodwin
Market Model 9.0% 1.0%
David Clark
Market Model 15.0% 13.6%
John F. Kennedy
Market Model 33.0% 26.7%
T.W. Shannon
Market Model 89.0% 86.2%
Cindy Byrd
Market Model 2.0% 1.6%
Barry Moore
Market Model 81.0% 78.1%
Steve Marshall
Market Model 3.1% 4.8%
Adam Hamawy
Market Model 52.0% 26.4%
Sue Altman
Market Model 15.0% 9.1%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Market Model 52.0% 39.6%
Dave Bronson
Market Model 31.0% 16.3%
Megan Degenfelder
Market Model 77.0% 77.5%
Eric Barlow
Market Model 28.0% 18.3%
Angie Craig
Market Model 26.0% 18.4%
Peggy Flanagan
Market Model 76.0% 72.8%
Julia Letlow
Market Model 63.0% 61.2%
Bill Cassidy
Market Model 8.1% 6.5%
Jasmine Clark
Market Model 79.0% 75.6%
Everton Blair Jr.
Market Model 18.0% 7.6%
Dan McKee
Market Model 29.0% 19.9%
Helena Foulkes
Market Model 70.0% 79.1%
4 or more
Market Model 12.0% 11.3%
2
Market Model 41.0% 38.7%
Randy Feenstra
Market Model 81.0% 69.3%
Zach Lahn
Market Model 9.0% 9.1%
Jimmy Ausbrooks
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Zach Dembo
Market Model 30.0% 31.8%
Above 1.2M
Market Model 99.5% 99.6%
Above 1.4M
Market Model 99.7% 99.4%
At least 10%
Market Model 50.0% 29.0%
At least 20%
Market Model 31.0% 16.3%
Celeste Maloy
Market Model 70.0% 75.5%
Phil Lyman
Market Model 29.0% 24.5%
Nancy Mace
Market Model 22.0% 18.2%
Pamela Evette
Market Model 33.0% 28.8%
Brian Kemp
Market Model 1.0% 0.4%
Mike Collins
Market Model 78.0% 61.5%
Zach Wahls
Market Model 38.0% 32.7%
Josh Turek
Market Model 65.0% 65.1%
Perry Johnson
Market Model 53.0% 41.8%
John James
Market Model 30.0% 36.8%
Christine Drazan
Market Model 86.0% 78.3%
Chris Dudley
Market Model 5.0% 5.5%
Nate Morris
Market Model 9.2% 6.9%
Andy Barr
Market Model 77.0% 72.8%
Matt Mahan
Market Model 9.9% 5.5%
Tom Steyer
Market Model 64.0% 63.2%
Francesca Hong
Market Model 43.0% 37.5%
Sara Rodriguez
Market Model 25.0% 23.7%
Abdul El-Sayed
Market Model 48.0% 36.4%
Mallory McMorrow
Market Model 41.0% 31.0%
Keisha Lance Bottoms
Market Model 78.0% 68.5%
Michael Thurmond
Market Model 12.0% 14.0%
Pete Ricketts
Market Model 96.0% 98.9%
Edward Dunn
Market Model 2.5% 1.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
Market Model 98.2% 95.3%
Casey Putsch
Market Model 2.7% 3.0%
James Fishback
Market Model 9.5% 10.1%
Byron Donalds
Market Model 86.0% 79.8%
April Verlato
Market Model 94.7% 96.9%
Peter Roybal
Market Model 36.0% 11.5%
Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer
Market Model 53.0% 33.7%
Steve Hilton vs. Matt Mahan
Market Model 4.0% 3.4%
Graham Platner
Market Model 90.1% 81.8%
Janet Mills
Market Model 10.0% 13.1%
Ken Paxton
Market Model 64.0% 58.9%
John Cornyn
Market Model 34.0% 41.0%
Talarico vs. Paxton
Market Model 68.0% 71.4%
Talarico vs. Cornyn
Market Model 31.0% 28.6%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA-24 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Salud Carbajal | 95.8% | 94.5% | Med | $10,875.14 | Refresh |
| ID-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Kaylee Peterson | 98.0% | 96.1% | High | $5,390.41 | Refresh |
| NV-02 Republican nominee? Top outcome: David Flippo | 53.0% | 37.1% | High | $11,445.59 | Refresh |
| OR-03 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Maxine Dexter | 99.0% | 88.4% | High | $9,265.68 | Refresh |
| Arizona Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Andy Biggs | 96.9% | 65.9% | High | $59,442.92 | Refresh |
| Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Tim Walz | 1.6% | 0.0% | High | $444,024.37 | Refresh |
| South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Billy Webster | 18.0% | 16.2% | Med | $2,610.73 | Refresh |
| New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Sam Bregman | 13.0% | 11.1% | High | $33,451.1 | Refresh |
| Kansas Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Sharice Davids | 15.0% | 15.6% | High | $26,397.86 | Refresh |
| ME-01 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Ronald Russell | 95.0% | 87.0% | High | $1,005.3 | Refresh |
| OH-12 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jerrad Christian | 95.3% | 91.4% | High | $114.72 | Refresh |
| Colorado Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Phil Weiser | 32.0% | 26.1% | High | $32,084.29 | Refresh |
| Kentucky Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Amy McGrath | 12.0% | 11.5% | High | $14,813.75 | Refresh |
| Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary? Top outcome: Graham Platner, ≥50% | 20.0% | 18.8% | High | $4,707.03 | Refresh |
| Minnesota Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Mike Lindell | 15.0% | 15.5% | High | $115,661.33 | Refresh |
| Maine Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Troy Jackson | 30.0% | 22.1% | High | $42,644.04 | Refresh |
| Ohio Republican Governor primary: voter turnout Top outcome: Above 1.1M | 10.0% | 10.4% | High | $24,003.28 | Refresh |
| Rhode Island Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Allen Waters | 7.0% | 3.4% | High | $5,199 | Refresh |
| MA-06 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Dan Koh | 79.0% | 76.2% | High | $11,518.17 | Refresh |
| NE-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Chris Backemeyer | 94.0% | 94.2% | High | $1,677 | Refresh |
| Texas Republican Attorney General nominee? Top outcome: Chip Roy | 22.0% | 24.9% | High | $160,017.33 | Refresh |
| Nevada Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Aaron Ford | 98.1% | 96.3% | High | $8,378.58 | Refresh |
| MD-05 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Adrian Boafo | 61.0% | 38.4% | High | $12,268.73 | Refresh |
| Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Mike Mazzei | 28.0% | 23.5% | High | $67,235.85 | Refresh |
| South Carolina Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Lindsey Graham | 85.0% | 86.2% | High | $151,849.16 | Refresh |
| Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory Top outcome: Bill Cassidy, 9%+ | 1.0% | 4.1% | Med | $39,534.65 | Refresh |
| Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Michael Minogue | 80.0% | 93.4% | High | $33,904.62 | Refresh |
| How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026? Top outcome: 0 | 83.0% | 83.9% | Med | $99,603.15 | Refresh |
| Louisiana Republican Senate primary: first round winner Top outcome: Julia Letlow | 74.0% | 76.2% | High | $10,023.79 | Refresh |
| Michigan Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Jocelyn Benson | 89.0% | 92.5% | High | $43,596.06 | Refresh |
| CA-04 primary advancers? Top outcome: Mike Thompson | 97.7% | 97.4% | Med | $18,900.5 | Refresh |
| South Dakota Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Toby Doeden | 32.0% | 29.1% | High | $93,468.06 | Refresh |
| Maine Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Laurel Libby | 1.0% | 0.6% | High | $56,282.51 | Refresh |
| SC-06 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jim Clyburn | 96.0% | 99.0% | High | $911.01 | Refresh |
| Georgia Republican Lieutenant Governor nominee? Top outcome: David Clark | 15.0% | 13.6% | High | $8,129.83 | Refresh |
| Oklahoma Republican Lieutenant Governor nominee? Top outcome: T.W. Shannon | 89.0% | 86.2% | High | $14,552.01 | Refresh |
| Alabama Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Barry Moore | 81.0% | 78.1% | High | $110,148.25 | Refresh |
| NJ-12 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Adam Hamawy | 52.0% | 26.4% | Med | $5,154.87 | Refresh |
| Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? Top outcome: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 52.0% | 39.6% | Med | $47,187.61 | Refresh |
| Wyoming Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Megan Degenfelder | 77.0% | 77.5% | High | $12,535.32 | Refresh |
| Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Angie Craig | 26.0% | 18.4% | High | $61,356.33 | Refresh |
| Louisiana Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Julia Letlow | 63.0% | 61.2% | High | $154,382.92 | Refresh |
| GA-13 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jasmine Clark | 79.0% | 75.6% | High | $6,878.25 | Refresh |
| Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Dan McKee | 29.0% | 19.9% | High | $8,749.43 | Refresh |
| How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026? Top outcome: 4 or more | 12.0% | 11.3% | High | $342,263.96 | Refresh |
| Iowa Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Randy Feenstra | 81.0% | 69.3% | High | $59,213.39 | Refresh |
| KY-06 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jimmy Ausbrooks | 0.1% | 0.1% | High | $14,160.48 | Refresh |
| Voter turnout in the 2026 Wisconsin Supreme Court election? Top outcome: Above 1.2M | 99.5% | 99.6% | High | $76,737.74 | Refresh |
| Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent Top outcome: At least 10% | 50.0% | 29.0% | High | $24,833.7 | Refresh |
| UT-03 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Celeste Maloy | 70.0% | 75.5% | High | $16,484.57 | Refresh |
| South Carolina Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Nancy Mace | 22.0% | 18.2% | High | $294,221.87 | Refresh |
| Georgia Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Brian Kemp | 1.0% | 0.4% | High | $151,294.45 | Refresh |
| Iowa Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Zach Wahls | 38.0% | 32.7% | High | $45,030.94 | Refresh |
| Michigan Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Perry Johnson | 53.0% | 41.8% | High | $159,844.9 | Refresh |
| Oregon Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Christine Drazan | 86.0% | 78.3% | High | $78,550.68 | Refresh |
| Kentucky Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Nate Morris | 9.2% | 6.9% | High | $159,603.95 | Refresh |
| California Governor primary advancers? (Person) Top outcome: Matt Mahan | 9.9% | 5.5% | Med | $711,858.04 | Refresh |
| Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Francesca Hong | 43.0% | 37.5% | Med | $123,713.92 | Refresh |
| Michigan Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Abdul El-Sayed | 48.0% | 36.4% | High | $399,844.4 | Refresh |
| Georgia Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Keisha Lance Bottoms | 78.0% | 68.5% | High | $182,066.32 | Refresh |
| Nebraska Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Pete Ricketts | 96.0% | 98.9% | High | $3,254.88 | Refresh |
| Ohio Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Vivek Ramaswamy | 98.2% | 95.3% | High | $760,262.81 | Refresh |
| Florida Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: James Fishback | 9.5% | 10.1% | High | $3,527,229.59 | Refresh |
| CA-28 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: April Verlato | 94.7% | 96.9% | Med | $2,440.03 | Refresh |
| California Governor matchup? Top outcome: Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer | 53.0% | 33.7% | Med | $209,346.69 | Refresh |
| Maine Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Graham Platner | 90.1% | 81.8% | High | $2,568,406.04 | Refresh |
| Texas Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Ken Paxton | 64.0% | 58.9% | High | $11,985,510 | Refresh |
| 2026 Texas Senate matchup? Top outcome: Talarico vs. Paxton | 68.0% | 71.4% | High | $3,655,621 | Refresh |
