KPI Newsdesk · market vs Octagon model Company KPIs,
Company KPIs,
priced live.
Market-implied forecasts for the metrics companies are about to report — deliveries, subscribers, orders, DAU — from aggregated prediction markets, measured against Octagon's independent model.
Model edge = Octagon model − market-implied
The KPI board
- In 2 days ~Jul 29 Headcount 76.25K model below
- In 2 days ~Jul 29 Total System-wide Restaurants — near settled
- In 2 days ~Jul 29 Comparable Restaurant Sales Increase 2 +0.04 · +2.5%
- In 2 days ~Jul 29 Funded Customers 27.99M near settled
- In 2 days ~Jul 29 Daily Active People 3.6B +11.65M · +0.3%
- In 2 days ~Jul 29 Total Restaurant Count 4.17K near settled
- In 2 days ~Jul 29 Retail Vehicle Unit Sales 198K -919.00 · -0.5%
- In 2 days ~Jul 29 Gold Subs 4.55M near settled
- In 3 days ~Jul 30 Cigarette Shipments 15.17B -261M · -1.7%
- In 3 days ~Jul 30 Passengers Carried 855K -31.2K · -3.6%
- In 3 days ~Jul 30 Hours Engaged — model below
- In 3 days ~Jul 30 Hours Streamed — near settled
- In 3 days ~Jul 30 Headcount 1.56M +877.00 · +0.1%
- In 3 days ~Jul 30 Megawatts Sold — model below
- In 3 days ~Jul 30 Total Trading Volume 157B +623M · +0.4%
- In 3 days ~Jul 30 Monthly Transacting Users 7.85M +7.25K · +0.1%
- In 3 days ~Jul 30 Total Shipments 3.45K +3.00 · +0.1%
- In 3 days ~Jul 30 Daily Active Uniques 129M near settled
- In 7 days ~Aug 3 Monthly Transacting Users — near settled
- In 7 days ~Aug 3 Daily Active Users 490M -3.01M · -0.6%
- In 7 days ~Aug 3 Total Rooms 1.81M +1.17K · +0.1%
- In 7 days ~Aug 3 Total Customers 1.07K near settled
- In 8 days ~Aug 4 Global Comparable Sales Growth 0.205882 +0.09 · +46.0%
- In 8 days ~Aug 4 Total Payers 13.17M +28.78K · +0.2%
- In 8 days ~Aug 4 Headcount 7.28K near settled
- In 8 days ~Aug 4 Total Locations 179K +356.00 · +0.2%
- In 8 days ~Aug 4 Total Systemwide Restaurants 46.05K +20.00 · +0.0%
- In 8 days ~Aug 4 Monthly Active Users 779M near settled
- In 8 days ~Aug 4 Super-scaled Customers (>$1m) 196 near settled
- In 9 days ~Aug 5 Paid Customers >$100k Arr — near settled
- In 9 days ~Aug 5 Gross Merchandise Volume — near settled
- In 9 days ~Aug 5 Gross Merchandise Volume 21.77B near settled
- In 9 days ~Aug 5 Members 8.36M -20.83K · -0.2%
- In 9 days ~Aug 5 Total Orders 971M near settled
- In 9 days ~Aug 5 Items Sold 802M +1.91M · +0.2%
- In 10 days ~Aug 6 Bookings 147M -1.75M · -1.2%
- In 10 days ~Aug 6 Total Production (Mboed) — near settled
- In 10 days ~Aug 6 Profit Margin 15 near settled
- In 10 days ~Aug 6 Total Rides 257M -2.29M · -0.9%
- In 11 days ~Aug 7 Same-restaurant Sales Growth — model below
- In 14 days ~Aug 10 Subscribers 2.8M -20.25K · -0.7%
- In 15 days ~Aug 11 Restaurants 476 near settled
- In 15 days ~Aug 11 Paying Users 68.43M +1.34M · +2.0%
- In 15 days ~Aug 11 Same Restaurant Sales Growth 9 near settled
- In 17 days ~Aug 13 Customers 139M near settled
- In 22 days ~Aug 18 Active Consumers 122M -53.65K · -0.0%
- In 22 days ~Aug 18 Customer Transactions 446M near settled
- In 23 days ~Aug 19 Total Funded Accounts 3.8M +18.73K · +0.5%
- In 23 days ~Aug 19 Transactions Change 3 -0.41 · -14.4%
- In 23 days ~Aug 19 Customer Transactions 223M -1.39M · -0.6%
- In 31 days ~Aug 27 Funded Accounts 5.19M near settled
- In 31 days ~Aug 27 Transactions Growth 1 near settled
- Settles Aug 27 Total Stores 41.22K +124.00 · +0.3%
- Settles Aug 27 Comparable Transactions Growth 4 -0.26 · -6.4%
- Settles Sep 17 Delivered Homes 2.68K +8.00 · +0.3%
- Settles Sep 19 Comparable Sales Growth (ex-fuel) 4 near settled
- Settles Sep 25 Total Stores 810 -2.00 · -0.2%
- In 78 days ~Oct 13 Same Store Sales Growth 2 +0.38 · +17.6%
- In 78 days ~Oct 13 Total US Stores 7.28K near settled
- In 80 days ~Oct 15 Active Brokerage Accounts — model below
- In 86 days ~Oct 21 Passengers — near settled
- In 93 days ~Oct 28 Total Deliveries 468K +5.36K · +1.1%
- In 93 days ~Oct 28 Total Production 479K -11.86K · -2.5%
- In 93 days ~Oct 28 Deliveries 448K near settled
- Settles Nov 26 Same Store Sales Growth — model below
- Settles Nov 27 Food Same-store Sales Growth 2 -0.11 · -4.7%
- Settles Dec 4 Comparable Sales Growth — model below
- Settles Dec 5 Generation 13 -2.00 · -16.2%
- Settles Dec 9 Passenger Load Factor 87 near settled
- Settles Dec 24 Customers With Trailing 12-month Revenue >$1m 832 near settled
- Settles Jan 1 Comparable Sales Growth — model below
- Settles Jan 1 How many Tesla semi trucks produced 818 +128.00 · +15.7%
- Settles Jan 8 Comparable Store Sales Growth 5 near settled
- Settles Jan 26 Available Lower Berth Days 24.9M +4.43K · +0.0%
- Settles Jan 29 Total Vehicles Delivered 15.65K +428.00 · +2.7%
- Settles Jan 29 Total Vehicles US Sales — model below
- Settles Feb 2 Total Beer Shipments 120M -2.4M · -2.0%
- Settles Feb 19 Commercial Airplane Deliveries 174 near settled
- Settles Mar 7 Comparable Sales Growth 22 near settled
- Settles Apr 1 Tesla deliveries by 516K -13.13K · -2.5%
- Settles Apr 1 Tesla energy business 20 near settled
- Settles May 2 Passenger Load Factor — near settled
- Settles May 2 Comparable Sales Growth — model below
- Settles May 2 Same Store Sales Growth 2 -0.35 · -20.7%
- Settles May 2 Total US Stores 7.37K +111.00 · +1.5%
- Settles May 2 Sold — near settled
- Settles May 2 Generation 53 near settled
- Settles May 2 Same Store Sales Growth — near settled
- Settles May 2 Total System-wide Restaurants 3.52K +5.00 · +0.1%
- Settles May 2 Super-scaled Customers (>$1m) 209 +16.00 · +7.5%
- Settles May 2 Food Retail Same-store Sales Growth 2 +0.04 · +1.8%
- Settles May 30 Comparable Sales Growth — model below
- Settles Jun 30 Comparable Store Sales Growth — near settled
- Settles Jul 30 Comparable Sales Growth 22 -1.00 · -5.5%
- Settles Mar 31 Domestic Cigarette Shipments 58.19B -2.95B · -5.1%
- Settles Mar 31 Total Restaurant Count 4.37K +15.00 · +0.4%
- Settles Mar 31 Retail Vehicle Unit Sales — near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Seats Flown 228M +133K · +0.1%
- Settles Mar 31 Comparable Transactions Growth — near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Premium Subscribers — model below
- Settles Mar 31 Total Payers 13M -236K · -1.8%
- Settles Mar 31 Commercial Airplane Deliveries 653 -17.00 · -2.6%
- Settles Mar 31 Items Sold 3.37B +337K · +0.0%
- Settles Mar 31 Available Lower Berth Days 97.35M near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Total Global Stores 41.58K +42.00 · +0.1%
- Settles Mar 31 Total Car Shipments 13.65K near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Subscribers 3.06M -11.84K · -0.4%
- Settles Mar 31 Total Customer Count 1.2K +9.00 · +0.7%
- Settles Mar 31 Total Deliveries 1.74M near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Funded Customers 33.09M near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Vehicle Sales Volume 2.03M near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Gross Merchandise Volume 87.78B near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Daily Active People 3.75B -10.11M · -0.3%
- Settles Mar 31 Passengers Carried 3.37M -15.51K · -0.5%
- Settles Mar 31 Total Vehicles Delivered 54.81K near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Daily Active Uniques 141M -358K · -0.3%
- Settles Mar 31 Passengers Flown 187M -464K · -0.2%
- Settles Mar 31 Active Clear+ Members 8.76M +67.78K · +0.8%
- Settles Mar 31 Monthly Transacting Users 57.11M -87.19K · -0.2%
- Settles Mar 31 Shipment Volume 772M +3.95M · +0.5%
- Settles Mar 31 Total Production 1.81M near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Total Locations 190K near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Total Monthly Active Users 830M +667K · +0.1%
- Settles Mar 31 Headcount 81.04K -1.97K · -2.4%
- Settles Mar 31 Headcount — near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts — near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Headcount 73.22K -2.95K · -4.0%
- Settles Mar 31 Headcount 1.57M -8.21K · -0.5%
- Settles Mar 31 Headcount — near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Customers 148M -513K · -0.3%
- Settles Mar 31 Headcount 205K near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Headcount 49.38K +377.00 · +0.8%
- Settles Mar 31 Headcount 169K -431.00 · -0.3%
- Settles Mar 31 Headcount 139K near settled
- Settles Mar 31 Headcount 17.6K +160.00 · +0.9%
- Settles Oct 29 Brands Beer Shipments 415M model below
- Settles May 1 Market Share 27 -2.00 · -7.0%
- Reported Jul 22 Total Rooms 873K model pending
- Reported Jul 22 Average Passenger Fare 226 model pending
- Reported Jul 22 Seats Flown 59.01M model pending
- Reported Jul 22 Headcount 199K model pending
- Reported Jul 21 Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts 39.8M model pending
- Reported Jul 20 Total US Stores 7.23K model pending
- Reported Jul 15 Passengers 48.69M model pending
- Reported Jul 14 Commercial Airplane Deliveries 171 model pending
- Reported Jul 6 Total Vehicles Sales 549K model pending
- Reported Jul 2 Production 452K model pending
- Reported Jul 2 Total Vehicles Delivered 12.19K model pending
- Reported Jul 2 Deliveries 480K model pending
- Reported Jun 30 Brands Beer Shipments 113M model pending
- Reported Jun 23 Avg Daily Package Volume 17.1M model pending
- Reported Jun 23 Available Lower Berth Days 24.7M model pending
- Reported Jun 8 Skier Visits 7.28M model pending
- Reported May 28 Total Cardholders 148M model pending
- Reported May 28 Total Funded Accounts 3.59M model pending
- Reported May 27 Customers With Trailing 12-month Revenue Above $1 Million 779 model pending
- Reported May 21 Funded Accounts 5.11M model pending
- Reported May 21 Customer Transactions 197M model pending
- Reported Apr 5 Deliveries 358K +0.00 · +0.0%
- Reported Shipment Volume 186M +2.75M · +1.5%
- Reported Same Store Sales Growth 0.5 model pending
- Reported Headcount 82.25K model pending
- Reported Shipment Volume 192M model pending
No KPIs match your search.
model above market model below market in line
Model vs market · biggest gaps
Where Octagon disagrees
Model sees upside model above the market-implied central
Model sees downside model below the market-implied central
Catalyst calendar · nearest first
Reporting soon
Scorecard · settled prints with a trusted actual
Recently reported
Developers · KPI Equity Impact API
Build on this data
Everything on this board — the market-implied forecasts, the P25–P75 bands, Octagon's model estimates, and settled actuals — is served by two REST endpoints.
Read the API docs →# The board — list, rank, search, paginate
GET /v1/predictions/kpi-events
# One KPI event — market vs model vs actual + analysis
GET /v1/predictions/kpi-events/{event_id}