Above 20.1%
Market Model 87.0% 91.3%
Above 19.9%
Market Model 97.0% 98.1%
Prediction Markets Research
Octagon provides deep research and analysis on prediction markets, combining real-time market data with advanced AI models to deliver actionable insights on event outcomes, probabilities, and market trends.
Get API Access →Active Markets (1271)
Diesel prices this week Kalshi
Above $6.40
Market Model 43.0% 47.6%
Above $6.30
Market Model 92.0% 93.9%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Before Dec 1, 2026
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Before Oct 16, 2026
Market Model 6.0% 3.5%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 22.0% 14.8%
Above 2K
Market Model 36.0% 42.5%
Above 12K
Market Model 10.0% 25.8%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
Market Model 1.0% 1.2%
007 First Light
Market Model 1.0% 1.2%
Verity
Market Model 3.0% 1.3%
Digger
Market Model 98.0% 98.7%
Hurricane Rachel category? Kalshi
Category 4 or above
Market Model 1.0% 21.1%
Category 3 or above
Market Model 99.0% 99.9%
Above 2.8%
Market Model 70.0% 66.9%
Above 3.2%
Market Model 23.0% 21.1%
Corrupt / Corruption
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Above 2M
Market Model 57.0% 51.0%
Above 1M
Market Model 73.0% 68.0%
Above $87,500.00
Market Model 86.0% 85.2%
Above $95,000.00
Market Model 30.0% 30.4%
Iran / Iranian
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Israel / Israeli
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Before Oct 3, 2026
Market Model 8.0% 15.1%
Before Oct 10, 2026
Market Model 10.0% 16.1%
Tesla production in Q4 Kalshi
Above 350,000
Market Model 0.0% 12.0%
Above 375,000
Market Model 0.0% 12.0%
Above 10 GWh
Market Model 0.0% 12.0%
Above 12 GWh
Market Model 0.0% 12.0%
Tesla production in Q1 2027 Kalshi
Above 325,000
Market Model 0.0% 12.0%
Above 350,000
Market Model 0.0% 12.0%
Above 10 GWh
Market Model 0.0% 10.0%
Above 12 GWh
Market Model 0.0% 8.0%
Above 152.2 million
Market Model 2.0% 9.0%
Above 151.2 million
Market Model 79.0% 70.2%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Gaza / Palestine
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Billionaire
Market Model 99.0% 99.0%
Hollywood
Market Model 99.0% 99.0%
Yes
Market Model 1.0% 0.2%
Above 157.149
Market Model 25.0% 80.3%
Above 157.147
Market Model 69.0% 80.3%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI |
|---|
Expired Markets (2440)
Yes
Market Model — —
El Salvador
Market Model 99.0% 97.7%
Delta
Market Model 84.0% 70.1%
GPU
Market Model 99.0% 98.4%
Leverage
Market Model 99.0% 98.4%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Crypto / Bitcoin
Market Model 6.0% 1.9%
Event does not qualify
Market Model 2.0% 1.0%
Yes
Market Model — —
Israel / Israeli
Market Model 54.0% 34.6%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Market Model 51.0% 31.4%
Yes
Market Model — —
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Socialist / Socialism
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Dividend
Market Model 1.0% 0.2%
Tariff
Market Model 99.0% 99.4%
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI |
|---|
