Prediction Markets Research

Octagon AI provides deep research and analysis on prediction markets, combining real-time market data with advanced AI models to deliver actionable insights on event outcomes, probabilities, and market trends.

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Active Markets (1135)

CPI in June
CPI in June
Above 0.5%
Market Model 26.0% 20.0%
Above 0.3%
Market Model 50.0% 39.8%
$19,057.95 Refresh
Cina vs Blockx
Cina vs Blockx
Alexander Blockx
Market Model 86.0% 87.8%
Federico Cina
Market Model 16.0% 12.2%
$1,402,935.42 Refresh
Philadelphia at New York
Philadelphia at New York
yes Mikal Bridges: 10+,yes OG Anunoby: 15+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 10+
Market Model 27.8% 17.6%
yes Mikal Bridges: 10+,yes Kelly Oubre Jr.: 10+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 10+
Market Model 26.6% 16.5%
$19,546 Refresh
Minnesota at San Antonio
Minnesota at San Antonio
yes Anthony Edwards: 2+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 2+,yes Stephon Castle: 2+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 2+,yes Mikal Bridges: 1+,yes Joel Embiid: 1+,yes Tyrese Maxey: 2+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 1+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 4+,yes Jalen Brunson: 6+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 2+,yes Jaden McDaniels: 10+,yes Julius Randle: 15+,yes Dylan Harper: 10+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 25+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 15+,yes Mikal Bridges: 10+,yes OG Anunoby: 15+,yes Joel Embiid: 20+,yes Kelly Oubre Jr.: 10+,yes Paul George: 10+,yes Rudy Gobert: 8+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 12+,yes Josh Hart: 6+,yes Mikal Bridges: 2+,yes OG Anunoby: 2+,yes Joel Embiid: 6+
Market Model 0.2% 0.2%
yes Anthony Edwards: 2+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 1+,yes Stephon Castle: 1+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 2+,yes Mikal Bridges: 1+,yes Joel Embiid: 1+,yes Tyrese Maxey: 2+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 1+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 4+,yes Jalen Brunson: 6+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 2+,yes Jaden McDaniels: 10+,yes Julius Randle: 15+,yes Dylan Harper: 10+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 25+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 15+,yes Mikal Bridges: 10+,yes OG Anunoby: 15+,yes Joel Embiid: 20+,yes Kelly Oubre Jr.: 10+,yes Paul George: 10+,yes Rudy Gobert: 8+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 12+,yes Josh Hart: 6+,yes Mikal Bridges: 2+,yes OG Anunoby: 2+,yes Joel Embiid: 6+
Market Model 0.0% 0.2%
$5,000 Refresh
Combo
Combo
yes Anthony Edwards: 20+,no San Antonio wins by over 10.5 points,no New York wins by over 7.5 points
Market Model 18.0% 9.5%
yes Anthony Edwards: 20+,yes San Antonio wins by over 4.5 points,yes New York wins by over 7.5 points
Market Model 18.4% 9.8%
$1,568 Refresh
Toronto at Cleveland
Toronto at Cleveland
yes Donovan Mitchell: 25+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 4+
Market Model 36.2% 32.5%
yes Jarrett Allen: 15+,yes Jarrett Allen: 12+
Market Model 7.2% 2.8%
$38,017 Refresh
Toronto at Cleveland
Toronto at Cleveland
yes Scottie Barnes: 8+,yes Jarrett Allen: 10+,yes James Harden: 20+,yes RJ Barrett: 25+
Market Model 10.0% 0.0%
yes Dennis Schröder: 2+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 25+,yes Dennis Schröder: 10+,yes Evan Mobley: 20+
Market Model 3.4% 1.2%
$920 Refresh
Combo
Combo
yes Cade Cunningham: 25+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+,yes Desmond Bane: 15+,yes Ausar Thompson: 8+
Market Model 19.8% 10.8%
yes Ausar Thompson: 10+,yes Cade Cunningham: 20+,yes Paolo Banchero: 20+,yes Wendell Carter Jr.: 4+
Market Model 25.8% 15.8%
$255 Refresh
Combo
Combo
yes Cade Cunningham: 25+,yes Paolo Banchero: 20+,no Detroit wins by over 7.5 points,yes Over 200.5 points scored
Market Model 17.7% 9.9%
yes Cade Cunningham: 20+,yes Paolo Banchero: 20+,no Detroit wins by over 13.5 points,no Over 209.5 points scored
Market Model 24.7% 14.8%
$82 Refresh
Combo
Combo
yes Cade Cunningham: 25+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+,yes Paolo Banchero: 20+,yes Detroit wins by over 7.5 points,yes Over 200.5 points scored
Market Model 11.7% 5.3%
yes Duncan Robinson: 15+,yes Jalen Duren: 15+,yes Wendell Carter Jr.: 10+,yes Detroit wins by over 4.5 points,yes Over 209.5 points scored
Market Model 2.0% 0.6%
$219 Refresh
Combo
Combo
yes Cade Cunningham: 35+,yes Paolo Banchero: 30+,yes Evan Mobley: 15+,yes RJ Barrett: 25+,yes Scottie Barnes: 25+
Market Model 0.6% 0.2%
yes Cade Cunningham: 20+,yes Paolo Banchero: 20+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 20+,yes James Harden: 15+,yes Scottie Barnes: 15+
Market Model 33.0% 22.5%
$1,206 Refresh
Ruud vs Blockx
Ruud vs Blockx
Casper Ruud
Market Model 17.0% 25.0%
Alexander Blockx
Market Model 79.0% 75.3%
$2,223,572.91 Refresh
Orlando at Detroit
Orlando at Detroit
yes Anthony Black: 3+,yes Anthony Black: 15+
Market Model 9.0% 3.7%
yes Anthony Black: 4+,yes Anthony Black: 20+
Market Model 1.5% 0.5%
$18,899 Refresh
Orlando at Detroit
Orlando at Detroit
yes Cade Cunningham: 4+,yes Desmond Bane: 4+
Market Model 5.5% 2.0%
yes Cade Cunningham: 1+,yes Desmond Bane: 1+
Market Model 77.1% 74.2%
$717 Refresh
Combo
Combo
yes Donovan Mitchell: 20+,yes James Harden: 15+,yes Scottie Barnes: 15+,yes Scottie Barnes: 4+
Market Model 43.5% 33.7%
yes James Harden: 15+,yes RJ Barrett: 15+,yes Scottie Barnes: 15+,yes Evan Mobley: 6+
Market Model 38.0% 27.7%
$293 Refresh
Combo
Combo
yes Paolo Banchero: 15+,yes Paolo Banchero: 4+,yes Over 194.5 points scored
Market Model 69.7% 64.9%
yes Paolo Banchero: 15+,yes Tobias Harris: 2+,no Over 221.5 points scored
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
$36 Refresh
Houston at Los Angeles L
Houston at Los Angeles L
yes LeBron James: 2+,yes Marcus Smart: 6+,yes Marcus Smart: 15+
Market Model 4.6% 1.6%
yes LeBron James: 2+,yes Marcus Smart: 4+,yes Rui Hachimura: 10+
Market Model 21.3% 12.0%
$9,677 Refresh
Combo
Combo
yes Donovan Mitchell: 20+,yes RJ Barrett: 15+,yes Scottie Barnes: 15+,yes Evan Mobley: 6+,yes Jarrett Allen: 8+
Market Model 22.2% 12.7%
yes James Harden: 15+,yes RJ Barrett: 10+,yes Scottie Barnes: 15+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 2+,yes James Harden: 2+
Market Model 46.6% 37.2%
$72 Refresh
Game 5
Game 5
yes Los Angeles L,yes Over 203.5 points scored,no Over 218.5 points scored
Market Model 26.3% 21.9%
yes Houston,yes Over 209.5 points scored,yes Over 212.5 points scored
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
$101 Refresh
Denver at Minnesota
Denver at Minnesota
yes Julius Randle: 25+,yes Rudy Gobert: 14+
Market Model 8.9% 3.7%
yes Jamal Murray: 20+,yes Julius Randle: 6+
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
$458 Refresh
Orlando at Detroit
Orlando at Detroit
yes Duncan Robinson: 3+,yes Duncan Robinson: 10+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+,yes Tobias Harris: 4+
Market Model 19.3% 10.4%
yes Duncan Robinson: 1+,yes Tobias Harris: 10+,yes Paolo Banchero: 15+,yes Paolo Banchero: 4+
Market Model 58.0% 50.7%
$208 Refresh
Orlando at Detroit
Orlando at Detroit
yes Cade Cunningham: 1+,yes Duncan Robinson: 1+,yes Desmond Bane: 1+,yes Jalen Suggs: 1+,yes Jalen Suggs: 2+,yes Tobias Harris: 10+,yes Paolo Banchero: 15+,yes Cade Cunningham: 4+,yes Tobias Harris: 4+,yes Wendell Carter Jr.: 6+
Market Model 23.4% 10.7%
yes Cade Cunningham: 1+,yes Duncan Robinson: 1+,yes Desmond Bane: 1+,yes Jalen Suggs: 1+,yes Paolo Banchero: 2+,yes Tobias Harris: 10+,yes Paolo Banchero: 15+,yes Cade Cunningham: 2+,yes Franz Wagner: 2+,yes Paolo Banchero: 4+
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
$62 Refresh
Combo
Combo
yes Los Angeles L wins by over 3.5 points,yes Over 209.5 points scored
Market Model 25.5% 28.5%
yes Los Angeles L wins by over 3.5 points,yes Over 200.5 points scored
Market Model 36.9% 39.5%
$2,055 Refresh
Combo
Combo
yes Jordan Spieth,yes Justin Thomas,yes Max Homa,yes Shane Lowry,yes Sepp Straka,yes Tony Finau
Market Model 3.8% 1.3%
yes Cameron Young,yes Matt Fitzpatrick,yes Russell Henley,yes Scottie Scheffler,yes Tommy Fleetwood,yes Xander Schauffele
Market Model 5.8% 2.1%
$250 Refresh
Combo
Combo
yes Justin Thomas,yes Patrick Cantlay,yes Russell Henley,yes Tommy Fleetwood
Market Model 7.5% 2.9%
yes Cameron Young,yes Jake Knapp,yes Rickie Fowler,yes Scottie Scheffler
Market Model 7.5% 2.9%
$2,071 Refresh
Event Market Model Conf Volume
Series Winner: Minnesota (6) vs San Antonio (2)
Top outcome: Minnesota
 9.0% 5.7% High $8,608,559.89
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Top outcome: Before 2027
 17.5% 8.2% High $19,585,418.43
Series Winner: Vegas Golden Knights vs Anaheim Ducks
Top outcome: Anaheim Ducks
 21.0% 16.2% High $883,828.88
Keir Starmer Out?
Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026
 49.0% 31.6% High $1,828,023.22
Pro Baseball Players Drafted Top 10
Top outcome: Jacob Lombard
 89.0% 85.5% Med $27
Number of tornadoes in May 2026?
Top outcome: Above 200
 66.0% 66.8% High $19,461.81
Doosan Bears vs Kia Tigers: Spread
Top outcome: Doosan Bears wins by over 2.5 runs
 35.0% 17.6% Med $165.42
Connecticut Attorney General winner?
Top outcome: Democratic party
 94.5% 92.8% High $570
Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 4, 2027
 9.0% 8.4% Med $8,744.01
Nebraska Governor winner?
Top outcome: Democratic
 15.0% 8.9% High $13,415.85
Luke Humphries vs Stephen Bunting
Top outcome: Stephen Bunting
 36.0% 93.0% High $5.31
Vasco da Gama vs Paysandu
Top outcome: Paysandu
 15.0% 11.9% High $108.38
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 13, 2026?
Top outcome: 91° to 92°
 46.0% 42.8% High $6,007.03
Highest temperature in San Antonio on May 13, 2026?
Top outcome: 97° or above
 1.0% 0.8% High $5,183.74
Highest temperature in Las Vegas on May 13, 2026?
Top outcome: 92° or below
 1.0% 0.8% High $6,670.84
Highest temperature in Boston on May 13, 2026?
Top outcome: 55° or below
 2.0% 1.7% High $4,323.55
Highest temperature in New Orleans on May 13, 2026?
Top outcome: 90° or above
 1.0% 1.0% High $1,113
Confianca vs Gremio: Spread
Top outcome: Confianca wins by over 2.5 goals
 4.0% 0.0% Med $23.33
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on May 13, 2026?
Top outcome: 71° to 72°
 19.0% 23.5% Med $2,278.76
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/11 - 5/17)
Top outcome: Above 10
 87.0% 79.5% High $4,336.02
Hanwha Eagles vs Kiwoom Heroes: Total Runs
Top outcome: Over 9.5 runs scored
 0.0% 12.0% High $0
Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028)
Top outcome: Republican party
 26.0% 26.2% High $5,485.63
San Diego vs Milwaukee: Strikeouts
Top outcome: Brandon Sproat: 5+
 47.0% 57.3% High $4,896.47
Will Eric Adams go on Dancing with the Stars this year?
Yes refers to: Eric Adams
 11.0% 7.1% Med $914.26
Series Winner: Cleveland (4) vs Detroit (1)
Top outcome: Detroit
 58.0% 59.6% High $1,818,385.6
Series Winner: Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche
Top outcome: Minnesota Wild
 6.0% 4.6% High $1,090,617.13
Will a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 4, 2027
 17.0% 17.0% Med $1,958.96
2Pac Streams in 2026
Top outcome: Above 3.6B
 45.0% 39.6% High $32
AL-04 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Amanda Pusczek
 36.0% 73.8% High $4,400.14
Fed decision in Jun 2026?
Top outcome: Fed maintains rate
 96.0% 93.5% High $5,153,226.34
Glitch FC vs Super Ninos
Top outcome: Glitch FC
 0.0% 26.4% High $0
Wildcard Gaming vs. FaZe Clan: Map 1
Top outcome: Wildcard Gaming
 41.0% 88.0% High $3
Seattle vs Los Angeles G: BTTS
Yes refers to: Both Teams To Score
 0.0% 0.8% Med $0
Kifisia vs Atromitos Athinon
Top outcome: Atromitos Athinon
 32.0% 45.6% High $22.91
Llamas Ruiz vs Medvedev
Top outcome: Daniil Medvedev
 63.0% 79.3% High $2,764,152.11
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?
Top outcome: Donald Trump
 4.0% 1.5% Med $486,231.6
Tiafoe vs Pellegrino
Top outcome: Frances Tiafoe
 10.0% 8.6% High $1,336,456.8
Who will be on the cover of Rolling Stone in 2026?
Top outcome: Charli XCX
 54.0% 41.8% Med $13,293.14
Gauff vs Jovic
Top outcome: Coco Gauff
 76.0% 75.2% High $2,884,528.46
FL-13 House winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 73.0% 84.2% High $3,687
Will Nick Bosa and Ella Ailiff be engaged before 2027?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 26.0% 26.0% Med $879.64
Gwangju vs Seoul
Top outcome: Gwangju
 12.0% 9.5% High $1,202.63
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next?
Top outcome: Al-Hilal
 4.0% 1.4% Med $12,918.89
Will Scottie Scheffler win the grand slam before 2028?
Yes refers to: Before 2028
 8.0% 6.9% Med $271,091.08
Alabama Senate winner? (2028)
Top outcome: Democratic party
 6.7% 5.4% High $243
Portland Trailblazers bought and changed to Seattle SuperSonics?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 12.0% 5.6% Med $10,246.07
Will there be a new Pro Basketball team added before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 94.0% 97.3% Med $11,722.07
Max Verstappen: Retirement
Top outcome: Before the 2027 season
 15.0% 10.7% Med $5,803.73
Will LeBron James be a majority owner of a men's Pro Basketball team before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 5.0% 3.2% Med $7,444.1
Seattle vs Houston: First Inning Run
Yes refers to: Yes
 0.0% 0.7% Med $0
Arizona vs Texas
Top outcome: Texas
 56.0% 62.6% High $214.62
Game 5: Cleveland at Detroit
Top outcome: Detroit
 61.0% 47.8% High $101,878.34
Jesús Made: Debut Date
Top outcome: Before Nov 1, 2026
 0.0% 8.0% High $0
Idaho Governor winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 93.0% 96.9% High $2,119.85
G2 Esports vs. DarkZero Esports
Top outcome: G2 Esports
 99.0% 87.0% High $23,401.4
Top Album on Spotify in 2026?
Top outcome: DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS
 65.0% 58.6% High $24,891.01
Golfers to compete in PGA Championship in 2026
Top outcome: Phil Mickelson
 1.0% 0.3% Med $17,189.38
Georgia Governor winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 42.0% 44.2% High $64,330.65
Illinois's 12th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 26+ pts
 74.0% 71.2% High $1,220
Florida's 13th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 2+ pts
 25.0% 19.2% High $4,166
Iowa's 4th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 30+ pts
 31.0% 27.0% High $2,646
Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 10+ pts
 16.0% 16.3% High $5,961
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 16.0% 10.5% Med $296,490.52
How many reconciliation bills will be passed in 2026?
Top outcome: 0
 4.9% 9.0% High $72,359.37
Montana Senate winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 80.0% 81.4% High $155,399.22
Michigan's 10th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 10+ pts
 9.0% 5.2% High $17,513.68
Colorado's 4th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 11+ pts
 21.0% 28.2% High $1,772
How low will Ethereum get in May?
Top outcome: Below $2,000.00
 22.0% 20.0% High $24,512.07
Michigan's 12th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 58+ pts
 15.0% 15.0% High $2,392
Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year?
Yes refers to: 10,000 or more
 22.0% 22.0% Med $2,965.96
Ohio Senate winner?
Top outcome: Jon Husted
 48.0% 51.5% High $297,560.41
Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante: Set 2 Winner
Top outcome: Flavio Cobolli
 56.0% 93.0% High $65
IN-04 House winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 92.7% 96.5% High $3,080
Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?
Top outcome: Mandatory body-worn cameras
 9.9% 6.0% Med $44,125.96
Florida's 27th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 9+ pts
 7.9% 5.0% High $2,523
Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 51+ pts
 46.0% 30.0% High $11,244
How high will inflation get this year?
Top outcome: At least 4%
 91.3% 90.0% High $492,831.43
Arizona's 4th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 25+ pts
 14.0% 14.3% Med $11,452.14
Iowa's 3rd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 2+ pts
 75.0% 57.9% Med $5,041
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
Top outcome: Before May 22, 2026
 34.0% 23.2% Med $127,478.35
Kansas's 4th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 23+ pts
 30.0% 32.7% High $3,207.72
Connecticut's 1st District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 22+ pts
 92.2% 86.2% High $33,164.12
How low will the S&P get this year?
Top outcome: 5,900 or below
 23.2% 11.9% High $693,660.99
Jerome Powell out as Fed Governor?
Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026
 25.0% 12.9% High $673,841.38
Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory
Top outcome: Spencer Pratt wins
 31.0% 23.1% High $35,505.07
Minnesota's 2nd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 13+ pts
 54.0% 39.6% High $21,737.9
How high will Ethereum get in May?
Top outcome: Above $2,750.00
 15.0% 12.9% High $87,478.82
Georgia's 10th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 16+ pts
 55.0% 55.0% High $8,673.02
How many launches will SpaceX have in May?
Top outcome: Above 13
 10.0% 6.0% Med $180,514.85
Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
Top outcome: Reserve President Rejected
 9.0% 3.6% Med $17,366.72
California Governor Primary margin of victory
Top outcome: Steve Hilton, 3+ pts
 19.0% 11.1% High $12,712.67
Georgia's 3rd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 23+ pts
 59.0% 44.2% High $12,320
Texas Senate winner?
Top outcome: James Talarico
 44.0% 43.6% High $2,374,979.98
Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Yes refers to: Positive Growth
 71.0% 78.5% Med $634,403.5
Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
Top outcome: Paramount
 80.0% 80.1% High $3,292,952.85
GA-10 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Ryan Millsap
 54.0% 46.5% High $27,839.75
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
Top outcome: Spirit Airlines
 11.0% 4.6% Med $613,370.28
Colorado's 5th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 8+ pts
 8.4% 8.6% High $10,018
How low will Bitcoin get in May?
Top outcome: Below $60,000.00
 3.0% 2.0% High $213,876.62
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Top outcome: Before July 2026
 2.5% 22.0% High $1,985,196.39
How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?
Top outcome: 28,400 or above
 99.9% 100.0% High $227,168.32
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
Top outcome: Before May 20, 2026
 7.0% 4.1% High $247,600.81
Roma vs Lazio: Total Goals
Top outcome: Over 1.5 goals scored
 0.0% 12.0% High $0
How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
Top outcome: $180.01 or above
 17.3% 11.6% High $5,090,586.62
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Top outcome: Republican Party
 27.0% 15.0% High $11,199,865.19
TX-15 House winner?
Top outcome: Bobby Pulido
 43.0% 47.9% High $19,848.26
Ohio Senate winner? (2028)
Top outcome: Democratic party
 33.0% 27.3% High $13,233.16
MI-10 House winner?
Top outcome: Democratic party
 77.0% 79.4% High $9,026.38
Oregon Senate winner?
Top outcome: Democratic party
 95.0% 94.0% High $2,465.17
2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
Top outcome: Democratic Sweep
 41.0% 34.2% High $221,678.3
Texas Governor winner?
Top outcome: Democratic party
 12.0% 9.2% High $94,301.42
CO-08 House winner?
Top outcome: Democratic party
 67.0% 61.3% High $4,997.39
What will Matt Damon say during his SNL opening monologue?
Top outcome: Event does not qualify
 1.0% 0.3% Med $1,408,294.47
Florida Governor winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 77.0% 79.7% High $87,713.55
Blockx vs Zverev
Top outcome: Alexander Blockx
 1.0% 13.0% High $1,185,937.78
Nebraska Senate winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 68.0% 65.9% High $253,333.28
Game 4: New York at Philadelphia
Top outcome: New York
 53.0% 59.1% High $1,234,173.49
Iowa Governor winner?
Top outcome: Democratic party
 67.0% 71.9% High $128,866.65
WI-03 House winner?
Top outcome: Democratic party
 76.0% 60.4% High $7,433.91
Truist Championship: Top 20 Finishers
Top outcome: Tommy Fleetwood
 93.0% 91.1% Med $963,331.33
Kansas Governor winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 68.0% 71.2% High $10,975.74
Arizona Governor winner?
Top outcome: Democratic party
 77.0% 80.3% High $320,352.08
Pennsylvania Governor winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 7.0% 4.4% High $28,720.59
New Mexico Governor winner?
Top outcome: Democratic party
 92.1% 95.1% High $11,349.1
New York Governor winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 10.0% 7.5% High $276,381.38
Iowa Senate winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 61.0% 67.3% High $199,989.22
Michigan Senate winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 25.0% 31.8% High $129,858.03
North Carolina Senate winner?
Top outcome: Roy Cooper
 85.0% 87.5% High $237,710.2
Mississippi Senate winner?
Top outcome: Democratic party
 14.0% 6.3% High $34,699.68
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
Top outcome: Below 36%
 58.0% 59.2% High $173,005.67
Will anyone be charged in the Minnesota daycare fraud scandal?
Yes refers to: Before Sep 1, 2026
 72.0% 69.1% High $66,572.21
FL-23 House winner?
Top outcome: Democratic party
 79.0% 78.0% High $14,071.98
Alaska Senate winner? (Party)
Top outcome: Democratic party
 58.0% 66.1% High $256,169.44
Ohio Governor winner?
Top outcome: Vivek Ramaswamy
 46.0% 43.8% High $284,126.13
What will Drake say in Iceman?
Top outcome: Iceman
 88.0% 86.0% Med $136,978.27
Georgia Senate winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 18.0% 11.8% High $243,903.81
California Governor winner? (Party)
Top outcome: Republican party
 12.0% 13.9% High $681,374.58
Maine Senate winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 30.0% 33.1% High $435,845.32
South Carolina Senate winner?
Top outcome: Democratic party
 20.0% 19.6% High $91,447.6
International-Born Players Drafted in 1st Round
Top outcome: 4+ international-born players drafted
 72.0% 69.1% High $8,295.85
When will Playboi Carti release a new song?
Top outcome: Before July
 33.0% 35.0% High $1,519
Tien vs Bublik
Top outcome: Alexander Bublik
 66.0% 71.6% High $5,041.11
Papa vs Shanmugam
Top outcome: Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam
 48.0% 52.5% High $2.84
Sinha vs Kalyanpur
Top outcome: Nitin Kumar Sinha
 57.0% 61.2% High $1,023
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by May 31, 2026?
Top outcome: Above $2.17
 47.0% 39.3% High $1,044.13
Will Trump order pre-release federal review of AI models?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 18.0% 19.3% High $10,030.29
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
Yes refers to: During Trump's term
 16.0% 12.2% Med $18,727.05
Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 17.0% 12.1% Med $37,418.65
2026 Norway Chess Women Winner
Top outcome: Divya Deshmukh
 14.0% 11.5% High $4,547.28
Las Vegas vs Los Angeles
Top outcome: Las Vegas
 63.0% 49.4% High $202.29
Voter turnout for the Virginia redistricting referendum?
Top outcome: Above 3.0M
 5.1% 20.1% High $764,655.25
Liverpool vs Chelsea
Top outcome: Liverpool
 37.0% 32.6% High $1,327,407.41
Series Winner: Philadelphia (7) vs New York (3)
Top outcome: Philadelphia
 3.0% 15.0% High $3,362,437.17
Guadalajara vs Tigres: Spread
Top outcome: Guadalajara wins by over 1.5 goals
 23.0% 11.6% Med $747.42
NM-02 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Jose Orozco
 5.0% 80.0% High $1
Mersin Buyuksehir Belediyesi vs Trabzonspor Basketbol
Top outcome: Mersin Buyuksehir Belediyesi
 0.0% 45.5% High $0
Series Exact Score: Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche
Top outcome: COL wins 4-0
 32.0% 30.7% High $85,911.16
2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Anime of the Year?
Top outcome: My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON
 79.0% 56.5% High $25,103.95
Will Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) be announced this year?
Yes refers to: In 2027
 43.0% 38.7% Med $6,659.68
How many House seats will Democrats win in Alabama?
Top outcome: 0
 12.0% 84.0% High $51
How low will Hyperliquid get in May?
Top outcome: Below $32.50
 10.0% 17.9% High $4,003.5
IA-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Christina Bohannan
 96.0% 93.0% High $8,757.4
SD-AL Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Nikki Gronli
 97.0% 97.1% High $28,123.49
Illinois's 7th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 56+ pts
 89.0% 89.0% High $1,076
Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?
Top outcome: Dave Bronson
 35.0% 22.2% Med $49,234.15
Colorado's 2nd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 37+ pts
 83.0% 80.8% High $5,850
Who will make a public appearance in May 2026?
Top outcome: Joe Biden
 64.0% 99.0% High $4,123.67
Louisiana Republican Senate primary: first round winner
Top outcome: Julia Letlow
 67.0% 57.6% High $17,457.14
ID-01 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Russ Fulcher
 99.0% 99.8% High $10,994.95
Will Rolex release a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel this year?
Yes refers to: a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel
 7.0% 7.0% Med $25,850.83
New Hampshire's 1st District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 10+ pts
 61.0% 58.1% Med $17,481.86
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan?
Top outcome: Before July 1, 2027
 26.0% 15.4% Med $15,339.75
Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?
Yes refers to: In 2026
 30.0% 22.3% Med $162,559.71
NE-02 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: John Cavanaugh
 60.0% 60.5% High $49,295.8
Initial jobless claims for the week ending May 9, 2026
Top outcome: At least 210,000
 35.0% 32.0% High $2,289.78
Pennsylvania's 7th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 9+ pts
 10.0% 10.4% High $917
Pennsylvania's 10th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 5+ pts
 16.0% 8.0% High $917
2026 Republican Senate primaries combo
Yes refers to: Yes
 52.0% 56.0% Med $26,777.09
What will the announcers say during Pistons vs Cavaliers Professional Basketball Game
Top outcome: Airball / Airballs / Airballed
 29.0% 18.6% Med $4,766.99
LA-06 House winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 32.0% 40.4% High $28,596.21
What will the announcers say during Pistons vs Cavaliers Professional Basketball Game
Top outcome: Rocket
 89.0% 82.7% Med $3,530.62
Indiana's 7th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 34+ pts
 92.6% 95.0% Med $1,046
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Top outcome: Marjorie Taylor Greene
 34.0% 21.3% Med $266,967.39
Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?
Yes refers to: Yes
 49.0% 49.0% Med $9,540.74
Michigan's 8th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 2+ pts
 89.0% 81.1% High $1,186
Who will leave Congress before July?
Top outcome: Ruben Gallego
 5.0% 1.1% Med $149,552.25
US housing starts for April
Top outcome: Above 1.400M
 59.0% 98.0% High $8,361.9
IN-05 House winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 84.0% 87.8% High $3,686
Georgia Republican Governor primary: first round margin of victory
Top outcome: Burt Jones, 3-6%
 96.0% 34.6% High $1,735.51
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1?
Top outcome: More than 7 weeks
 2.0% 1.6% High $3,174.56
CPI in August
Top outcome: Above 0.3%
 40.0% 38.4% Med $9,543.43
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
Top outcome: Kamala Harris
 63.0% 40.5% Med $519,409.57
Georgia's 13th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 37+ pts
 78.0% 75.4% High $1,858
Michigan's 11th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 35+ pts
 10.0% 2.0% High $1,211
Florida's 12th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 22+ pts
 48.0% 35.9% High $4,956
Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 9+ pts
 20.0% 20.1% High $2,370
CA-07 primary: first place
Top outcome: Doris Matsui
 88.0% 77.2% High $13,851.04
Colorado's 3rd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 3+ pts
 25.0% 19.2% High $3,131
Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)
Top outcome: Above 3.8%
 77.0% 78.7% Med $33,103.08
Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?
Yes refers to: Decline greater than 20%
 25.0% 43.6% Med $1,673.2
Will the Switzerland 10 million population cap referendum pass?
Yes refers to: In 2026
 41.0% 48.9% Med $10,873.73
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
Yes refers to: Yes
 56.0% 44.1% Med $27,244.66
Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 3+ pts
 75.0% 57.9% High $1,023
Michigan's 4th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 5+ pts
 44.0% 24.6% High $2,534
Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place
Top outcome: Haley Stevens
 31.0% 30.6% High $4,393.88
Which Georgia primary elections will have a first-round winner?
Top outcome: Senate Republican primary
 25.0% 13.7% Med $24,435.2
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?
Top outcome: 0
 57.0% 43.3% High $27,545.36
Will xAI release a video game before 2027?
Yes refers to: Video Game
 40.0% 30.5% Med $17,327.41
Arizona's 9th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 9+ pts
 87.0% 88.0% High $10,439.97
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 6.9% 4.0% High $366,089.2
Montana's 1st District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 9+ pts
 11.0% 6.4% Med $1,891
Colorado's 6th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 18+ pts
 88.0% 91.4% High $4,636.27
Michigan's 5th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 13+ pts
 88.0% 100.0% High $1,380
Will Dodge release a new Challenger Hellcat before 2027?
Yes refers to: Dodge Challenger Hellcat
 17.0% 11.2% Med $11,853.42
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Top outcome: Above 249
 9.0% 11.7% High $376,436.14
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027
Top outcome: Exactly 0
 30.0% 35.4% High $19,243.24
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
Top outcome: Above $1200
 5.0% 10.0% High $40,154.6
Which bank will take SpaceX public?
Top outcome: Citigroup
 94.0% 92.1% Med $820,815.43
CA-12 primary: first place
Top outcome: Lateefah Simon
 91.0% 99.6% High $18,075.53
How high will gas prices in Florida get this year?
Top outcome: Above $4.50
 99.0% 98.8% High $70,681.43
Who will run for President of Brazil?
Top outcome: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
 83.0% 88.9% Med $99,455.41
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
Yes refers to: Yes
 9.0% 7.8% Med $29,179.21
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027
 1.0% 0.7% Med $9,750
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
Top outcome: Before Jan 2027
 85.0% 85.1% High $11,719.43
New York's 17th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 3+ pts
 28.0% 16.6% High $1,727
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027
 12.0% 4.2% High $292,187.31
What will Hims say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: FDA
 56.0% 61.4% Med $1,823.55
Connecticut's 3rd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 38+ pts
 8.3% 10.1% Med $1,813
Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 3.5% 1.5% Med $40,852.69
What will the announcers say during Mets vs Diamondbacks Professional Baseball Game
Top outcome: Event does not qualify
 1.0% 0.5% Med $2,516.12
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
Yes refers to: In 2026
 14.5% 9.5% Med $264,158
TX-18 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Christian Menefee
 94.3% 95.6% High $84,605.89
Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?
Top outcome: Above 3.75%
 2.0% 1.6% High $266,346.59
Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 38+ pts
 27.0% 17.9% High $3,933.9
Iowa's 1st District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 3+ pts
 26.0% 20.0% High $3,262
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Yes refers to: Before his term ends
 22.0% 17.0% Med $450,741.14
Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 11.0% 5.1% Med $10,269.04
CA-03 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Robb Tucker
 69.0% 47.8% Med $33,229.23
Costco total cardholders in Q3
Top outcome: Above 150 million
 39.0% 41.3% High $11,275.76
Montana's 1st District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 3+ pts
 48.0% 38.0% High $1,890
What will the announcers say during Astros vs Reds Professional Baseball Game
Top outcome: Event does not qualify
 1.0% 0.3% Med $2,076.25
How low will XRP get in May?
Top outcome: Below $1.30
 38.0% 48.7% High $17,963.89
What will the announcers say during Spurs vs Timberwolves Professional Basketball Game
Top outcome: Buzzer
 42.0% 33.8% Med $7,910.67
NJ-08 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Robert Menendez Jr.
 89.0% 91.7% High $22,455.97
New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 19+ pts
 12.0% 8.7% High $4,908
CPI month-over-month in May 2026?
Top outcome: Exactly 0.6%
 12.0% 12.0% High $7,270.29
Will Mamdani freeze the rent in 2026?
Yes refers to: In 2026
 77.2% 67.7% Med $106,452.91
How many seats will the SNP win in the Scottish Parliament election?
Top outcome: Above 64
 5.1% 5.2% High $34,652.92
Blue wave in 2026?
Yes refers to: Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
 74.0% 77.0% Med $179,575
When will JD Vance visit Pakistan?
Top outcome: Before May 29, 2026
 19.0% 11.5% High $56,043.27
Indiana's 2nd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 10+ pts
 90.0% 93.0% High $1,477
Hims subscribers in Q1
Top outcome: Above 2.6 million
 27.0% 10.2% High $8,000.52
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor this year?
Yes refers to: Yes
 74.0% 74.0% Med $14,222.51
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?
Top outcome: Above 1000
 60.0% 37.5% High $100,550.12
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2029
 9.2% 6.9% Med $214,682.71
What will the announcers say during Cardinals vs Padres Professional Baseball Game
Top outcome: What a Catch
 2.0% 0.6% Med $32,924.78
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
Top outcome: Above 3.50%
 83.0% 68.9% High $34,252.65
Florida's 3rd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 26+ pts
 23.0% 17.7% High $5,519
CPI in June
Top outcome: Above 0.5%
 26.0% 20.0% High $19,057.95
Marty Makary out as FDA commissioner?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 53.0% 36.8% High $13,948.99
Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 20, 2029
 68.0% 76.4% Med $316,011.59
Tesla production in Q2
Top outcome: Above 440000
 46.0% 26.0% High $98,089.91
What will the announcers say during Knicks vs 76ers Professional Basketball Game
Top outcome: Draft / Drafted
 71.0% 66.2% Med $7,834.33
Byrtus vs Cardenas
Top outcome: Leonel Cardenas
 68.0% 87.8% High $27.49
Players to Score 50+ Points in a Playoff Game
Top outcome: Victor Wembanyama
 8.0% 3.1% Med $9,562.89
Will the Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Yes refers to: Green Party
 95.0% 95.7% Med $15,361.36
Will Mamdani tax luxury second homes?
Yes refers to: Yes
 91.0% 92.2% Med $5,226.88
Who will win the next Greek general election?
Top outcome: New Democracy
 77.0% 89.7% High $4,348.33
Nebraska's 3rd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 60+ pts
 11.0% 20.6% High $1,728
Peru presidential election matchup
Top outcome: Keiko Fujimori vs. Rafael López Aliaga
 4.0% 3.2% High $499,086.3
Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office?
Top outcome: Before June 1, 2026
 12.0% 7.0% High $482,563.71
FL-09 House winner?
Top outcome: Democratic party
 42.0% 34.0% High $20,997.02
WV-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Brit Aguirre
 78.0% 89.1% High $4,372.15
When will Apple announce foldable iPhone?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 79.0% 79.0% Med $62,853
Florida's 4th District margin of victory
Yes refers to: Democrats, 3+ pts
 7.1% 5.3% Med $1,802
Will the 10 year US Treasury yield end May 2026 above 4.35%?
Yes refers to: 4.35% or above
 57.0% 53.0% Med $2,584
Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?
Top outcome: Before Apr 1, 2027
 65.0% 34.3% High $19,967.3
Will the Supreme Court let Trump fire FTC Commissioners at will?
Yes refers to: Yes
 93.1% 94.5% Med $30,554.94
Highest natural gas spot price in​ 2026
Top outcome: $7.01 or above
 39.0% 50.3% High $21,811.66
Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 5+ pts
 7.8% 6.1% High $1,900
NL Central Division Winner
Top outcome: Pittsburgh
 13.0% 6.4% High $816,970.85
CA-47 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Christopher Gonzales
 7.5% 4.6% Med $18,825.9
Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
Yes refers to: Hires
 33.0% 17.5% Med $63,484.97
What will the announcers say during Thunder vs Lakers Professional Basketball Game
Top outcome: Alley-oop
 54.0% 45.6% Med $10,049.33
Iowa Senate winner? (Person)
Top outcome: Zach Wahls
 15.0% 15.9% High $2,821.59
Will Pete Hegseth announce his departure as Secretary of Defense?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 9.0% 7.1% High $22,483.05
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 19.0% 19.6% High $1,532,452.9
Game 3: New York at Philadelphia
Top outcome: New York
 49.0% 56.5% High $805,602.47
Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?
Top outcome: Diego Morales
 81.0% 47.9% High $25,238.32
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027
 38.0% 23.3% High $182,962.5
Will Howard Lutnick announce his departure as Commerce Secretary?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 4.9% 5.2% High $16,914.66
Will BMW release a Fully Electric M3 before 2028?
Yes refers to: Fully Electric M3
 81.0% 85.4% Med $15,192
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
Top outcome: Ghislaine Maxwell
 15.0% 7.5% Med $198,913.22
Will Trump order more tariffs in May 2026?
Yes refers to: Yes
 56.0% 67.3% Med $21,305.76
When will a Trump passport be issued?
Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026
 73.0% 73.4% High $6,407.98
CA-38 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Hilda Solis
 98.0% 98.1% Med $26,981.63
Illinois's 3rd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 30+ pts
 90.4% 87.3% High $2,166
How high will gas prices in California get this year?
Top outcome: Above $7.40
 42.0% 40.2% High $57,862.06
Who will Trump pardon?
Top outcome: Barron Trump
 40.0% 27.0% Med $286,657.68
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Top outcome: Above 160
 34.0% 32.9% High $187,477.89
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 12.0% 12.0% Med $885,303.16
Michigan's 7th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 1+ pts
 76.0% 59.2% Med $2,767
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Top outcome: FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
 11.0% 3.6% Med $223,403.72
Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2026 election?
Top outcome: Viktor Orbán
 0.1% 0.1% High $3,517,054.72
Ohio's 15th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 1+ pts
 20.0% 20.1% High $3,327
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before 2027?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027
 21.0% 30.0% Med $109,873.78
Will the 2028 presidential election occur?
Yes refers to: In 2028
 92.5% 96.6% Med $58,353.85
When will Tim Cook leave Apple?
Top outcome: Before July
 3.0% 1.0% High $395,503.58
Minnesota's 8th District margin of victory
Yes refers to: Democrats, 2+ pts
 16.0% 10.5% Med $2,427
When will Elon Musk become a trillionaire?
Top outcome: Before 2027
 78.0% 75.4% High $404,259.7
Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
Top outcome: SpaceX
 95.0% 93.9% Med $1,406,584.38
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027
 5.8% 2.6% Med $37,777.71
How high will Ethereum get in 2026?
Top outcome: Above $6,000.00
 7.0% 3.5% High $1,555,431.73
Will Trump sue Powell before his term ends?
Yes refers to: Before May 2026
 1.9% 1.9% Med $52,956.39
Women's Pro Basketball: Golden State Valkyries Total Wins
Top outcome: 25+ wins
 40.0% 31.0% High $207.19
CA-32 primary: first place
Top outcome: Brad Sherman
 96.0% 92.6% High $7,298.66
Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the Senate?
Top outcome: Thom Tillis
 92.0% 89.4% Med $4,646
KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout
Top outcome: Above 60k
 96.0% 96.0% High $20,458.03
2026 Democratic Senate primaries combo
Yes refers to: Yes
 17.0% 22.0% Med $121,044.14
Illinois's 5th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 31+ pts
 91.0% 91.7% High $2,679
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026
 12.0% 9.3% High $293,447.23
Who will advance from the CA-11 primary?
Top outcome: Scott Wiener
 94.3% 91.9% Med $100,610.18
When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
Top outcome: Before 2027
 29.0% 28.4% Med $345,941.03
CA-25 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Ceci Truman
 28.0% 16.1% Med $9,317.84
Pro Football: 1250+ Rushing Yards Season
Top outcome: Ashton Jeanty
 0.0% 0.0% Med $0
Michigan's 7th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 5+ pts
 7.4% 4.9% High $2,945
How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?
Top outcome: 0
 79.0% 76.7% High $108,537.22
New Hampshire's 1st District margin of victory
Yes refers to: Republicans, 2+ pts
 8.9% 6.1% Med $3,829
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
Top outcome: Bitcoin (BTC)
 45.0% 41.3% Med $401,431.65
Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 17.0% 13.4% High $186,539.17
What will the announcers say during Knicks vs 76ers Professional Basketball Game
Top outcome: Event does not qualify
 1.0% 0.2% Med $16,174.27
TX-33 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Colin Allred
 79.0% 82.5% High $248,957.99
MI-11 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Jeremy Moss
 93.0% 88.5% High $7,762.72
Florida's 7th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 4+ pts
 11.0% 11.4% High $3,544
When will Dogecoin hit $1?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 1.0% 0.6% High $446,917.44
Illinois's 2nd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 28+ pts
 95.1% 95.0% High $3,318
When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?
Top outcome: Before Jun 27, 2026
 5.0% 4.7% High $49,454.35
Kansas's 3rd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 14+ pts
 39.0% 73.1% High $5,578
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Top outcome: Before January 21, 2029
 34.0% 18.1% Med $3,992,354.36
What will the announcers say during Rays vs Red Sox Professional Baseball Game
Top outcome: Bases Loaded
 4.0% 1.4% Med $28,436.37
West Virginia Democratic Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Jeff Kessler
 87.0% 83.6% High $19,233.31
Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?
Top outcome: Donald Trump → John Cornyn
 40.0% 29.1% Med $180,295.07
Texas Republican Attorney General nominee?
Top outcome: Chip Roy
 38.0% 29.5% High $193,444.6
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
Top outcome: China
 96.0% 99.0% Med $491,673.01
CA-30 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Laura Friedman
 99.1% 98.8% Med $77,961.28
Illinois's 4th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 27+ pts
 91.4% 90.1% High $4,133
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Top outcome: Tim Walz
 17.0% 8.1% Med $712,769.36
São Paulo Governor winner?
Top outcome: Tarcísio de Freitas
 91.0% 91.7% High $24,389.35
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027
 16.0% 5.7% High $2,074,227.98
Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory
Yes refers to: Democrats, 3+ pts
 12.0% 12.0% Med $4,104
2026 Texas Senate matchup?
Top outcome: Talarico vs. Paxton
 61.0% 58.3% High $3,858,435.42
US bans social media for children in 2026?
Yes refers to: Yes
 9.1% 5.8% Med $15,544.81
X re-launches Vine this year?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 11.0% 7.1% Med $9,927.11
Will anyone win the Colombian presidential election in the first round?
Yes refers to: First-round winner
 9.8% 6.8% Med $15,569.12
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 5.0% 2.5% High $330,640.51
2028 Republican VP nominee
Top outcome: Marco Rubio
 25.0% 26.6% High $991,944.14
How much will the Steam Machine cost?
Top outcome: At least $900
 30.0% 32.7% High $124,117.08
How low will Ethereum get in 2026?
Top outcome: Below $1,250.00
 38.0% 41.0% High $618,171.92
Will the DOJ reopen its investigation into Powell?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 2.0% 1.0% High $12,655.08
What flavors will JUUL relaunch?
Top outcome: Mango
 41.0% 22.8% Med $34,628.27
How high will Solana get in May?
Top outcome: Above $100.00
 22.0% 22.5% High $31,096.78
More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?
Yes refers to: Yes
 65.0% 45.0% Med $48,592.36
California Governor Primary margin of victory
Top outcome: Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts
 36.0% 21.9% High $4,847
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Top outcome: Haley Stevens
 13.0% 10.0% High $8,335.19
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
Top outcome: At least 10%
 69.0% 54.7% High $41,250.71
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Top outcome: María Corina Machado
 14.0% 4.9% Med $4,566,175.63
California Governor Primary margin of victory
Top outcome: Tom Steyer, 5+ pts
 10.0% 5.8% Med $11,793.48
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
Yes refers to: Above $200000
 7.0% 9.4% Med $4,228,540.73
CA-14 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Rakhi Israni Singh
 49.0% 36.3% Med $75,946.3
Next Fed rate hike?
Top outcome: Before 2027
 20.0% 20.1% Med $610,251.31
Who will visit Iran before July?
Top outcome: Reza Pahlavi
 2.3% 0.8% Med $450,812.3
CA-43 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Maxine Waters
 97.9% 98.0% Med $8,974.29
Illinois's 1st District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 26+ pts
 92.1% 90.0% High $5,396
Kansas's 2nd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 1+ pts
 90.5% 89.1% High $5,427
Georgia's 12th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 11+ pts
 50.0% 58.0% High $6,437
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Top outcome: Before January 20, 2029
 26.0% 15.4% High $7,041,450.96
New Xbox this year?
Yes refers to: a new Xbox video game console
 16.0% 7.6% Med $10,264.71
Will Trump be impeached?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 0.9% 1.0% High $3,110,741.61
Florida's 2nd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 13+ pts
 44.0% 38.2% High $8,731.52
Michigan's 4th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 4+ pts
 17.0% 9.9% High $6,140
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
Yes refers to: Yes
 25.0% 21.0% Med $32,740.93
Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?
Top outcome: Xi Jinping
 2.4% 0.8% Med $2,935,701.8
What nicknames will Trump say before July?
Top outcome: Whack Job / Wack Job
 99.0% 99.0% Med $151,985.86
New Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 18+ pts
 11.0% 11.4% High $6,583.23
SpaceX Starship 12th launch?
Yes refers to: Before June
 84.0% 80.9% High $1,563,985.15
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?
Yes refers to: Yes
 13.0% 10.2% Med $55,390.81
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jun 30, 2027
 13.0% 22.1% High $169,138.68
How high will XRP get in May?
Top outcome: Above $2.10
 5.0% 3.9% High $66,633.51
Will the DNC release the 2024 autopsy report?
Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026
 30.0% 15.7% High $42,627.15
Peru presidential first round: margin of victory
Top outcome: Carlos Álvarez, ≥5%
 1.0% 1.0% High $206,860.97
Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 7+ pts
 12.0% 7.0% Med $7,829
Indiana's 5th District margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 1+ pts
 85.0% 75.1% High $8,412
More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?
Yes refers to: Yes
 90.9% 93.7% Med $31,330,668.58
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Top outcome: Above 218
 1.0% 1.6% High $616,936.11
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Top outcome: Above 52
 22.0% 18.9% High $796,806.88
USD/IRR on May 29, 2026
Top outcome: Above 1,000,000
98.0% 99.9% High $30,487.29
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Top outcome: Kash Patel
 74.0% 66.0% Med $4,192,430.21
NJ-09 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Tiffany Burress
 10.0% 6.7% High $14,991.01
Will Trump release new UFO files before 2027?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 88.0% 89.6% Med $182,518.35
Georgia Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Rick Jackson
 51.0% 54.1% High $217,479.14
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in May 2026?
Top outcome: 1
 87.0% 85.1% High $89,207.37
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?
Top outcome: 79.99 or below
 76.0% 97.0% High $224,410.79
Florida's 23rd District margin of victory
Top outcome: Democrats, 5+ pts
 80.0% 85.3% Med $17,735
What will the announcers say during Lakers vs Thunder Professional Basketball Game
Top outcome: Buzzer
 51.0% 42.4% Med $50,760
AL West Division Winner
Top outcome: Seattle
 50.0% 53.8% High $531,806.9
What will Lyft say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Oil / Gas / Gasoline
 1.0% 0.5% Med $95,043.24
California Governor primary advancers? (Person)
Top outcome: Xavier Becerra
 62.0% 51.2% Med $829,852.4
What will the announcers say during Cavaliers vs Pistons Professional Basketball Game
Top outcome: Buzzer
 14.0% 6.7% Med $66,028.79
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Top outcome: Before June
 2.1% 2.3% High $1,451,812.3
How high will the S&P get this year?
Top outcome: 7,200 or above
 99.9% 99.6% High $980,523.23
Ohio Republican Governor primary: voter turnout
Top outcome: Above 1.0M
 1.0% 0.0% High $106,613.83
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 2.0% 1.0% High $57,663.52
Airbnb bookings in Q1 2026
Top outcome: Above 165 million
 1.0% 0.0% High $232,693.79
CAVA restaurants in Q1
Top outcome: Above 460
 20.0% 35.4% High $81,959.06
New York Atlas vs Carolina Chaos
Top outcome: Carolina Chaos
 51.0% 64.7% High $22.06
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Top outcome: Before 2027
 13.0% 6.5% High $1,887,226.31
Texas Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Ken Paxton
 62.0% 65.7% High $12,832,208.68
When will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Top outcome: Before May 15, 2026
 96.2% 97.5% High $2,711,534.57
What will Trump say this month?
Top outcome: Fat shot / Ozempic
 99.0% 98.1% Med $254,756.85
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
Top outcome: Virginia
 59.0% 39.7% Med $1,401,305.31
How high will Bitcoin get in May?
Top outcome: Above $82,500.00
 76.0% 72.3% High $542,058.46
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Top outcome: Before June 2026
 1.0% 0.8% High $14,659,676.49
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (5/3 - 5/9)
Top outcome: Above 0
 86.0% 62.8% High $56,372.13
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
Top outcome: Before July 2026
 16.0% 16.3% High $5,895,252.17
When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 12.0% 14.4% High $4,312,460.4
When will Trump visit China?
Top outcome: Before May 15, 2026
 89.0% 94.5% High $776,058.91
Will Elon win his case against OpenAI?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 38.0% 38.0% Med $967,419.01
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027
 27.0% 27.0% Med $275,311.38
Donald Trump out as President? (Excluding death)
Top outcome: Before 2027
 9.9% 6.6% High $9,140,358.15
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Top outcome: Before June
 12.0% 57.0% High $6,696,651.74
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Top outcome: Judy Shelton
 0.3% 2.0% High $6,881,888.2
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Top outcome: Before May 15, 2026
 5.7% 3.3% High $9,126,622.11
How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
Top outcome: Above 43%
 28.0% 16.6% High $100,314.87
World Cup Group K Qualifiers
Top outcome: Colombia
 85.0% 80.2% Med $855.58
Hawaii 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Top outcome: Above 195K
 0.0% 20.0% High $0
Nanterre 92 vs BCM Gravelines Dunkerque
Top outcome: BCM Gravelines Dunkerque
 0.0% 38.2% High $0
Cesena vs Padova
Top outcome: Cesena
 62.0% 80.7% High $57
How low will BNB get in May?
Top outcome: Below $530.00
 3.0% 1.6% High $2,725.32
Cina vs Blockx
Top outcome: Alexander Blockx
 86.0% 87.8% High $1,402,935.42
Fearnley vs Mpetshi Perricard
Top outcome: Jacob Fearnley
 18.0% 22.8% High $1,827,244.01
Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?
Top outcome: Before Jun 9, 2026
 32.0% 21.8% High $13,097.8
Malaga vs Gijon
Top outcome: Gijon
 0.0% 28.4% High $0
Slaven Belupo vs Gorica
Top outcome: Gorica
 0.0% 31.3% High $0
Aston Villa vs Liverpool: First Half Winner
Top outcome: Aston Villa
 0.0% 26.3% High $0
World Cup Group E Winner
Top outcome: Ecuador
 23.0% 27.6% High $18,335.97
Washington pro baseball wins this season?
Top outcome: 65+ wins
 56.0% 41.4% High $10,878.55
Phoenix vs Las Vegas
Top outcome: Over 160.5 points scored
 0.0% 5.0% High $0
TX-38 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Jon Bonck
 98.6% 97.8% High $37,086.4
Will Mamdani raise property taxes?
Yes refers to: Yes
 19.0% 13.4% Med $4,203.72
Rain in Los Angeles in May 2026?
Top outcome: Above 1 inch
 8.0% 4.0% High $19,730.73
Will Solana end 2026 over $500?
Yes refers to: na
 6.0% 9.4% Med $224,981.03
Number of tropical storms in 2026?
Top outcome: Above 18
 19.0% 12.3% High $13,552.3
Price of Solana by end of 2026?
Top outcome: 150 or above
 22.0% 19.6% High $140,266.55
8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 56.0% 48.0% Med $21,962.32
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Yes refers to: Hottest
 30.2% 22.1% Med $109,883.13
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
Yes refers to: Before 2028
 16.0% 7.6% Med $6,084.18
US meets its climate goals?
Top outcome: By 2025
 4.8% 15.8% High $54,122.87
Philadelphia at New York
Top outcome: yes Mikal Bridges: 10+,yes OG Anunoby: 15+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 10+
 27.8% 17.6% Med $19,546
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Yes refers to: Before 2050
 81.0% 88.2% Med $13,300.68
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2050
 19.4% 12.1% Med $28,473.65
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?
Yes refers to: By 2030
 42.0% 32.7% Med $3,128.26
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Yes refers to: Before 2035
 31.0% 21.8% Med $19,065.06
Minnesota at San Antonio
Top outcome: yes Anthony Edwards: 2+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 2+,yes Stephon Castle: 2+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 2+,yes Mikal Bridges: 1+,yes Joel Embiid: 1+,yes Tyrese Maxey: 2+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 1+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 4+,yes Jalen Brunson: 6+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 2+,yes Jaden McDaniels: 10+,yes Julius Randle: 15+,yes Dylan Harper: 10+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 25+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 15+,yes Mikal Bridges: 10+,yes OG Anunoby: 15+,yes Joel Embiid: 20+,yes Kelly Oubre Jr.: 10+,yes Paul George: 10+,yes Rudy Gobert: 8+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 12+,yes Josh Hart: 6+,yes Mikal Bridges: 2+,yes OG Anunoby: 2+,yes Joel Embiid: 6+
 0.2% 0.2% Med $5,000
Combo
Top outcome: yes Anthony Edwards: 20+,no San Antonio wins by over 10.5 points,no New York wins by over 7.5 points
 18.0% 9.5% Med $1,568
Georgia Democratic Lieutenant Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Josh McLaurin
 68.0% 68.8% High $16,692.44
Will Rolex release a new reference in titanium this year?
Yes refers to: a new reference in titanium
 3.0% 1.9% Med $5,900.31
Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 36.0% 25.8% Med $6,458.07
Atletico at Osasuna: Totals
Top outcome: Over 3.5 goals scored
 34.0% 31.7% High $1
Michigan Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Mike Rogers
 99.0% 93.4% High $2,830.3
Who will perform at Las Vegas Sphere in 2027?
Top outcome: U2
 18.0% 5.6% Med $56,419.62
Augsburg vs M´gladbach: First Half Winner
Top outcome: M´gladbach
 0.0% 29.4% High $0
The Bandits vs. mCon esports: Total Maps
Yes refers to: Over 2.5 maps
 99.0% 99.0% Med $512.76
ATP #1 Ranked Men's Singles Player on Dec 31, 2026?
Top outcome: Carlos Alcaraz
 5.0% 3.5% High $10,725.66
Robert Morris vs Jacksonville
Top outcome: Robert Morris
 9.0% 6.6% High $808.06
Pro Football: Denver Total Wins
Top outcome: 10+ wins
 60.0% 45.2% High $1,545.7
Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys: Set 1 Winner
Top outcome: Eva Lys
 53.0% 93.0% High $29
Standard vs Leuven
Top outcome: Leuven
 0.0% 29.4% High $0
Kypson vs Droguet
Top outcome: Patrick Kypson
 75.0% 62.3% High $1,033,592.5
Bondar vs Zheng
Top outcome: Anna Bondar
 65.0% 68.4% High $791,253.09
Who will attend The Met Gala?
Top outcome: Sydney Sweeney
 1.0% 0.3% Med $5,925,272.89
Columbus Aviators vs St. Louis Battlehawks
Top outcome: Columbus Aviators
 40.0% 24.6% High $1,335.89
CA-24 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: Salud Carbajal
 95.8% 94.5% Med $10,875.14
Gas prices in the US in May 2026?
Top outcome: Above 5.50
 1.0% 21.4% High $111,635.5
Game 3: Colorado at Minnesota: Spread
Top outcome: Colorado wins by over 1.5 goals
 43.0% 32.3% Med $220.49
Cruzeiro at Bahia: Totals
Top outcome: Over 1.5 goals scored
 0.0% 0.0% High $0
Atletico at Arsenal: Spreads
Top outcome: Arsenal wins by over 1.5 goals
 36.0% 32.1% Med $33,477.8
ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic: Hole-in-One
Top outcome: 1+ holes-in-one
 0.0% 0.0% High $0
Philadelphia at New York: Steals
Top outcome: Paul George: 1+
 75.0% 100.0% Med $9,168.22
Ivy League Men's Conference Tournament Champion
Top outcome: Brown
 0.0% 11.0% High $0
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Top outcome: Before July
 15.0% 1.0% High $15,676.54
Diego Pavia: Play in Preseason
Yes refers to: Diego Pavia
 85.0% 87.8% Med $305.83
Will FIFA pull the World Cup out of the USA?
Yes refers to: Before Jun 11, 2026
 1.0% 0.6% Med $24,061
Mitteldeutscher BC vs MLP Academics Heidelberg
Top outcome: Mitteldeutscher BC
 57.0% 59.7% High $1,568.38
Wolfsburg vs Bayern Munich
Top outcome: Bayern Munich
 59.0% 49.5% High $2,912.53
Liaoning Tieren vs Chengdu Rongcheng
Top outcome: Liaoning Tieren
 14.0% 10.6% High $1,850.55
Will Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 10.0% 10.0% Med $56,293.56
2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Album of the Year?
Top outcome: Ain't in it For My Health
 48.0% 81.2% High $800
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love: First Week Activity (Combined Sales): Hits Daily Double
Top outcome: At least 400,000
 43.0% 31.7% High $6,078.13
Leverkusen at Stuttgart: Spreads
Top outcome: Leverkusen wins by over 2.5 goals
 10.0% 0.0% Med $1
Toronto at Cleveland
Top outcome: yes Donovan Mitchell: 25+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 4+
 36.2% 32.5% Med $38,017
Toronto at Cleveland
Top outcome: yes Scottie Barnes: 8+,yes Jarrett Allen: 10+,yes James Harden: 20+,yes RJ Barrett: 25+
 10.0% 0.0% Med $920
Which soccer players will transfer clubs before Sep 15, 2026?
Top outcome: Mohammed Salah
 98.0% 97.4% Med $14,749.98
M80 vs. Shopify Rebellion: Map 1
Top outcome: M80
 0.0% 45.5% High $0
Who will win the Senate race in Arkansas?
— — Low $0
When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia?
Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026
 1.8% 0.0% High $31,622
ID-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Kaylee Peterson
 98.0% 96.1% High $5,390.41
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
Top outcome: 45,000 to 49,999.99
 5.6% 5.1% Med $23,063,492.9
Ethereum price at the end of 2026
Top outcome: 2,250 to 2,499.99
 7.8% 8.0% High $11,552,382.04
Combo
Top outcome: yes Cade Cunningham: 25+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+,yes Desmond Bane: 15+,yes Ausar Thompson: 8+
 19.8% 10.8% Med $255
Combo
Top outcome: yes Cade Cunningham: 25+,yes Paolo Banchero: 20+,no Detroit wins by over 7.5 points,yes Over 200.5 points scored
 17.7% 9.9% Med $82
Combo
Top outcome: yes Cade Cunningham: 25+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+,yes Paolo Banchero: 20+,yes Detroit wins by over 7.5 points,yes Over 200.5 points scored
 11.7% 5.3% Med $219
Combo
Top outcome: yes Cade Cunningham: 35+,yes Paolo Banchero: 30+,yes Evan Mobley: 15+,yes RJ Barrett: 25+,yes Scottie Barnes: 25+
 0.6% 0.2% Med $1,206
HK Avangard Omsk vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Top outcome: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
 56.0% 46.9% High $1,813.44
NV-02 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: David Flippo
 53.0% 37.1% High $11,445.59
Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano: Method of Finish
Top outcome: Decision
 0.0% 18.0% High $0
Pro Baseball: 4+ Home Run Game
Yes refers to: 4+ Home runs
 25.0% 25.0% Med $1,959.35
Coach of the Year Winner
Top outcome: JB Bickerstaff
 4.0% 2.4% High $5,004,444.63
Game 6: Cleveland at Toronto
Top outcome: Toronto
 38.0% 30.5% High $352,785.42
Game 6: Detroit at Orlando
Top outcome: Orlando
 40.0% 47.5% High $1,058,925.83
Game 6: Los Angeles L at Houston
Top outcome: Los Angeles L
 40.0% 32.3% High $1,727,922.48
Rain in Houston in May 2026?
Top outcome: Above 7 inches
 46.0% 38.3% High $6,610
TX-32 House winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 81.0% 64.8% High $9,087.21
MO-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Cori Bush
 37.0% 31.2% High $13,250.89
Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year?
Yes refers to: a steel Nautilus reference
 10.0% 12.8% Med $7,324.31
Salt Lake vs Portland
Top outcome: Portland
 15.0% 12.6% High $4,090.88
Which video games will release this year?
Top outcome: Half-Life 3
 21.0% 10.8% Med $109,065.28
Europa League Champion
Top outcome: Aston Villa
 37.0% 32.2% High $194,044.39
Game 7: Philadelphia (7) vs Boston (2)
Top outcome: Philadelphia
 30.0% 29.4% Med $3,406,014.63
Arnaldi vs Borges
Top outcome: Nuno Borges
 77.0% 79.0% High $1,391,246.76
Cadillac Championship: Top 20 Finishers
Top outcome: Nick Taylor
 94.0% 72.0% Med $1,368,620.26
Which teams will play in the 2026 Stanley Cup®?
Top outcome: Carolina and Colorado
 24.0% 20.6% Med $282,362.65
Al-Kholood at Al-Ittihad: Totals
Top outcome: Over 1.5 goals scored
 0.0% 12.0% Med $0
Yellow Submarine vs. MOUZ: Map 2
Top outcome: Yellow Submarine
 30.0% 97.0% High $6.35
2nd Round Head-to-Head: Thorbjornsen vs Conners
Top outcome: Round 2nd: Corey Conners beats Michael Thorbjornsen
 47.0% 99.6% High $205.15
Dolphins vs Canterbury Bulldogs
Top outcome: Canterbury Bulldogs
 0.0% 30.9% High $0
OR-03 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Maxine Dexter
 99.0% 88.4% High $9,265.68
When will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?
Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2027
 42.0% 34.8% Med $608
DC Democratic House delegate nominee?
Top outcome: Robert White
 59.0% 44.3% High $6,960.07
Bielefeld vs Bochum
Top outcome: Bochum
 28.0% 93.0% High $17
Arizona Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Andy Biggs
 96.9% 65.9% High $59,442.92
Manawatu Jets vs Southland Sharks
Top outcome: Manawatu Jets
 0.0% 47.8% High $0
UK unemployment rate for March 2026
Top outcome: Above 4.9%
 42.0% 35.0% High $234.71
Vince McMahon: Return to WWE in 2026
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027
 29.0% 22.9% Med $1,208.37
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Top outcome: Gavin Newsom
 25.0% 21.3% High $97,154,205.3
How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?
Top outcome: 10
 51.0% 38.2% High $57,720.08
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
Top outcome: Wind turbines
 49.0% 40.0% Med $34,891.22
Fed rate cut before 2027?
Yes refers to: Cuts
 49.2% 48.0% Med $104,789.29
2026 Game of the Year?
Top outcome: Crimson Desert
 8.0% 8.3% High $612,914.56
Will Nancy Mace resign before the midterms?
Yes refers to: Before election day 2026
 8.1% 6.0% Med $4,455.01
AFC East Division Winner
Top outcome: Buffalo
 55.0% 57.1% High $53,307.81
Mike Brown: Out by Date
Top outcome: Out before Jul 1, 2026
 43.0% 27.0% High $304.21
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?
Top outcome: James Fishback
 9.9% 4.0% Med $52,525.27
Who will win the next Australian House election?
Top outcome: Australian Labor Party
 59.0% 47.0% High $16,038.37
Winterthur vs Zurich
Top outcome: Winterthur
 37.0% 93.0% High $25
Will Don Bacon resign his office before the midterms?
Yes refers to: Before election day 2026
 9.4% 5.6% Med $737
Georgia Democratic Attorney General nominee?
Top outcome: Bob Trammell
 6.3% 18.0% High $12,631
Fenerbahce vs Basaksehir
Top outcome: Basaksehir
 24.0% 21.9% High $104.23
Series Game Spread: Minnesota (6) vs Denver (3)
Top outcome: Minnesota -2.5 games
 1.0% 0.8% High $72,881.65
GTA 6 release date?
Top outcome: Before August 2026
 2.0% 21.6% High $1,365,687.24
Ruud vs Blockx
Top outcome: Casper Ruud
 17.0% 25.0% High $2,223,572.91
Series Winner: Houston (5) vs Los Angeles L (4)
Top outcome: Los Angeles L
 73.0% 53.7% High $13,668,433
Series Winner: Toronto (5) vs Cleveland (4)
Top outcome: Toronto
 27.0% 11.7% High $1,312,090.93
How long will the government shutdown last?
Top outcome: At least 90 days
 34.0% 19.3% High $19,826,631.06
New Star Wars movie released in theaters before 2027?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027
 99.0% 99.1% Med $186,230.55
Eastern Conference Finals Matchup
Top outcome: Boston vs Cleveland
 44.0% 36.3% Med $174,743.2
Series Total Games: Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights
Yes refers to: Over 6.5 total games
 52.0% 45.4% High $525.51
Atalanta vs Genoa
Top outcome: Atalanta
 61.0% 65.7% High $3,655.57
Heidenheim at Bayern Munich: Totals
Top outcome: Over 4.5 goals scored
 41.0% 35.1% High $358.23
Brentford at Manchester City: Both Teams to Score
Yes refers to: Both Teams To Score
 0.0% 0.8% Med $0
American Music Award for Best Male R&B Artist?
Top outcome: Bruno Mars
 70.0% 63.9% High $209.22
Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 96.9% 97.9% Med $14,402.42
Pro Baseball Championship Series Matchup
Top outcome: New York Y vs Los Angeles D
 13.2% 8.3% Med $6,603.94
Will Rubio and Vance run for President?
Yes refers to: JD Vance: Republican, Marco Rubio: Republican
 53.0% 58.9% Med $4,431.31
US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026
Top outcome: Above $180 billion
 15.0% 13.4% High $177
Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election?
Top outcome: Coalition including ODM
 56.0% 57.2% High $9,371
Belgium vs IR Iran
Top outcome: Belgium
 79.0% 45.4% High $2,683.91
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
Yes refers to: Before 2028
 57.0% 49.0% Med $20,595.9
MotoGP Teams' World Champion
Top outcome: Aprilia Racing
 88.0% 59.7% High $3,023.96
Western Conference Champion
Top outcome: Los Angeles L
 4.0% 4.6% High $15,524,621.26
Who will go on Jimmy Kimmel?
Top outcome: Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson
 83.0% 77.6% Med $15,419.01
Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Tim Walz
 1.6% 0.0% High $444,024.37
Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 8.3% 5.6% High $420,547.72
South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Billy Webster
 18.0% 16.2% Med $2,610.73
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 20, 2029
 39.0% 42.9% Med $39,067.26
New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Sam Bregman
 13.0% 11.1% High $33,451.1
NY-17 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Beth Davidson
 43.0% 28.8% High $17,332.8
US tariff revenue for 2026
Top outcome: Above $200‎ billion
 64.0% 64.8% Med $6,833.58
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
Top outcome: Flávio Bolsonaro
 46.0% 35.9% High $11,790.89
Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 5.0% 3.7% Med $41,752.37
Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?
Yes refers to: Before 2028
 42.0% 30.9% Med $16,531.25
Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Sharice Davids
 15.0% 15.6% High $26,397.86
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
Yes refers to: any 3rd Amendment case
 12.0% 9.0% Med $6,525
Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?
Top outcome: Before 2027
 31.0% 30.2% High $54,792.71
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)
Top outcome: Alexi Giannoulias
 56.0% 48.1% Med $36,120.94
How many border encounters in Apr 2026?
Top outcome: 9,000 to 9,999
 23.0% 18.6% Med $2,544.96
ME-01 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Ronald Russell
 95.0% 87.0% High $1,005.3
Vail Resorts skier visits in Q3
Top outcome: Above 6.9 million
 83.0% 84.2% High $1,741.99
Who will win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?
Top outcome: Chris Murphy
 5.0% 5.0% High $102,367.34
NYC population change in Mamdani's first 18 months?
Top outcome: Decrease 0-0.99%
 48.0% 38.0% High $56,174.67
Will any NATO member state boycott the USA World Cup in 2026?
Yes refers to: Before 2026
 5.9% 6.4% Med $145,217.42
Who will win the next Armenian parliamentary election?
Top outcome: Civil Contract
 92.0% 84.8% High $9,284.01
OH-12 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Jerrad Christian
 95.3% 91.4% High $114.72
Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?
Yes refers to: Before election day 2026
 14.0% 9.2% Med $144,798
Match total payers in Q1 2026
Top outcome: Above 14.4 million
 3.0% 2.3% High $131,495.46
Will Iran hold a presidential election?
Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026
 3.0% 2.4% High $66,065.63
Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?
Yes refers to: Yes
 60.0% 50.1% Med $425,803.99
Palantir total customers in Q1 2026
Top outcome: Above 1080
 6.0% 10.3% High $62,787.58
Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
Yes refers to: a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump
 42.0% 49.9% Med $14,231.17
Will ICE change its name in 2026?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027
 31.0% 21.8% Med $629.8
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?
Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026
 10.0% 5.0% High $38,063.06
Colorado Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Phil Weiser
 32.0% 26.1% High $32,084.29
Kentucky Democratic Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Amy McGrath
 12.0% 11.5% High $14,813.75
Paramount+ global subscribers in Q1
Top outcome: Above 80 million
 34.0% 29.5% High $1,872.61
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?
Top outcome: Graham Platner, ≥50%
 20.0% 18.8% High $4,707.03
Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029?
Yes refers to: Before 2029
 1.0% 1.1% Med $2,362
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Top outcome: Significant decrease
 67.0% 64.2% High $31,142.34
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Mike Lindell
 15.0% 15.5% High $115,661.33
CPI core in June
Top outcome: Above 0.3%
 28.0% 20.0% High $191.64
Maine Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Troy Jackson
 30.0% 22.1% High $42,644.04
NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Stefany Shaheen
 61.0% 62.8% High $5,698.9
Game 6: Dallas at Minnesota: Total Points
Top outcome: Over 8.5 goals scored
 13.0% 9.6% High $399.43
How low will gas prices in California get this year?
Top outcome: Below $4.10
 18.0% 10.5% High $28,539.79
What will Shopify say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Repurchase / Buyback
 69.0% 55.8% Med $623.59
MT-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Ryan Busse
 56.0% 53.6% High $17,019.27
NY-07 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Antonio Reynoso
 24.0% 26.3% High $57,706.19
Rhode Island Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Allen Waters
 7.0% 3.4% High $5,199
Will AI regulation become law in 2026?
Yes refers to: By Jan 1, 2027
 26.0% 32.6% Med $36,710.6
Tennessee Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Jerri Green
 86.0% 76.7% High $8,537.6
When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?
Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026
 60.0% 50.2% High $1,173.65
Bank of Russia rate decision in June
Top outcome: Maintain current rate
 24.0% 13.3% High $4,042.77
How high will gas prices in Texas get this year?
Top outcome: Above $4.00
 78.0% 75.4% High $141,030.09
Will the nickel be discontinued?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027
 4.7% 5.4% Med $639.04
Romania vs Argentina
Top outcome: Argentina
 0.0% 45.5% High $0
MA-06 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Dan Koh
 79.0% 76.2% High $11,518.17
NE-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Chris Backemeyer
 94.0% 94.2% High $1,677
How high will gas prices in New York get this year?
Top outcome: Above $4.80
 48.9% 50.6% High $18,379.02
Nevada Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Aaron Ford
 98.1% 96.3% High $8,378.58
Bank of Israel rate decision in July
Top outcome: Maintain current rate
 74.0% 72.5% Med $1,830.4
Emmy Award for Movie/Limited Actress
Top outcome: Carey Mulligan
 21.0% 21.9% Med $6,922.97
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Top outcome: Below 53
 81.0% 70.1% Med $12,264.7
Who will win the next Argentine presidential election?
Top outcome: Javier Milei
 64.0% 67.8% High $7,145.23
Newark Mayor winner?
Top outcome: Ras Baraka
 96.5% 94.3% High $6,047
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
Top outcome: Donald Trump
 74.0% 52.6% Med $11,868.06
Will Trump run for a third term?
Top outcome: Before Election Day
 25.0% 16.9% High $87,086.32
MD-05 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Adrian Boafo
 61.0% 38.4% High $12,268.73
Will a LIV Golf Tournament take place in Louisiana before June 29, 2026?
Yes refers to: Yes
 1.0% 0.7% Med $2,163.2
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
Yes refers to: Before 2029
 27.0% 22.5% Med $122,991.83
IN-05 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: J.D. Ford
 92.2% 87.2% Med $17,561.92
What will Progressive say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Buyback
 56.0% 44.1% Med $13,464.1
Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?
Yes refers to: 25,249.86 or above
 69.9% 64.8% Med $54,109.31
CA-14 special election winner
Top outcome: Aisha Wahab
 72.0% 60.2% High $11,476.35
State of the economy at the end of 2026
Top outcome: Stagflation
 28.7% 36.8% High $22,030.68
Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Mike Mazzei
 28.0% 23.5% High $67,235.85
Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Top outcome: Japan
 11.0% 4.6% Med $85,742.2
Who will win the 2026 Welsh Parliament election?
Top outcome: Plaid Cymru
 86.0% 67.1% High $29,547.96
South Carolina Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Lindsey Graham
 87.0% 86.2% High $151,849.16
NY-08 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Chi Ossé
 7.2% 5.2% High $33,297.61
Indiana Secretary of State winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 31.0% 18.5% High $13,768.08
Apr 2026 temperature increase?
Top outcome: 1.17 to 1.23
 52.0% 50.9% Med $12,103.43
Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory
Top outcome: Bill Cassidy, 9%+
 1.0% 4.1% Med $39,534.65
Will Trump punish SpaceX?
Yes refers to: Before Jul 2026
 7.0% 7.0% Med $13,988.43
Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?
Top outcome: Union of Greens and Farmers
 2.0% 8.2% High $6,948
Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Michael Minogue
 80.0% 93.4% High $33,904.62
Will the DOJ claim a Biden pardon is void in court?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 17.0% 17.0% Med $6,841.31
Series Winner: Atlanta (6) vs New York (3)
Top outcome: New York
 86.0% 88.2% High $2,160,779.42
2026 NJ-11 special election margin of victory?
Top outcome: Mejia, 24% and above
 0.3% 1.3% High $658,630.83
Who will be the next CEO of X?
Top outcome: Elon Musk
 11.0% 50.2% High $46,737.23
How low will US gas prices get in 2026?
Top outcome: Below $3.40
 46.0% 24.5% High $5,115.36
Lisa Cook Out as Fed Governor?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 2027
 17.0% 6.1% High $46,810
How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
Top outcome: 0
 64.0% 64.3% High $107,844.7
Orlando at Detroit
Top outcome: yes Anthony Black: 3+,yes Anthony Black: 15+
 9.0% 3.7% Med $18,899
Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Jocelyn Benson
 89.0% 92.5% High $43,596.06
Orlando at Detroit
Top outcome: yes Cade Cunningham: 4+,yes Desmond Bane: 4+
 5.5% 2.0% Med $717
Combo
Top outcome: yes Donovan Mitchell: 20+,yes James Harden: 15+,yes Scottie Barnes: 15+,yes Scottie Barnes: 4+
 43.5% 33.7% Med $293
Combo
Top outcome: yes Paolo Banchero: 15+,yes Paolo Banchero: 4+,yes Over 194.5 points scored
 69.7% 64.9% Med $36
Houston at Los Angeles L
Top outcome: yes LeBron James: 2+,yes Marcus Smart: 6+,yes Marcus Smart: 15+
 4.6% 1.6% Med $9,677
Combo
Top outcome: yes Donovan Mitchell: 20+,yes RJ Barrett: 15+,yes Scottie Barnes: 15+,yes Evan Mobley: 6+,yes Jarrett Allen: 8+
 22.2% 12.7% Med $72
Game 5
Top outcome: yes Los Angeles L,yes Over 203.5 points scored,no Over 218.5 points scored
 26.3% 21.9% Med $101
Denver at Minnesota
Top outcome: yes Julius Randle: 25+,yes Rudy Gobert: 14+
 8.9% 3.7% Med $458
Orlando at Detroit
Top outcome: yes Duncan Robinson: 3+,yes Duncan Robinson: 10+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+,yes Tobias Harris: 4+
 19.3% 10.4% Med $208
Orlando at Detroit
Top outcome: yes Cade Cunningham: 1+,yes Duncan Robinson: 1+,yes Desmond Bane: 1+,yes Jalen Suggs: 1+,yes Jalen Suggs: 2+,yes Tobias Harris: 10+,yes Paolo Banchero: 15+,yes Cade Cunningham: 4+,yes Tobias Harris: 4+,yes Wendell Carter Jr.: 6+
 23.4% 10.7% Med $62
Combo
Top outcome: yes Los Angeles L wins by over 3.5 points,yes Over 209.5 points scored
 25.5% 28.5% Med $2,055
Vallecano at Getafe: Spreads
Top outcome: Getafe wins by over 1.5 goals
 27.0% 10.9% Med $10
MA-05 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Katherine Clark
 88.0% 99.8% High $1,208.69
What will Rivian say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Tornado
 57.0% 45.3% Med $2,148.69
Will Tulsi Gabbard announce her departure as Director of National Intelligence?
Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026
 36.0% 38.5% Med $30,335.01
Who will be Prime Minister of Slovenia after their election?
Top outcome: Janez Janša
 83.0% 70.5% High $68,703.57
What will Uber say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Oil / Gas / Gasoline
 63.0% 52.4% Med $4,918.54
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
Top outcome: Governor
 76.0% 65.0% Med $32,033.53
When will Ramp officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027
 22.0% 23.3% High $4,166.98
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
Yes refers to: Yes
 44.0% 34.5% Med $3,670.95
Who will run for public office in 2026?
Top outcome: Matthew McConaughey
 10.0% 4.1% Med $99,234.44
How will Trump reference himself before July?
Top outcome: Trump Arc / Arc de Trump
 39.0% 26.0% Med $20,902.57
Sunderland at Wolverhampton: Totals
Top outcome: Over 2.5 goals scored
 47.0% 33.2% High $232.88
Rio de Janeiro Governor winner?
Top outcome: Wilson Witzel
 5.0% 97.0% High $1
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
Top outcome: Above 6.5%
 54.7% 48.1% Med $45,609.05
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Yes refers to: Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?
 48.0% 36.4% Med $176,557
US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
Yes refers to: Rating reduced
 40.0% 40.0% Med $46,129.04
Marriott total rooms in Q1
Top outcome: Above 1.82 million
 18.0% 15.9% High $3,497.47
Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Top outcome: John Coupar
 12.0% 11.2% High $35,820.58
CA-04 primary advancers?
Top outcome: Mike Thompson
 97.7% 97.4% Med $18,900.5
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Toby Doeden
 32.0% 29.1% High $93,468.06
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
Top outcome: Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance
 12.0% 10.1% High $11,744.01
Maine Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Laurel Libby
 1.0% 0.6% High $56,282.51
Who will win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?
Top outcome: Iliana Yotova
 57.0% 42.9% High $14,484.52
Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?
Yes refers to: Yes
 49.0% 49.0% Med $12,066.89
California Lieutenant Governor winner?
Top outcome: Fiona Ma
 70.0% 50.9% High $9,357.29
One-time layoff greater than Block (4,000 employees) in tech?
Top outcome: Before July
 94.0% 94.0% High $58,101.5
How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?
Top outcome: 5 or more
 22.0% 22.9% High $40,211.14
Who will join the Trump administration before July?
Top outcome: Ken Paxton
 8.6% 3.4% Med $19,082.09
Oscar nominations for Best Adapted Screenplay?
Top outcome: Project Hail Mary
 69.0% 64.7% Med $6,354.84
Who will win the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Top outcome: SNP
 99.9% 94.7% High $20,986.17
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 14.0% 14.0% Med $99,583.85
SC-06 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Jim Clyburn
 96.0% 99.0% High $911.01
Will Bethesda release a new Fallout game before July?
Yes refers to: A new Fallout video game (standalone title; excludes DLCs, expansions, remasters, re-releases, and mobile-only titles)
 5.0% 2.2% Med $60,580.21
PA-07 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Ryan Crosswell
 27.0% 32.7% High $32,456.39
Georgia Republican Lieutenant Governor nominee?
Top outcome: David Clark
 15.0% 13.6% High $8,129.83
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026
 23.0% 13.5% High $15,899.58
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
Yes refers to: Before election day 2026
 20.0% 20.0% Med $193,389.28
Los Angeles mayor matchup
Top outcome: Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass
 62.0% 53.5% Med $9,344.18
Oklahoma Republican Lieutenant Governor nominee?
Top outcome: T.W. Shannon
 89.0% 86.2% High $14,552.01
NY-13 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Darializa Avila Chevalier
 47.0% 21.2% High $13,494.35
AZ-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Amish Shah
 72.0% 69.3% High $19,661.65
Core inflation in May 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
Top outcome: Above 2.8%
 24.0% 18.5% High $12,335.74
Aboian vs Zeitune
Top outcome: Maximo Zeitune
 95.0% 99.4% High $1
Zlin vs Dukla Prague
Top outcome: Dukla Prague
 0.0% 29.4% High $0
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?
Top outcome: Before 2027
 13.0% 8.7% High $79,685.65
Alabama Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Barry Moore
 74.0% 78.1% High $110,148.25
2028 Democratic Presidential ticket
Top outcome: Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
 5.0% 8.1% High $1,856.41
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
Top outcome: Above $6.00
 15.0% 14.1% High $49,895.28
Jacob Frey out as Mayor of Minneapolis?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027
 7.3% 3.6% High $54,735.91
When will Trump's ballroom be completed?
Top outcome: Before 2028
 11.0% 6.4% High $38,687.95
2026: Trump's dream year?
Yes refers to: Yes
 6.0% 8.7% Med $419,365.62
UT-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Ben McAdams
 76.0% 85.8% High $19,782.44
CA-11 House winner? (Person)
Top outcome: Saikat Chakrabarti
 37.0% 30.9% High $6,866.94
Will Sony Pictures Animation release 'KPop Demon Hunters 2" before 2027?
Yes refers to: KPop Demon Hunters 2
 8.0% 8.0% Med $56,438.32
What will PayPal say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Blockchain
 41.0% 26.4% Med $743.12
Barnsley vs Stockport
Top outcome: Tie
 27.0% 93.0% High $10.57
College Basketball (M): Undefeated Regular Season
Top outcome: North Carolina
 7.0% 2.3% Med $791.05
NJ-12 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Adam Hamawy
 52.0% 26.4% Med $5,154.87
Japan inflation rate MoM for April
Top outcome: Above 0.3%
 20.0% 23.4% High $2,141.35
When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?
Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026
 46.0% 36.2% High $8,476.21
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
Top outcome: Rafael Grossi
 56.0% 56.9% High $21,917.8
Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 19.0% 19.0% Med $6,804.5
NY-15 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Michael Blake
 15.0% 3.1% Med $16,176.98
California Governor primary advancers? (Party)
Top outcome: 2 Republicans
 6.2% 3.1% High $106,509.16
What will ON Semiconductor say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: NIO
 64.0% 49.6% Med $646.86
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
Top outcome: Mary Peltola
 59.0% 59.6% High $77,120.57
2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Top outcome: Republicans win
 15.0% 11.7% Med $116,454.39
Maine Senate Exact Outcome
Top outcome: Graham Platner wins
 69.0% 71.2% Med $2,668.68
How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?
Top outcome: At least 3
 87.0% 75.2% High $9,507.89
U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
Yes refers to: Below 5%
 6.0% 2.7% Med $52,291.88
Will Newsom endorse in the California Governor's race?
Top outcome: Matt Mahan
 7.0% 5.7% High $5,389.42
Minas Gerais Governor winner?
Top outcome: Cleitinho Azevedo
 62.0% 86.1% High $722
Wyoming Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Megan Degenfelder
 77.0% 77.5% High $12,535.32
Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Angie Craig
 26.0% 18.4% High $61,356.33
Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?
Top outcome: Global
 5.0% 1.0% Med $51,053.08
How low will gas prices in Texas get this year?
Top outcome: Below $1.80
 6.0% 4.7% High $37,342.98
Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
Top outcome: Before Sep 1, 2026
 17.0% 9.9% High $126,382.55
Who will lead the next qualifying poll in the California governor's race?
Top outcome: Steve Hilton
 59.0% 55.6% High $1,523.63
Closest Senate race in 2026?
Top outcome: Georgia
 7.8% 13.4% High $75,489.42
Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q1
Top outcome: Above 875 thousand
 11.0% 5.5% High $11,116.79
Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Julia Letlow
 62.0% 61.2% High $154,382.92
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Top outcome: Before 2027
 23.0% 25.8% High $923,936.7
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Yes refers to: Yes
 52.0% 61.8% Med $1,045.61
TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?
Top outcome: AI
 15.0% 4.4% Med $271,941.24
What will Apple say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: M3
 23.0% 17.2% Med $9,324.96
GA-13 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Jasmine Clark
 79.0% 75.6% High $6,878.25
PA-03 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Chris Rabb
 38.0% 39.2% High $53,906.86
Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots after Election Day?
Yes refers to: Before August 2026
 71.0% 76.4% Med $41,173.9
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Top outcome: Before Sep 1, 2026
 38.0% 36.6% High $254,936.64
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
Top outcome: Cuba
 40.0% 18.6% Med $58,874.18
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
Top outcome: Nicolás Maduro
 13.0% 5.7% Med $336,510.4
What will Carvana say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Bridgecrest
 35.0% 22.2% Med $2,924.32
Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Dan McKee
 29.0% 19.9% High $8,749.43
Lyft total rides in Q1 2026
Top outcome: Above 230 million
 99.0% 99.1% High $190,568.93
Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 8.0% 5.5% Med $22,818.51
Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?
Yes refers to: Yes
 13.0% 10.5% Med $18,623.03
What will Reddit say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Emplifi
 11.0% 4.6% Med $9,169.1
How many justices will vote for Trump in the FTC removal case?
Top outcome: 5
 1.6% 2.9% High $51,521.68
Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 24.0% 30.3% Med $20,270.04
MN-02 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Matt Little
 69.0% 76.4% High $22,258.5
#2 Song on Spotify in 2026?
Top outcome: BIRDS OF A FEATHER
 7.0% 11.1% Med $5,676.41
What will Disney say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Grogu
 77.0% 66.4% Med $1,346.09
Alaska Governor winner? (Party)
Top outcome: Democratic party
 39.0% 45.0% High $27,096.11
What will Wingstop say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Citrus Mojo
 51.0% 38.5% Med $7,260.12
How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
Top outcome: 4 or more
 12.0% 11.3% High $342,263.96
Iowa Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Randy Feenstra
 74.0% 69.3% High $59,213.39
Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?
Top outcome: Nicolás Maduro
 97.0% 77.2% High $604,417.62
Ferrari total shipments in Q1 2026
Top outcome: Above 3700
 2.0% 2.7% Med $150,467.8
KY-06 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Cherlynn Stevenson
 47.0% 41.7% High $14,160.48
What will Ferrari say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Luce
 92.0% 91.8% Med $1,298.78
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
Top outcome: Bernadette Wilson
 22.0% 22.9% High $91,906.7
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Yes refers to: During Trump's term
 30.0% 30.0% Med $517,032.68
Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 17.0% 12.1% Med $299,710.69
Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
Top outcome: Before July 2026
 13.0% 8.6% Med $75,190.61
Roku Inc. hours streamed in Q1 2026
Top outcome: Above 39 billion
 76.0% 70.5% High $10,293.74
Altria cigarette shipments in Q1
Top outcome: Above 12.9 billion
 88.0% 66.4% High $5,122.96
Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?
Top outcome: Portland
 21.0% 13.3% Med $66,782.43
Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 21.0% 16.2% High $706,222.22
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Top outcome: Saudi Arabia
 20.0% 7.5% Med $240,954.09
Peru presidential election: first round second place?
Top outcome: Rafael López Aliaga
 2.1% 2.9% High $399,234.72
Voter turnout in the 2026 Wisconsin Supreme Court election?
Top outcome: Above 1.2M
 99.5% 99.6% High $76,737.74
Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
Yes refers to: Yes
 92.9% 95.5% Med $63,502.05
OH-09 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Derek Merrin
 86.0% 88.0% High $34,701.67
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Top outcome: No other person
 52.0% 28.6% High $25,193.42
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Revenue guidance
 69.0% 68.9% Med $2,844.41
Florida Republican governor primary: 2nd place
Top outcome: Jay Collins
 19.0% 24.9% High $4,747.21
When will the Supreme Court issue an opinion on the Voting Rights Act?
Yes refers to: Before Jun 1, 2026
 69.0% 69.6% High $72,283.73
UT-03 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Celeste Maloy
 70.0% 75.5% High $16,484.57
What will Meta say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Llama
 62.0% 45.2% Med $14,210.38
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Yes refers to: In 2026
 43.0% 47.0% Med $365,684.95
Who will win the Chicago mayoral election?
Top outcome: Susan Mendoza
 16.0% 12.4% High $24,001.03
When will Airtable officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2028
 17.0% 9.9% High $2,413.19
When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027
 23.0% 13.5% High $76,943.53
When will Beast Industries officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Mar 1, 2027
 22.0% 16.6% High $6,350.56
South Carolina Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Nancy Mace
 20.0% 18.2% High $294,221.87
When will Brex officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027
 12.0% 1.0% High $7,271
When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Apr 1, 2027
 3.0% 2.5% High $4,459.76
When will Deel officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027
 18.0% 42.7% High $14,746.74
Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?
Top outcome: Ghislaine Maxwell
 19.0% 6.5% Med $85,653.6
When will Olipop officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026
 4.0% 4.6% High $3,817.03
When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2028
 41.0% 28.6% High $1,473.1
When will Rippling officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 2.0% 1.6% High $2,788
What will McDonald's say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Dividend
 43.0% 30.0% Med $3,820.03
When will Whoop officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027
 4.0% 5.9% High $5,054
When will Stripe officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027
 20.0% 11.7% High $23,343.84
When will Glean officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 4.0% 2.7% High $1,070
Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?
Top outcome: Andy Barr
 41.0% 100.0% High $246,311.04
When will Discord officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026
 19.0% 19.1% High $96,318.46
When will AppsFlyer officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Nov 1, 2026
 16.0% 16.8% High $855.26
When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027
 14.0% 31.2% High $33,590.63
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
Top outcome: Before Nov 1, 2026
 46.0% 40.0% High $11,428.78
Georgia Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Mike Collins
 87.0% 61.5% High $151,294.45
Iowa Democratic Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Zach Wahls
 22.0% 32.7% High $45,030.94
When will Trump's Attorney General pick be announced?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 50.0% 32.4% High $158,108.13
What will the candidates say during the CA Governor Debate?
Top outcome: Ballroom
 29.0% 18.7% Med $7,263.19
Which Senators will vote for Kevin Warsh as Fed chair?
Top outcome: Rand Paul
 69.0% 59.7% Med $127,505.74
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Top outcome: Before July
 4.9% 4.5% High $2,388,711.57
Who will win the next Israeli legislative election?
Top outcome: Bennett 2026
 5.1% 16.8% High $50,326.95
Who will be arrested before 2027?
Top outcome: James Comey
 75.0% 67.3% Med $1,697,030.31
How many justices will vote for reversal in Louisiana v. Callais?
Top outcome: 6
 8.0% 10.4% High $45,065.47
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Project Kuiper
 21.0% 8.1% Med $14,534.96
Will Michigan consumer sentiment go above 65 in 2026?
Yes refers to: Yes
 18.0% 20.5% Med $3,529
Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
Yes refers to: Yes
 24.0% 38.9% Med $13,456.03
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Top outcome: Below 193
 28.0% 31.1% High $881,950.08
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?
Yes refers to: Before August 2026
 7.9% 10.6% Med $499,094.81
NY-04 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Anthony D’Esposito
 0.4% 20.0% High $36,238.63
Vitoria vs Coritiba
Top outcome: Coritiba
 29.0% 49.0% High $202.09
Bank of Japan rate decision in June
Top outcome: Hike 25bps
 58.0% 70.8% High $15,773.1
2028 Democratic VP nominee
Top outcome: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
 8.0% 7.9% High $1,317,230.84
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Perry Johnson
 56.0% 41.8% High $159,844.9
Will the Citrini scenario happen?
Yes refers to: Yes
 23.0% 23.0% Med $25,769,877.96
Who will win the next Colombian presidential election?
Top outcome: Abelardo de la Espriella
 41.0% 5.8% High $333,327.28
What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: OpenAI
 97.0% 96.6% Med $8,121.22
Uber Trips in Q1?
Top outcome: above 3.8 billion
 13.0% 12.9% High $342,473.47
Oregon Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Christine Drazan
 86.0% 78.3% High $78,550.68
Roblox hours engaged in Q1
Top outcome: Above 33 billion
 26.0% 25.6% High $23,804.66
Kentucky Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Andy Barr
 95.1% 72.8% High $159,603.95
Peru presidential election: first round winner?
Top outcome: Keiko Fujimori
 96.4% 89.4% High $270,217.63
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
Yes refers to: Yes
 17.0% 18.2% Med $1,081,400.6
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?
Yes refers to: Yes
 15.0% 13.1% Med $27,025.84
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Francesca Hong
 38.0% 37.5% Med $123,713.92
What will Keir Starmer say during Prime Minister's Questions?
Top outcome: Trump
 40.0% 24.3% Med $21,299.93
Enisey Krasnoyarsk vs CSKA Moscow
Top outcome: Enisey Krasnoyarsk
 10.0% 7.6% Med $2,114.16
What will Visa say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Tokenization
 96.0% 92.9% Med $15,969.44
Colombian presidential election first round winner?
Top outcome: Iván Cepeda Castro
 89.0% 92.8% High $136,410.81
2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Top outcome: R-House, R-Senate
 21.0% 17.2% Med $3,015,949.56
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Abdul El-Sayed
 51.0% 36.4% High $399,844.4
Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Keisha Lance Bottoms
 86.0% 68.5% High $182,066.32
Nebraska Republican Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Pete Ricketts
 96.0% 98.9% High $3,254.88
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
Top outcome: Xi Jinping
 50.0% 37.4% Med $180,468.54
What will Robinhood say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Trump
 90.0% 86.8% Med $20,110.46
Robinhood gold subscribers in Q1 2026
Top outcome: Above 5 million
 1.0% 0.7% High $225,903.97
What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 10?
Top outcome: Fire
 29.0% 18.5% Med $46,469.7
Will the filibuster be weakened?
Top outcome: Before 2027
 18.0% 13.9% High $32,566.83
KY-04 Republican nominee?
Top outcome: Thomas Massie
 76.0% 71.9% Med $1,242,329.52
Will the SAVE Act become law?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 4, 2027
 8.8% 7.3% Med $3,698,348.93
Peru Presidential election winner?
Top outcome: Rafael López Aliaga
 1.9% 1.7% High $2,662,236.35
How long will the next FISA authorization be?
Top outcome: At least 30 days
 80.0% 80.2% High $41,980.89
Brazil Presidential election winner?
Top outcome: Flávio Bolsonaro
 48.0% 36.5% High $1,198,610.1
What will Starbucks say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Loyalty
 74.0% 66.0% Med $32,047.43
Ohio Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: Vivek Ramaswamy
 98.2% 95.3% High $760,262.81
Riestra vs Montevideo City
Top outcome: Montevideo City
 30.0% 93.0% High $15.88
Will Taylor Swift have a top 3 song on spotify global this year?
Yes refers to: Taylor Swift
 76.0% 76.0% Med $1,676
What will Candace Owens say during her livestream?
Top outcome: Erika (5+ times)
 74.0% 59.1% Med $95,908.7
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Top outcome: Spencer Pratt
 25.0% 18.3% High $1,269,442.11
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
Top outcome: James Fishback
 9.2% 10.1% High $3,527,229.59
Meta headcount in Q1?
Top outcome: Above 78000
 10.0% 7.8% High $500,553.82
What will Coca-Cola say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Cane Sugar
 10.0% 2.8% Med $83,876.1
What will Rachel Maddow say during her show?
Top outcome: Corrupt / Corruption
 1.0% 0.3% Med $100,439.02
Will the official Settlement Price for the Current Auction of CARB Joint Auction #47 strictly exceed $27.94?
Yes refers to: Above $27.94
 48.0% 48.0% Med $204,889.69
Virginia redistricting referendum margin of victory?
Top outcome: Yes, 0-3%
 0.7% 1.6% Med $6,428,408.03
What will King Charles III say during his US Address?
Top outcome: Epstein
 10.0% 2.7% Med $729,582.9
Iowa Senate margin of victory
Top outcome: Republicans, 10+ pts
 0.0% 0.1% Med $0
Villarreal vs Levante: First Half Winner
Top outcome: Levante
 0.0% 33.3% Med $0
SC-01 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Nancy Lacore
 81.0% 69.2% High $13,788
CA-28 primary: Who will advance?
Top outcome: April Verlato
 94.7% 96.9% Med $2,440.03
Series Winner: Minnesota (6) vs Denver (3)
Top outcome: Minnesota
 44.0% 46.2% High $4,011,909.07
Series Winner: Orlando (8) vs Detroit (1)
Top outcome: Orlando
 25.0% 75.7% High $1,669,524.92
Cincinnati at Chicago Fire: Totals
Top outcome: Over 2.5 goals scored
 66.0% 59.4% Med $80
UFC Fight Night: Fan vs Steele
Top outcome: Dom Mar Fan
 36.0% 37.4% High $11,316.47
Lecce at Pisa: Spreads
Top outcome: Lecce wins by over 1.5 goals
 0.0% 0.0% Med $0
Torino at Udinese: Both Teams to Score
Yes refers to: Both Teams To Score
 50.0% 63.6% Med $96
Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 8.4% 4.7% Med $17,552.18
Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
Top outcome: Chong Won-o
 89.0% 71.1% High $57,395.96
Will a new season of Stranger Things be announced?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 2027
 8.0% 5.1% Med $20,526.74
Will Trump attend The World Cup Final?
Yes refers to: Yes
 77.0% 77.0% Med $48,905.41
Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?
Top outcome: Nancy Pelosi
 4.0% 15.1% Med $8,017
Will Brendan Carr leave as FCC chair before 2027?
Yes refers to: Yes
 21.0% 19.5% Med $1,488
APF Division de Honor Apertura Champion
Top outcome: Cerro Porteno
 1.0% 33.3% Low $14
California Governor matchup?
Top outcome: Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer
 33.0% 33.7% Med $209,346.69
Arizona State House winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 47.0% 41.4% High $28.44
ADP employment change in Oct 2026?
Top outcome: Above -25000
 97.0% 95.3% Med $1,956
LA-02 Democratic nominee?
Top outcome: Renada Collins
 4.0% 2.3% High $118
TN-08 House winner?
Top outcome: Republican party
 94.9% 97.8% High $4,750
2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Castilian Spanish)?
Top outcome: Tie
 6.0% 6.0% High $579
Bilbao at Alaves: Both Teams to Score
Yes refers to: Both Teams To Score
 0.0% 0.8% Med $0
Deportations in 2026?
Top outcome: Above 500,000
 31.0% 42.1% High $19,297.1
Seattle at Kansas City: Spreads
Top outcome: Seattle wins by over 1.5 goals
 35.0% 16.3% Med $136.27
Crashers vs. UNO MILLE: Total Maps
Yes refers to: Over 2.5 maps
 0.0% 0.5% Med $0
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
Yes refers to: During Trump's term
 17.0% 17.0% Med $11,785.62
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
Top outcome: Before July 2026
 2.8% 5.6% High $189,047.92
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
Top outcome: United Nations
 43.0% 22.3% Med $16,430.71
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
Yes refers to: Before 2029
 13.0% 6.1% Med $9,303.05
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Top outcome: Amul Thapar
 9.5% 7.8% High $306,260.87
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Top outcome: No new person
 55.0% 42.2% High $16,666.05
2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)
Top outcome: Republican party
 37.0% 36.2% High $398,853.22
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
Yes refers to: Ending Jun 4, 2029
 90.1% 91.4% Med $12,659
Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?
Yes refers to: Before the next general election
 22.0% 10.9% Med $59,350.45
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 30.0% 35.3% Med $49,624.17
Which party will win the next UK general election?
Top outcome: Restore Britain party
 13.0% 0.5% High $174,681.77
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 15.0% 10.6% Med $37,942.3
EU loses a member before 2030?
Yes refers to: By 2030
 14.0% 10.6% Med $23,020.1
EU has a new member before 2030?
Yes refers to: Any country
 72.0% 61.4% Med $6,654.8
When will Young Thug and Gunna make a song together?
Top outcome: Before 2027
 26.0% 15.4% High $452.66
Will Drake and Kendrick Lamar make a song together before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 21.0% 18.5% Med $943
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 28.0% 19.4% Med $1,602.22
Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 88.0% 88.9% Med $4,953
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 71.0% 62.1% Med $59,340.7
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 58.0% 50.1% Med $6,700.74
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
Top outcome: At least 450
 22.0% 21.9% High $6,508.61
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
Top outcome: Hungary
 4.6% 1.6% Med $11,539
Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?
Top outcome: Before 2030
 12.0% 11.6% Med $1,422
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?
Top outcome: Hungary
 3.0% 1.2% Med $5,592.76
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch?
Top outcome: Despacito
 48.0% 35.2% Med $8,228.3
How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost?
Top outcome: At least $100
 83.0% 70.0% High $3,046.81
Where will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner’s wedding occur?
Top outcome: Italy
 79.0% 70.0% Med $5,338
When will Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz be married?
Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026
 2.0% 1.6% High $112.18
Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO?
Top outcome: Marianne Lake
 49.0% 24.5% Med $13,795.67
Will there be an announcement that The Simpsons is ending?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 57.0% 37.0% Med $6,768.18
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 4.3% 4.3% Med $28,330.64
Next Netflix Roast Subject?
Top outcome: Kevin Hart
 94.0% 97.8% High $56,308.9
When will Prison Break return?
Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026
 26.0% 25.6% High $2,361.69
Will Kai Cenat become a billionaire before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 7.0% 6.2% Med $1,405
Who will be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?
Top outcome: Selena Gomez
 71.0% 67.7% Med $99,695.07
Will there be an announcement that Family Guy is ending?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 55.0% 41.1% Med $1,091
Who will be Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?
Top outcome: Patrick Mahomes
 87.0% 82.9% Med $32,873.68
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 40.0% 40.0% Med $7,037.29
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?
Top outcome: Elon Musk
 29.0% 19.0% Med $33,008.48
Will Tom Cruise be cast in another Film With Ana de Armas?
Yes refers to: Tom Cruise
 38.0% 30.8% Med $423
Will Glen Powell be cast in the next Indiana Jones movie?
Yes refers to: Glen Powell
 25.0% 17.1% Med $2,015.13
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
Yes refers to: Before 2033
 32.0% 35.6% Med $7,938.27
Series Winner: Portland (7) vs San Antonio (2)
Top outcome: Portland
 5.0% 5.4% High $2,297,410.19
What will American Express say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Rate Cap / 10% Cap
 24.0% 13.0% Med $4,423.73
When will DHS be funded again?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 70.0% 39.7% High $14,355,230.22
Rbc Heritage: Top 20 Finishers
Top outcome: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
 3.0% 1.0% Med $1,565,715.23
Avengers: Doomsday Cast?
Top outcome: Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
 74.0% 66.0% Med $103,264.56
Zyn US shipment volume in Q1 2026
Top outcome: above 200 million
 15.0% 18.7% High $146,188.21
Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers
Top outcome: Charlotte
 63.0% 52.4% Med $3,761,853.1
What will Wells Fargo say during their next earnings call?
Top outcome: Oil
 59.0% 47.6% Med $32,709.77
Combo
Top outcome: yes Jordan Spieth,yes Justin Thomas,yes Max Homa,yes Shane Lowry,yes Sepp Straka,yes Tony Finau
 3.8% 1.3% Med $250
Combo
Top outcome: yes Justin Thomas,yes Patrick Cantlay,yes Russell Henley,yes Tommy Fleetwood
 7.5% 2.9% Med $2,071
Maine Democratic Senate nominee?
Top outcome: Graham Platner
 98.2% 81.8% High $2,568,406.04
U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup
Top outcome: Tiger Woods
 30.0% 29.8% Med $8,638
Who will Conor McGregor fight next?
Top outcome: Justin Gaethje
 1.0% 1.6% High $35,218
Chicago Pro Football Team: Relocation
Top outcome: Indiana
 31.0% 29.8% High $201,361
What will MegaETH FDV be at 10:00 AM ET 1 day after launch?
Top outcome: Above $5,000,000,000
 9.0% 7.0% High $40,194.02
Will GTE deploy on MegaETH mainnet day 1?
Yes refers to: Yes
 20.0% 14.4% Med $9,538.2
How long will the Pro Women's Basketball season be delayed?
Top outcome: 1 day or more
 4.0% 5.3% High $100,761
Men's 2027 College Basketball Champion
Top outcome: Michigan
 16.0% 8.3% High $406,354
2027 Ryder Cup Winner
Top outcome: Team USA
 33.0% 32.7% High $1,018
Steph Curry to compete in a PGA Tour event before 2028
Yes refers to: Yes
 3.0% 1.9% Med $40
How many consecutive regular season games will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander score 20+ points?
Top outcome: 200+ consecutive games
 44.0% 34.5% High $9,750
Will Rajon Rondo compete in Summer Olympics Flag Football in 2028?
Yes refers to: Yes
 16.0% 20.8% Med $1,221
Champions League Winner
Top outcome: Real Madrid
 6.0% 9.3% High $12,665,998
College Football Playoff National Championship Qualifiers
Top outcome: Texas
 17.0% 8.1% Med $18,050
AFC West Division Winner
Top outcome: Las Vegas
 3.0% 2.8% High $80,952
Canadian Team to Win the Stanley Cup® Before the 2031 Season
Yes refers to: Before 2031
 31.0% 69.3% Med $3,454
Will a Seattle Pro Basketball team play a game before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 78.0% 86.1% Med $21,661
Which G7 leader will leave next?
Top outcome: Keir Starmer
 53.0% 44.4% Med $35,601.87
Who will win a ATP Grand Slam in 2026?
Top outcome: Jannik Sinner
 81.0% 75.0% Med $115,781
NASCAR Cup Series Champion
Top outcome: Tyler Reddick
 25.0% 20.0% High $1,693,422
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?
Top outcome: Above 3.50%
 42.0% 21.8% Med $65,263.43
Pro Basketball Champion
Top outcome: Los Angeles L
 4.0% 1.1% High $59,938,962
2026 Men's World Cup winner?
Top outcome: France
 16.2% 17.5% High $14,512,508
California Governor winner?
Top outcome: Matt Mahan
 3.0% 15.1% High $20,869,149.56
Winds of Winter release date announced this year?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027
 89.0% 85.5% Med $7,399.98
Fed decision in Sep 2027?
Top outcome: Hike >25bps
 4.0% 4.7% High $936
Pro Baseball Champion
Top outcome: Seattle
 9.6% 9.3% High $8,926,912
AFC Championship Winner
Top outcome: Las Vegas
 4.0% 3.1% High $929,163
Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year?
Yes refers to: Yes
 10.0% 6.4% Med $2,201,605.65
Where will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding occur?
Top outcome: Rhode Island
 37.0% 24.1% Med $689,567.67
LeBron James announces retirement before the 2026-27 season?
Yes refers to: Before the start of the 2026-27 regular season
 30.0% 39.0% Med $351,050
Who will be cast in the next Miami Vice?
Top outcome: Glen Powell
 45.0% 35.6% Med $9,963
Emmy Award for Drama Actress
Top outcome: Rhea Seehorn
 50.0% 58.1% High $336
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
Top outcome: Brex
 4.0% 0.9% Med $17,279
Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
Yes refers to: MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson), including entities he controls
 39.0% 31.7% Med $1,045
When will any company achieve AGI?
Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026
 17.0% 19.6% High $25,527
Who will perform the next James Bond theme?
Top outcome: Dua Lipa
 26.0% 14.5% Med $26,458
Will Johnny Depp be cast in the next Pirates of the Caribbean?
Yes refers to: Johnny Depp
 48.0% 50.0% Med $18,005
Who will play Moneypenny in the next James Bond?
Top outcome: Jodie Turner-Smith
 4.0% 1.4% Med $694
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
Yes refers to: Before 2035
 1.0% 0.6% Med $17,181
Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
Yes refers to: Before 2045
 14.0% 10.6% Med $40,016
Will A Court Of Thorns and Roses be released?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 2030
 63.0% 43.0% Med $1,432
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
Top outcome: $40 trillion
 99.0% 99.3% High $66,703
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Yes refers to: Before 2050
 16.1% 18.4% Med $17,965
Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
Yes refers to: Between 2025 and 2035?
 19.0% 23.0% Med $800
Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?
Top outcome: Chen Jining
 1.0% 1.0% High $12,465
Who will play Felix Leiter in the next James Bond?
Top outcome: John Hoogenakker
 11.0% 2.9% Med $472
When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers?
Top outcome: Before 2027
 15.0% 8.7% High $2,331
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Top outcome: Félix Tshisekedi
 15.0% 12.6% High $9,487
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
Yes refers to: Before 2045
 6.0% 6.5% Med $18,866
When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released?
Top outcome: Before Jul 2027
 43.0% 23.9% High $24,450
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Top outcome: Before 2030
 34.0% 16.9% High $37,793.26
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?
Top outcome: Citigroup
 37.0% 29.0% High $79,352
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
Yes refers to: Before 2029
 43.0% 51.0% Med $5,239
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 20, 2029
 7.0% 6.4% Med $105,682
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Yes refers to: Before 2050
 28.0% 36.7% Med $8,851
When will Pam Bondi depart as Attorney General?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 98.0% 97.7% High $4,405,941
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Top outcome: Todd Blanche
 64.0% 22.0% High $602,678
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?
Top outcome: Above 500000 in a single quarter
 12.0% 7.9% High $67,236
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
Top outcome: Before Apr 1, 2027
 20.0% 13.4% High $76,872
How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?
Top outcome: Below $60,000.00
 51.0% 77.5% High $2,198,030
North Carolina Basketball - Next Head Coach
Top outcome: Tommy Lloyd
 29.0% 26.5% High $2,344,094
How many games will be played in the Pro Women's Basketball season?
Top outcome: At least 100% of total games
 95.0% 96.5% High $13,114
Will at least 1 game be played in the Pro Women's Basketball season?
Yes refers to: At least 1 game played
 95.0% 96.8% Med $3,884
Which cities will receive Pro Basketball expansion teams before 2028?
Top outcome: Las Vegas
 81.0% 69.5% High $15,127
FIDE Candidates Chess Tournament Winner
Top outcome: Hikaru Nakamura
 8.0% 8.7% High $920,627
How high will unemployment get before 2030?
Top outcome: Above 9%
 52.0% 53.5% High $11,384
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Top outcome: Rupert Lowe
 6.0% 6.0% High $457,285
How high will Solana get in 2026?
Top outcome: Above $170.00
 33.0% 25.5% High $218,470
Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?
Top outcome: Olivia Rodrigo
 68.0% 52.9% Med $1,764
2028 Republican nominee for President?
Top outcome: Marco Rubio
 28.0% 28.8% High $25,693,763
Stanley Cup® Champion?
Top outcome: Colorado Avalanche
 20.0% 15.8% High $16,100,846
Oklahoma City pro basketball wins this season?
Top outcome: 75+ wins
 1.0% 0.8% High $712,449
USD/BRL high in 20​26
Top outcome: 7 or above
 25.0% 18.0% High $542,760
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
Top outcome: Below 300
 11.0% 5.5% High $26,513
Will Trump balance the budget?
Yes refers to: During Trump's term
 12.0% 8.4% Med $40,327
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
Top outcome: Clarence Thomas
 50.0% 27.0% Med $51,480
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
Yes refers to: Before 2029
 14.0% 9.2% Med $53,434
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
Top outcome: At least 250 billion
 10.0% 5.0% High $69,966
Will Congress override Trump's veto?
Top outcome: Before Jan 20, 2029
 38.0% 15.3% High $98,074
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
Yes refers to: Before 2029
 12.0% 7.8% Med $109,977
Will Trump resign during his term?
Yes refers to: Before his term ends
 24.0% 16.3% Med $166,509
Will the US acquire any new territory?
Top outcome: Before Jan 2027
 13.0% 6.5% High $591,333
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
Top outcome: Greenland
 2.3% 18.7% High $594,741
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
Top outcome: $0 / No Acquisition
 78.0% 94.4% High $1,023,227
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
Top outcome: United States
 69.0% 65.2% Med $97,619
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Top outcome: Cornyn beats Talarico
 39.0% 34.2% Med $1,158
Who will the next Pope be?
Top outcome: Pietro Parolin
 8.2% 22.3% High $77,974
Democratic Senate primaries: progressives sweep?
Yes refers to: Yes
 43.0% 31.8% Med $32,029
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
Yes refers to: Before 2029
 11.0% 13.6% Med $18,754
Who will be the next Speaker of the House?
Top outcome: Hakeem Jeffries
 79.0% 59.2% High $16,077
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Top outcome: Anthropic
 44.0% 31.0% Med $84,681
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
Top outcome: Elon Musk
 88.0% 83.4% High $171,344
Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel?
Top outcome: Naftali Bennett
 31.0% 30.6% High $53,101
Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
Top outcome: Disney
 8.0% 1.9% Med $70,080
Will Elon purchase Ryanair?
Yes refers to: Yes
 8.0% 5.1% Med $80,724
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
 1.0% 2.4% High $245,481
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Top outcome: Tulsi Gabbard
 16.0% 13.4% High $1,754,507
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Top outcome: Oil
 54.0% 44.7% High $79,853
U.S. oil production per day in 2026
Top outcome: At least 14.40M bpd
 30.0% 14.7% High $657
Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
Yes refers to: Before 2028
 15.0% 9.8% Med $15,061
Who will be the next James Bond?
Top outcome: Callum Turner
 50.0% 30.2% Med $416,270
What will the price of GTA VI be on PS5?
Top outcome: More than $100
 11.0% 6.4% High $426,333
CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026?
Top outcome: Exactly -0.2%
 7.0% 6.0% High $595,061
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
Yes refers to: Yes
 8.0% 5.1% Med $117,199
CPI core year-over-year in Jun 2026?
Top outcome: Exactly 2.3%
 7.0% 4.0% High $708,794
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
Yes refers to: Mars
 10.0% 1.6% Med $56,620
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
Yes refers to: Before 2035
 41.0% 20.4% Med $41,727
Tesla Roadsters delivered this year?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027
 18.0% 1.1% Med $26,492
Will Deel or Rippling IPO first?
Top outcome: Deel
 73.0% 82.3% High $4,789
Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?
Top outcome: Scottie Scheffler
 57.0% 62.0% Med $298,232
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Top outcome: Marco Rubio
 19.0% 19.5% High $18,744,212
2026 Grammy nominations for Song of the Year?
Top outcome: The Fate of Ophelia
 92.0% 95.0% Med $0
Who will play Britney Spears in the Jon M. Chu–directed biopic?
Top outcome: Addison Rae
 20.0% 10.0% Med $1,707
2026 Grammy nominations for Album of the Year?
Top outcome: Lux
 59.0% 56.5% Med $1,341
Eastern Conference Finals Winner?
Top outcome: Buffalo Sabres
 15.0% 13.5% High $972,208
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
Yes refers to: Grants license
 23.0% 20.5% Med $348,996
How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026?
Top outcome: Above 0.0%
 90.0% 95.0% Med $167,316
CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026?
Top outcome: Exactly 2.3%
 5.0% 1.2% High $1,022,794
Netflix price increase in 2026?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 76.0% 81.0% Med $144,574
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use before 2027?
Yes refers to: Any psychedelic substance for medical use
 24.0% 24.5% Med $89,594
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Top outcome: Earbuds/Headphones
 68.0% 65.5% Med $56,957
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Yes refers to: Reza Pahlavi
 21.0% 21.5% Med $711,678
Recession this year?
Yes refers to: Starts
 18.0% 24.5% Med $462,943
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
Top outcome: At least 250 billion
 7.0% 9.0% Med $152,669
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
Top outcome: xAI
 54.0% 53.5% Med $842,732
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
Top outcome: Above 5%
 46.0% 36.5% Med $333,505
GDP growth in 2026?
Top outcome: 0.0 or below
 2.5% 4.9% High $64,899
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
Top outcome: At least 1000
 98.0% 25.0% Med $110,847
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
Yes refers to: By 2030
 22.0% 20.0% Med $57,276
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 30.0% 31.0% Med $52,761
Western Conference Finals Winner?
Top outcome: Colorado Avalanche
 36.0% 34.5% High $1,062,142
Who will win Survivor Season 50?
Top outcome: Aubry Bracco
 82.0% 72.6% High $4,555,613
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top outcome: Judy Shelton
 5.0% 3.8% High $196,269,477
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Top outcome: Before 2028
 27.0% 68.0% Med $571,972
Who will acquire Pinterest this year?
Top outcome: OpenAI
 11.0% 16.0% Med $66,300
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Top outcome: Anthropic
 49.0% 37.2% Med $216,897
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Top outcome: Valar Atomics
 69.0% 3.0% Med $85,077
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
Top outcome: 0 cuts
 90.1% 80.9% Med $67,451
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 66.0% 46.5% Med $84,553
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 9.0% 6.3% Med $52,315
Measles cases in 2026?
Top outcome: Above 10000
 23.0% 31.5% Med $405,394
Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 28.0% 24.5% Med $55,846
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Top outcome: Exactly 0 cuts
 54.1% 11.0% Med $1,258,867
AI capability growth before July?
Top outcome: At least 1550 score
 40.0% 56.0% Med $70,699
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?
Top outcome: United Kingdom
 34.0% 55.0% Med $89,415
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?
Top outcome: Above $99,999.99
 47.0% 85.0% Med $1,897,192
Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?
Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027
 27.0% 18.5% Med $72,743
NASA lands on the moon?
Top outcome: Before 2027
 5.0% 6.5% Med $164,960
Will Bitcoin be above $250k by 2027?
Yes refers to: Above $250000
 4.0% 8.8% Med $396,970
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
Top outcome: 18,999.99 or below
 8.0% 19.2% Med $514,992
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
 8.0% 8.5% Med $108,581
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
Yes refers to: Above 5%
 57.0% 59.0% Med $136,854
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
Top outcome: More than $900 Billion
 83.0% 88.0% Med $43,054
Jamie Dimon leaves JPMorgan Chase?
Top outcome: Before July
 5.0% 6.5% Med $12,539
Costco raises hot dog combo price?
Top outcome: Before 2027
 8.0% 1.6% Med $40,031
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
Yes refers to: Before 2030
 55.0% 55.0% Med $73,763
When will the next US recession start?
Top outcome: Q1 2026
 14.0% 50.0% Med $408,091
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Top outcome: Before 2028
 15.0% 2.0% Med $46,462
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Top outcome: Claude
 41.0% 32.5% Med $1,135,017
S&P close price end of 2026?
Top outcome: 3,999.99 or below
 3.0% 2.4% Med $826,748
What will Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator go for at auction?
Top outcome: At least $7 million
 81.0% 1.0% Med $499,183
Expired Markets (756)
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$1,857
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$15,455
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$182
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$1,401
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$1,210
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$1,620
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$400
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$49
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$188
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$2,272
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$2,272
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$2,641
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$10,000
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$5
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$1,023
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$26
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$3,477
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$518
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$64
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$7,724
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$23,905
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$628
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$53,694
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$1,221
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$467
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$347
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$45
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$207
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$547
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$2,620
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$627
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$1,655
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$83
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$52,943
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$10,737
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$454
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$149
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$230
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$233
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$34
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$1,766
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$18,844
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$49
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$1,227
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$188
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$2,006
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$36
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$538
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$7,470
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$324
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$108
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$71
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$241
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$1,301
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$8
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$546
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$5
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$23
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$467
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$2,817
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$437
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$942
UFC 327
UFC 327
Yes
Market Model — —
$49
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$223
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$12
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$182
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$1,153
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$454
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$132
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$1,862
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$27,023
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$70,408
Combo
Combo
Yes
Market Model — —
$9