Coldplay
Market Model 35.0% 2.2%
Logic
Market Model 1.0% 0.0%
Entertainment Markets
Active Markets (71)
Gachiakuta
Market Model 70.0% 54.7%
The Apothecary Diaries Season 2
Market Model 17.0% 15.6%
Yes
Market Model 15.0% 22.2%
Yes
Market Model 24.0% 22.4%
Billie Eilish
Market Model 31.0% 18.6%
Offset
Market Model 63.0% 52.4%
Kanye West / Ye
Market Model 7.0% 2.7%
JAY-Z
Market Model 34.0% 21.3%
Future
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Sexyy Red
Market Model 2.0% 0.0%
Yes
Market Model 11.0% 7.1%
Above 3.6B
Market Model 45.0% 39.6%
Above 3.4B
Market Model 27.0% 39.6%
Donald Trump
Market Model 4.0% 1.5%
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
Market Model 28.0% 17.2%
Charli XCX
Market Model 54.0% 41.8%
Bad Bunny
Market Model 58.0% 46.4%
Yes
Market Model 26.0% 26.0%
DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS
Market Model 65.0% 58.6%
The Life of a Showgirl
Market Model 1.0% 2.7%
Yes
Market Model 22.0% 22.0%
Before July
Market Model 33.0% 35.0%
Before November
Market Model 80.0% 80.0%
My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON
Market Model 79.0% 56.5%
DAN DA DAN Season 2
Market Model 14.0% 11.7%
Yes
Market Model 43.0% 38.7%
More than 7 weeks
Market Model 2.0% 1.6%
More than 8 weeks
Market Model 1.0% 0.8%
U2
Market Model 18.0% 5.6%
Spice Girls
Market Model 22.0% 11.5%
Sydney Sweeney
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Lady Gaga
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Ain't in it For My Health
Market Model 48.0% 81.2%
Tie
Market Model 7.0% 15.5%
At least 400,000
Market Model 43.0% 31.7%
At least 325,000
Market Model 78.0% 67.1%
Half-Life 3
Market Model 21.0% 10.8%
Squadron 42
Market Model 68.0% 58.5%
Crimson Desert
Market Model 8.0% 8.3%
Grand Theft Auto VI
Market Model 47.0% 39.3%
Before August 2026
Market Model 2.0% 21.6%
Before June 2026
Market Model 2.0% 21.6%
Yes
Market Model 99.0% 99.1%
Bruno Mars
Market Model 70.0% 63.9%
Chris Brown
Market Model 3.0% 3.8%
Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson
Market Model 83.0% 77.6%
Harry Styles
Market Model 30.0% 17.8%
Carey Mulligan
Market Model 21.0% 21.9%
Sarah Pidgeon
Market Model 42.0% 39.3%
Project Hail Mary
Market Model 69.0% 64.7%
Dune: Part Three
Market Model 49.0% 42.0%
AI
Market Model 15.0% 4.4%
Donald Trump
Market Model 33.0% 20.4%
BIRDS OF A FEATHER
Market Model 7.0% 11.1%
Golden
Market Model 10.0% 15.5%
Yes
Market Model 76.0% 76.0%
Yes
Market Model 8.0% 5.1%
Yes
Market Model 77.0% 77.0%
Tie
Market Model 6.0% 6.0%
Marta Barbará as Kaoruko Waguri
Market Model 19.0% 19.8%
Before 2027
Market Model 26.0% 15.4%
Before 2028
Market Model 45.0% 28.4%
Yes
Market Model 21.0% 18.5%
Yes
Market Model 88.0% 88.9%
Despacito
Market Model 48.0% 35.2%
Blinding Lights
Market Model 53.0% 33.2%
Italy
Market Model 79.0% 70.0%
United Kingdom
Market Model 23.0% 23.8%
Before Jul 1, 2026
Market Model 2.0% 1.6%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Market Model 43.0% 33.7%
Yes
Market Model 57.0% 37.0%
Kevin Hart
Market Model 94.0% 97.8%
Logan Paul
Market Model 1.0% 0.2%
Before Jul 1, 2026
Market Model 26.0% 25.6%
Before Jul 1, 2027
Market Model 56.0% 53.3%
Selena Gomez
Market Model 71.0% 67.7%
Gigi Hadid
Market Model 58.0% 46.4%
Yes
Market Model 55.0% 41.1%
Patrick Mahomes
Market Model 87.0% 82.9%
Jason Kelce
Market Model 86.0% 81.5%
Elon Musk
Market Model 29.0% 19.0%
Taylor Swift
Market Model 12.0% 4.1%
Yes
Market Model 38.0% 30.8%
Yes
Market Model 25.0% 17.1%
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
Market Model 74.0% 66.0%
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
Market Model 72.0% 63.5%
Yes
Market Model 89.0% 85.5%
Yes
Market Model 10.0% 6.4%
Rhode Island
Market Model 37.0% 24.1%
New York
Market Model 62.0% 51.2%
Glen Powell
Market Model 45.0% 35.6%
Ryan Gosling
Market Model 19.0% 7.0%
Rhea Seehorn
Market Model 50.0% 58.1%
Zendaya
Market Model 31.0% 35.9%
Dua Lipa
Market Model 26.0% 14.5%
Olivia Dean
Market Model 37.0% 24.1%
Yes
Market Model 48.0% 50.0%
Jodie Turner-Smith
Market Model 4.0% 1.4%
Alison Oliver
Market Model 5.0% 1.8%
Yes
Market Model 63.0% 43.0%
John Hoogenakker
Market Model 11.0% 2.9%
Wyatt Russell
Market Model 3.0% 1.0%
Before 2027
Market Model 15.0% 8.7%
Before 2028
Market Model 55.0% 36.7%
Before Jul 2027
Market Model 43.0% 23.9%
Before Jul 2026
Market Model 2.0% 1.0%
Olivia Rodrigo
Market Model 68.0% 52.9%
Bad Bunny
Market Model 24.0% 8.5%
Callum Turner
Market Model 50.0% 30.2%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
Market Model 8.0% 3.1%
More than $100
Market Model 11.0% 6.4%
More than $70
Market Model 61.0% 50.2%
The Fate of Ophelia
Market Model 92.0% 95.0%
Man I Need
Market Model 82.0% 85.0%
Addison Rae
Market Model 20.0% 10.0%
Olivia Holt
Market Model 20.0% 38.0%
Lux
Market Model 59.0% 56.5%
Arirang
Market Model 32.0% 28.0%
Aubry Bracco
Market Model 82.0% 72.6%
Jonathan Young
Market Model 4.0% 3.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will perform at the FIFA World Cup final halftime show? Top outcome: Coldplay | 35.0% | 2.2% | Med | $113,777.56 | Refresh |
| 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Character Design? Top outcome: Gachiakuta | 70.0% | 54.7% | High | $2,048.68 | Refresh |
| Will Justin Bieber have a #1 hit this year? Yes refers to: By Dec 27, 2026 | 15.0% | 22.2% | Med | $78,818.31 | Refresh |
| Will Ye and Travis Scott release a joint album this year? Yes refers to: Kanye West (Ye) and Travis Scott | 24.0% | 22.4% | Med | $17,105.26 | Refresh |
| Who will release a new album in 2026? Top outcome: Billie Eilish | 31.0% | 18.6% | Med | $282,904.69 | Refresh |
| Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? Top outcome: Kanye West / Ye | 7.0% | 2.7% | Med | $81,729.73 | Refresh |
| Who will be featured on 'Iceman'? Top outcome: Future | 99.0% | 100.0% | Med | $7,261,725.01 | Refresh |
| Will Eric Adams go on Dancing with the Stars this year? Yes refers to: Eric Adams | 11.0% | 7.1% | Med | $914.26 | Refresh |
| 2Pac Streams in 2026 Top outcome: Above 3.6B | 45.0% | 39.6% | High | $32 | Refresh |
| Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Top outcome: Donald Trump | 4.0% | 1.5% | Med | $486,231.6 | Refresh |
| Who will be on the cover of Rolling Stone in 2026? Top outcome: Charli XCX | 54.0% | 41.8% | Med | $13,293.14 | Refresh |
| Will Nick Bosa and Ella Ailiff be engaged before 2027? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 26.0% | 26.0% | Med | $879.64 | Refresh |
| Top Album on Spotify in 2026? Top outcome: DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS | 65.0% | 58.6% | High | $24,891.01 | Refresh |
| Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year? Yes refers to: 10,000 or more | 22.0% | 22.0% | Med | $2,965.96 | Refresh |
| When will Playboi Carti release a new song? Top outcome: Before July | 33.0% | 35.0% | High | $1,519 | Refresh |
| 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Anime of the Year? Top outcome: My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON | 79.0% | 56.5% | High | $25,103.95 | Refresh |
| Will Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) be announced this year? Yes refers to: In 2027 | 43.0% | 38.7% | Med | $6,659.68 | Refresh |
| How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? Top outcome: More than 7 weeks | 2.0% | 1.6% | High | $3,174.56 | Refresh |
| Who will perform at Las Vegas Sphere in 2027? Top outcome: U2 | 18.0% | 5.6% | Med | $56,419.62 | Refresh |
| Who will attend The Met Gala? Top outcome: Sydney Sweeney | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | $5,925,272.89 | Refresh |
| 2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Album of the Year? Top outcome: Ain't in it For My Health | 48.0% | 81.2% | High | $800 | Refresh |
| you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love: First Week Activity (Combined Sales): Hits Daily Double Top outcome: At least 400,000 | 43.0% | 31.7% | High | $6,078.13 | Refresh |
| Which video games will release this year? Top outcome: Half-Life 3 | 21.0% | 10.8% | Med | $109,065.28 | Refresh |
| 2026 Game of the Year? Top outcome: Crimson Desert | 8.0% | 8.3% | High | $612,914.56 | Refresh |
| GTA 6 release date? Top outcome: Before August 2026 | 2.0% | 21.6% | High | $1,365,687.24 | Refresh |
| New Star Wars movie released in theaters before 2027? Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 99.0% | 99.1% | Med | $186,230.55 | Refresh |
| American Music Award for Best Male R&B Artist? Top outcome: Bruno Mars | 70.0% | 63.9% | High | $209.22 | Refresh |
| Who will go on Jimmy Kimmel? Top outcome: Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson | 83.0% | 77.6% | Med | $15,419.01 | Refresh |
| Emmy Award for Movie/Limited Actress Top outcome: Carey Mulligan | 21.0% | 21.9% | Med | $6,922.97 | Refresh |
| Oscar nominations for Best Adapted Screenplay? Top outcome: Project Hail Mary | 69.0% | 64.7% | Med | $6,354.84 | Refresh |
| TIME's Person of the Year for 2026? Top outcome: AI | 15.0% | 4.4% | Med | $271,941.24 | Refresh |
| #2 Song on Spotify in 2026? Top outcome: BIRDS OF A FEATHER | 7.0% | 11.1% | Med | $5,676.41 | Refresh |
| Will Taylor Swift have a top 3 song on spotify global this year? Yes refers to: Taylor Swift | 76.0% | 76.0% | Med | $1,676 | Refresh |
| Will a new season of Stranger Things be announced? Yes refers to: Before Jan 2027 | 8.0% | 5.1% | Med | $20,526.74 | Refresh |
| Will Trump attend The World Cup Final? Yes refers to: Yes | 77.0% | 77.0% | Med | $48,905.41 | Refresh |
| 6.0% | 6.0% | High | $579 | Refresh | |
| When will Young Thug and Gunna make a song together? Top outcome: Before 2027 | 26.0% | 15.4% | High | $452.66 | Refresh |
| Will Drake and Kendrick Lamar make a song together before 2030? Yes refers to: Before 2030 | 21.0% | 18.5% | Med | $943 | Refresh |
| Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030? Yes refers to: Before 2030 | 88.0% | 88.9% | Med | $4,953 | Refresh |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? Top outcome: Despacito | 48.0% | 35.2% | Med | $8,228.3 | Refresh |
| Where will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner’s wedding occur? Top outcome: Italy | 79.0% | 70.0% | Med | $5,338 | Refresh |
| When will Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz be married? Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 1.6% | High | $112.18 | Refresh |
| Will there be an announcement that The Simpsons is ending? Yes refers to: Before 2030 | 57.0% | 37.0% | Med | $6,768.18 | Refresh |
| Next Netflix Roast Subject? Top outcome: Kevin Hart | 94.0% | 97.8% | High | $56,308.9 | Refresh |
| When will Prison Break return? Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026 | 26.0% | 25.6% | High | $2,361.69 | Refresh |
| Who will be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift? Top outcome: Selena Gomez | 71.0% | 67.7% | Med | $99,695.07 | Refresh |
| Will there be an announcement that Family Guy is ending? Yes refers to: Before 2030 | 55.0% | 41.1% | Med | $1,091 | Refresh |
| Who will be Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift? Top outcome: Patrick Mahomes | 87.0% | 82.9% | Med | $32,873.68 | Refresh |
| Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? Top outcome: Elon Musk | 29.0% | 19.0% | Med | $33,008.48 | Refresh |
| Will Tom Cruise be cast in another Film With Ana de Armas? Yes refers to: Tom Cruise | 38.0% | 30.8% | Med | $423 | Refresh |
| Will Glen Powell be cast in the next Indiana Jones movie? Yes refers to: Glen Powell | 25.0% | 17.1% | Med | $2,015.13 | Refresh |
| Avengers: Doomsday Cast? Top outcome: Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | 74.0% | 66.0% | Med | $103,264.56 | Refresh |
| Winds of Winter release date announced this year? Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 89.0% | 85.5% | Med | $7,399.98 | Refresh |
| Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year? Yes refers to: Yes | 10.0% | 6.4% | Med | $2,201,605.65 | Refresh |
| Where will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding occur? Top outcome: Rhode Island | 37.0% | 24.1% | Med | $689,567.67 | Refresh |
| Who will be cast in the next Miami Vice? Top outcome: Glen Powell | 45.0% | 35.6% | Med | $9,963 | Refresh |
| Emmy Award for Drama Actress Top outcome: Rhea Seehorn | 50.0% | 58.1% | High | $336 | Refresh |
| Who will perform the next James Bond theme? Top outcome: Dua Lipa | 26.0% | 14.5% | Med | $26,458 | Refresh |
| Will Johnny Depp be cast in the next Pirates of the Caribbean? Yes refers to: Johnny Depp | 48.0% | 50.0% | Med | $18,005 | Refresh |
| Who will play Moneypenny in the next James Bond? Top outcome: Jodie Turner-Smith | 4.0% | 1.4% | Med | $694 | Refresh |
| Will A Court Of Thorns and Roses be released? Yes refers to: Before Jan 2030 | 63.0% | 43.0% | Med | $1,432 | Refresh |
| Who will play Felix Leiter in the next James Bond? Top outcome: John Hoogenakker | 11.0% | 2.9% | Med | $472 | Refresh |
| When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers? Top outcome: Before 2027 | 15.0% | 8.7% | High | $2,331 | Refresh |
| When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released? Top outcome: Before Jul 2027 | 43.0% | 23.9% | High | $24,450 | Refresh |
| Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? Top outcome: Olivia Rodrigo | 68.0% | 52.9% | Med | $1,764 | Refresh |
| Who will be the next James Bond? Top outcome: Callum Turner | 50.0% | 30.2% | Med | $416,270 | Refresh |
| What will the price of GTA VI be on PS5? Top outcome: More than $100 | 11.0% | 6.4% | High | $426,333 | Refresh |
| 2026 Grammy nominations for Song of the Year? Top outcome: The Fate of Ophelia | 92.0% | 95.0% | Med | $0 | Refresh |
| Who will play Britney Spears in the Jon M. Chu–directed biopic? Top outcome: Addison Rae | 20.0% | 10.0% | Med | $1,707 | Refresh |
| 2026 Grammy nominations for Album of the Year? Top outcome: Lux | 59.0% | 56.5% | Med | $1,341 | Refresh |
| Who will win Survivor Season 50? Top outcome: Aubry Bracco | 82.0% | 72.6% | High | $4,555,613 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (31)
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| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $40,890.22 | ||
| — | — | High | $31.04 | ||
| — | — | High | $11,559.48 | ||
| — | — | Med | $0 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1 | ||
| — | — | High | $0 | ||
| — | — | High | $815,210.21 | ||
| — | — | Med | $3.27 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,098.56 | ||
| — | — | Med | $54,382.81 | ||
| — | — | Med | $38 | ||
| — | — | High | $110,790.16 | ||
| — | — | High | $7,830.81 | ||
| — | — | High | $9,219.38 | ||
| — | — | High | $3,342.4 | ||
| — | — | High | $8,201.22 | ||
| — | — | High | $8,366.9 | ||
| — | — | High | $3,174.95 | ||
| — | — | High | $2,975.46 | ||
| — | — | High | $3,299.95 | ||
| — | — | High | $4,527.72 | ||
| — | — | Med | $3,202.61 | ||
| — | — | High | $5,563.33 | ||
| — | — | High | $10,413.51 | ||
| — | — | High | $3,646.87 | ||
| — | — | Med | $3,613.18 | ||
| — | — | High | $2,012 | ||
| — | — | Med | $0 | ||
| — | — | High | $632 | ||
| — | — | High | $612 | ||
| — | — | Med | $585,116 |
