Anthropic
Market Model 81.0% 80.0%
OpenAI
Market Model 31.0% 18.6%
Financials Markets
Active Markets (16)
5,900 or below
Market Model 23.2% 11.9%
6,300 or below
Market Model 39.0% 24.0%
Yes
Market Model 71.0% 78.5%
28,400 or above
Market Model 99.9% 100.0%
29,000 or above
Market Model 98.0% 100.0%
Yes
Market Model 30.0% 22.3%
Yes
Market Model 57.0% 53.0%
7,200 or above
Market Model 99.9% 99.6%
7,400 or above
Market Model 92.4% 91.2%
Yes
Market Model 69.9% 64.8%
Yes
Market Model 48.0% 48.0%
Brex
Market Model 4.0% 0.9%
Ramp
Market Model 85.0% 86.8%
7 or above
Market Model 25.0% 18.0%
6.5 or above
Market Model 73.0% 52.0%
Deel
Market Model 73.0% 82.3%
Rippling
Market Model 25.0% 17.7%
Yes
Market Model 76.0% 81.0%
18,999.99 or below
Market Model 8.0% 19.2%
25,500 to 25,999.99
Market Model 2.0% 4.8%
3,999.99 or below
Market Model 3.0% 2.4%
7,400 to 7,599.99
Market Model 11.0% 11.9%
At least $7 million
Market Model 81.0% 1.0%
At least $6 million
Market Model 91.0% 85.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Top outcome: Anthropic | 81.0% | 80.0% | Med | $124,032.03 | Refresh |
| How low will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 5,900 or below | 23.2% | 11.9% | High | $693,660.99 | Refresh |
| Will the S&P finish positive this year? Yes refers to: Positive Growth | 71.0% | 78.5% | Med | $634,403.5 | Refresh |
| How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026? Top outcome: 28,400 or above | 99.9% | 100.0% | High | $227,168.32 | Refresh |
| Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 30.0% | 22.3% | Med | $162,559.71 | Refresh |
| Will the 10 year US Treasury yield end May 2026 above 4.35%? Yes refers to: 4.35% or above | 57.0% | 53.0% | Med | $2,584 | Refresh |
| How high will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 7,200 or above | 99.9% | 99.6% | High | $980,523.23 | Refresh |
| Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026? Yes refers to: 25,249.86 or above | 69.9% | 64.8% | Med | $54,109.31 | Refresh |
| Will the official Settlement Price for the Current Auction of CARB Joint Auction #47 strictly exceed $27.94? Yes refers to: Above $27.94 | 48.0% | 48.0% | Med | $204,889.69 | Refresh |
| Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? Top outcome: Brex | 4.0% | 0.9% | Med | $17,279 | Refresh |
| USD/BRL high in 2026 Top outcome: 7 or above | 25.0% | 18.0% | High | $542,760 | Refresh |
| Will Deel or Rippling IPO first? Top outcome: Deel | 73.0% | 82.3% | High | $4,789 | Refresh |
| Netflix price increase in 2026? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 76.0% | 81.0% | Med | $144,574 | Refresh |
| Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 18,999.99 or below | 8.0% | 19.2% | Med | $514,992 | Refresh |
| S&P close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 3,999.99 or below | 3.0% | 2.4% | Med | $826,748 | Refresh |
| What will Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator go for at auction? Top outcome: At least $7 million | 81.0% | 1.0% | Med | $499,183 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (28)
Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $54,326.3 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,212.29 | ||
| — | — | Med | $3,027.15 | ||
| — | — | Med | $613.28 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,404.38 | ||
| — | — | Med | $2,254 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,221.06 | ||
| — | — | High | $1,363.25 | ||
| — | — | High | $1,036.71 | ||
| — | — | High | $25,704.9 | ||
| — | — | High | $174,980 | ||
| — | — | High | $12,948 | ||
| — | — | High | $194,063 | ||
| — | — | High | $12,634 | ||
| — | — | Med | $20,322 | ||
| — | — | High | $39,476 | ||
| — | — | High | $47,936 | ||
| — | — | Med | $582,337 | ||
| — | — | High | $994 | ||
| — | — | High | $177,173 | ||
| — | — | High | $720,493 | ||
| — | — | Med | $58,037 | ||
| — | — | Med | $56,909 | ||
| — | — | Med | $103,769 | ||
| — | — | Med | $59,064 | ||
| — | — | Med | $151,752 | ||
| — | — | Med | $58,466 | ||
| — | — | Med | $297,831 |
