Paramount
Market Model 65.0% 52.5%
Netflix
Market Model 4.0% 4.1%
Financials Markets
Active Markets (170)
Before Aug 1, 2026
Market Model 1.0% 0.7%
Before Sep 1, 2026
Market Model 4.0% 2.7%
5,900 or below
Market Model 6.4% 3.7%
6,300 or below
Market Model 31.7% 21.6%
Above 50 TWh
Market Model 92.0% 94.3%
Above 53 TWh
Market Model 91.0% 94.3%
Above 12.5 TWh
Market Model 90.0% 19.0%
Above 9 TWh
Market Model 99.0% 85.2%
Above 41 million
Market Model 6.0% 7.8%
Above 41.1 million
Market Model 3.0% 5.4%
Above 17.4 GW
Market Model 59.0% 67.0%
Above 17.8 GW
Market Model 26.0% 33.0%
Above 3600 MW
Market Model 81.0% 32.0%
Above 3700 MW
Market Model 60.0% 28.0%
Above 4%
Market Model 19.0% 44.0%
Above 2%
Market Model 62.0% 52.2%
Above 3525
Market Model 49.0% 51.8%
Above 3475
Market Model 73.0% 98.2%
Above -2%
Market Model 47.0% 81.7%
Above -1%
Market Model 27.0% 81.7%
Above 2%
Market Model 1.0% 6.0%
Above -12%
Market Model 99.0% 90.2%
Above 3240
Market Model 86.0% 70.2%
Above 3260
Market Model 13.0% 65.1%
Above 7240
Market Model 95.0% 98.0%
Above 7290
Market Model 34.0% 13.7%
Above 49.5 million
Market Model 77.0% 0.5%
Above 50 million
Market Model 61.0% 0.5%
Above 1200 Million
Market Model 14.0% 0.1%
Above 1180 Million
Market Model 20.0% 0.1%
Above 540 Million
Market Model 41.0% 0.5%
Above 570 Million
Market Model 11.0% 0.2%
Above 450 Million
Market Model 13.0% 0.1%
Above 440 Million
Market Model 14.0% 0.2%
Above 6%
Market Model 10.0% 8.6%
Above 7%
Market Model 1.0% 4.7%
Above 172
Market Model 70.0% 88.0%
Above 192
Market Model 8.0% 8.0%
Above -6%
Market Model 8.0% 6.9%
Above -2%
Market Model 3.0% 4.2%
Above 3.5%
Market Model 1.0% 6.7%
Above 2%
Market Model 80.0% 85.3%
Above 228
Market Model 9.0% 11.7%
Above 220
Market Model 15.0% 52.7%
Above 194
Market Model 68.0% 60.0%
Above 196
Market Model 46.0% 43.0%
Above 8.2 million
Market Model 85.0% 85.2%
Above 8.8 million
Market Model 2.0% 1.2%
Above 3%
Market Model 94.0% 98.8%
Above 5.5%
Market Model 12.0% 10.8%
Above -2.5%
Market Model 4.0% 4.7%
Above 0%
Market Model 1.0% 4.7%
Above 818
Market Model 5.0% 2.5%
Above 806
Market Model 91.0% 79.6%
Above 2%
Market Model 21.0% 15.4%
Above 3.5%
Market Model 1.0% 2.4%
above 3.75 billion
Market Model 94.0% 95.5%
above 3.8 billion
Market Model 87.0% 84.4%
Above 465000
Market Model 58.0% 54.3%
Above 485000
Market Model 41.0% 38.9%
Above 198 thousand
Market Model 30.0% 28.5%
Above 189 thousand
Market Model 99.0% 98.8%
Above 2600
Market Model 86.0% 83.3%
Above 2900
Market Model 16.0% 12.9%
Above 2%
Market Model 78.0% 55.4%
Above 5%
Market Model 8.0% 4.0%
Above 1000
Market Model 42.0% 47.6%
Above 5000
Market Model 11.0% 21.0%
Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
Market Model 81.0% 96.5%
Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
Market Model 48.0% 78.2%
Above 500000 in a single quarter
Market Model 53.0% 50.4%
Above 750000 in a single quarter
Market Model 5.0% 5.5%
4.19 million
Market Model 56.0% 27.1%
4.65 million
Market Model 11.0% 3.9%
Above 430 million
Market Model 7.0% 3.2%
Above 440 million
Market Model 6.0% 2.7%
Above 124 million
Market Model 16.0% 9.3%
Above 120 million
Market Model 50.0% 32.4%
Above 780 million
Market Model 37.0% 46.1%
Above 775 million
Market Model 94.0% 88.9%
Above 7250
Market Model 75.0% 47.0%
Above 7300
Market Model 38.0% 19.1%
Above 835
Market Model 45.0% 43.0%
Above 820
Market Model 80.0% 77.5%
Above 492 million
Market Model 34.0% 16.0%
Above 484 million
Market Model 86.0% 72.1%
Above $116 billion
Market Model 44.0% 18.0%
Above $120 billion
Market Model 11.0% 5.0%
Above 16%
Market Model 26.0% 31.5%
Above 10%
Market Model 93.0% 98.2%
Above 60 million
Market Model 96.0% 98.8%
Above 74 million
Market Model 4.0% 6.2%
Above 41.8 million
Market Model 7.0% 17.0%
Above 40.2 million
Market Model 0.0% 25.0%
Above 3%
Market Model 82.0% 75.4%
Above 4%
Market Model 52.0% 43.4%
Above 41300
Market Model 56.0% 71.2%
Above 41200
Market Model 96.0% 90.7%
above 40 billion
Market Model 5.0% 3.0%
above 39.5 billion
Market Model 5.0% 7.0%
Above 46000
Market Model 90.0% 86.1%
Above 52000
Market Model 86.0% 79.6%
Above 15000
Market Model 63.0% 64.8%
Above 16000
Market Model 43.0% 52.7%
Above 11500
Market Model 0.0% 20.0%
Above 12000
Market Model 0.0% 20.0%
Above 138 million
Market Model 77.0% 75.8%
Above 154 million
Market Model 3.0% 0.7%
Above 13900
Market Model 17.0% 7.9%
Above 13500
Market Model 79.0% 64.1%
Above 1100
Market Model 88.0% 90.7%
Above 1200
Market Model 47.0% 57.1%
Above 1060
Market Model 87.0% 85.2%
Above 1100
Market Model 6.0% 6.4%
Above 160000
Market Model 11.0% 5.1%
Above 130000
Market Model 87.0% 70.4%
Above 17500
Market Model 55.0% 59.1%
Above 16500
Market Model 96.0% 91.0%
Above 3.25 million
Market Model 92.0% 88.1%
Above 3.3 million
Market Model 86.0% 82.2%
Above 855 thousand
Market Model 51.0% 19.3%
Above 870 thousand
Market Model 17.0% 7.9%
Above 13.8 million
Market Model 6.0% 3.0%
Above 12.4 million
Market Model 90.0% 80.3%
Above 15 billion
Market Model 62.0% 44.4%
Above 14.5 billion
Market Model 90.0% 75.7%
Above 73000
Market Model 94.0% 31.2%
Above 74500
Market Model 83.0% 27.9%
Above 3.68 billion
Market Model 3.0% 2.7%
Above 3.62 billion
Market Model 21.0% 44.4%
Above 3 billion
Market Model 89.0% 91.7%
Above 3.6 billion
Market Model 8.0% 10.5%
Above 45800
Market Model 99.0% 90.7%
Above 46100
Market Model 41.0% 45.2%
Above 2%
Market Model 32.0% 16.3%
Above 2.5%
Market Model 9.0% 7.3%
Above 1.815 million
Market Model 44.0% 54.5%
Above 1.81 million
Market Model 86.0% 91.5%
above 254 million
Market Model 64.0% 52.3%
above 251 million
Market Model 91.0% 86.3%
Above -6%
Market Model 32.0% 34.3%
Above -5%
Market Model 19.0% 29.5%
Above 222 million
Market Model 63.0% 49.6%
Above 220 million
Market Model 91.0% 89.5%
Above 2.5%
Market Model 41.0% 38.9%
Above 3%
Market Model 20.0% 24.7%
above 125 million
Market Model 9.0% 1.1%
above 122 million
Market Model 34.0% 34.8%
Above 78000
Market Model 80.0% 72.0%
Above 80000
Market Model 62.0% 31.0%
Above 28 million
Market Model 47.0% 59.1%
Above 27.9 million
Market Model 85.0% 74.4%
Above 2.84 million
Market Model 95.0% 94.0%
Above 3.08 million
Market Model 43.0% 40.2%
Above 2.72 million
Market Model 86.0% 75.4%
Above 2.68 million
Market Model 89.0% 81.9%
Above 450 million
Market Model 24.0% 17.3%
Above 440 million
Market Model 85.0% 85.7%
above 52.5 million
Market Model 88.0% 84.3%
above 53 million
Market Model 82.0% 77.0%
Above 208000
Market Model 25.0% 2.7%
Above 188000
Market Model 98.0% 97.0%
Above 4.1 million
Market Model 3.0% 1.0%
Above 3.8 million
Market Model 69.0% 65.2%
above 1675
Market Model 18.0% 23.9%
above 1600
Market Model 85.0% 88.0%
Above $23 billion
Market Model 6.0% 1.0%
Above $22.5 billion
Market Model 10.0% 2.0%
Above 7350
Market Model 86.0% 98.0%
Above 7375
Market Model 47.0% 75.3%
Above 6%
Market Model 12.0% 4.2%
Above 7%
Market Model 2.0% 2.1%
above 1000 million
Market Model 13.0% 14.9%
above 1020 million
Market Model 4.0% 7.0%
above 190000
Market Model 92.0% 87.4%
above 200000
Market Model 33.0% 22.9%
Above -1%
Market Model 40.0% 63.0%
Above 0%
Market Model 6.0% 31.8%
Above 2%
Market Model 4.0% 12.3%
Above 3%
Market Model 3.0% 5.0%
Before 2027
Market Model 79.0% 79.7%
Before September
Market Model 6.0% 5.5%
Above $180 billion
Market Model 7.0% 16.3%
Above $190 billion
Market Model 6.0% 16.3%
Above 8.5 million
Market Model 14.0% 19.1%
Above 9 million
Market Model 3.0% 9.0%
Above 4160
Market Model 62.0% 44.2%
Above 4140
Market Model 92.0% 95.2%
Above 1%
Market Model 70.0% 79.3%
Above 4%
Market Model 4.0% 4.7%
Above 25.2 million
Market Model 4.0% 8.6%
Above 25 million
Market Model 7.0% 14.7%
Above 480
Market Model 14.0% 5.5%
Above 475
Market Model 93.0% 63.6%
Above 3%
Market Model 99.0% 99.3%
Above 4.5%
Market Model 89.0% 92.1%
Above 24%
Market Model 35.0% 19.9%
Above 21%
Market Model 62.0% 51.2%
Above 21%
Market Model 97.0% 93.6%
Above 15%
Market Model 99.0% 98.6%
Above 1575000
Market Model 41.0% 26.9%
Above 1525000
Market Model 92.0% 76.6%
Above 1555000
Market Model 89.0% 85.2%
Above 1575000
Market Model 29.0% 45.2%
Above 400000
Market Model 87.0% 99.2%
Above 380000
Market Model 89.0% 99.4%
Above 85%
Market Model 67.0% 44.4%
Above 84.5%
Market Model 76.0% 54.9%
Above 86%
Market Model 76.0% 42.1%
Above 87%
Market Model 39.0% 7.8%
Above 172000
Market Model 28.0% 17.2%
Above 174000
Market Model 10.0% 4.8%
Above 8.7 million
Market Model 65.0% 65.7%
Above 8.6 million
Market Model 66.0% 66.6%
Above 460000
Market Model 87.0% 59.8%
Above 465000
Market Model 79.0% 59.8%
above 184 thousand
Market Model 7.0% 7.4%
above 178 thousand
Market Model 77.0% 81.9%
above 136 million
Market Model 2.0% 5.3%
above 135 million
Market Model 2.0% 8.7%
Above 33 billion
Market Model 19.0% 33.0%
Above 32 billion
Market Model 43.0% 41.4%
Above 3500
Market Model 14.0% 13.2%
Above 3550
Market Model 2.0% 4.8%
Above 46000
Market Model 83.0% 84.2%
Above 52000
Market Model 27.0% 27.2%
Above 143 million
Market Model 90.0% 86.8%
Above 154 million
Market Model 7.0% 6.4%
Above 137 million
Market Model 98.0% 99.0%
Above 138 million
Market Model 90.0% 96.8%
above 13.45 million
Market Model 32.0% 19.2%
above 13.4 million
Market Model 42.0% 26.9%
above 840 million
Market Model 8.0% 10.8%
above 740 million
Market Model 96.0% 96.3%
above 4.5 million
Market Model 83.0% 74.0%
above 4.6 million
Market Model 15.0% 27.9%
Above 510 thousand
Market Model 53.0% 56.2%
Above 540 thousand
Market Model 26.0% 21.0%
Above 5.2 million
Market Model 45.0% 28.1%
Above 5.25 million
Market Model 23.0% 7.9%
Above 153 million
Market Model 2.0% 2.0%
Above 150 million
Market Model 9.0% 4.0%
Above 2.5%
Market Model 22.0% 35.2%
Above 1%
Market Model 77.0% 64.2%
Above 3250
Market Model 71.0% 5.0%
Above 3200
Market Model 77.0% 6.0%
Information Technology
Market Model 81.0% 78.7%
Unassigned
Market Model 10.0% 8.8%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 4.0% 2.5%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 6.0% 3.0%
Real Estate
Market Model 1.0% 0.9%
Information Technology
Market Model 90.0% 75.7%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 1.0% 0.6%
Before Sep 1, 2026
Market Model 1.0% 0.6%
7,800 or above
Market Model 67.8% 61.1%
8,000 or above
Market Model 58.4% 51.6%
Modelo
Market Model 84.0% 84.8%
Coinbase
Market Model 21.0% 8.1%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Market Model 23.0% 13.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 11.0% 6.4%
Before Sep 1, 2026
Market Model 2.0% 1.0%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Market Model 2.0% 1.0%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Market Model 19.0% 6.9%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 70.0% 45.8%
OpenAI
Market Model 3.0% 19.9%
Meta
Market Model 2.0% 13.4%
OpenAI
Market Model 33.0% 27.7%
Anduril
Market Model 6.0% 2.2%
Yes
Market Model 96.0% 100.0%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Market Model 11.0% 5.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 10.0% 7.6%
Yes
Market Model 75.0% 80.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 2.0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 18.0% 17.5%
At least ₩8,900
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
At least ₩8,875
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 25.0% 16.9%
Before Feb 1, 2027
Market Model 16.0% 10.9%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 25.0% 16.0%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 25.0% 15.0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 6.0% 0.0%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 0.0%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 4.0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 6.0% 4.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 12.0% 8.1%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Market Model 2.0% 4.1%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Market Model 3.0% 3.7%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 16.0% 11.9%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 19.0% 14.7%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Market Model 35.0% 33.8%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 17.0% 8.6%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 10.0% 5.0%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Market Model 9.0% 5.2%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 55.0% 36.7%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 15.0% 7.5%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 32.0% 18.1%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 12.0% 8.7%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 6.0% 6.4%
Before Jun 30, 2027
Market Model 9.0% 0.1%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Market Model 1.0% 0.1%
18,999.99 or below
Market Model 10.0% 6.4%
33,000.01 or above
Market Model 30.0% 25.3%
At least $900
Market Model 83.0% 83.1%
At least $1000
Market Model 51.0% 52.6%
Spirit Airlines
Market Model 6.0% 2.2%
Anduril
Market Model 32.0% 19.5%
3,999.99 or below
Market Model 2.0% 1.3%
7,400 to 7,599.99
Market Model 9.0% 6.4%
Citigroup
Market Model 41.0% 27.9%
Goldman Sachs
Market Model 31.0% 18.6%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Before Sep 1, 2026
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Mango
Market Model 9.0% 2.4%
Mint
Market Model 30.0% 11.8%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 29.0% 17.3%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Market Model 17.0% 10.8%
Deel
Market Model 60.0% 72.4%
Rippling
Market Model 37.0% 27.6%
WTI Crude Oil
Market Model 34.0% 29.9%
Brent Crude Oil
Market Model 55.0% 70.1%
Gold
Market Model 36.0% 28.7%
S&P 500 Total Return Index
Market Model 65.0% 71.3%
S&P 500 Total Return Index
Market Model 75.0% 89.6%
BTC
Market Model 14.0% 10.4%
Brex
Market Model 3.0% 0.0%
Ramp
Market Model 91.0% 89.0%
Anthropic
Market Model 81.0% 80.0%
OpenAI
Market Model 31.0% 18.6%
28,400 or above
Market Model 99.9% 100.0%
29,000 or above
Market Model 98.0% 100.0%
Yes
Market Model 30.5% 22.3%
Yes
Market Model 69.9% 64.8%
7 or above
Market Model 25.0% 18.0%
6.5 or above
Market Model 73.0% 52.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? Top outcome: Paramount | 65.0% | 52.5% | High | $4,030,738.21 | Refresh |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 0.7% | Med | $994,808.94 | Refresh |
| How low will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 5,900 or below | 6.4% | 3.7% | High | $737,276.62 | Refresh |
| Talen Energy TWh generation in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 50 TWh | 92.0% | 94.3% | High | $5,318.06 | Refresh |
| Talen Energy TWh generation in Q2 Top outcome: Above 12.5 TWh | 90.0% | 19.0% | High | $33,368.3 | Refresh |
| Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q3 Top outcome: Above 41 million | 6.0% | 7.8% | High | $4,606.5 | Refresh |
| First Solar Gigawatts sold in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 17.4 GW | 59.0% | 67.0% | High | $584.6 | Refresh |
| First Solar megawatts sold in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3600 MW | 81.0% | 32.0% | High | $7,693.64 | Refresh |
| Domino's US same store sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4% | 19.0% | 44.0% | High | $1,403.02 | Refresh |
| Wingstop total system-wide restaurants in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 3525 | 49.0% | 51.8% | High | $1,842.85 | Refresh |
| Wingstop US same store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above -2% | 47.0% | 81.7% | High | $1,604.65 | Refresh |
| Wingstop US same store sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2% | 1.0% | 6.0% | High | $21,078.31 | Refresh |
| Wingstop total system-wide restaurants in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3240 | 86.0% | 70.2% | High | $20,187.68 | Refresh |
| Domino's total US stores in Q3 Top outcome: Above 7240 | 95.0% | 98.0% | High | $8,024.69 | Refresh |
| United Airlines passengers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 49.5 million | 77.0% | 0.5% | High | $486.15 | Refresh |
| Walmart Foot Traffic in July Top outcome: Above 1200 Million | 14.0% | 0.1% | High | $11,025.33 | Refresh |
| Starbucks Foot Traffic in July Top outcome: Above 540 Million | 41.0% | 0.5% | High | $12,802.79 | Refresh |
| Domino's Foot Traffic in July Top outcome: Above 450 Million | 13.0% | 0.1% | Med | $7,206.6 | Refresh |
| Dollarama comparable store sales growth in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | High | $602.71 | Refresh |
| Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 172 | 70.0% | 88.0% | High | $8,386.69 | Refresh |
| Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above -6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | High | $21,183.08 | Refresh |
| Loblaw food retail same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 3.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | High | $1,648.37 | Refresh |
| Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026 Top outcome: Above 228 | 9.0% | 11.7% | High | $239.45 | Refresh |
| Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q2 Top outcome: Above 194 | 68.0% | 60.0% | High | $612.47 | Refresh |
| Clear+ members in Q2 Top outcome: Above 8.2 million | 85.0% | 85.2% | High | $47,944.61 | Refresh |
| Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3% | 94.0% | 98.8% | High | $7,278.1 | Refresh |
| Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above -2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | High | $23,528.12 | Refresh |
| Urban Outfitters total stores in Q2 Top outcome: Above 818 | 5.0% | 2.5% | High | $1,300.99 | Refresh |
| Ulta transactions growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2% | 21.0% | 15.4% | High | $8,936.13 | Refresh |
| Uber Trips in Q2? Top outcome: above 3.75 billion | 94.0% | 95.5% | High | $79,732.56 | Refresh |
| Tesla total deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 465000 | 58.0% | 54.3% | Med | $2,201.46 | Refresh |
| Toast total locations in 2026 Top outcome: Above 198 thousand | 30.0% | 28.5% | High | $13,963.5 | Refresh |
| Toll Brothers delivered homes in Q3 Top outcome: Above 2600 | 86.0% | 83.3% | High | $5,824.52 | Refresh |
| Target transactions change in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2% | 78.0% | 55.4% | High | $3,108.68 | Refresh |
| How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026? Top outcome: Above 1000 | 42.0% | 47.6% | High | $141,033.28 | Refresh |
| How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? Top outcome: Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 81.0% | 96.5% | High | $31,000.19 | Refresh |
| How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year? Top outcome: Above 500000 in a single quarter | 53.0% | 50.4% | High | $98,008.81 | Refresh |
| Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average? Top outcome: 4.19 million | 56.0% | 27.1% | High | $12,725.42 | Refresh |
| Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 430 million | 7.0% | 3.2% | High | $6.04 | Refresh |
| Constellation Brands total beer shipments in Q2 Top outcome: Above 124 million | 16.0% | 9.3% | High | $349.2 | Refresh |
| Spotify monthly active users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 780 million | 37.0% | 46.1% | High | $17,919.79 | Refresh |
| Spotify headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 7250 | 75.0% | 47.0% | High | $3,870.56 | Refresh |
| Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q2 2027 Top outcome: Above 835 | 45.0% | 43.0% | High | $8,581.2 | Refresh |
| Snap daily active users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 492 million | 34.0% | 16.0% | High | $15,772.42 | Refresh |
| Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above $116 billion | 44.0% | 18.0% | High | $11,042.6 | Refresh |
| Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2 Top outcome: Above 16% | 26.0% | 31.5% | High | $67,165.15 | Refresh |
| Sea Garena paying users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 60 million | 96.0% | 98.8% | High | $13,132 | Refresh |
| Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026 Top outcome: Above 41.8 million | 7.0% | 17.0% | High | $1 | Refresh |
| Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3% | 82.0% | 75.4% | High | $16,629.31 | Refresh |
| Starbucks total stores in Q3 Top outcome: Above 41300 | 56.0% | 71.2% | High | $16,658.43 | Refresh |
| Roku hours streamed in Q2 Top outcome: above 40 billion | 5.0% | 3.0% | High | $22,533.04 | Refresh |
| Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026 Top outcome: Above 46000 | 90.0% | 86.1% | High | $52,656.57 | Refresh |
| Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3 Top outcome: Above 15000 | 63.0% | 64.8% | High | $2,592.36 | Refresh |
| Rivian Automotive Inc. total vehicles delivered in Q2 2026 Top outcome: Above 11500 | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | $0 | Refresh |
| Reddit daily active uniques in 2026 Top outcome: Above 138 million | 77.0% | 75.8% | High | $11,592.72 | Refresh |
| Ferrari total car shipments in 2026 Top outcome: Above 13900 | 17.0% | 7.9% | High | $25,851.61 | Refresh |
| Palantir total customer count in 2026 Top outcome: Above 1100 | 88.0% | 90.7% | High | $13,575.13 | Refresh |
| Palantir total customers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1060 | 87.0% | 85.2% | High | $24,223.03 | Refresh |
| Oracle headcount in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 160000 | 11.0% | 5.1% | High | $8,266.74 | Refresh |
| Netflix headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 17500 | 55.0% | 59.1% | High | $11,464.58 | Refresh |
| Norwegian Cruise passengers carried in 2026 Top outcome: Above 3.25 million | 92.0% | 88.1% | High | $58,090.44 | Refresh |
| Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q2 Top outcome: Above 855 thousand | 51.0% | 19.3% | High | $65,391.82 | Refresh |
| Match total payers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 13.8 million | 6.0% | 3.0% | High | $24,316.47 | Refresh |
| Altria cigarette shipments in Q2 Top outcome: Above 15 billion | 62.0% | 44.4% | High | $36,340.86 | Refresh |
| Meta headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 73000 | 94.0% | 31.2% | High | $114,522.76 | Refresh |
| Meta family daily active people in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3.68 billion | 3.0% | 2.7% | High | $18,701.84 | Refresh |
| MercadoLibre items sold in 2026 Top outcome: Above 3 billion | 89.0% | 91.7% | High | $33,898.87 | Refresh |
| McDonald's Corporation total systemwide restaurants in Q2 2026 Top outcome: Above 45800 | 99.0% | 90.7% | High | $13,590.35 | Refresh |
| McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2% | 32.0% | 16.3% | High | $21,315.46 | Refresh |
| Marriott International total rooms in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1.815 million | 44.0% | 54.5% | High | $5,299.65 | Refresh |
| Lyft total rides in Q2 Top outcome: above 254 million | 64.0% | 52.3% | High | $9,721.44 | Refresh |
| Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above -6% | 32.0% | 34.3% | High | $22,947.34 | Refresh |
| Lowe's customer transactions in Q2 Top outcome: Above 222 million | 63.0% | 49.6% | High | $11,915.05 | Refresh |
| Loblaw food same-store sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2.5% | 41.0% | 38.9% | Med | $5,384.7 | Refresh |
| Klarna active consumers in Q2 Top outcome: above 125 million | 9.0% | 1.1% | High | $11,064.3 | Refresh |
| Intel headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 78000 | 80.0% | 72.0% | High | $688.33 | Refresh |
| Robinhood funded customers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 28 million | 47.0% | 59.1% | High | $383,314.01 | Refresh |
| Hims subscribers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 2.84 million | 95.0% | 94.0% | Med | $35,579.33 | Refresh |
| Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2.72 million | 86.0% | 75.4% | High | $66,346.38 | Refresh |
| Home Depot customer transactions in Q2 Top outcome: Above 450 million | 24.0% | 17.3% | High | $4,528.33 | Refresh |
| Grab monthly transacting users in Q2 Top outcome: above 52.5 million | 88.0% | 84.3% | High | $5,870.66 | Refresh |
| Google headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 208000 | 25.0% | 2.7% | High | $27,528.71 | Refresh |
| Futu total funded accounts in Q2 Top outcome: Above 4.1 million | 3.0% | 1.0% | High | $6,341.57 | Refresh |
| Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q2 Top outcome: above 1675 | 18.0% | 23.9% | High | $2,521.56 | Refresh |
| eBay gross merchandise volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above $23 billion | 6.0% | 1.0% | High | $40,959.06 | Refresh |
| Domino's total US stores in 2026 Top outcome: Above 7350 | 86.0% | 98.0% | High | $1,774.81 | Refresh |
| Dollarama comparable store sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 6% | 12.0% | 4.2% | High | $816.39 | Refresh |
| DoorDash total orders in Q2 Top outcome: above 1000 million | 13.0% | 14.9% | High | $34,741.78 | Refresh |
| Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q2 Top outcome: above 190000 | 92.0% | 87.4% | High | $24,286.48 | Refresh |
| Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above -1% | 40.0% | 63.0% | High | $30,487.03 | Refresh |
| Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 2% | 4.0% | 12.3% | High | $16,553.12 | Refresh |
| When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week? Top outcome: Before 2027 | 79.0% | 79.7% | High | $13,522.71 | Refresh |
| Coinbase total trading volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above $180 billion | 7.0% | 16.3% | High | $271,593.54 | Refresh |
| Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 8.5 million | 14.0% | 19.1% | High | $9,104.28 | Refresh |
| Chipotle total restaurant count in Q2 Top outcome: Above 4160 | 62.0% | 44.2% | High | $44,406.64 | Refresh |
| Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1% | 70.0% | 79.3% | High | $24,389.52 | Refresh |
| Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q3 Top outcome: Above 25.2 million | 4.0% | 8.6% | High | $6,887.55 | Refresh |
| CAVA restaurants in Q2 Top outcome: Above 480 | 14.0% | 5.5% | High | $38,836.89 | Refresh |
| CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3% | 99.0% | 99.3% | High | $5,003 | Refresh |
| Aritzia comparable sales growth in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 24% | 35.0% | 19.9% | High | $3,537.83 | Refresh |
| Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 21% | 97.0% | 93.6% | High | $424.12 | Refresh |
| Amazon headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 1575000 | 41.0% | 26.9% | High | $28,413.67 | Refresh |
| Amazon headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1555000 | 89.0% | 85.2% | High | $23,752.32 | Refresh |
| Tesla deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 400000 | 87.0% | 99.2% | High | $360.71 | Refresh |
| Air Canada passenger load factor in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 85% | 67.0% | 44.4% | Med | $1,207.12 | Refresh |
| Air Canada passenger load factor in Q2 Top outcome: Above 86% | 76.0% | 42.1% | High | $41,814.02 | Refresh |
| Apple headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 172000 | 28.0% | 17.2% | High | $7,194.06 | Refresh |
| Clear active clear+ members in 2026 Top outcome: Above 8.7 million | 65.0% | 65.7% | High | $24,551.38 | Refresh |
| Tesla total production in Q3 Top outcome: Above 460000 | 87.0% | 59.8% | High | $2,921.23 | Refresh |
| Toast total locations in Q2 Top outcome: above 184 thousand | 7.0% | 7.4% | High | $16,345.75 | Refresh |
| Reddit daily active uniques in Q2 Top outcome: above 136 million | 2.0% | 5.3% | High | $53,861.96 | Refresh |
| Roblox hours engaged in Q2 Top outcome: Above 33 billion | 19.0% | 33.0% | High | $15,696.8 | Refresh |
| Ferrari total shipments in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3500 | 14.0% | 13.2% | Med | $22,199.46 | Refresh |
| Nvidia headcount in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 46000 | 83.0% | 84.2% | High | $16,631.31 | Refresh |
| Nu Holdings customers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 143 million | 90.0% | 86.8% | High | $1,743.54 | Refresh |
| Nu Holdings customers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 137 million | 98.0% | 99.0% | High | $12,456.59 | Refresh |
| Match total payers in Q2 Top outcome: above 13.45 million | 32.0% | 19.2% | High | $1,694.37 | Refresh |
| MercadoLibre items sold in Q2 Top outcome: above 840 million | 8.0% | 10.8% | High | $25,567.42 | Refresh |
| Robinhood gold subs in Q2 Top outcome: above 4.5 million | 83.0% | 74.0% | High | $10,513.1 | Refresh |
| Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 510 thousand | 53.0% | 56.2% | High | $6,248.1 | Refresh |
| Webull funded accounts in Q2 Top outcome: Above 5.2 million | 45.0% | 28.1% | High | $5,170.01 | Refresh |
| Airbnb bookings in Q2 Top outcome: Above 153 million | 2.0% | 2.0% | High | $20,093.97 | Refresh |
| Domino's US same store sales growth in 2026 Top outcome: Above 2.5% | 22.0% | 35.2% | High | $2,125.74 | Refresh |
| Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3250 | 71.0% | 5.0% | High | $610.28 | Refresh |
| What sector will Anthropic be assigned to? Top outcome: Information Technology | 81.0% | 78.7% | High | $21,954.1 | Refresh |
| When will Skims officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Oct 1, 2026 | 4.0% | 2.5% | High | $23,338.51 | Refresh |
| What sector will OpenAI be assigned to? Top outcome: Real Estate | 1.0% | 0.9% | High | $24,148.16 | Refresh |
| When will Waymo officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Nov 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 0.6% | High | $30,640.33 | Refresh |
| How high will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 7,800 or above | 67.8% | 61.1% | High | $1,527,512.44 | Refresh |
| Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final Top outcome: Modelo | 84.0% | 84.8% | Med | $15,401.13 | Refresh |
| When will Airtable officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2028 | 23.0% | 13.5% | High | $2,444.19 | Refresh |
| When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Sep 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 1.0% | High | $1,011,518.54 | Refresh |
| When will EA's take-private acquisition close? Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026 | 19.0% | 6.9% | High | $25,336.24 | Refresh |
| Who will acquire Pinterest this year? Top outcome: OpenAI | 3.0% | 19.9% | High | $225,575.05 | Refresh |
| Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? Top outcome: OpenAI | 33.0% | 27.7% | Med | $1,961,744.37 | Refresh |
| When will Tim Cook leave Apple? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 96.0% | 100.0% | High | $454,127.67 | Refresh |
| When will Glean officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026 | 11.0% | 5.5% | High | $1,166 | Refresh |
| Will the S&P finish positive this year? Yes refers to: Positive Growth | 75.0% | 80.5% | Med | $769,295.52 | Refresh |
| When will Rippling officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 2.0% | High | $2,878.43 | Refresh |
| How high will the KOSPI Composite Index get in 2026? Top outcome: At least ₩8,900 | 99.0% | 100.0% | High | $17,139.39 | Refresh |
| When will Anduril officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 25.0% | 16.9% | High | $84,756.93 | Refresh |
| When will Beast Industries officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 25.0% | 16.0% | High | $7,633.29 | Refresh |
| When will Brex officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 6.0% | 0.0% | High | $7,182.29 | Refresh |
| When will Cluely officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Apr 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 4.0% | High | $3,281.11 | Refresh |
| When will Deel officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 12.0% | 8.1% | High | $16,033.34 | Refresh |
| When will Olipop officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026 | 3.0% | 3.7% | High | $3,305.29 | Refresh |
| When will Whoop officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 19.0% | 14.7% | High | $5,992.65 | Refresh |
| When will Stripe officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 17.0% | 8.6% | High | $35,798.04 | Refresh |
| When will Discord officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026 | 9.0% | 5.2% | High | $47,920.22 | Refresh |
| When will AppsFlyer officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Nov 1, 2026 | 15.0% | 7.5% | High | $964.01 | Refresh |
| When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 12.0% | 8.7% | High | $31,729.73 | Refresh |
| When will Starlink officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 30, 2027 | 9.0% | 0.1% | High | $403,931.12 | Refresh |
| Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 18,999.99 or below | 10.0% | 6.4% | High | $2,463,285.32 | Refresh |
| How much will the Steam Machine cost? Top outcome: At least $900 | 83.0% | 83.1% | High | $180,787.56 | Refresh |
| Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? Top outcome: Spirit Airlines | 6.0% | 2.2% | Med | $881,008.69 | Refresh |
| S&P close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 3,999.99 or below | 2.0% | 1.3% | High | $3,860,090.71 | Refresh |
| Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? Top outcome: Citigroup | 41.0% | 27.9% | Med | $104,211.74 | Refresh |
| When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026 | 99.0% | 100.0% | High | $6,675,610.8 | Refresh |
| What flavors will JUUL relaunch? Top outcome: Mango | 9.0% | 2.4% | Med | $51,837.22 | Refresh |
| When will Ramp officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 29.0% | 17.3% | High | $5,857.57 | Refresh |
| Will Deel or Rippling IPO first? Top outcome: Deel | 60.0% | 72.4% | High | $9,003 | Refresh |
| Annual Return: WTI vs. Brent? Top outcome: WTI Crude Oil | 34.0% | 29.9% | High | $12,963.95 | Refresh |
| Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold? Top outcome: Gold | 36.0% | 28.7% | High | $17,910.1 | Refresh |
| Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. BTC? Top outcome: S&P 500 Total Return Index | 75.0% | 89.6% | High | $7,640.71 | Refresh |
| Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? Top outcome: Brex | 3.0% | 0.0% | Med | $21,403.45 | Refresh |
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Top outcome: Anthropic | 81.0% | 80.0% | Med | $124,032.03 | Refresh |
| How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026? Top outcome: 28,400 or above | 99.9% | 100.0% | High | $227,168.32 | Refresh |
| Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 30.5% | 22.3% | Med | $162,559.71 | Refresh |
| Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026? Yes refers to: 25,249.86 or above | 69.9% | 64.8% | Med | $54,109.31 | Refresh |
| USD/BRL high in 2026 Top outcome: 7 or above | 25.0% | 18.0% | High | $542,760 | Refresh |
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At least $7 million
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| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $26,040.76 | ||
| — | — | High | $252,445.78 | ||
| — | — | High | $383,270.75 | ||
| — | — | High | $841,163.92 | ||
| — | — | High | $16,585.81 | ||
| — | — | High | $19,663.29 | ||
| — | — | High | $166,693.3 | ||
| — | — | High | $120,337.69 | ||
| — | — | High | $179,485.19 | ||
| — | — | High | $74,775.27 | ||
| — | — | High | $31,126.24 | ||
| — | — | High | $63,778.45 | ||
| — | — | High | $28,458.07 | ||
| — | — | High | $53,847.13 | ||
| — | — | High | $84,671.99 | ||
| — | — | High | $28,294.11 | ||
| — | — | High | $71,367.89 | ||
| — | — | High | $91,257.4 | ||
| — | — | High | $21,971.38 | ||
| — | — | High | $47,506.12 | ||
| — | — | High | $205,238.52 | ||
| — | — | High | $43,434.91 | ||
| — | — | High | $29,719.43 | ||
| — | — | High | $146,245.63 | ||
| — | — | High | $467,780.11 | ||
| — | — | High | $52,299.49 | ||
| — | — | High | $35,643.28 | ||
| — | — | High | $10,145.57 | ||
| — | — | Med | $28,058.47 | ||
| — | — | High | $9,090.3 | ||
| — | — | High | $8,802 | ||
| — | — | Med | $5,729.82 | ||
| — | — | Med | $15,246 | ||
| — | — | High | $712,377.94 | ||
| — | — | High | $9,283.34 | ||
| — | — | Med | $2,584 | ||
| — | — | High | $54,326.3 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,212.29 | ||
| — | — | Med | $3,027.15 | ||
| — | — | Med | $613.28 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,404.38 | ||
| — | — | Med | $2,254 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,221.06 | ||
| — | — | High | $1,363.25 | ||
| — | — | High | $1,036.71 | ||
| — | — | High | $25,704.9 | ||
| — | — | Med | $204,889.69 | ||
| — | — | High | $174,980 | ||
| — | — | High | $12,948 | ||
| — | — | High | $194,063 | ||
| — | — | High | $12,634 | ||
| — | — | Med | $20,322 | ||
| — | — | High | $39,476 | ||
| — | — | High | $47,936 | ||
| — | — | Med | $582,337 | ||
| — | — | High | $994 | ||
| — | — | High | $177,173 | ||
| — | — | High | $720,493 | ||
| Netflix price increase in 2026? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 76.0% | 81.0% | Med | $144,574 | |
| — | — | Med | $58,037 | ||
| — | — | Med | $56,909 | ||
| — | — | Med | $103,769 | ||
| — | — | Med | $59,064 | ||
| — | — | Med | $151,752 | ||
| — | — | Med | $58,466 | ||
| — | — | Med | $297,831 | ||
| What will Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator go for at auction? Top outcome: At least $7 million | 81.0% | 1.0% | Med | $499,183 |
