Yes
Market Model 8.0% 8.0%
Financials Markets
Active Markets (18)
Yes
Market Model 11.0% 7.7%
Yes
Market Model 11.0% 12.4%
4.37% to 4.39%
Market Model 26.0% 22.6%
4.34% to 4.36%
Market Model 31.0% 26.5%
159.500 to 159.749
Market Model 31.0% 19.8%
160.000 to 160.249
Market Model 9.0% 6.7%
Yes
Market Model 48.0% 48.0%
Brex
Market Model 4.0% 0.9%
Ramp
Market Model 85.0% 86.8%
7 or above
Market Model 25.0% 18.0%
6.5 or above
Market Model 73.0% 52.0%
Anthropic
Market Model 44.0% 31.0%
OpenAI
Market Model 62.0% 51.2%
Deel
Market Model 73.0% 82.3%
Rippling
Market Model 25.0% 17.7%
5,900 or below
Market Model 50.0% 52.0%
6,000 or below
Market Model 55.0% 53.0%
Yes
Market Model 76.0% 81.0%
Yes
Market Model 55.0% 65.5%
18,999.99 or below
Market Model 17.0% 19.2%
25,500 to 25,999.99
Market Model 7.0% 4.8%
Yes
Market Model 33.0% 34.5%
7,400 to 7,599.99
Market Model 11.0% 11.9%
7,600 to 7,799.99
Market Model 10.0% 9.0%
7,200 or above
Market Model 62.0% 64.5%
7,600 or above
Market Model 34.0% 39.0%
At least $7 million
Market Model 81.0% 1.0%
At least $6 million
Market Model 91.0% 85.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bezel Omega Index Up or Down: April Yes refers to: Price to Beat: $5,546 | 8.0% | 8.0% | Med | $1,404.38 | Refresh |
| Bezel Cartier Index Up or Down: April Yes refers to: Price to Beat: $5,839 | 11.0% | 7.7% | Med | $2,254 | Refresh |
| Tudor Black Bay Up or Down: April Yes refers to: Price to Beat: $3,469 | 11.0% | 12.4% | Med | $1,221.06 | Refresh |
| Treasury 10-year yield on May 1, 2026? Top outcome: 4.37% to 4.39% | 26.0% | 22.6% | High | $1,363.25 | Refresh |
| USD/JPY price on Apr 29, 2026 at 10am EDT? Top outcome: 159.500 to 159.749 | 31.0% | 19.8% | High | $1,036.71 | Refresh |
| Will the official Settlement Price for the Current Auction of CARB Joint Auction #47 strictly exceed $27.94? Yes refers to: Above $27.94 | 48.0% | 48.0% | Med | $204,889.69 | Refresh |
| Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? Top outcome: Brex | 4.0% | 0.9% | Med | $17,279 | Refresh |
| USD/BRL high in 2026 Top outcome: 7 or above | 25.0% | 18.0% | High | $542,760 | Refresh |
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Top outcome: Anthropic | 44.0% | 31.0% | Med | $84,681 | Refresh |
| Will Deel or Rippling IPO first? Top outcome: Deel | 73.0% | 82.3% | High | $4,789 | Refresh |
| How low will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 5,900 or below | 50.0% | 52.0% | Med | $245,278 | Refresh |
| Netflix price increase in 2026? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 76.0% | 81.0% | Med | $144,574 | Refresh |
| Will the S&P finish positive this year? Yes refers to: Positive Growth | 55.0% | 65.5% | Med | $211,755 | Refresh |
| Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 18,999.99 or below | 17.0% | 19.2% | Med | $514,992 | Refresh |
| Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 33.0% | 34.5% | Med | $81,228 | Refresh |
| S&P close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 7,400 to 7,599.99 | 11.0% | 11.9% | Med | $826,748 | Refresh |
| How high will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 7,200 or above | 62.0% | 64.5% | Med | $241,849 | Refresh |
| What will Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator go for at auction? Top outcome: At least $7 million | 81.0% | 1.0% | Med | $499,183 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (19)
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $25,704.9 | Refresh | |
| — | — | High | $174,980 | Refresh | |
| — | — | High | $12,948 | Refresh | |
| — | — | High | $194,063 | Refresh | |
| — | — | High | $12,634 | Refresh | |
| — | — | Med | $20,322 | Refresh | |
| — | — | High | $39,476 | Refresh | |
| — | — | High | $47,936 | Refresh | |
| — | — | Med | $582,337 | Refresh | |
| — | — | High | $994 | Refresh | |
| — | — | High | $177,173 | Refresh | |
| — | — | High | $720,493 | Refresh | |
| — | — | Med | $58,037 | Refresh | |
| — | — | Med | $56,909 | Refresh | |
| — | — | Med | $103,769 | Refresh | |
| — | — | Med | $59,064 | Refresh | |
| — | — | Med | $151,752 | Refresh | |
| — | — | Med | $58,466 | Refresh | |
| — | — | Med | $297,831 | Refresh |
