Yes
Market Model 41.0% 48.9%
Foreign Elections Markets
Active Markets (3)
Restore Britain party
Market Model 13.0% 0.5%
Reform party
Market Model 47.0% 40.7%
Chen Jining
Market Model 1.0% 1.0%
Ding Xuexiang
Market Model 21.0% 23.1%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Switzerland 10 million population cap referendum pass? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 41.0% | 48.9% | Med | $10,873.73 | Refresh |
| Which party will win the next UK general election? Top outcome: Restore Britain party | 13.0% | 0.5% | High | $174,681.77 | Refresh |
| Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? Top outcome: Chen Jining | 1.0% | 1.0% | High | $12,465 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (2)
Plaid Cymru
Market Model 86.0% 67.1%
Reform
Market Model 3.6% 23.6%
SNP
Market Model 99.9% 94.7%
Conservatives
Market Model 0.1% 1.7%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win the 2026 Welsh Parliament election? Top outcome: Plaid Cymru | 86.0% | 67.1% | High | $29,547.96 | |
| Who will win the 2026 Scottish Parliament election? Top outcome: SNP | 99.9% | 94.7% | High | $20,986.17 |
