Nicolás Maduro
Market Model 88.0% 77.2%
Delcy Rodríguez
Market Model 7.0% 7.5%
International Markets
Active Markets (9)
María Corina Machado
Market Model 10.0% 2.6%
Delcy Rodríguez
Market Model 20.0% 15.4%
Yes
Market Model 22.0% 10.9%
Yes
Market Model 14.0% 10.6%
Hungary
Market Model 4.6% 1.6%
Italy
Market Model 4.0% 1.4%
Hungary
Market Model 3.0% 1.2%
Greece
Market Model 4.0% 0.9%
Rupert Lowe
Market Model 6.0% 6.0%
Nigel Farage
Market Model 12.0% 16.4%
Peter Erdo
Market Model 6.0% 11.2%
Pietro Parolin
Market Model 9.0% 22.3%
Naftali Bennett
Market Model 31.0% 30.6%
Israel Katz
Market Model 14.0% 13.8%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1? Top outcome: Nicolás Maduro | 88.0% | 77.2% | High | $604,417.62 | Refresh |
| Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? Top outcome: María Corina Machado | 10.0% | 2.6% | Med | $4,474,129.99 | Refresh |
| Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada? Yes refers to: Before the next general election | 22.0% | 10.9% | Med | $59,350.45 | Refresh |
| EU loses a member before 2030? Yes refers to: By 2030 | 14.0% | 10.6% | Med | $23,020.1 | Refresh |
| Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030? Top outcome: Hungary | 4.6% | 1.6% | Med | $11,539 | Refresh |
| What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU? Top outcome: Hungary | 3.0% | 1.2% | Med | $5,592.76 | Refresh |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? Top outcome: Rupert Lowe | 6.0% | 6.0% | High | $457,285 | Refresh |
| Who will the next Pope be? Top outcome: Peter Erdo | 6.0% | 11.2% | High | $77,974 | Refresh |
| Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel? Top outcome: Naftali Bennett | 31.0% | 30.6% | High | $53,101 | Refresh |
