Before 2027
Market Model 9.9% 6.6%
Before August 1, 2026
Market Model 5.0% 3.4%
Trump Markets
Active Markets (4)
Yes
Market Model 6.0% 8.7%
No new person
Market Model 55.0% 42.2%
Alina Habba
Market Model 20.0% 11.9%
Yes
Market Model 15.0% 9.8%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump out as President? (Excluding death) Top outcome: Before 2027 | 9.9% | 6.6% | High | $9,140,358.15 | Refresh |
| 2026: Trump's dream year? Yes refers to: Yes | 6.0% | 8.7% | Med | $419,365.62 | Refresh |
| Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? Top outcome: No new person | 55.0% | 42.2% | High | $16,666.05 | Refresh |
| Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee? Yes refers to: Before 2028 | 15.0% | 9.8% | Med | $15,061 | Refresh |
