AI / Artificial Intelligence
Market Model 1.0% 0.0%
Epstein
Market Model 1.0% 0.0%
Mentions Markets
Active Markets (8)
Discombobulator / Discombobulate / Discombobulated
Market Model 99.0% 99.1%
Palestine / Palestinian
Market Model 99.0% 99.1%
ICE
Market Model 1.0% 0.2%
Trillionaire
Market Model 1.0% 0.4%
Crypto / Bitcoin
Market Model 4.0% 1.4%
China / Chinese
Market Model 83.0% 81.1%
AT&T Stadium
Market Model 3.0% 1.0%
Event does not qualify
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Market Model 5.0% 2.9%
Shakira
Market Model 24.0% 14.1%
Event does not qualify
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
MetLife
Market Model 5.0% 21.8%
Election
Market Model 67.0% 65.3%
Iran (3+ times)
Market Model 36.0% 20.3%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents' Dinner? Top outcome: AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1.0% | 0.0% | Med | $4,633,898.51 | Refresh |
| What will Trump say in July? Top outcome: Discombobulator / Discombobulate / Discombobulated | 99.0% | 99.1% | Med | $1,266,814.26 | Refresh |
| What will Bernie say during his Detroit rally? Top outcome: ICE | 1.0% | 0.2% | Med | $1,058,290.44 | Refresh |
| What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation? Top outcome: Crypto / Bitcoin | 4.0% | 1.4% | Med | $683,733.37 | Refresh |
| What will the announcers say during France vs Spain Top outcome: AT&T Stadium | 3.0% | 1.0% | Med | $319,118 | Refresh |
| What will the announcers say during England vs Argentina Top outcome: Mercedes-Benz Stadium | 5.0% | 2.9% | Med | $38,764.2 | Refresh |
| What will the announcers say during the FIFA World Cup Final Top outcome: Event does not qualify | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | $35,812.97 | Refresh |
| What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? Top outcome: Election | 67.0% | 65.3% | Med | $870.82 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (157)
Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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California
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Buyback
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Middle East
Market Model 20.0% 4.6%
Tariff
Market Model 93.0% 93.7%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
Market Model — —
FDA
Market Model 56.0% 61.4%
Lab Testing
Market Model 90.0% 85.9%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
Market Model — —
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Market Model 1.0% 0.5%
International
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Repurchase / Buyback
Market Model 69.0% 55.8%
Shop Pay
Market Model 93.0% 87.7%
Buyback
Market Model 56.0% 44.1%
M&A / Acquisition
Market Model 90.0% 86.8%
Tornado
Market Model 57.0% 45.3%
Amazon
Market Model 97.0% 96.0%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Market Model 63.0% 52.4%
Joby
Market Model 66.0% 56.0%
Yes
Market Model — —
Blockchain
Market Model 41.0% 26.4%
Stash
Market Model 41.0% 27.9%
NIO
Market Model 64.0% 49.6%
Tariff
Market Model 50.0% 37.4%
M3
Market Model 23.0% 17.2%
Glasses
Market Model 32.0% 15.0%
Bridgecrest
Market Model 35.0% 22.2%
Tariff
Market Model 48.0% 35.2%
Emplifi
Market Model 11.0% 4.6%
Shopify
Market Model 92.0% 89.4%
Grogu
Market Model 77.0% 66.4%
OpenAI / Sora
Market Model 53.0% 29.8%
Citrus Mojo
Market Model 51.0% 38.5%
Lemon Pepper
Market Model 34.0% 21.3%
Luce
Market Model 92.0% 91.8%
Middle East
Market Model 61.0% 50.0%
Revenue guidance
Market Model 69.0% 68.9%
Iran / Iranian
Market Model 84.0% 78.9%
Llama
Market Model 62.0% 45.2%
Oakley
Market Model 62.0% 43.2%
Dividend
Market Model 43.0% 30.0%
Caviar
Market Model 32.0% 19.5%
Yes
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Yes
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Project Kuiper
Market Model 21.0% 8.1%
OpenAI
Market Model 83.0% 69.9%
OpenAI
Market Model 97.0% 96.6%
Phi
Market Model 25.0% 10.4%
Yes
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Yes
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Tokenization
Market Model 96.0% 92.9%
World Cup
Market Model 72.0% 63.5%
Trump
Market Model 90.0% 86.8%
Tokenization
Market Model 95.0% 93.4%
Yes
Market Model — —
Loyalty
Market Model 74.0% 66.0%
Tariff
Market Model 87.0% 82.9%
Yes
Market Model — —
Cane Sugar
Market Model 10.0% 2.8%
International
Market Model 1.0% 0.7%
Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Rate Cap / 10% Cap
Market Model 24.0% 13.0%
NII / Net Interest Income
Market Model 98.0% 97.4%
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Yes
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Oil
Market Model 59.0% 47.6%
Tariff
Market Model 34.0% 14.3%
Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | Med | $1,390,244.92 | ||
| — | — | Med | $803,407.37 | ||
| — | — | Med | $577,316.07 | ||
| — | — | Med | $37,207.11 | ||
| — | — | Med | $129,659.33 | ||
| — | — | Med | $164,778.78 | ||
| — | — | Med | $625,177.36 | ||
| — | — | Med | $185,255 | ||
| — | — | Med | $276,517.93 | ||
| — | — | Med | $24,988.8 | ||
| — | — | Med | $2,116,578.02 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,964,225.49 | ||
| — | — | Med | $85,547.37 | ||
| — | — | Med | $20,005.12 | ||
| — | — | Med | $2,570,348.52 | ||
| — | — | Med | $138,694.87 | ||
| — | — | Med | $47,499.12 | ||
| — | — | Med | $63,561.1 | ||
| — | — | Med | $221,755.82 | ||
| — | — | Med | $69,633.99 | ||
| — | — | Med | $329,564.14 | ||
| — | — | Med | $2,626,802.36 | ||
| — | — | Med | $14,424.12 | ||
| — | — | Med | $50,982.24 | ||
| — | — | Med | $40,187.06 | ||
| — | — | Med | $14,997.39 | ||
| — | — | Med | $312,855.44 | ||
| — | — | Med | $828,194.09 | ||
| — | — | Med | $12,142.14 | ||
| — | — | Med | $968,891.5 | ||
| — | — | Med | $754,898.06 | ||
| — | — | Med | $20,472.35 | ||
| — | — | Med | $459,858.32 | ||
| — | — | Med | $750,994.97 | ||
| — | — | Med | $373,390.93 | ||
| — | — | Med | $101,751.6 | ||
| — | — | Med | $10,898.52 | ||
| — | — | Med | $890,995.84 | ||
| — | — | Med | $51,255.83 | ||
| — | — | Med | $98,414.82 | ||
| — | — | Med | $99,940.7 | ||
| — | — | Med | $37,507.32 | ||
| — | — | Med | $28,709.18 | ||
| — | — | Med | $68,423.95 | ||
| — | — | Med | $172,051.48 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,089,660.02 | ||
| — | — | Med | $15,412.32 | ||
| — | — | Med | $163,671.78 | ||
| — | — | Med | $861,662.56 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,023,519.23 | ||
| — | — | Med | $13,061.85 | ||
| — | — | Med | $916,334.87 | ||
| — | — | Med | $24,533.84 | ||
| — | — | Med | $115,194.75 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,088,497.06 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,063,436.72 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,271,408.6 | ||
| — | — | Med | $57,544.42 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,009,008.18 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,197,663.21 | ||
| — | — | Med | $603,486.15 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,713,753.08 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,000,653.89 | ||
| — | — | Med | $357,665.99 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,033,401.47 | ||
| What will Toll Brothers say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: California | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | $27,567.2 | |
| What will John Deere say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Middle East | 20.0% | 4.6% | Med | $914.33 | |
| — | — | Med | $906.59 | ||
| — | — | Med | $3,836.05 | ||
| — | — | Med | $3,416.1 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,027,530.98 | ||
| — | — | Med | $989,815.01 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,001,744.24 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,408,294.47 | ||
| — | — | Med | $873,385.42 | ||
| — | — | Med | $4,766.99 | ||
| — | — | Med | $3,530.62 | ||
| What will Hims say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: FDA | 56.0% | 61.4% | Med | $1,823.55 | |
| — | — | Med | $2,516.12 | ||
| — | — | Med | $2,076.25 | ||
| — | — | Med | $7,910.67 | ||
| — | — | Med | $32,924.78 | ||
| — | — | Med | $7,834.33 | ||
| — | — | Med | $10,049.33 | ||
| — | — | Med | $16,174.27 | ||
| — | — | Med | $28,436.37 | ||
| — | — | Med | $151,985.86 | ||
| — | — | Med | $50,760 | ||
| What will Lyft say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 1.0% | 0.5% | Med | $95,043.24 | |
| — | — | Med | $66,028.79 | ||
| — | — | Med | $254,756.85 | ||
| What will Shopify say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Repurchase / Buyback | 69.0% | 55.8% | Med | $623.59 | |
| What will Progressive say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Buyback | 56.0% | 44.1% | Med | $13,464.1 | |
| What will Rivian say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Tornado | 57.0% | 45.3% | Med | $2,148.69 | |
| What will Uber say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 63.0% | 52.4% | Med | $4,918.54 | |
| — | — | Med | $20,902.57 | ||
| What will PayPal say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Blockchain | 41.0% | 26.4% | Med | $743.12 | |
| What will ON Semiconductor say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: NIO | 64.0% | 49.6% | Med | $646.86 | |
| What will Apple say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: M3 | 23.0% | 17.2% | Med | $9,324.96 | |
| What will Carvana say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Bridgecrest | 35.0% | 22.2% | Med | $2,924.32 | |
| What will Reddit say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Emplifi | 11.0% | 4.6% | Med | $9,169.1 | |
| What will Disney say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Grogu | 77.0% | 66.4% | Med | $1,346.09 | |
| What will Wingstop say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Citrus Mojo | 51.0% | 38.5% | Med | $7,260.12 | |
| What will Ferrari say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Luce | 92.0% | 91.8% | Med | $1,298.78 | |
| What will Palantir say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Revenue guidance | 69.0% | 68.9% | Med | $2,844.41 | |
| What will Meta say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Llama | 62.0% | 45.2% | Med | $14,210.38 | |
| What will McDonald's say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Dividend | 43.0% | 30.0% | Med | $3,820.03 | |
| — | — | Med | $7,859.81 | ||
| — | — | Med | $7,263.19 | ||
| What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Project Kuiper | 21.0% | 8.1% | Med | $14,534.96 | |
| What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: OpenAI | 97.0% | 96.6% | Med | $8,121.22 | |
| — | — | Med | $70,129.01 | ||
| — | — | Med | $21,299.93 | ||
| What will Visa say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Tokenization | 96.0% | 92.9% | Med | $15,969.44 | |
| What will Robinhood say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Trump | 90.0% | 86.8% | Med | $20,110.46 | |
| — | — | Med | $46,469.7 | ||
| What will Starbucks say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Loyalty | 74.0% | 66.0% | Med | $32,047.43 | |
| — | — | Med | $95,908.7 | ||
| What will Coca-Cola say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Cane Sugar | 10.0% | 2.8% | Med | $83,876.1 | |
| — | — | Med | $100,439.02 | ||
| — | — | Med | $729,582.9 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,099,237.31 | ||
| What will American Express say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Rate Cap / 10% Cap | 24.0% | 13.0% | Med | $4,423.73 | |
| — | — | High | $691,349.33 | ||
| — | — | Med | $130,926.07 | ||
| — | — | Med | $3,022 | ||
| — | — | Med | $2,215 | ||
| — | — | Med | $58,692 | ||
| What will Wells Fargo say during their next earnings call? Top outcome: Oil | 59.0% | 47.6% | Med | $32,709.77 | |
| — | — | Med | $15,170 | ||
| — | — | Med | $19,080 | ||
| — | — | Med | $1,206,641.6 | ||
| — | — | Med | $238,847.04 | ||
| — | — | Med | $21,395 | ||
| — | — | Med | $38,409 | ||
| — | — | Med | $88,630 | ||
| — | — | Med | $21,358 | ||
| — | — | Med | $984,636 | ||
| — | — | Med | $105,817 | ||
| — | — | Med | $0 | ||
| — | — | Med | $651,472 | ||
| — | — | Med | $3,299,685 | ||
| — | — | Med | $41,559 | ||
| — | — | Med | $5,770,836 | ||
| — | — | Med | $222,814 | ||
| — | — | Med | $145,180 | ||
| — | — | Med | $69,779 | ||
| — | — | Med | $17,700 | ||
| — | — | Med | $106,085 | ||
| — | — | Med | $469,075 | ||
| — | — | Med | $712,853 | ||
| — | — | Med | $503,843 | ||
| — | — | Med | $54,276 | ||
| — | — | Med | $102,289 | ||
| — | — | Med | $313,557 | ||
| — | — | Med | $364,706 | ||
| — | — | Med | $61,790 |
