Understand what's moving the market.
Deep research reports with cited sources and probability analysis. Compare model forecasts against market prices to find mispriced opportunities.
Latest Research Reports
Each report tracks a single market question with cited sources and probability analysis
Tiafoe vs Bellucci
Model's 71.9% for Tiafoe is 6.6pp below the 78c market, suggesting overvaluation due to injury concerns.
Who will win Survivor Season 50?
At 82c, the market prices Aubry 9.9 percentage points above the 72.6% model, which dynamically adjusted her extreme prior.
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
Model and market probabilities are aligned at 20.5%, with a 4.9x payout multiple and a 0.0 percentage point gap.
Three markets. One research platform.
Prediction Markets
Research reports on Kalshi events (Polymarket coming soon). See what's driving prices, compare market vs model probabilities, and find potential mispricings.
Browse Reports →Public Markets
Financials, filings, and fundamentals for 8,000+ public companies. 10 years of history updated in real time.
See Coverage →Private Markets
Funding rounds, M&A, and company data before it hits the news. 3M+ companies, 4M+ people, 500k+ funds, and 2M+ deals tracked.
See Coverage →Research you can verify
- Every claim links to its source
- Reports refresh as new information appears
- Model probabilities vs market prices side by side
- Access via API or MCP for your own workflows
Integrates with your existing tools
Start with a free trial
15 days free. Cancel anytime.
Plus
✔ Access to all Agents (Public Markets, Private Markets, Prediction Markets, Deep Research)
✔ 200 Credits per month
✔ Add-on credits at $50 per 500 credits
✔ MCP and OpenAI Compatible
✔ Unlimited API Keys
✔ Technical Support
✔ 15-Day Free Trial
Pro
✔ 600 Credits per month
✔ Access to historical Prediction Markets reports
Enterprise
✔ Customized Credits
✔ Unlimited team access
✔ Customized Workflows Available
Credit Usage per Agent
See what's driving the odds
Browse our research reports on active Kalshi markets. Find the sources, see the probabilities, spot the edge.