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Deep research reports with cited sources and probability analysis. Compare model forecasts against market prices to find mispriced opportunities.
Latest Research Reports
Each report tracks a single market question with cited sources and probability analysis
Cleveland vs St. Louis
Despite St. Louis winning, the market prices Cleveland at 48c, representing a 48 percentage point overvaluation.
Arizona vs Baltimore
Model's 34.1% estimate for Baltimore winning is 11.9pp below the 46c market, suggesting overvaluation despite strong qualitative factors.
What will Trump say during his remarks at Turning Point USA?
At 64c, the market and model probabilities align at 64%, reflecting the event's core political themes.
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Prediction Markets
Research reports on Kalshi events (Polymarket coming soon). See what's driving prices, compare market vs model probabilities, and find potential mispricings.
Browse Reports →Public Markets
Financials, filings, and fundamentals for 8,000+ public companies. 10 years of history updated in real time.
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Funding rounds, M&A, and company data before it hits the news. 3M+ companies, 4M+ people, 500k+ funds, and 2M+ deals tracked.
See Coverage →Research you can verify
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See what's driving the odds
Browse our research reports on active Kalshi markets. Find the sources, see the probabilities, spot the edge.