Above 53 TWh
Market Model 91.0% 94.3%
Above 50 TWh
Market Model 91.0% 94.3%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talen Energy TWh generation in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 53 TWh | 91.0% | 94.3% | High | $2,336.02 | Refresh |
Talen Energy TWh generation in Q2 Top outcome: Above 12.5 TWh | 82.0% | 19.0% | High | $21,175.49 | Refresh |
Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q3 Top outcome: Above 41 million | 6.0% | 7.8% | High | $2,538.46 | Refresh |
First Solar Gigawatts sold in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 17.4 GW | 59.0% | 67.0% | High | $584.6 | Refresh |
First Solar megawatts sold in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3600 MW | 90.0% | 32.0% | High | $5,635.66 | Refresh |
Domino's US same store sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4% | 19.0% | 44.0% | High | $1,201.98 | Refresh |
Wingstop total system-wide restaurants in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 3525 | 49.0% | 51.8% | High | $1,842.85 | Refresh |
Wingstop US same store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above -2% | 47.0% | 81.7% | High | $1,451.64 | Refresh |
Wingstop US same store sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2% | 1.0% | 6.0% | High | $20,712.15 | Refresh |
Wingstop total system-wide restaurants in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3240 | 77.0% | 70.2% | High | $13,221.94 | Refresh |
Domino's total US stores in Q3 Top outcome: Above 7240 | 95.0% | 98.0% | High | $7,714.7 | Refresh |
United Airlines passengers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 49.5 million | 77.0% | 0.5% | High | $486.15 | Refresh |
Walmart Foot Traffic in July Top outcome: Above 1200 Million | 14.0% | 0.1% | High | $10,845.34 | Refresh |
Starbucks Foot Traffic in July Top outcome: Above 540 Million | 38.0% | 0.5% | High | $12,781.71 | Refresh |
Domino's Foot Traffic in July Top outcome: Above 450 Million | 13.0% | 0.1% | Med | $6,901.68 | Refresh |
Dollarama comparable store sales growth in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | High | $589.71 | Refresh |
Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 172 | 70.0% | 88.0% | High | $8,332.26 | Refresh |
Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above -6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | High | $20,735.19 | Refresh |
Loblaw food retail same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 3.5% | 2.0% | 6.7% | High | $1,559.37 | Refresh |
Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026 Top outcome: Above 228 | 9.0% | 11.7% | High | $239.45 | Refresh |
Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q2 Top outcome: Above 194 | 68.0% | 60.0% | High | $612.47 | Refresh |
Clear+ members in Q2 Top outcome: Above 8.2 million | 85.0% | 85.2% | High | $47,844.61 | Refresh |
Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3% | 94.0% | 98.8% | High | $7,266.92 | Refresh |
Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above -2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | High | $23,293.56 | Refresh |
Urban Outfitters total stores in Q2 Top outcome: Above 818 | 5.0% | 2.5% | High | $1,300.99 | Refresh |
Ulta transactions growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2% | 21.0% | 15.4% | High | $8,936.13 | Refresh |
Uber Trips in Q2? Top outcome: above 3.75 billion | 94.0% | 95.5% | High | $79,562.78 | Refresh |
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 465000 | 58.0% | 54.3% | Med | $1,842.3 | Refresh |
Toast total locations in 2026 Top outcome: Above 198 thousand | 30.0% | 28.5% | High | $13,963.5 | Refresh |
Toll Brothers delivered homes in Q3 Top outcome: Above 2600 | 86.0% | 83.3% | High | $5,824.52 | Refresh |
Target transactions change in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2% | 78.0% | 55.4% | High | $3,108.68 | Refresh |
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026? Top outcome: Above 1000 | 42.0% | 47.6% | High | $141,033.28 | Refresh |
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? Top outcome: Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 81.0% | 96.5% | High | $31,000.19 | Refresh |
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year? Top outcome: Above 500000 in a single quarter | 46.0% | 50.4% | High | $97,966.94 | Refresh |
Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average? Top outcome: 4.19 million | 56.0% | 27.1% | High | $12,725.42 | Refresh |
Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 430 million | 7.0% | 3.2% | High | $6.04 | Refresh |
Constellation Brands total beer shipments in Q2 Top outcome: Above 124 million | 16.0% | 9.3% | High | $349.2 | Refresh |
Spotify monthly active users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 780 million | 37.0% | 46.1% | High | $17,919.45 | Refresh |
Spotify headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 7250 | 75.0% | 47.0% | High | $3,870.56 | Refresh |
Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q2 2027 Top outcome: Above 835 | 45.0% | 43.0% | High | $8,581.2 | Refresh |
Snap daily active users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 492 million | 34.0% | 16.0% | High | $15,759.86 | Refresh |
Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above $116 billion | 44.0% | 18.0% | High | $11,042.6 | Refresh |
Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2 Top outcome: Above 16% | 26.0% | 31.5% | High | $67,165.15 | Refresh |
Sea Garena paying users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 60 million | 96.0% | 98.8% | High | $13,132 | Refresh |
Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026 Top outcome: Above 41.8 million | 7.0% | 17.0% | High | $1 | Refresh |
Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3% | 81.0% | 75.4% | High | $15,410.1 | Refresh |
Starbucks total stores in Q3 Top outcome: Above 41300 | 53.0% | 71.2% | High | $14,544.3 | Refresh |
Roku hours streamed in Q2 Top outcome: above 40 billion | 5.0% | 3.0% | High | $22,530.46 | Refresh |
Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026 Top outcome: Above 46000 | 90.0% | 86.1% | High | $52,270.1 | Refresh |
Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3 Top outcome: Above 15000 | 63.0% | 64.8% | High | $2,529.98 | Refresh |
Rivian Automotive Inc. total vehicles delivered in Q2 2026 Top outcome: Above 11500 | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | $0 | Refresh |
Reddit daily active uniques in 2026 Top outcome: Above 138 million | 77.0% | 75.8% | High | $11,592.72 | Refresh |
Ferrari total car shipments in 2026 Top outcome: Above 13900 | 17.0% | 7.9% | High | $25,851.61 | Refresh |
Palantir total customer count in 2026 Top outcome: Above 1100 | 88.0% | 90.7% | High | $13,575.13 | Refresh |
Palantir total customers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1060 | 87.0% | 85.2% | High | $24,218.76 | Refresh |
Oracle headcount in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 160000 | 11.0% | 5.1% | High | $8,266.74 | Refresh |
Netflix headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 17500 | 55.0% | 59.1% | High | $11,464.58 | Refresh |
Norwegian Cruise passengers carried in 2026 Top outcome: Above 3.25 million | 96.0% | 88.1% | High | $58,080.44 | Refresh |
Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q2 Top outcome: Above 855 thousand | 40.0% | 19.3% | High | $51,964.1 | Refresh |
Match total payers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 13.8 million | 6.0% | 3.0% | High | $24,316.47 | Refresh |
Altria cigarette shipments in Q2 Top outcome: Above 15 billion | 65.0% | 44.4% | High | $36,049.86 | Refresh |
Meta headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 73000 | 81.0% | 31.2% | High | $99,528.04 | Refresh |
Meta family daily active people in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3.68 billion | 2.0% | 2.7% | High | $13,063.53 | Refresh |
MercadoLibre items sold in 2026 Top outcome: Above 3 billion | 89.0% | 91.7% | High | $33,898.87 | Refresh |
McDonald's Corporation total systemwide restaurants in Q2 2026 Top outcome: Above 45800 | 99.0% | 90.7% | High | $13,590.35 | Refresh |
McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2% | 31.0% | 16.3% | High | $21,314.96 | Refresh |
Marriott International total rooms in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1.815 million | 44.0% | 54.5% | High | $5,299.65 | Refresh |
Lyft total rides in Q2 Top outcome: above 254 million | 68.0% | 52.3% | High | $9,718.53 | Refresh |
Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above -6% | 32.0% | 34.3% | High | $22,801.49 | Refresh |
Lowe's customer transactions in Q2 Top outcome: Above 222 million | 63.0% | 49.6% | High | $11,915.05 | Refresh |
Loblaw food same-store sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2.5% | 42.0% | 38.9% | Med | $5,184.7 | Refresh |
Klarna active consumers in Q2 Top outcome: above 125 million | 9.0% | 1.1% | High | $11,064.3 | Refresh |
Intel headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 78000 | 87.0% | 72.0% | High | $599.76 | Refresh |
Robinhood funded customers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 28 million | 45.0% | 59.1% | High | $377,229.43 | Refresh |
Hims subscribers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 2.84 million | 95.0% | 94.0% | Med | $35,579.33 | Refresh |
Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2.72 million | 86.0% | 75.4% | High | $66,013.38 | Refresh |
Home Depot customer transactions in Q2 Top outcome: Above 450 million | 24.0% | 17.3% | High | $4,524.96 | Refresh |
Grab monthly transacting users in Q2 Top outcome: above 52.5 million | 88.0% | 84.3% | High | $5,854.78 | Refresh |
Google headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 208000 | 25.0% | 2.7% | High | $27,528.71 | Refresh |
Futu total funded accounts in Q2 Top outcome: Above 4.1 million | 3.0% | 1.0% | High | $6,341.57 | Refresh |
Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q2 Top outcome: above 1675 | 18.0% | 23.9% | High | $2,521.06 | Refresh |
eBay gross merchandise volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above $23 billion | 6.0% | 1.0% | High | $40,789.53 | Refresh |
Domino's total US stores in 2026 Top outcome: Above 7350 | 86.0% | 98.0% | High | $1,774.81 | Refresh |
Dollarama comparable store sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 6% | 12.0% | 4.2% | High | $780.39 | Refresh |
DoorDash total orders in Q2 Top outcome: above 1000 million | 13.0% | 14.9% | High | $34,490.26 | Refresh |
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q2 Top outcome: above 190000 | 92.0% | 87.4% | High | $24,229.39 | Refresh |
Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above -1% | 40.0% | 63.0% | High | $30,229.03 | Refresh |
Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 2% | 4.0% | 12.3% | High | $16,541.12 | Refresh |
When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week? Top outcome: Before 2027 | 79.0% | 79.7% | High | $13,522.71 | Refresh |
Coinbase total trading volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above $180 billion | 6.0% | 16.3% | High | $245,105.2 | Refresh |
Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 8.5 million | 11.0% | 19.1% | High | $8,923.4 | Refresh |
Chipotle total restaurant count in Q2 Top outcome: Above 4160 | 49.0% | 44.2% | High | $29,365.31 | Refresh |
Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1% | 71.0% | 79.3% | High | $24,091.13 | Refresh |
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q3 Top outcome: Above 25.2 million | 4.0% | 8.6% | High | $6,887.55 | Refresh |
CAVA restaurants in Q2 Top outcome: Above 480 | 14.0% | 5.5% | High | $38,206.81 | Refresh |
CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3% | 99.0% | 99.3% | High | $5,003 | Refresh |
Aritzia comparable sales growth in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 24% | 35.0% | 19.9% | High | $3,460.83 | Refresh |
Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 21% | 93.0% | 93.6% | High | $379.12 | Refresh |
Amazon headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 1575000 | 41.0% | 26.9% | High | $28,413.67 | Refresh |
Amazon headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1555000 | 94.0% | 85.2% | High | $13,308.13 | Refresh |
Tesla deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 400000 | 87.0% | 99.2% | High | $360.71 | Refresh |
Air Canada passenger load factor in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 85% | 67.0% | 44.4% | Med | $1,200.12 | Refresh |
Air Canada passenger load factor in Q2 Top outcome: Above 86% | 79.0% | 42.1% | High | $38,560.87 | Refresh |
Apple headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 172000 | 25.0% | 17.2% | High | $7,153.32 | Refresh |
Clear active clear+ members in 2026 Top outcome: Above 8.7 million | 65.0% | 65.7% | High | $24,551.38 | Refresh |
Tesla total production in Q3 Top outcome: Above 460000 | 85.0% | 59.8% | High | $2,858.63 | Refresh |
Toast total locations in Q2 Top outcome: above 184 thousand | 7.0% | 7.4% | High | $16,344.85 | Refresh |
Reddit daily active uniques in Q2 Top outcome: above 136 million | 2.0% | 5.3% | High | $49,366.34 | Refresh |
Roblox hours engaged in Q2 Top outcome: Above 33 billion | 20.0% | 33.0% | High | $14,942.84 | Refresh |
Ferrari total shipments in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3500 | 6.0% | 13.2% | Med | $17,964.38 | Refresh |
Nvidia headcount in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 46000 | 83.0% | 84.2% | High | $16,631.31 | Refresh |
Nu Holdings customers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 143 million | 90.0% | 86.8% | High | $1,743.54 | Refresh |
Nu Holdings customers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 137 million | 98.0% | 99.0% | High | $12,456.59 | Refresh |
Match total payers in Q2 Top outcome: above 13.45 million | 32.0% | 19.2% | High | $1,694.37 | Refresh |
MercadoLibre items sold in Q2 Top outcome: above 840 million | 8.0% | 10.8% | High | $25,567.42 | Refresh |
Robinhood gold subs in Q2 Top outcome: above 4.5 million | 83.0% | 74.0% | High | $9,565.09 | Refresh |
Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 510 thousand | 63.0% | 56.2% | High | $6,223.86 | Refresh |
Webull funded accounts in Q2 Top outcome: Above 5.2 million | 45.0% | 28.1% | High | $5,170.01 | Refresh |
Airbnb bookings in Q2 Top outcome: Above 153 million | 2.0% | 2.0% | High | $19,629.1 | Refresh |
Domino's US same store sales growth in 2026 Top outcome: Above 2.5% | 22.0% | 35.2% | High | $2,125.74 | Refresh |
Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3250 | 71.0% | 5.0% | High | $610.28 | Refresh |
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $26,040.76 | ||
| — | — | High | $252,445.78 | ||
| — | — | High | $383,270.75 | ||
| — | — | High | $841,163.92 | ||
| — | — | High | $16,585.81 | ||
| — | — | High | $19,663.29 | ||
| — | — | High | $166,693.3 | ||
| — | — | High | $120,337.69 | ||
| — | — | High | $179,485.19 | ||
| — | — | High | $74,775.27 | ||
| — | — | High | $31,126.24 | ||
| — | — | High | $63,778.45 | ||
| — | — | High | $28,458.07 | ||
| — | — | High | $53,847.13 | ||
| — | — | High | $84,671.99 | ||
| — | — | High | $28,294.11 | ||
| — | — | High | $71,367.89 | ||
| — | — | High | $91,257.4 | ||
| — | — | High | $21,971.38 | ||
| — | — | High | $47,506.12 | ||
| — | — | High | $205,238.52 | ||
| — | — | High | $43,434.91 | ||
| — | — | High | $29,719.43 | ||
| — | — | High | $146,245.63 |