Before May 1, 2026
Market Model 30.0% 13.1%
Before Jun 1, 2026
Market Model 70.0% 39.7%
Congress Markets
Active Markets (6)
CBP
Market Model 20.0% 7.7%
TSA
Market Model 19.0% 6.6%
0
Market Model 15.0% 9.1%
1
Market Model 61.0% 63.7%
At least 60 days
Market Model 99.7% 99.5%
At least 90 days
Market Model 46.0% 35.2%
Before May
Market Model 4.0% 1.4%
Before June
Market Model 13.0% 4.6%
Before Jan 20, 2029
Market Model 38.0% 15.3%
Before 2027
Market Model 12.0% 4.2%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| When will DHS be funded again? Top outcome: Before May 1, 2026 | 30.0% | 13.1% | High | $14,355,230.22 | Refresh |
| Which DHS components will receive more funding before May? Top outcome: CBP | 20.0% | 7.7% | Med | $96,233.28 | Refresh |
| How many reconciliation bills will be passed in 2026? Top outcome: 0 | 15.0% | 9.1% | High | $59,813.86 | Refresh |
| How long will the government shutdown last? Top outcome: At least 60 days | 99.7% | 99.5% | High | $16,654,779.36 | Refresh |
| Will crypto market structure legislation become law? Top outcome: Before May | 4.0% | 1.4% | High | $800,323 | Refresh |
| Will Congress override Trump's veto? Top outcome: Before Jan 20, 2029 | 38.0% | 15.3% | High | $98,074 | Refresh |
