At least 60 days
Market Model 99.7% 99.5%
At least 90 days
Market Model 46.0% 35.2%
Congress Markets
Active Markets (4)
Before May 1, 2026
Market Model 43.0% 43.8%
Before Apr 22, 2026
Market Model 27.0% 29.1%
Before May
Market Model 4.0% 1.4%
Before June
Market Model 13.0% 4.6%
Before Jan 20, 2029
Market Model 38.0% 15.3%
Before 2027
Market Model 12.0% 4.2%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How long will the government shutdown last? Top outcome: At least 60 days | 99.7% | 99.5% | High | $16,654,779.36 | Refresh |
| When will DHS be funded again? Top outcome: Before May 1, 2026 | 43.0% | 43.8% | High | $14,175,563.01 | Refresh |
| Will crypto market structure legislation become law? Top outcome: Before May | 4.0% | 1.4% | High | $800,323 | Refresh |
| Will Congress override Trump's veto? Top outcome: Before Jan 20, 2029 | 38.0% | 15.3% | High | $98,074 | Refresh |
