Before July
Market Model 12.0% 35.0%
Before August
Market Model 22.0% 35.0%
Iran Markets
Active Markets (2)
Yes
Market Model 14.0% 14.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal? Top outcome: Before July | 12.0% | 35.0% | High | $10,957,182.4 | Refresh |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 14.0% | 14.0% | Med | $99,583.85 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (5)
Yes
Market Model 14.0% 9.8%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model 12.0% 12.0%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 14.0% | 9.8% | Med | $1,249,003.47 | |
| — | — | High | $4,336.02 | ||
| Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 12.0% | 12.0% | Med | $885,303.16 | |
| — | — | High | $127,193.33 | ||
| — | — | High | $4,861.94 |
