Yes
Market Model 14.0% 14.0%
Iran Markets
Active Markets (5)
Above 40
Market Model 64.0% 54.0%
Above 50
Market Model 40.0% 29.0%
Yes
Market Model 17.0% 18.2%
Before 2027
Market Model 75.0% 63.0%
Before August
Market Model 61.0% 48.0%
Yes
Market Model 18.0% 18.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 14.0% | 14.0% | Med | $99,583.85 | Refresh |
| Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (4/27 - 5/3) Top outcome: Above 40 | 64.0% | 54.0% | High | $4,861.94 | Refresh |
| Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 17.0% | 18.2% | Med | $1,081,400.6 | Refresh |
| US-Iran nuclear deal? Top outcome: Before 2027 | 75.0% | 63.0% | Med | $4,737,908.31 | Refresh |
| Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 18.0% | 18.0% | Med | $756,255 | Refresh |
