Yes
Market Model 5.9% 6.4%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will any NATO member state boycott the USA World Cup in 2026? Yes refers to: Before 2026 | 5.9% | 6.4% | Med | $145,217.42 | Refresh |
Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House? Yes refers to: Yes | 60.0% | 50.1% | Med | $425,803.99 | Refresh |
Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? Top outcome: Japan | 11.0% | 4.6% | Med | $85,742.2 | Refresh |
Lisa Cook Out as Fed Governor? Yes refers to: Before Jan 2027 | 17.0% | 6.1% | High | $46,810 | Refresh |
Who will visit Venezuela before May? Top outcome: Marco Rubio | 0.5% | 0.0% | Med | $544,271.76 | Refresh |
When will JD Vance visit Pakistan? Top outcome: Before Apr 30, 2026 | 1.0% | 0.7% | High | $33,712.11 | Refresh |
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 52.0% | 61.8% | Med | $1,045.61 | Refresh |
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027? Top outcome: Saudi Arabia | 20.0% | 7.5% | Med | $240,954.09 | Refresh |
Which world leaders will leave office in 2026? Top outcome: Xi Jinping | 3.9% | 1.4% | Med | $7,351,894.93 | Refresh |
Keir Starmer Out? Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026 | 42.0% | 26.2% | Med | $1,449,184.49 | Refresh |
When will Trump visit China? Top outcome: Before May 15, 2026 | 71.0% | 72.3% | High | $447,639.82 | Refresh |
Will Brendan Carr leave as FCC chair before 2027? Yes refers to: Yes | 21.0% | 19.5% | Med | $1,488 | Refresh |
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term? Yes refers to: During Trump's term | 17.0% | 17.0% | Med | $11,785.62 | Refresh |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak? Top outcome: Before July 2026 | 5.3% | 5.6% | High | $189,047.92 | Refresh |
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term? Yes refers to: Ending Jun 4, 2029 | 90.1% | 91.4% | Med | $12,659 | Refresh |
EU has a new member before 2030? Yes refers to: Any country | 72.0% | 61.4% | Med | $6,654.8 | Refresh |
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 19.0% | 16.8% | High | $284,158.79 | Refresh |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Governor? Top outcome: Before August | 55.0% | 52.3% | High | $335,733.24 | Refresh |
Which G7 leader will leave next? Top outcome: Keir Starmer | 53.0% | 44.4% | Med | $35,601.87 | Refresh |
What countries will Trump visit in 2026? Top outcome: China | 87.0% | 76.4% | Med | $422,484.16 | Refresh |
Which of these African leaders will leave office next? Top outcome: Félix Tshisekedi | 15.0% | 12.6% | High | $9,487 | Refresh |
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? Yes refers to: Mars | 10.0% | 1.6% | Med | $56,620 | Refresh |