Joe Biden
Market Model 64.0% 99.0%
George W. Bush
Market Model 54.0% 99.0%
Recurring Markets
Active Markets (4)
Yes
Market Model 56.0% 67.3%
Above 0
Market Model 86.0% 62.8%
Above 2
Market Model 32.0% 6.8%
9,000 to 9,999
Market Model 23.0% 18.6%
12,000 to 13,000
Market Model 22.0% 17.9%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will make a public appearance in May 2026? Top outcome: Joe Biden | 64.0% | 99.0% | High | $4,123.67 | Refresh |
| Will Trump order more tariffs in May 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 56.0% | 67.3% | Med | $21,305.76 | Refresh |
| How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (5/3 - 5/9) Top outcome: Above 0 | 86.0% | 62.8% | High | $56,372.13 | Refresh |
| How many border encounters in Apr 2026? Top outcome: 9,000 to 9,999 | 23.0% | 18.6% | Med | $2,544.96 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (11)
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $29,166.84 | ||
| — | — | Med | $94,748.56 | ||
| — | — | High | $19,188.48 | ||
| — | — | High | $13,715.47 | ||
| — | — | Med | $6,240.69 | ||
| — | — | High | $27,903.91 | ||
| — | — | High | $1,298.17 | ||
| — | — | High | $4,346.82 | ||
| — | — | Med | $13,585.92 | ||
| — | — | Med | $105,200.56 | ||
| — | — | Med | $302,456.41 |
