SCOTUS & courts Markets

Active Markets (18)

Will the Supreme Court shield Monsanto from Roundup failure-to-warn lawsuits?

Yes

Market Model 67.0% 55.7%

$7,728.57 Refresh

Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?

Yes

Market Model 17.0% 17.0%

$12,109.19 Refresh

Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?

Yes

Market Model 36.0% 43.7%

$13,764.15 Refresh

Will the Supreme Court let Trump fire FTC Commissioners at will?

Yes

Market Model 91.0% 93.8%

$38,912.15 Refresh

Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots after Election Day?

Yes

Market Model 74.0% 79.7%

$58,926.74 Refresh

Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?

Yes

Market Model 14.0% 9.2%

$62,637.83 Refresh

Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?

Yes

Market Model 91.8% 94.8%

$22,101.7 Refresh

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

Yes

Market Model 17.0% 12.1%

$37,418.65 Refresh

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Tim Walz

Market Model 17.0% 8.1%

Ilhan Omar

Market Model 49.0% 36.3%

$712,769.36 Refresh

Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?

Yes

Market Model 5.0% 3.7%

$41,752.37 Refresh

Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?

Yes

Market Model 12.0% 9.0%

$6,525 Refresh

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?

Yes

Market Model 42.0% 49.9%

$14,231.17 Refresh

Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

Before Sep 1, 2026

Market Model 14.0% 9.9%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 27.0% 19.9%

$126,382.55 Refresh

How many justices will vote for Trump in the FTC removal case?

Market Model 1.6% 2.9%

Market Model 86.0% 82.7%

$51,521.68 Refresh

Who will be arrested before 2027?

James Comey

Market Model 75.0% 67.3%

Barack Obama

Market Model 11.0% 4.6%

$1,697,030.31 Refresh

Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

Yes

Market Model 8.4% 4.7%

$17,552.18 Refresh

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

Amul Thapar

Market Model 9.0% 7.8%

Aileen Cannon

Market Model 12.0% 8.9%

$306,260.87 Refresh

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?

Clarence Thomas

Market Model 50.0% 27.0%

Samuel Alito

Market Model 70.0% 49.1%

$51,480 Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	Volume
Will the Supreme Court shield Monsanto from Roundup failure-to-warn lawsuits? Yes refers to: Before 2026	67.0%	55.7%	Med	$7,728.57	Refresh
Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027? Yes refers to: Before 2027	17.0%	17.0%	Med	$12,109.19	Refresh
Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams? Yes refers to: Before 2029	36.0%	43.7%	Med	$13,764.15	Refresh
Will the Supreme Court let Trump fire FTC Commissioners at will? Yes refers to: Yes	91.0%	93.8%	Med	$38,912.15	Refresh
Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots after Election Day? Yes refers to: Before August 2026	74.0%	79.7%	Med	$58,926.74	Refresh
Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users? Yes refers to: Before 2026	14.0%	9.2%	Med	$62,637.83	Refresh
Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans? Yes refers to: Before 2027	91.8%	94.8%	Med	$22,101.7	Refresh
Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody? Yes refers to: Before 2027	17.0%	12.1%	Med	$37,418.65	Refresh
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Top outcome: Tim Walz	17.0%	8.1%	Med	$712,769.36	Refresh
Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent? Yes refers to: Before 2027	5.0%	3.7%	Med	$41,752.37	Refresh
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? Yes refers to: any 3rd Amendment case	12.0%	9.0%	Med	$6,525	Refresh
Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026? Yes refers to: a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump	42.0%	49.9%	Med	$14,231.17	Refresh
Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? Top outcome: Before Sep 1, 2026	14.0%	9.9%	High	$126,382.55	Refresh
How many justices will vote for Trump in the FTC removal case? Top outcome: 5	1.6%	2.9%	High	$51,521.68	Refresh
Who will be arrested before 2027? Top outcome: James Comey	75.0%	67.3%	Med	$1,697,030.31	Refresh
Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? Yes refers to: Before 2027	8.4%	4.7%	Med	$17,552.18	Refresh
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? Top outcome: Amul Thapar	9.0%	7.8%	High	$306,260.87	Refresh
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? Top outcome: Clarence Thomas	50.0%	27.0%	Med	$51,480	Refresh

Expired Markets (3)

Will Elon win his case against OpenAI?

Yes

Market Model 21.0% 16.2%

$1,209,226.19

When will the Supreme Court issue an opinion on the Voting Rights Act?

Yes

Market Model — —

$72,283.73

How many justices will vote for reversal in Louisiana v. Callais?

Market Model 8.0% 10.4%

Market Model 58.0% 46.6%

$45,065.47

Event	Market	Model	Conf	Volume
Will Elon win his case against OpenAI? Yes refers to: Before 2027	21.0%	16.2%	Med	$1,209,226.19
When will the Supreme Court issue an opinion on the Voting Rights Act?	—	—	High	$72,283.73
How many justices will vote for reversal in Louisiana v. Callais? Top outcome: 6	8.0%	10.4%	High	$45,065.47

SCOTUS & courts Markets

Active Markets (18)

Prediction Markets

Resources

Developers

Company