Above 0.6%
Market Model 65.0% 57.4%
Above 0.4%
Market Model 81.0% 75.0%
Jobs & Economy Markets
Active Markets (6)
Yes
Market Model 80.0% 71.2%
Yes
Market Model 25.0% 43.6%
Yes
Market Model 18.0% 20.5%
Above -25000
Market Model 97.0% 95.3%
Above 50000
Market Model 52.0% 41.6%
Above 9%
Market Model 52.0% 53.5%
Above 10%
Market Model 35.0% 37.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US retail sales in May Top outcome: Above 0.6% | 65.0% | 57.4% | High | $6,557.6 | Refresh |
| Nvidia H200 chips delivered to China before 2027? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 80.0% | 71.2% | Med | $6,992.61 | Refresh |
| Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026? Yes refers to: Decline greater than 20% | 25.0% | 43.6% | Med | $1,673.2 | Refresh |
| Will Michigan consumer sentiment go above 65 in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 18.0% | 20.5% | Med | $3,529 | Refresh |
| ADP employment change in Oct 2026? Top outcome: Above -25000 | 97.0% | 95.3% | Med | $1,956 | Refresh |
| How high will unemployment get before 2030? Top outcome: Above 9% | 52.0% | 53.5% | High | $11,384 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (11)
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $88,099.69 | ||
| — | — | High | $3,620.18 | ||
| — | — | High | $8,148.24 | ||
| — | — | High | $2,289.78 | ||
| — | — | High | $14,072.66 | ||
| — | — | High | $32,484.22 | ||
| — | — | High | $232,424.48 | ||
| — | — | Med | $343,291.99 | ||
| — | — | High | $234.71 | ||
| — | — | High | $1,068.34 | ||
| — | — | Med | $23,315.14 |
