Above 6.5%
Market Model 54.7% 48.1%
Above 6.7%
Market Model 30.0% 26.1%
Housing Markets
Active Markets (4)
Above 1.325M
Market Model 82.0% 85.4%
Above 1.375M
Market Model 32.0% 35.6%
Yes
Market Model 24.0% 38.9%
Yes
Market Model 84.0% 72.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? Top outcome: Above 6.5% | 54.7% | 48.1% | Med | $45,609.05 | Refresh |
| US housing starts for March 2026 Top outcome: Above 1.325M | 82.0% | 85.4% | High | $30,042.79 | Refresh |
| Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 24.0% | 38.9% | Med | $13,456.03 | Refresh |
| Will Mamdani freeze the rent in 2026? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 84.0% | 72.0% | Med | $67,649 | Refresh |
