Exactly 0.6%
Market Model 5.0% 2.3%
Exactly 0.2%
Market Model 17.0% 15.4%
Inflation Markets
Active Markets (7)
Exactly 3.3%
Market Model 6.0% 2.3%
Exactly 3.4%
Market Model 6.0% 2.3%
At least 3%
Market Model 73.0% 73.0%
At least 3.5%
Market Model 39.0% 36.5%
Above 0.2%
Market Model 56.0% 60.0%
Above 0.3%
Market Model 13.0% 22.0%
Exactly 2.3%
Market Model 2.0% 0.4%
Exactly 3.2%
Market Model 4.0% 1.8%
Before 2027
Market Model 12.0% 1.6%
Before 2028
Market Model 25.0% 23.5%
Above 0.0%
Market Model 100.0% 97.7%
Above 0.1%
Market Model 85.0% 95.6%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI month-over-month in Apr 2026? Top outcome: Exactly 0.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | High | $203,514 | Ask |
| CPI year-over-year in Apr 2026? Top outcome: Exactly 3.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% | High | $298,090 | Ask |
| How high will inflation get this year? Top outcome: At least 3% | 73.0% | 73.0% | Med | $61,885 | Ask |
| CPI in Feb 2026? Top outcome: Above 0.2% | 56.0% | 60.0% | Med | $69,788 | Ask |
| CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026? Top outcome: Exactly 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | Med | $1,018,640 | Ask |
| Costco raises hot dog combo price? Top outcome: Before 2027 | 12.0% | 1.6% | Med | $40,031 | Ask |
| How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026? Top outcome: Above 0.0% | 100.0% | 97.7% | Med | $165,619 | Ask |
