At least 4%
Market Model 91.3% 90.0%
At least 3.5%
Market Model 99.1% 98.9%
Inflation Markets
Active Markets (15)
Above 0.3%
Market Model 40.0% 38.4%
Above 0.0%
Market Model 85.0% 83.0%
Above 3.8%
Market Model 77.0% 78.7%
Above 3.9%
Market Model 71.0% 73.1%
Above $1200
Market Model 5.0% 10.0%
Above $1000
Market Model 78.0% 83.8%
Exactly 0.6%
Market Model 12.0% 12.0%
Exactly 0.0%
Market Model 1.0% 0.8%
Above 0.5%
Market Model 26.0% 20.0%
Above 0.3%
Market Model 50.0% 39.8%
Above 0.3%
Market Model 28.0% 20.0%
Above 0.1%
Market Model 85.0% 75.0%
Above 2.8%
Market Model 24.0% 18.5%
Above 2.6%
Market Model 57.0% 54.3%
Above 0.3%
Market Model 20.0% 23.4%
Above 0.0%
Market Model 64.0% 67.1%
Yes
Market Model 13.0% 10.5%
Exactly -0.2%
Market Model 7.0% 6.0%
Exactly -0.1%
Market Model 7.0% 6.0%
Exactly 2.3%
Market Model 7.0% 4.0%
Exactly 3.5%
Market Model 5.0% 5.5%
Above 0.0%
Market Model 90.0% 95.0%
Above 0.1%
Market Model 85.0% 85.0%
Exactly 2.3%
Market Model 5.0% 1.2%
Exactly 3.2%
Market Model 9.0% 6.5%
Before 2027
Market Model 8.0% 1.6%
Before 2028
Market Model 20.0% 23.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How high will inflation get this year? Top outcome: At least 4% | 91.3% | 90.0% | High | $492,831.43 | Refresh |
| CPI in August Top outcome: Above 0.3% | 40.0% | 38.4% | Med | $9,543.43 | Refresh |
| Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY) Top outcome: Above 3.8% | 77.0% | 78.7% | Med | $33,103.08 | Refresh |
| How high will the price of fertilizer get this year? Top outcome: Above $1200 | 5.0% | 10.0% | High | $40,154.6 | Refresh |
| CPI month-over-month in May 2026? Top outcome: Exactly 0.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | High | $7,270.29 | Refresh |
| CPI in June Top outcome: Above 0.5% | 26.0% | 20.0% | High | $19,057.95 | Refresh |
| CPI core in June Top outcome: Above 0.3% | 28.0% | 20.0% | High | $191.64 | Refresh |
| Core inflation in May 2026 (Core CPI YoY) Top outcome: Above 2.8% | 24.0% | 18.5% | High | $12,335.74 | Refresh |
| Japan inflation rate MoM for April Top outcome: Above 0.3% | 20.0% | 23.4% | High | $2,141.35 | Refresh |
| Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 13.0% | 10.5% | Med | $18,623.03 | Refresh |
| CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026? Top outcome: Exactly -0.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | High | $595,061 | Refresh |
| CPI core year-over-year in Jun 2026? Top outcome: Exactly 2.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | High | $708,794 | Refresh |
| How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026? Top outcome: Above 0.0% | 90.0% | 95.0% | Med | $167,316 | Refresh |
| CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026? Top outcome: Exactly 2.3% | 5.0% | 1.2% | High | $1,022,794 | Refresh |
| Costco raises hot dog combo price? Top outcome: Before 2027 | 8.0% | 1.6% | Med | $40,031 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (12)
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $340,247.65 | ||
| — | — | Med | $67,203.31 | ||
| — | — | High | $646,864.83 | ||
| — | — | High | $108,769.44 | ||
| — | — | High | $673,124.41 | ||
| — | — | Med | $4,026.05 | ||
| — | — | High | $2,996.13 | ||
| — | — | High | $5,166.64 | ||
| — | — | High | $408,343.77 | ||
| — | — | Med | $36,670 | ||
| — | — | Med | $575,935 | ||
| — | — | Med | $69,788 |
