Exactly 3.3%
Market Model 3.0% 2.1%
Exactly 3.4%
Market Model 9.0% 6.1%
Inflation Markets
Active Markets (10)
Above 0.4%
Market Model 73.0% 55.4%
Above 0.3%
Market Model 88.0% 76.8%
Above 3.6%
Market Model 57.0% 50.3%
Above 3.7%
Market Model 40.0% 34.7%
Exactly -0.2%
Market Model 7.0% 6.0%
Exactly -0.1%
Market Model 7.0% 6.0%
Exactly 2.3%
Market Model 7.0% 4.0%
Exactly 3.5%
Market Model 5.0% 5.5%
Above 0.0%
Market Model 90.0% 95.0%
Above 0.1%
Market Model 85.0% 85.0%
Exactly 2.3%
Market Model 5.0% 1.2%
Exactly 3.2%
Market Model 9.0% 6.5%
Exactly 0.6%
Market Model 15.0% 4.0%
Exactly 0.2%
Market Model 18.0% 35.0%
At least 3%
Market Model 73.0% 73.0%
At least 3.5%
Market Model 37.0% 36.5%
Before 2027
Market Model 8.0% 1.6%
Before 2028
Market Model 20.0% 23.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI year-over-year in Apr 2026? Top outcome: Exactly 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | High | $408,343.77 | Refresh |
| CPI in April Top outcome: Above 0.4% | 73.0% | 55.4% | High | $119,073.08 | Refresh |
| Inflation in Apr 2026 (CPI YoY) Top outcome: Above 3.6% | 57.0% | 50.3% | High | $63,131.94 | Refresh |
| CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026? Top outcome: Exactly -0.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | High | $595,061 | Refresh |
| CPI core year-over-year in Jun 2026? Top outcome: Exactly 2.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | High | $708,794 | Refresh |
| How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026? Top outcome: Above 0.0% | 90.0% | 95.0% | Med | $167,316 | Refresh |
| CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026? Top outcome: Exactly 2.3% | 5.0% | 1.2% | High | $1,022,794 | Refresh |
| CPI month-over-month in Apr 2026? Top outcome: Exactly 0.6% | 15.0% | 4.0% | High | $204,761 | Refresh |
| How high will inflation get this year? Top outcome: At least 3% | 73.0% | 73.0% | Med | $61,885 | Refresh |
| Costco raises hot dog combo price? Top outcome: Before 2027 | 8.0% | 1.6% | Med | $40,031 | Refresh |
