People Markets

Active Markets (10)

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding attendees

Blake Lively

Market Model 1.0% 0.3%

Selena Gomez

Market Model 99.0% 98.7%

$811,293.21 Refresh

Taylor Swift: Married at Madison Square Garden in 2026?

Yes

Market Model 65.0% 68.5%

$1,342,691.35 Refresh

TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?

AI

Market Model 11.0% 4.8%

Donald Trump

Market Model 27.0% 15.3%

$330,726.11 Refresh

Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs be engaged in 2026?

Yes

Market Model 19.0% 13.6%

$9,996.01 Refresh

Will Eric Adams go on Dancing with the Stars this year?

Yes

Market Model 11.0% 7.1%

$914.26 Refresh

Will Nick Bosa and Ella Ailiff be engaged before 2027?

Yes

Market Model 26.0% 26.0%

$879.64 Refresh

When will Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz be married?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Market Model 43.0% 33.7%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Market Model 33.0% 25.5%

$112.18 Refresh

Who will be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?

Selena Gomez

Market Model 71.0% 67.7%

Gigi Hadid

Market Model 58.0% 46.4%

$99,695.07 Refresh

Who will be Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?

Patrick Mahomes

Market Model 87.0% 82.9%

Jason Kelce

Market Model 86.0% 81.5%

$32,873.68 Refresh

Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?

Elon Musk

Market Model 29.0% 19.0%

Taylor Swift

Market Model 12.0% 4.1%

$33,008.48 Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	Volume
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding attendees Top outcome: Blake Lively	1.0%	0.3%	Med	$811,293.21	Refresh
Taylor Swift: Married at Madison Square Garden in 2026? Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027	65.0%	68.5%	Med	$1,342,691.35	Refresh
TIME's Person of the Year for 2026? Top outcome: AI	11.0%	4.8%	Med	$330,726.11	Refresh
Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs be engaged in 2026? Yes refers to: Before 2027	19.0%	13.6%	Med	$9,996.01	Refresh
Will Eric Adams go on Dancing with the Stars this year? Yes refers to: Eric Adams	11.0%	7.1%	Med	$914.26	Refresh
Will Nick Bosa and Ella Ailiff be engaged before 2027? Yes refers to: Before 2027	26.0%	26.0%	Med	$879.64	Refresh
When will Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz be married? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2028	43.0%	33.7%	High	$112.18	Refresh
Who will be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift? Top outcome: Selena Gomez	71.0%	67.7%	Med	$99,695.07	Refresh
Who will be Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift? Top outcome: Patrick Mahomes	87.0%	82.9%	Med	$32,873.68	Refresh
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? Top outcome: Elon Musk	29.0%	19.0%	Med	$33,008.48	Refresh

Expired Markets (2)

2026 FIFA World Cup Final: Attendance

Yes

Market Model — —

$13,186.2

Who will attend The Met Gala?

Sydney Sweeney

Market Model 1.0% 0.3%

Lady Gaga

Market Model 1.0% 0.3%

$5,925,272.89

Event	Market	Model	Conf	Volume
2026 FIFA World Cup Final: Attendance	—	—	Med	$13,186.2
Who will attend The Met Gala? Top outcome: Sydney Sweeney	1.0%	0.3%	Med	$5,925,272.89

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