Above 150 million
Market Model 39.0% 41.3%
Above 149 million
Market Model 61.0% 62.0%
KPIs Markets
Active Markets (4)
Above 1000
Market Model 60.0% 37.5%
Above 5000
Market Model 16.0% 8.0%
Above 440000
Market Model 39.0% 26.0%
Above 420000
Market Model 63.0% 38.4%
Above 6.9 million
Market Model 83.0% 84.2%
Above 6.6 million
Market Model 93.0% 93.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costco total cardholders in Q3 Top outcome: Above 150 million | 39.0% | 41.3% | High | $11,275.76 | Refresh |
| How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026? Top outcome: Above 1000 | 60.0% | 37.5% | High | $100,550.12 | Refresh |
| Tesla production in Q2 Top outcome: Above 440000 | 39.0% | 26.0% | High | $98,089.91 | Refresh |
| Vail Resorts skier visits in Q3 Top outcome: Above 6.9 million | 83.0% | 84.2% | High | $1,741.99 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (19)
Above 2.6 million
Market Model 27.0% 10.2%
Above 2.65 million
Market Model 17.0% 6.1%
Yes
Market Model — —
Above 460
Market Model 20.0% 35.4%
Above 465
Market Model 2.0% 21.6%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Above 80 million
Market Model 34.0% 29.5%
above 78 million
Market Model 81.0% 60.8%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
above 3.8 billion
Market Model 13.0% 12.9%
Above 4.2 billion
Market Model 2.0% 2.1%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Above 78000
Market Model 10.0% 7.8%
Above 77000
Market Model 43.0% 33.7%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hims subscribers in Q1 Top outcome: Above 2.6 million | 27.0% | 10.2% | High | $8,000.52 | |
| — | — | High | $232,693.79 | ||
| CAVA restaurants in Q1 Top outcome: Above 460 | 20.0% | 35.4% | High | $81,959.06 | |
| — | — | High | $131,495.46 | ||
| — | — | High | $62,787.58 | ||
| Paramount+ global subscribers in Q1 Top outcome: Above 80 million | 34.0% | 29.5% | High | $1,872.61 | |
| — | — | High | $3,497.47 | ||
| — | — | High | $11,116.79 | ||
| — | — | High | $190,568.93 | ||
| — | — | Med | $150,467.8 | ||
| — | — | High | $10,293.74 | ||
| — | — | High | $5,122.96 | ||
| Uber Trips in Q1? Top outcome: above 3.8 billion | 13.0% | 12.9% | High | $342,473.47 | |
| — | — | High | $23,804.66 | ||
| — | — | High | $225,903.97 | ||
| Meta headcount in Q1? Top outcome: Above 78000 | 10.0% | 7.8% | High | $500,553.82 | |
| — | — | High | $146,188.21 | ||
| — | — | Med | $67,904 | ||
| — | — | Med | $357,769 |
