Above 150 million
Market Model 39.0% 41.3%
Above 149 million
Market Model 61.0% 62.0%
KPIs Markets
Active Markets (21)
Above 2.6 million
Market Model 27.0% 10.2%
Above 2.65 million
Market Model 17.0% 6.1%
Above 1000
Market Model 60.0% 37.5%
Above 5000
Market Model 16.0% 8.0%
Above 440000
Market Model 46.0% 26.0%
Above 420000
Market Model 61.0% 38.4%
Above 165 million
Market Model 1.0% 0.0%
above 160 million
Market Model 1.0% 0.0%
Above 460
Market Model 20.0% 35.4%
Above 465
Market Model 2.0% 21.6%
Above 6.9 million
Market Model 83.0% 84.2%
Above 6.6 million
Market Model 93.0% 93.5%
Above 14.4 million
Market Model 3.0% 2.3%
above 14.1 million
Market Model 6.0% 2.7%
Above 1080
Market Model 6.0% 10.3%
above 1040
Market Model 13.0% 20.6%
Above 80 million
Market Model 34.0% 29.5%
above 78 million
Market Model 81.0% 60.8%
Above 1.82 million
Market Model 18.0% 15.9%
Above 1.8 million
Market Model 41.0% 35.6%
Above 875 thousand
Market Model 11.0% 5.5%
Above 880 thousand
Market Model 1.0% 4.5%
Above 230 million
Market Model 99.0% 99.1%
Above 265 million
Market Model 2.0% 7.5%
Above 3700
Market Model 2.0% 2.7%
above 3500
Market Model 33.0% 37.5%
Above 39 billion
Market Model 76.0% 70.5%
Above 38.5 billion
Market Model 86.0% 82.1%
Above 12.9 billion
Market Model 88.0% 66.4%
Above 13.5 billion
Market Model 10.0% 3.9%
above 3.8 billion
Market Model 13.0% 12.9%
Above 4.2 billion
Market Model 2.0% 2.1%
Above 33 billion
Market Model 26.0% 25.6%
above 36 billion
Market Model 6.0% 6.4%
Above 5 million
Market Model 1.0% 0.7%
Above 4.6 million
Market Model 11.0% 7.4%
Above 78000
Market Model 10.0% 7.8%
Above 77000
Market Model 43.0% 33.7%
above 200 million
Market Model 15.0% 18.7%
above 215 million
Market Model 6.0% 8.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costco total cardholders in Q3 Top outcome: Above 150 million | 39.0% | 41.3% | High | $11,275.76 | Refresh |
| Hims subscribers in Q1 Top outcome: Above 2.6 million | 27.0% | 10.2% | High | $8,000.52 | Refresh |
| How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026? Top outcome: Above 1000 | 60.0% | 37.5% | High | $100,550.12 | Refresh |
| Tesla production in Q2 Top outcome: Above 440000 | 46.0% | 26.0% | High | $98,089.91 | Refresh |
| Airbnb bookings in Q1 2026 Top outcome: Above 165 million | 1.0% | 0.0% | High | $232,693.79 | Refresh |
| CAVA restaurants in Q1 Top outcome: Above 460 | 20.0% | 35.4% | High | $81,959.06 | Refresh |
| Vail Resorts skier visits in Q3 Top outcome: Above 6.9 million | 83.0% | 84.2% | High | $1,741.99 | Refresh |
| Match total payers in Q1 2026 Top outcome: Above 14.4 million | 3.0% | 2.3% | High | $131,495.46 | Refresh |
| Palantir total customers in Q1 2026 Top outcome: Above 1080 | 6.0% | 10.3% | High | $62,787.58 | Refresh |
| Paramount+ global subscribers in Q1 Top outcome: Above 80 million | 34.0% | 29.5% | High | $1,872.61 | Refresh |
| Marriott total rooms in Q1 Top outcome: Above 1.82 million | 18.0% | 15.9% | High | $3,497.47 | Refresh |
| Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q1 Top outcome: Above 875 thousand | 11.0% | 5.5% | High | $11,116.79 | Refresh |
| Lyft total rides in Q1 2026 Top outcome: Above 230 million | 99.0% | 99.1% | High | $190,568.93 | Refresh |
| Ferrari total shipments in Q1 2026 Top outcome: Above 3700 | 2.0% | 2.7% | Med | $150,467.8 | Refresh |
| Roku Inc. hours streamed in Q1 2026 Top outcome: Above 39 billion | 76.0% | 70.5% | High | $10,293.74 | Refresh |
| Altria cigarette shipments in Q1 Top outcome: Above 12.9 billion | 88.0% | 66.4% | High | $5,122.96 | Refresh |
| Uber Trips in Q1? Top outcome: above 3.8 billion | 13.0% | 12.9% | High | $342,473.47 | Refresh |
| Roblox hours engaged in Q1 Top outcome: Above 33 billion | 26.0% | 25.6% | High | $23,804.66 | Refresh |
| Robinhood gold subscribers in Q1 2026 Top outcome: Above 5 million | 1.0% | 0.7% | High | $225,903.97 | Refresh |
| Meta headcount in Q1? Top outcome: Above 78000 | 10.0% | 7.8% | High | $500,553.82 | Refresh |
| Zyn US shipment volume in Q1 2026 Top outcome: above 200 million | 15.0% | 18.7% | High | $146,188.21 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (2)
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | Med | $67,904 | ||
| — | — | Med | $357,769 |
