Roku Inc. hours streamed in Q1 2026
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Strong Q4 2025 consumer engagement indicates a solid user base.
- Roku Channel significantly expanded content and partnerships in Q1 2026.
- Five new ITV Studios FAST channels launched on Roku in March 2026.
- Roku maintains a strong market share, supporting continued user engagement.
- The growing user base combined with new content should boost engagement.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 39 billion | 76.0% | 70.5% | Growing user base, new content, and partnerships are expected to boost Q1 2026 streaming hours. |
| Above 38.5 billion | 86.0% | 82.1% | Growing user base, new content, and partnerships are expected to boost Q1 2026 streaming hours. |
| Above 39.5 billion | 42.0% | 36.9% | Growing user base, new content, and partnerships are expected to boost Q1 2026 streaming hours. |
| Above 40 billion | 19.0% | 17.0% | Growing user base, new content, and partnerships are expected to boost Q1 2026 streaming hours. |
| Above 40.5 billion | 12.0% | 11.0% | Growing user base, new content, and partnerships are expected to boost Q1 2026 streaming hours. |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Above 39 billion
📈 April 27, 2026: 9.0pp spike
Price increased from 67.0% to 76.0%
Outcome: Above 38 billion
📈 April 23, 2026: 88.0pp spike
Price increased from 1.0% to 89.0%
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This Kalshi market resolves to "Yes" if Roku Inc. reports more than 39,500,000,000.0 hours streamed in Q1 2026, and to "No" if they report 39,500,000,000.0 hours or less. The outcome will be verified by Fiscal.ai. Trading opened on April 23, 2026, at 2:24pm EDT and will close either when the Q1 2026 report is released (triggering an early closure), or by May 30, 2026, at 4:00pm EDT at the latest, with payouts projected 30 minutes after closure.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 38 billion | $0.95 | $0.11 | 90% |
| Above 38.5 billion | $0.86 | $0.15 | 86% |
| Above 39 billion | $0.76 | $0.27 | 76% |
| Above 39.5 billion | $0.42 | $0.59 | 42% |
| Above 40 billion | $0.19 | $0.82 | 19% |
| Above 40.5 billion | $0.12 | $0.94 | 12% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. What Was Roku's User Base Entering Q1 2026?
| Roku Streaming Households | Over 100 million by April 2026 [^] |
|---|---|
| 2025 Holiday Shopper Intentions | Favorable [^] |
| 2025 Online Retail Activity | Significant during 2025 holiday season [^] |
6. What new content and partnerships launched on The Roku Channel in Q1 2026?
| New UK Channels | Five ITV Studios FAST channels (March 2026 [^]) |
|---|---|
| U.S. Sports Partnership | Expanded multi-year deal with X Games (March 2026 [^]) |
| Q1 2026 Focus | Content and sports offerings for increased user engagement [^] |
7. What Is the Q4 2025 Connected TV Device Market Share in North America?
8. What is Roku's Q1 2026 Advertising Strategy and Focus?
| Roku Curate Launch | April 2026 [^] |
|---|---|
| Platform Restructuring | Into Advertising and Subscriptions segments [^] |
| Programmatic Ad CPMs | $20-$50 [^] |
9. What is Roku's Q1 2026 Streaming Hours Guidance and Accuracy?
| Roku Q1 2026 Streaming Hours Guidance | Not explicitly stated in available sources (Q4 2025 earnings release, official financial results, earnings call transcripts) [^] |
|---|---|
| Historical Accuracy (Prior 8 Qtrs) | Data not available to calculate beat/miss/in-line percentage from provided research [1-10] [^] |
| Typical Earnings Report Focus | Commonly focuses on revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and active accounts rather than specific streaming hours projections [^] |
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: May 30, 2026
- Closes: May 30, 2026
11. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
13. Historical Resolutions
No historical resolution data available for this series.
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