Paramount+ global subscribers in Q1
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Paramount+ ended 2025 with 79 million global subscribers, matching Q1.
- Company strategy prioritizes streaming profitability over subscriber volume growth.
- Strong international subscriber acquisition provides positive momentum in key markets.
- Gaining over six million subscribers in Q1 2026 appears less probable.
- Modest net subscriber additions are possible given recent international market strength.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 80 million | 34.0% | 29.5% | Market higher by 4.5pp |
| above 78 million | 81.0% | 60.8% | Market higher by 20.2pp |
| above 76 million | 89.0% | 71.4% | Market higher by 17.6pp |
| Above 74 million | 92.0% | 75.7% | Market higher by 16.3pp |
| Above 82 million | 15.0% | 11.6% | Market higher by 3.4pp |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to Yes if Paramount Skydance CORP reports above 80 million Paramount+ global subscribers in Q1 2026, and to No if they report 80 million or fewer. The outcome is verified by Fiscal.ai. The market opened on April 8, 2026, closes early if the event occurs, or by August 30, 2026, 6:00am EDT otherwise, with a projected payout 30 minutes after closing.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 74 million | $0.99 | $0.08 | 92% |
| above 76 million | $0.98 | $0.11 | 89% |
| above 78 million | $0.82 | $0.26 | 81% |
| Above 80 million | $0.34 | $0.73 | 34% |
| Above 82 million | $0.15 | $0.94 | 15% |
| Above 70 million | $0.99 | $0.06 | 0% |
| Above 72 million | $0.99 | $0.07 | 0% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
4. How Do Tentpole Releases Impact Paramount+ Subscriber Growth?
| Paramount+ Q1 2025 Subscribers | 79 million [^] |
|---|---|
| Previous Q4 Subscriber Addition | 5.6 million [^] |
| Analyst Outlook for Streaming | Positive for 2026 [^] |
5. What are Paramount+'s 2025 Third-Party Subscriber Additions?
| Global Subscribers (End of 2025) | 79 million [^] |
|---|---|
| 2025 Third-Party Subscriber Additions | Not explicitly detailed in provided sources [^] |
| Third-Party vs. Direct-to-Consumer Churn | Not available in research provided [^] |
6. What is Paramount+'s Subscriber Performance in Key International Markets?
| UK Subscriber Acquisition | Paramount+ "wins most new subscribers" [^] |
|---|---|
| Australia Holiday Growth (Q4 2025) | Paramount+ led holiday subscriber growth [^] |
| UK Market Share & Churn Details | Specific percentages and churn rates not detailed in provided snippets from BARB data [^] |
7. What Are Paramount Skydance's Strategic Goals for Streaming Profitability?
| DTC Profitability Goal | Full-year 2025 (pre-acquisition) [^] |
|---|---|
| Post-Merger Programming Investment | Over $1.5 billion in next year [^] |
| Q3 2025 Streaming Loss | $257 million loss [^] |
8. How Did Paramount+ Price Hikes Impact ARPU and Subscribers?
| Domestic ARPU Growth Q3 2023 | 29% YoY [^] |
|---|---|
| Domestic ARPU Growth Q4 2023 | 27% YoY [^] |
| Global Subscribers Q1 2024 | 71 million [^] |
9. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: August 30, 2026
- Closes: August 30, 2026
10. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
12. Historical Resolutions
No historical resolution data available for this series.
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