Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q1
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Wyndham's historical quarterly net room growth averages 1,000 rooms.
- Wyndham ended Q4 2025 with 858,000 total rooms globally.
- Quarterly room conversion rate from pipeline ranges 6.25% to 6.97%.
- Wyndham consistently expanded room count by 3% net in 2025.
- Reaching 890,000 rooms by Q1 2026 requires substantial growth.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 875 thousand | 11.0% | 5.5% | Wyndham's average quarterly room growth makes exceeding 875,000 total rooms in Q1 improbable. |
| Above 880 thousand | 1.0% | 4.5% | Wyndham's modest historical growth makes achieving 880,000 total rooms in Q1 unlikely. |
| Above 870 thousand | 49.0% | 28.2% | Wyndham's historical average room growth rate makes exceeding 870,000 total rooms in Q1 less likely. |
| Above 890 thousand | 6.0% | 4.5% | Wyndham's 1,000-room historical quarterly growth does not support reaching 890,000 total rooms in Q1. |
| Above 860 thousand | 95.0% | 92.2% | Wyndham's average quarterly room growth places Q1 total rooms near 860,000. |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Above 875 thousand
📉 April 27, 2026: 10.0pp drop
Price decreased from 26.0% to 16.0%
📉 April 26, 2026: 21.0pp drop
Price decreased from 47.0% to 26.0%
📈 April 23, 2026: 53.0pp spike
Price increased from 1.0% to 54.0%
Outcome: Above 890 thousand
📉 April 25, 2026: 11.0pp drop
Price decreased from 13.0% to 2.0%
Outcome: Above 880 thousand
📉 April 24, 2026: 14.0pp drop
Price decreased from 35.0% to 21.0%
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
The market resolves to Yes if Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. reports over 870,000 total rooms in Q1 2026; otherwise, it resolves to No. The outcome will be verified by Fiscal.ai. The market opened on April 16, 2026, and will close either after the outcome occurs or by May 29, 2026, at 4:00 PM EDT. Payout is projected 30 minutes after closing, and the market may close early if the event occurs.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 860 thousand | $1.00 | $0.05 | 95% |
| Above 870 thousand | $0.49 | $0.57 | 49% |
| Above 875 thousand | $0.10 | $0.93 | 11% |
| Above 900 thousand | $0.03 | $1.00 | 9% |
| Above 920 thousand | $0.03 | $1.00 | 7% |
| Above 890 thousand | $0.03 | $1.00 | 6% |
| Above 880 thousand | $0.02 | $1.00 | 1% |
| Above 910 thousand | $0.03 | $1.00 | 0% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. What is Wyndham Hotels' global room conversion rate from development pipeline?
| Highest Quarterly Conversion Rate | 6.97% (Q4 2025) [^] |
|---|---|
| Lowest Quarterly Conversion Rate | 6.25% (Q1 2026) [^] |
| Americas Midscale & Economy Pipeline Share | 82% (Q4 2024) [^] |
6. How Do Wyndham and Choice Hotels' Room Growth Strategies Compare?
| Wyndham Net Room Growth 2025 | 3% (Q4 2025, Full Year 2025) [^] |
|---|---|
| Choice Hotels Net Room Change 2025 | -1.6% (13,000 rooms) [^] |
| Choice Hotels Properties Removed 2025 | 24,000 underperforming properties [^] |
7. How Does Wyndham Prioritize Capital Allocation, M&A, and Shareholder Returns?
| Quarterly Dividend Increase | 9% to $0.38 per share (Q4 2025) [^] |
|---|---|
| Share Repurchase Authorization | $800 million remaining (Q4 2025) [^] |
| Q3 2025 Share Repurchases | $110 million [^] |
8. What are the risks to Wyndham's Asia-Pacific hotel pipeline?
| Total Global Pipeline Rooms | Approximately 213,000 rooms (as of December 31, 2025) [^] |
|---|---|
| Asia-Pacific Pipeline Share | 20% of global pipeline [^] |
| Primary Economic Headwinds | China's real estate instability and consumer confidence downturn [^] |
9. What is Wyndham's Required Net Room Growth by Q1 2026?
| Required Quarterly Net Room Growth by Q1 2026 | 32,000 rooms [^] |
|---|---|
| Total Room Count (December 31, 2025) | 858,000 rooms [^] |
| Average Quarterly Net Room Growth (Past 8 Quarters) | 1,000 rooms [^] |
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: May 29, 2026
- Closes: May 29, 2026
11. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
13. Historical Resolutions
No historical resolution data available for this series.
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