At least 50 days
Market Model 78.0% 69.0%
At least 60 days
Market Model 17.0% 13.1%
Congress Markets
Active Markets (4)
Before May
Market Model 4.0% 1.4%
Before June
Market Model 13.0% 4.6%
Before Apr 8, 2026
Market Model 3.0% 0.9%
Before May 1, 2026
Market Model 65.0% 42.8%
Before Jan 20, 2029
Market Model 38.0% 15.3%
Before 2027
Market Model 12.0% 4.2%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How long will the government shutdown last? Top outcome: At least 50 days | 78.0% | 69.0% | High | $12,906,354 | New |
| Will crypto market structure legislation become law? Top outcome: Before May | 4.0% | 1.4% | High | $800,323 | New |
| When will DHS be funded again? Top outcome: Before Apr 8, 2026 | 3.0% | 0.9% | Med | $10,618,448 | New |
| Will Congress override Trump's veto? Top outcome: Before Jan 20, 2029 | 38.0% | 15.3% | High | $98,074 | New |
