xAI
Market Model 54.0% 53.5%
OpenAI
Market Model 61.0% 60.0%
AI Markets
Active Markets (2)
At least 1550 score
Market Model 40.0% 56.0%
At least 1575 score
Market Model 25.0% 31.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? Top outcome: xAI | 54.0% | 53.5% | Med | $842,732 | Ask |
| AI capability growth before July? Top outcome: At least 1550 score | 40.0% | 56.0% | Med | $70,699 | Ask |
