Yes
Market Model 43.0% 51.0%
Trump Markets
Active Markets (12)
Yes
Market Model 7.0% 6.4%
Todd Blanche
Market Model 33.0% 22.0%
Lee Zeldin
Market Model 51.0% 33.3%
Donald Trump
Market Model 59.0% 100.0%
Barron Trump
Market Model 44.0% 100.0%
Below 300
Market Model 11.0% 5.5%
Above 800
Market Model 21.0% 17.6%
Yes
Market Model 12.0% 8.4%
Yes
Market Model 14.0% 9.2%
Yes
Market Model 22.0% 14.9%
Greenland
Market Model 4.0% 18.7%
Canada
Market Model 3.0% 18.7%
$0 / No Acquisition
Market Model 78.0% 94.4%
$600 billion to $899 billion
Market Model 6.0% 0.2%
Tulsi Gabbard
Market Model 16.0% 13.4%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Market Model 60.0% 44.7%
Judy Shelton
Market Model 5.0% 3.8%
Kevin Warsh
Market Model 94.0% 86.3%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump approve a new city on federal land? Yes refers to: Before 2029 | 43.0% | 51.0% | Med | $5,239 | New |
| Will Trump end the Federal Reserve? Yes refers to: Before Jan 20, 2029 | 7.0% | 6.4% | Med | $105,682 | New |
| Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? Top outcome: Todd Blanche | 33.0% | 22.0% | High | $602,678 | New |
| Who will Trump pardon? Top outcome: Donald Trump | 59.0% | 100.0% | High | $224,868 | New |
| How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term? Top outcome: Below 300 | 11.0% | 5.5% | High | $26,513 | New |
| Will Trump balance the budget? Yes refers to: During Trump's term | 12.0% | 8.4% | Med | $40,327 | New |
| Will Trump add a 51st state to the US? Yes refers to: Before 2029 | 14.0% | 9.2% | Med | $53,434 | New |
| Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? Yes refers to: Before his term ends | 22.0% | 14.9% | Med | $296,443 | New |
| What will be the 51st state in Trump's term? Top outcome: Greenland | 4.0% | 18.7% | High | $594,741 | New |
| How much will the US acquire Greenland for? Top outcome: $0 / No Acquisition | 78.0% | 94.4% | High | $1,023,227 | New |
| Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? Top outcome: Tulsi Gabbard | 16.0% | 13.4% | High | $1,754,507 | New |
| Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? Top outcome: Judy Shelton | 5.0% | 3.8% | High | $196,269,477 | New |
