Yes
Market Model 21.0% 20.5%
Employment Markets
Active Markets (5)
Above 5%
Market Model 32.0% 31.5%
Above 6%
Market Model 15.0% 15.5%
Above 0
Market Model 94.0% 93.5%
Above 90,000
Market Model 29.0% 23.5%
Above 4.3%
Market Model 69.0% 89.0%
Above 4.4%
Market Model 41.0% 38.5%
Above 90,000
Market Model 31.0% 30.5%
Above 50,000
Market Model 59.0% 58.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.4% in Q1 2026? Yes refers to: Below 5.4% | 21.0% | 20.5% | Med | $155,748 | Ask |
| How high will unemployment get in 2026? Top outcome: Above 5% | 32.0% | 31.5% | Med | $293,588 | Ask |
| Jobs numbers in Feb 2026? Top outcome: Above 0 | 94.0% | 93.5% | Med | $93,099 | Ask |
| Unemployment in January 2026? Top outcome: Above 4.3% | 69.0% | 89.0% | Med | $474,278 | Ask |
| Jobs numbers in Jan 2026? Top outcome: Above 90,000 | 31.0% | 30.5% | Med | $222,024 | Ask |
