Above 10000
Market Model 27.0% 30.5%
Above 4000
Market Model 69.0% 75.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Measles cases in 2026? Top outcome: Above 10000 | 27.0% | 30.5% | Med | $405,764 | Ask |
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term? Top outcome: At least 1000 | 98.0% | 97.0% | Med | $76,083 | Ask |