Marco Rubio
Market Model 27.1% 28.8%
J.D. Vance
Market Model 37.4% 37.7%
US Elections Markets
Active Markets (5)
Gavin Newsom
Market Model 27.3% 31.9%
Stephen A. Smith
Market Model 1.1% 1.2%
Cornyn beats Talarico
Market Model 39.0% 34.2%
Talarico beats Paxton
Market Model 25.0% 21.9%
Yes
Market Model 43.0% 31.8%
Marco Rubio
Market Model 17.0% 19.5%
Gavin Newsom
Market Model 18.0% 11.3%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2028 Republican nominee for President? Top outcome: Marco Rubio | 27.1% | 28.8% | High | $25,693,763 | New |
| 2028 Democratic nominee for President? Top outcome: Gavin Newsom | 27.3% | 31.9% | High | $71,900,324 | New |
| Texas Senate: Exact outcome Top outcome: Cornyn beats Talarico | 39.0% | 34.2% | Med | $1,158 | New |
| Democratic Senate primaries: progressives sweep? Yes refers to: Yes | 43.0% | 31.8% | Med | $32,029 | New |
| 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? Top outcome: Marco Rubio | 17.0% | 19.5% | High | $18,744,212 | New |
