Yes
Market Model 30.2% 22.1%
Climate change Markets
Active Markets (5)
By 2025
Market Model 4.8% 15.8%
By 2030
Market Model 16.0% 15.8%
Yes
Market Model 81.0% 88.2%
Yes
Market Model 42.0% 32.7%
1.17 to 1.23
Market Model 52.0% 50.9%
1.10 to 1.16
Market Model 19.0% 21.8%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? Yes refers to: Hottest | 30.2% | 22.1% | Med | $109,883.13 | Refresh |
| US meets its climate goals? Top outcome: By 2025 | 4.8% | 15.8% | High | $54,122.87 | Refresh |
| Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? Yes refers to: Before 2050 | 81.0% | 88.2% | Med | $13,300.68 | Refresh |
| EU meets its 2030 climate goals? Yes refers to: By 2030 | 42.0% | 32.7% | Med | $3,128.26 | Refresh |
| Apr 2026 temperature increase? Top outcome: 1.17 to 1.23 | 52.0% | 50.9% | Med | $12,103.43 | Refresh |
