$106 or above
Market Model 19.0% 0.6%
$92.99 or below
Market Model 18.0% 10.5%
Financials Markets
Active Markets (13)
7 or above
Market Model 1.0% 1.0%
6.5 or above
Market Model 10.0% 3.5%
Deel
Market Model 73.0% 82.3%
Rippling
Market Model 25.0% 17.7%
5,900 or below
Market Model 50.0% 52.0%
6,000 or below
Market Model 55.0% 53.0%
Yes
Market Model 76.0% 81.0%
Anthropic
Market Model 51.0% 47.5%
OpenAI
Market Model 60.0% 58.0%
Yes
Market Model 55.0% 65.5%
18,999.99 or below
Market Model 17.0% 19.2%
25,500 to 25,999.99
Market Model 7.0% 4.8%
Yes
Market Model 33.0% 34.5%
7,400 to 7,599.99
Market Model 11.0% 11.9%
7,600 to 7,799.99
Market Model 10.0% 9.0%
7,200 or above
Market Model 62.0% 64.5%
7,600 or above
Market Model 34.0% 39.0%
SoFi
Market Model 5.0% 42.0%
Vertiv Holdings
Market Model 99.0% 66.0%
At least $7 million
Market Model 81.0% 1.0%
At least $6 million
Market Model 91.0% 85.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI oil price on Mar 20, 2026? Top outcome: $106 or above | 19.0% | 0.6% | High | $720,493 | New |
| USD/BRL high in 2026 Top outcome: 7 or above | 1.0% | 1.0% | Med | $542,533 | New |
| Will Deel or Rippling IPO first? Top outcome: Deel | 73.0% | 82.3% | High | $4,789 | New |
| How low will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 5,900 or below | 50.0% | 52.0% | Med | $245,278 | New |
| Netflix price increase in 2026? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 76.0% | 81.0% | Med | $144,574 | New |
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Top outcome: Anthropic | 51.0% | 47.5% | Med | $69,295 | New |
| Will the S&P finish positive this year? Yes refers to: Positive Growth | 55.0% | 65.5% | Med | $211,755 | New |
| Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 18,999.99 or below | 17.0% | 19.2% | Med | $514,992 | New |
| Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 33.0% | 34.5% | Med | $81,228 | New |
| S&P close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 7,400 to 7,599.99 | 11.0% | 11.9% | Med | $826,748 | New |
| How high will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 7,200 or above | 62.0% | 64.5% | Med | $241,849 | New |
| Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q1 of 2026? Top outcome: SoFi | 5.0% | 42.0% | Med | $297,831 | New |
| What will Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator go for at auction? Top outcome: At least $7 million | 81.0% | 1.0% | Med | $499,183 | New |
