$5160.0 or above
Market Model 73.0% 56.5%
$4920.0 or above
Market Model 98.0% 89.5%
Financials Markets
Active Markets (12)
18,999.99 or below
Market Model 18.0% 19.9%
25,500 to 25,999.99
Market Model 5.0% 4.1%
Yes
Market Model 58.0% 56.0%
SoFi
Market Model 28.0% 30.0%
Strategy (MicroStrategy)
Market Model 3.0% 2.5%
7 or above
Market Model 9.0% 5.0%
6.5 or above
Market Model 9.0% 7.0%
5,900 or below
Market Model 41.0% 40.5%
6,000 or below
Market Model 46.0% 45.5%
7,200 or above
Market Model 70.0% 68.5%
7,800 or above
Market Model 34.0% 29.0%
Yes
Market Model 27.0% 29.0%
7,400 to 7,599.99
Market Model 12.0% 12.1%
7,600 to 7,799.99
Market Model 9.0% 9.2%
Yes
Market Model 84.0% 83.5%
Anthropic
Market Model 59.0% 65.1%
OpenAI
Market Model 48.0% 34.9%
At least $7 million
Market Model 81.0% 1.0%
At least $6 million
Market Model 94.0% 85.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold price on Feb 27, 2026 at 5pm EST? Top outcome: $5160.0 or above | 73.0% | 56.5% | Med | $51,000 | Ask |
| Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 18,999.99 or below | 18.0% | 19.9% | Med | $559,690 | Ask |
| Will the S&P finish positive this year? Yes refers to: Positive Growth | 58.0% | 56.0% | Med | $219,851 | Ask |
| Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q1 of 2026? Top outcome: SoFi | 28.0% | 30.0% | Med | $276,730 | Ask |
| USD/BRL high in 2026 Top outcome: 7 or above | 9.0% | 5.0% | Med | $540,925 | Ask |
| How low will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 5,900 or below | 41.0% | 40.5% | Med | $155,027 | Ask |
| How high will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 7,200 or above | 70.0% | 68.5% | Med | $255,496 | Ask |
| Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 27.0% | 29.0% | Med | $84,973 | Ask |
| S&P close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 7,400 to 7,599.99 | 12.0% | 12.1% | Med | $881,718 | Ask |
| Netflix price increase in 2026? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 84.0% | 83.5% | Med | $125,213 | Ask |
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Top outcome: Anthropic | 59.0% | 65.1% | Med | $52,452 | Ask |
| What will Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator go for at auction? Top outcome: At least $7 million | 81.0% | 1.0% | Med | $499,183 | Ask |
Expired Markets (6)
$66.00 to 66.99
Market Model 47.0% 28.0%
$65.00 to 65.99
Market Model 22.0% 17.0%
6,825 to 6,849.9999
Market Model 13.0% 7.1%
6,800 to 6,824.9999
Market Model 16.0% 7.4%
$64 to 64.99
Market Model 4.0% 0.5%
$63 to 63.99
Market Model 29.0% 1.0%
6,870 or above
Market Model 30.0% 0.0%
6,845 or above
Market Model 90.0% 100.0%
7,125 or above
Market Model 1.0% 0.4%
6,625 to 6,649.9999
Market Model 3.0% 1.2%
6,850 or above
Market Model 66.0% 64.0%
6,925 or above
Market Model 9.0% 7.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI oil price on Feb 20, 2026? Top outcome: $66.00 to 66.99 | 47.0% | 28.0% | Med | $58,037 | Ask |
| S&P price range on Feb 20, 2026 at 4pm EST? Top outcome: 6,825 to 6,849.9999 | 13.0% | 7.1% | Med | $56,909 | Ask |
| WTI oil price on Feb 13, 2026? Top outcome: $64 to 64.99 | 4.0% | 0.5% | Med | $103,769 | Ask |
| S&P price on Feb 13, 2026 at 12pm EST? Top outcome: 6,870 or above | 30.0% | 0.0% | Med | $59,064 | Ask |
| S&P price range on Feb 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? Top outcome: 7,125 or above | 1.0% | 0.4% | Med | $151,752 | Ask |
| S&P price on Feb 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? Top outcome: 6,850 or above | 66.0% | 64.0% | Med | $58,466 | Ask |
