25,400 or above
Market Model 1.0% 0.8%
25,200 to 25,299.99
Market Model 7.0% 5.6%
Financials Markets
Active Markets (18)
$180.01 or above
Market Model 16.0% 18.6%
$150.01 or above
Market Model 23.2% 26.0%
above 4676.99
Market Model 83.0% 80.2%
above 4456.99
Market Model 97.0% 96.4%
above 126.99
Market Model 4.0% 3.1%
above 118.99
Market Model 7.0% 5.6%
6,224.9999 or below
Market Model 1.0% 12.6%
6,600 to 6,624.9999
Market Model 8.0% 4.7%
$119 or above
Market Model 3.0% 3.2%
$105.99 or below
Market Model 78.0% 73.4%
7 or above
Market Model 25.0% 18.0%
6.5 or above
Market Model 73.0% 52.0%
Anthropic
Market Model 44.0% 31.0%
OpenAI
Market Model 62.0% 51.2%
Brex
Market Model 10.0% 1.5%
Ramp
Market Model 82.0% 38.1%
Deel
Market Model 73.0% 82.3%
Rippling
Market Model 25.0% 17.7%
5,900 or below
Market Model 50.0% 52.0%
6,000 or below
Market Model 55.0% 53.0%
Yes
Market Model 76.0% 81.0%
Yes
Market Model 55.0% 65.5%
18,999.99 or below
Market Model 17.0% 19.2%
25,500 to 25,999.99
Market Model 7.0% 4.8%
Yes
Market Model 33.0% 34.5%
7,400 to 7,599.99
Market Model 11.0% 11.9%
7,600 to 7,799.99
Market Model 10.0% 9.0%
7,200 or above
Market Model 62.0% 64.5%
7,600 or above
Market Model 34.0% 39.0%
At least $7 million
Market Model 81.0% 1.0%
At least $6 million
Market Model 91.0% 85.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq-100 price range on Apr 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT? Top outcome: 25,400 or above | 1.0% | 0.8% | High | $12,634 | New |
| How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026? Top outcome: $180.01 or above | 16.0% | 18.6% | High | $3,702,900 | New |
| Gold price on Apr 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Top outcome: above 4676.99 | 83.0% | 80.2% | Med | $20,322 | New |
| Crude oil (Brent) price on Apr 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Top outcome: above 126.99 | 4.0% | 3.1% | High | $39,476 | New |
| S&P price range on Apr 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT? Top outcome: 6,224.9999 or below | 1.0% | 12.6% | High | $47,936 | New |
| Oil price (WTI) on Apr 10, 2026? Top outcome: $119 or above | 3.0% | 3.2% | Med | $582,337 | New |
| USD/BRL high in 2026 Top outcome: 7 or above | 25.0% | 18.0% | High | $542,760 | New |
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Top outcome: Anthropic | 44.0% | 31.0% | Med | $84,681 | New |
| Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? Top outcome: Brex | 10.0% | 1.5% | Med | $15,443 | New |
| Will Deel or Rippling IPO first? Top outcome: Deel | 73.0% | 82.3% | High | $4,789 | New |
| How low will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 5,900 or below | 50.0% | 52.0% | Med | $245,278 | New |
| Netflix price increase in 2026? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 76.0% | 81.0% | Med | $144,574 | New |
| Will the S&P finish positive this year? Yes refers to: Positive Growth | 55.0% | 65.5% | Med | $211,755 | New |
| Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 18,999.99 or below | 17.0% | 19.2% | Med | $514,992 | New |
| Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 33.0% | 34.5% | Med | $81,228 | New |
| S&P close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 7,400 to 7,599.99 | 11.0% | 11.9% | Med | $826,748 | New |
| How high will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 7,200 or above | 62.0% | 64.5% | Med | $241,849 | New |
| What will Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator go for at auction? Top outcome: At least $7 million | 81.0% | 1.0% | Med | $499,183 | New |
Expired Markets (10)
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
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Yes
Market Model — —
