Yes
Market Model 58.0% 56.0%
S&P Markets
Active Markets (5)
SoFi
Market Model 28.0% 30.0%
Strategy (MicroStrategy)
Market Model 3.0% 2.5%
5,900 or below
Market Model 41.0% 40.5%
6,000 or below
Market Model 46.0% 45.5%
7,200 or above
Market Model 70.0% 68.5%
7,800 or above
Market Model 34.0% 29.0%
7,400 to 7,599.99
Market Model 12.0% 12.1%
7,600 to 7,799.99
Market Model 9.0% 9.2%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the S&P finish positive this year? Yes refers to: Positive Growth | 58.0% | 56.0% | Med | $219,851 | Ask |
| Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q1 of 2026? Top outcome: SoFi | 28.0% | 30.0% | Med | $276,730 | Ask |
| How low will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 5,900 or below | 41.0% | 40.5% | Med | $155,027 | Ask |
| How high will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 7,200 or above | 70.0% | 68.5% | Med | $255,496 | Ask |
| S&P close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 7,400 to 7,599.99 | 12.0% | 12.1% | Med | $881,718 | Ask |
Expired Markets (4)
6,825 to 6,849.9999
Market Model 13.0% 7.1%
6,800 to 6,824.9999
Market Model 16.0% 7.4%
6,870 or above
Market Model 30.0% 0.0%
6,845 or above
Market Model 90.0% 100.0%
7,125 or above
Market Model 1.0% 0.4%
6,625 to 6,649.9999
Market Model 3.0% 1.2%
6,850 or above
Market Model 66.0% 64.0%
6,925 or above
Market Model 9.0% 7.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P price range on Feb 20, 2026 at 4pm EST? Top outcome: 6,825 to 6,849.9999 | 13.0% | 7.1% | Med | $56,909 | Ask |
| S&P price on Feb 13, 2026 at 12pm EST? Top outcome: 6,870 or above | 30.0% | 0.0% | Med | $59,064 | Ask |
| S&P price range on Feb 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? Top outcome: 7,125 or above | 1.0% | 0.4% | Med | $151,752 | Ask |
| S&P price on Feb 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? Top outcome: 6,850 or above | 66.0% | 64.0% | Med | $58,466 | Ask |
