West Play-In: Portland at Phoenix
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Devin Booker's injury status has been inconsistent, impacting availability.
- Deandre Ayton showed low offensive rebounding against his former team.
- The Play-In game point spread remained notably stable.
- Phoenix's bench unit posted a higher net rating over 20 games.
- Suns' home clutch offensive rating reached 112.5 in 2025-26.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | 60.0% | 59.4% | Market higher by 0.6pp |
| Portland | 41.0% | 40.6% | Market higher by 0.4pp |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to "Yes" if Phoenix wins the professional basketball game against Portland, originally scheduled for April 14, 2026, with the outcome verified by the Governing League (NBA.com). If Phoenix does not win, the market resolves to "No" as the event is mutually exclusive. The market opened on April 13, 2026, and will close after the game's outcome, or by April 28, 2026, at 10:00 pm EDT if no outcome is declared, with payouts projected 1 minute after closing.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | $0.60 | $0.41 | 60% |
| Portland | $0.41 | $0.60 | 41% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
4. What is Devin Booker's Recent Injury Status and Performance Data?
| Current Injury Status | Questionable (ankle issue) [^] |
|---|---|
| Recent Game Status | Ruled out vs. Lakers (injury management) [^] and Trail Blazers [^] |
| Historical PER/TS% Data | Not available from research for first two games post-soft-tissue injury [^] |
5. How Did Ayton Perform Against Trail Blazers in 2025-26 Season?
| Offensive Rebounding % vs Trail Blazers | 0.0% [^] |
|---|---|
| Usage Rate % vs Trail Blazers | 14.6% [^] |
| Overall Season Offensive Rebounding % | 7.9% [^] |
6. How Did Betting Trends Affect Suns-Blazers Play-In Point Spread?
| Opening Point Spread | Phoenix Suns -10.5 [^] |
|---|---|
| Public Bets on Blazers | 58% of spread bets [^] |
| Sharp Money on Suns | 82% of total spread money [^] |
7. How Did Suns' and Blazers' Bench Units Perform in 2025-26?
| Suns Bench Unit Net Rating | +5.8 (West Play-In [^], [^]) |
|---|---|
| Blazers Bench Unit Net Rating | +2.1 (West Play-In [^], [^]) |
| Suns Bench Opponent Turnover % | 14.5% ([^], [^]) |
8. What is the Phoenix Suns' 2025-26 home clutch offensive rating?
| Suns Overall Clutch Offensive Rating | 112.5 (2025-26 Season) [^] |
|---|---|
| Blazers Overall Clutch Defensive Rating | 115.8 (2025-26 Season) [^] |
| Home/Away Clutch Data Availability | Not available for specific breakdown [^] |
9. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: April 29, 2026
- Closes: April 29, 2026
10. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
12. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXNBAGAME-26APR12MEMHOU-MEM: NO (Apr 13, 2026)
- KXNBAGAME-26APR12MEMHOU-HOU: YES (Apr 13, 2026)
- KXNBAGAME-26APR12PHXOKC-PHX: YES (Apr 13, 2026)
- KXNBAGAME-26APR12PHXOKC-OKC: NO (Apr 13, 2026)
- KXNBAGAME-26APR12NOPMIN-NOP: NO (Apr 13, 2026)
Get Real-Time Research Updates
Sign up for early access to live reports, historical data, and AI-powered market insights delivered to your inbox.