Portland at Phoenix: Points
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- The 2025-26 NBA season has not yet commenced; no statistical data exists.
- Phoenix Suns cannot secure a #6 seed by winning the April 14th game.
- Official injury statuses for Portland's key offensive players are unavailable.
- Specific player prop betting odds for Toumani Camara remain elusive.
- Market price saw a significant spike on April 13, 2026.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija: 25+ | 49.0% | 43.2% | Market higher by 5.8pp |
| Deni Avdija: 20+ | 75.0% | 70.5% | Market higher by 4.5pp |
| Deni Avdija: 15+ | 93.0% | 91.4% | Market higher by 1.6pp |
| Jrue Holiday: 10+ | 84.0% | 91.4% | Model higher by 7.4pp |
| Jrue Holiday: 15+ | 60.0% | 70.5% | Model higher by 10.5pp |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
📈 April 13, 2026: 17.0pp spike
Price increased from 28.0% to 45.0%
Outcome: Toumani Camara: 15+
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to YES if Deni Avdija records 25 or more points in the Portland vs. Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for April 14, 2026; otherwise, it resolves to NO. The outcome is verified by the NBA. If Avdija is active but does not play, the market settles at the last fair market price before the game begins. The market closes after the outcome occurs, or by April 28, 2026, at 10:00 PM EDT, with payouts projected 5 minutes after closing.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija: 15+ | $0.92 | $0.09 | 93% |
| Jrue Holiday: 10+ | $0.85 | $0.20 | 84% |
| Donovan Clingan: 10+ | $0.74 | $0.32 | 76% |
| Deni Avdija: 20+ | $0.74 | $0.29 | 75% |
| Toumani Camara: 10+ | $0.75 | $0.30 | 75% |
| Jrue Holiday: 15+ | $0.60 | $0.43 | 60% |
| Deni Avdija: 25+ | $0.49 | $0.52 | 49% |
| Toumani Camara: 15+ | $0.45 | $0.57 | 45% |
| Donovan Clingan: 15+ | $0.44 | $0.59 | 43% |
| Jrue Holiday: 20+ | $0.34 | $0.71 | 35% |
| Deni Avdija: 30+ | $0.24 | $0.78 | 25% |
| Donovan Clingan: 25+ | $0.06 | $0.98 | 7% |
| Toumani Camara: 25+ | $0.05 | $0.98 | 7% |
| Deni Avdija: 35+ | $0.11 | $0.92 | 6% |
| Donovan Clingan: 20+ | $0.17 | $0.86 | 0% |
| Jrue Holiday: 25+ | $0.13 | $0.92 | 0% |
| Toumani Camara: 20+ | $0.19 | $0.84 | 0% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. Can Phoenix Suns Secure #6 Seed By Winning April 14th Game?
| April 14th Game Type | Western Conference Play-In tournament game [^] |
|---|---|
| Regular Season Seeding | Finished outside top six direct playoff spots [^] |
| Outcome of Winning Play-In Game | Advance to contend for #7 or #8 seed [^] |
6. What are the latest injury updates for Trail Blazers players?
| Primary Injury Report Source | 2025-2026 NBA Games: Trail Blazers Suns Injury Report [^] |
|---|---|
| Game Summary Source | Portland Trail Blazers vs. Phoenix Suns, April 14, 2026 [^] |
| Official NBA Injury Report Source | NBA Injury Report: 2025-26 Season (official NBA channels) [^] |
7. How did Toumani Camara perform in 2025-26 games playing over 30 minutes?
| Scored Over 10 Points | 75.0% (21 of 28 games) [^] |
|---|---|
| Scored Over 15 Points | 39.3% (11 of 28 games) [^] |
| Scored Over 20 Points | 25.0% (7 of 28 games) [^] |
8. Are Toumani Camara's 2025-26 Fourth Quarter Stats Available?
| 2025-26 NBA Season Status | Has not commenced [^] |
|---|---|
| Toumani Camara 4th Quarter Data | No statistical data available [^] |
| Portland Trail Blazers Games | No completed games for 2025-26 season [^] |
9. Are Toumani Camara Prop Odds and Kalshi Prices Available for April 2026?
| Game Date | April 14, 2026 (Portland Trail Blazers vs. Phoenix Suns) [^] |
|---|---|
| Player and Team | Toumani Camara, Power Forward for Portland Trail Blazers [^] |
| Prop Odds/Kalshi Prices | Not available in research [^] |
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: April 29, 2026
- Closes: April 29, 2026
11. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 11 resolved YES, 9 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXNBAPTS-26APR12DENSAS-DENNJOKIC15-30: NO (Apr 13, 2026)
- KXNBAPTS-26APR12DENSAS-DENNJOKIC15-25: NO (Apr 13, 2026)
- KXNBAPTS-26APR12DENSAS-DENNJOKIC15-20: YES (Apr 13, 2026)
- KXNBAPTS-26APR12DENSAS-DENNJOKIC15-15: YES (Apr 13, 2026)
- KXNBAPTS-26APR12NOPMIN-NOPDQUEEN22-30: YES (Apr 13, 2026)
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