Companies coverage for Kalshi prediction market probability repricing.
Companies prediction market repricing tied to IPO timing, M&A odds, earnings catalysts, leadership changes, and other corporate-event contracts.
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What happened Reports from speculative secondary markets indicate that the implied valuation of artificial intelligence company Anthropic has surged to $1.2 trillion, a figure that would place it ahead of rival OpenAI fo
What happened Gusto, a direct competitor to Rippling in the human resources and payroll software sector, has reportedly surpassed $1 billion in annual revenue. The milestone establishes a new financial benchmark for priv
What happened The Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) increased its support for the U.S. housing market in the first quarter of 2026, providing $116 billion in liquidity that helped approximately 385,000 h
What happened Anduril Industries has secured a position on a new multi-vendor U.S. Space Force contract vehicle with a ceiling of $1.8 billion, a development that further cements its status as a key technology provider t
In Friday's session (April 17, 2026), the prediction market for Warner Bros. Discovery's (WBD) next acquirer saw a significant shift toward a more protracted and uncertain timeline. The contract for "...
The prediction market for the 12th flight of SpaceX's Starship vehicle experienced a significant repricing on Saturday, March 28, 2026, consolidating the implied consensus for a launch in April. The c...
The prediction market for SpaceX's 12th Starship launch has undergone a notable shift, with traders pushing back the expected timeline from April to May 2026. The probability of a launch occurring "Be...
The prediction market for SpaceX's total number of orbital launches in 2026 experienced a significant upward repricing on March 16, with contracts for higher launch counts seeing sharp increases in pr...
A prediction market tracking Tesla's vehicle deliveries for the first quarter of 2026 has experienced a significant bullish repricing, with the implied probabilities for all high-delivery outcomes ris...
The prediction market for Discord’s IPO timing has undergone a significant reallocation of probability, with the June 2026 bucket collapsing by 17 percentage points (pp), while mid-2027 buckets gained...
The prediction market for SpaceX’s IPO timing has undergone a dramatic reallocation, with the "Before July 1, 2026" bucket gaining 24.0 percentage points of probability within a week. This surge conce...
On March 7, 2026, a dramatic 33-percentage-point collapse in the probability of Discord announcing its IPO by August 1, 2026, sent ripples through financial markets. The KXIPODISCORD-26AUG01 contract,...
The prediction market for Anduril’s IPO prospects in 2026 has undergone a seismic shift. Over a 7-day period, its probability of announcing an IPO plunged from 46% to 19% (a 27-point decline) [1], loc...
