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Tech & Fed Power Watch
The market is pricing Musk as a 15% chance to be CEO of X by January 2027. We think he stays. Anchor of a basket on US tech and Fed institutional inertia.
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Important disclosures
- Backtests are hypothetical. Returns shown on this page are computed from historical Kalshi candle data against the entry prices in the underlying Octagon research report. They do not reflect actual trading, slippage, fees, or order-routing latency.
- Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prediction-market contracts are leveraged instruments with substantial risk of total loss. Any basket can lose 100% of the capital deployed in it.
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