How many consecutive regular season games will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander score 20+ points?
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 20+ point streak already exceeds 135 consecutive games.
- Research could not determine back-to-back scoring efficiency for SGA.
- Specific conditional scoring statistics for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander are unavailable.
- The market has experienced notable volatility with recent significant price movements.
- This prediction market is scheduled to close on May 29, 2028.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200+ consecutive games | 44.0% | 34.5% | Research does not highlight strong supporting evidence. |
| 195+ consecutive games | 2.0% | 34.5% | Research does not highlight strong supporting evidence. |
| 175+ consecutive games | 20.0% | 34.5% | Research does not highlight strong supporting evidence. |
| 155+ consecutive games | 52.0% | 41.6% | Research does not highlight strong supporting evidence. |
| 185+ consecutive games | 12.0% | 34.5% | Research does not highlight strong supporting evidence. |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: 185+ consecutive games
📉 April 05, 2026: 29.0pp drop
Price decreased from 41.0% to 12.0%
Outcome: 165+ consecutive games
📈 April 04, 2026: 32.0pp spike
Price increased from 24.0% to 56.0%
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to Yes if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scores 20+ points in at least 165 consecutive Pro Basketball regular season games before May 15, 2028. The streak continues if he plays and scores 20+ points, or if he does not play; it is broken if he plays and scores less than 20 points. If the 165+ consecutive game streak is not achieved by May 15, 2028, the market resolves to No and will close by May 29, 2028.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 145+ consecutive games | $0.98 | $0.34 | 55% |
| 155+ consecutive games | $0.95 | $0.78 | 52% |
| 165+ consecutive games | $0.58 | $0.92 | 51% |
| 200+ consecutive games | $0.40 | $0.97 | 44% |
| 175+ consecutive games | $0.74 | $0.96 | 20% |
| 185+ consecutive games | $0.49 | $0.98 | 12% |
| 195+ consecutive games | $0.29 | $0.96 | 2% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. Can Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's Back-to-Back Efficiency Be Determined?
| Correlation Requested | SGA's minutes vs [^]. scoring efficiency on second night of back-to-backs against top-10 defensive teams (Past 3 seasons) [^]. |
|---|---|
| Data Availability | Specific correlation cannot be determined from provided web research [^]. |
| Data Required | Game-by-game minutes, points, field goal attempts, and opponent defensive rating over three seasons [^]. |
6. Why Can't Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's Conditional Stats Be Found?
| Data Extraction Capability | Cannot be directly extracted or compiled (N/A) [^] |
|---|---|
| Irrelevant Source Links | Several links refer to future seasons [^], [^] |
| Conditional Analysis Capability | Not supported by current sources [^], [^], [^], [^], [^] |
7. Can Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's Fourth-Quarter Stats Be Calculated?
| Specific Game Data | Not contained for direct calculation [^] |
|---|---|
| Required for Team Differential | Team game logs for 2024-25, 2025-26 seasons [^] |
| Required for Individual Stats | Individual game logs and fourth-quarter stats [^] |
8. Why are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's stats against specific defenses unavailable?
| Top Defensive Teams 2025-26 | Identifiable (FOX Sports, StatMuse, Basketball-Reference.com) [^] |
|---|---|
| Defensive Scheme Data (e.g., Drop Coverage) | Not available in research sources [^] |
| Elite Rim-Protecting Centers Data | Not available in research sources [^] |
9. How Did Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's Scoring Change Post-FIBA World Cup?
| 2022-23 NBA Season PPG | 31.4 [^] |
|---|---|
| 2023-24 NBA Season PPG (first 10 games) | 32.2 [^] |
| PPG Increase Post-FIBA | 0.8 [^] |
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: May 29, 2028
- Closes: May 29, 2028
11. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 12 markets in this series
Outcomes: 3 resolved YES, 9 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXSHAI20PTREC-2028-135: YES (Apr 03, 2026)
- KXSHAI20PTREC-2028-127: YES (Mar 20, 2026)
- KXSHAI20PTREC-2027-200: NO (Mar 10, 2026)
- KXSHAI20PTREC-2027-195: NO (Mar 10, 2026)
- KXSHAI20PTREC-2027-185: NO (Mar 10, 2026)
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