Silver price on Apr 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Strong upward momentum drives silver prices toward a four-week high.
- Geopolitical factors and inflation expectations boost silver prices.
- Robust global industrial demand is a key driver for silver.
- Long-term forecasts indicate potential for significantly higher silver prices.
- Silver faces significant downside threats and high market volatility.
- Key U.S. economic indicators could significantly impact silver prices.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| above $80.25 | 6.0% | 18.2% | Model higher by 12.2pp |
| above $80 | 9.0% | 18.2% | Model higher by 9.2pp |
| above $79.25 | 26.0% | 32.5% | Model higher by 6.5pp |
| above $79 | 35.0% | 42.4% | Model higher by 7.4pp |
| above $79.50 | 21.0% | 26.7% | Model higher by 5.7pp |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
📈 April 15, 2026: 14.0pp spike
Price increased from 85.0% to 99.0%
Outcome: above $74.75
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
The market resolves to 'Yes' if the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on April 16, 2026, at 5:00:00 PM EDT (reflecting the 4:59 PM to 4:59:59 PM interval), as verified by Pyth - Silver, is above 78.75 USD/t.oz; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The settlement value is rounded to two decimal places, and the most recently available published data is used if specific data is unavailable. The market opens on April 15, 2026, at 1:53 PM EDT, closes on April 16, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT, with a projected payout at 6:00 PM EDT.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| above $74 | $1.00 | $0.25 | 99% |
| above $74.25 | $1.00 | $0.01 | 99% |
| above $74.50 | $1.00 | $0.20 | 99% |
| above $74.75 | $1.00 | $0.27 | 99% |
| above $75.50 | $0.99 | $0.05 | 99% |
| above $75 | $1.00 | $0.27 | 96% |
| above $75.75 | $0.99 | $0.06 | 96% |
| above $76 | $0.99 | $0.06 | 96% |
| above $76.50 | $0.99 | $0.08 | 96% |
| above $76.25 | $0.99 | $0.07 | 95% |
| above $76.75 | $0.99 | $0.07 | 93% |
| above $77 | $0.99 | $0.11 | 91% |
| above $75.25 | $0.99 | $0.05 | 90% |
| above $77.25 | $0.95 | $0.14 | 89% |
| above $77.75 | $0.84 | $0.23 | 86% |
| above $77.50 | $0.89 | $0.17 | 83% |
| above $78 | $0.82 | $0.27 | 78% |
| above $78.25 | $0.73 | $0.32 | 64% |
| above $78.50 | $0.63 | $0.41 | 58% |
| above $78.75 | $0.46 | $0.55 | 46% |
| above $79 | $0.48 | $0.55 | 35% |
| above $79.25 | $0.37 | $0.66 | 26% |
| above $79.50 | $0.36 | $0.72 | 21% |
| above $79.75 | $0.28 | $0.83 | 18% |
| above $81.25 | $0.07 | $0.98 | 14% |
| above $81 | $0.15 | $0.97 | 13% |
| above $81.50 | $0.05 | $0.98 | 13% |
| above $80 | $0.25 | $0.88 | 9% |
| above $81.75 | $0.07 | $0.98 | 8% |
| above $82.25 | $0.04 | $1.00 | 8% |
| above $83.50 | $0.31 | $1.00 | 8% |
| above $80.50 | $0.22 | $0.89 | 7% |
| above $80.25 | $0.16 | $0.96 | 6% |
| above $80.75 | $0.16 | $0.94 | 6% |
| above $82 | $0.08 | $0.98 | 6% |
| above $83.25 | $0.32 | $1.00 | 6% |
| above $83.75 | $0.06 | $1.00 | 6% |
| above $83 | $0.31 | $1.00 | 5% |
| above $82.75 | $0.05 | $1.00 | 4% |
| above $82.50 | $0.05 | $1.00 | 3% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. What Is the Most Important Factor for Silver Prices by April 2026?
| Most Important Factor | Strength of global industrial demand (especially green technologies) [^] |
|---|---|
| Key Industrial Drivers | Solar panels, electric vehicles, electronics, brazing alloys [^] |
| Price Sensitivity | Sensitive to global economic health and technological advancements [^] |
6. What Factors Are Driving Recent Silver Price Surges?
| Daily Price Increase | 4.97% on April 15, 2026 [^] |
|---|---|
| Current Price Near | $81 on April 16, 2026 [^] |
| Prediction Market Odds | 100% for over $110 by June 2026 [^] |
7. What Are the Downside Risks for Silver Prices by April 2026?
| Downside Threat | 36% by April 2026 [^] |
|---|---|
| Price Prediction | Potential for "crashing" silver [^] |
| Market Outlook 2026 | "Boom or Bust" scenario [^] |
8. What are the Silver (XAG/USD) price predictions for April 16, 2026?
| FXStreet Silver Forecast | Approaching four-week high, near $81 (FXStreet) [^] |
|---|---|
| Robinhood Prediction Market | Silver price on Apr 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT [^] |
| FOREX24.PRO Expert Analysis | XAG/USD forecast for April 16, 2026 [^] |
9. What Key Events Could Influence Silver Prices Around April 2026?
| Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization | April 16, 2026, 9:15 AM EDT [^] |
|---|---|
| Weekly Silver Options Expiration | April 17, 2026 [^] |
| World Silver Survey 2026 Release | Around April 2026 [^] |
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: April 23, 2026
- Closes: April 16, 2026
11. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 0 resolved YES, 20 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXSILVERD-26APR1517-T83.75: NO (Apr 15, 2026)
- KXSILVERD-26APR1517-T83.50: NO (Apr 15, 2026)
- KXSILVERD-26APR1517-T83.25: NO (Apr 15, 2026)
- KXSILVERD-26APR1517-T83: NO (Apr 15, 2026)
- KXSILVERD-26APR1517-T82.75: NO (Apr 15, 2026)
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