Holmgren vs Broady
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Holmgren's hard court hold-of-serve marginally surpasses Broady's in 2024. Broady demonstrates a stronger return game with higher break-of-serve percentage. Holmgren holds a 0-0 record against ATP top 250 left-handers. No specific pre-match injury reports were found for either player. * Recent market data shows significant price volatility for the market.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Broady | 84.0% | 85.2% | Model higher by 1.2pp |
| August Holmgren | 16.0% | 14.8% | Market higher by 1.2pp |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: August Holmgren
📉 April 17, 2026: 12.0pp drop
Price decreased from 27.0% to 15.0%
Outcome: Liam Broady
📈 April 16, 2026: 15.0pp spike
Price increased from 58.0% to 73.0%
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
For Liam Broady to win, the market resolves to "Yes" if he wins the Holmgren vs Broady professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Busan Quarterfinal after at least one ball has been played. The market resolves to "No" if he loses, withdraws, or forfeits after the match has started. If the match does not start at all, the market resolves to a fair price, and if postponed, it remains open for up to two weeks; the market will close by May 1, 2026.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Broady | $0.84 | $0.17 | 84% |
| August Holmgren | $0.16 | $0.85 | 16% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. How Do Holmgren and Broady's Serve Stats Compare in 2024?
| August Holmgren Hold % | 80.6% (2024 Hard Court) [^] |
|---|---|
| August Holmgren Break % | 15.6% (2024 Hard Court) [^] |
| Liam Broady Break % | 18.2% (2024 Hard Court) [^] |
6. Are Liam Broady's Pinnacle Moneyline Odds Against Holmgren Available?
| Broady vs. Holmgren Match Odds | Not available (Based on research findings) [^] |
|---|---|
| Pinnacle Opening/Current Prices | Not available (Based on research findings) [^] |
| 15-Cent Movement Assessment | Not possible (Based on research findings) [^] |
7. What Is August Holmgren's Record Against Left-Handed Top 250 Players?
| Record vs. Left-Handed Top 250 (Last 52 Weeks) | 0-0 [^] |
|---|---|
| Left-Handed Opponents Played (Total) | 1 [^] |
| Arthur Reymond's Rank at Match Time | Outside ATP top 250 (career high #321) [^] |
8. What Were Holmgren's and Broady's Recent Match Durations?
| August Holmgren Previous Match Duration | Not specified [^] |
|---|---|
| Broady Previous Match Duration | Not available [^] |
| Travel Disadvantage | No significant cross-continent disadvantage [^] |
9. What Was Pre-Match Injury Status for Holmgren vs Broady?
| Practice Intensity Reports | No specific reports found (Web research) [^] |
|---|---|
| New Physical Taping/Strapping | No specific reports found (Web research) [^] |
| Fatigue or Injury Comments | No specific reports found (Web research) [^] |
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: May 01, 2026
- Closes: May 01, 2026
11. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR17TULELL-TUL: YES (Apr 17, 2026)
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR17TULELL-ELL: NO (Apr 17, 2026)
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR17FOMSHI-SHI: NO (Apr 17, 2026)
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR17FOMSHI-FOM: YES (Apr 17, 2026)
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR16SHIRIE-SHI: NO (Apr 17, 2026)
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