Will a LIV Golf Tournament take place in Louisiana before June 29, 2026?
Yes refers to: Yes
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- LIV Golf postponed its planned New Orleans tournament for 2026.
- Louisiana officials previously pursued hosting a LIV Golf tournament.
- TPC Louisiana has an exclusive long-term contract with PGA Tour.
- LIV Golf prioritizes expansion into international markets, especially Asia.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.0% | 0.7% | LIV Golf continues to expand its tournament schedule, exploring new venues and markets in the US. |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
The market resolves to YES if a LIV Golf Tournament takes place in Louisiana before June 29, 2026, 12:00 AM EST. If no such tournament occurs by that date and time, it resolves to NO, with the market closing by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM EDT. The market can close and expire early if the event occurs before the final deadline.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $0.05 | $1.00 | 1% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
4. What is the Status of LIV Golf's New Orleans Event?
| New Orleans Event Status | Postponed [^] |
|---|---|
| Reasons for Postponement | Funding questions, "peak summer heat," calendar congestion [^] |
| Discussions with LA Premier Courses | No public information specifies formal or informal discussions [^] |
5. What Happened to the Planned LIV Golf New Orleans Tournament?
| Tournament Commitment | New Orleans City Park, 2026 debut [^] |
|---|---|
| Tournament Status | Postponed (April 2026) [^] |
| Incentive Money | State expects return [^] |
6. Is TPC Louisiana's PGA Tour Contract Exclusive, Blocking LIV Golf?
| Zurich Classic Hosting Agreement | Through 2030 [^] |
|---|---|
| TPC Louisiana Affiliation | Member of TPC Network, owned or licensed by PGA Tour [^] |
| LIV Golf Event Status | Postponed due to PGA Tour priority [^] |
7. What are LIV Golf's 2024 and 2025 Expansion Priorities?
| Asia Tournament Expansion | Increase from 2 events in 2024 to 4 events in 2025 [^] |
|---|---|
| New US Market Expansion | No new US markets like Louisiana featured in 2024 or 2025 schedules [^] |
| South America Schedule | No events planned for 2024 or 2025 [^] |
8. What is the timeline for LIV Golf announcements and public records?
| Contract to Announcement Lead Time | Not explicitly detailed in research [^] |
|---|---|
| Primary LA Public Record | Cooperative Endeavor Agreements (CEAs) [^] |
| LIV Golf New Orleans Debut | 2026 [^] |
9. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: July 06, 2026
- Closes: June 29, 2026
10. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
12. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 1 markets in this series
Outcomes: 1 resolved YES, 0 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXLIVOCCUR-26LIGMC-YES: YES (Apr 16, 2026)
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