The Masters: Top 10 Finishers
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Pierceson Coody uniquely fulfills specific 2026 PGA Tour player criteria.
- Rory McIlroy is the sole top Masters favorite with recent injury concerns.
- Research could not identify players meeting specific course condition criteria.
- Contract price discrepancy data for 2026 Masters players remains unavailable.
- Market experienced a significant 37-point spike on April 11, 2026.
- A 42-point market drop occurred on April 9, 2026.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | — | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Scottie Scheffler
📈 April 11, 2026: 37.0pp spike
Price increased from 47.0% to 84.0%
📉 April 10, 2026: 33.0pp drop
Price decreased from 80.0% to 47.0%
Outcome: Jon Rahm
📉 April 09, 2026: 42.0pp drop
Price decreased from 48.0% to 6.0%
Outcome: Ludvig Aberg
📉 April 06, 2026: 9.0pp drop
Price decreased from 46.0% to 37.0%
Outcome: Rory McIlroy
📈 April 04, 2026: 49.0pp spike
Price increased from 1.0% to 50.0%
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
The provided page content is limited to the market title, "The Masters: Top 10 Finishers Odds & Predictions 2026," and navigation links. It does not contain any details regarding the exact triggers for YES or NO resolutions, key dates/deadlines, or special settlement conditions for this prediction market.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. How to Identify Top Golfers for the 2026 Masters?
| Masters Player List Source | Official Masters player list [^] |
|---|---|
| Historical SG Data Source | Specialized golf analytics sites [^] |
| 2026 PGA Tour Stats Source | CBS Sports' PGA Tour performance leaders [^] |
6. Were Any 2026 Masters Players Identified by Specific Course Conditions?
| Required Greens Type & Stimpmeter Data | Not available for multiple tournaments prior to 2026 Masters [^] |
|---|---|
| Common Greens Type in Relevant Tournaments | Bermudagrass for Valero Texas Open and THE PLAYERS Championship [^] |
| Arnold Palmer Invitational Greens Data | Greens type not explicitly detailed with Stimpmeter 12+ for 2026 tournament [^] |
7. How to Identify 2026 Masters Player Contract Price Discrepancies?
| Required Price Discrepancy | Greater than 15% [^] |
|---|---|
| Monitoring Timeframe | Final 48 hours before 2026 Masters [^] |
| Key Prediction Market | Polymarket [^] |
8. Which PGA Tour Player Meets Specific Ranking Requirements for 2026?
| Driving Distance (2026 Season) | 5th (316.1 yards) [^] |
|---|---|
| Greens in Regulation (2026 Season) | 3rd (74.65%) [^] |
| Official World Golf Ranking | #44 [^] |
9. Which Top Masters Favorites Have Recent Injury Concerns?
| Masters Favorite with Injury | Rory McIlroy (back injury) [^] |
|---|---|
| Top 5 Favorites Odds | Scottie Scheffler (+400), Rory McIlroy (+800), Jon Rahm (+1000), Viktor Hovland (+1200), Jordan Spieth (+1800) [^] |
| Other Favorites Injury Status | No reported injuries for Scheffler, Rahm, Hovland, Spieth [^] |
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: April 27, 2026
- Closes: April 27, 2026
11. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
13. Related News
Masters Top 10 Market Realigns Around Round 3 Leaders
Prediction market odds for a Top 10 finish at the 2026 Masters tournament shifted decisively on Saturday, April 11, 2026, as traders priced in the results of the third round. Probabilities surged for ...
Masters Top 10 Market Realigns as McIlroy Dominates, Scheffler Falters
The prediction market for a Top 10 finish at the 2026 Masters underwent a significant realignment on Friday, April 10, 2026, as traders reacted to the completion of the second round at Augusta Nationa...
14. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 0 resolved YES, 20 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXPGATOP10-MAST26-DAW: NO (Apr 10, 2026)
- KXPGATOP10-MAST26-MIW: NO (Apr 10, 2026)
- KXPGATOP10-MAST26-BUW: NO (Apr 10, 2026)
- KXPGATOP10-MAST26-SAV: NO (Apr 10, 2026)
- KXPGATOP10-MAST26-JJS: NO (Apr 10, 2026)
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