Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans: Total Match Fours
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Narendra Modi Stadium averages 32 total fours in recent IPL matches.
- This venue's fours average is slightly lower than typical IPL matches.
- Outcomes significantly above 35 total fours are less probable at this venue.
- Outcomes far exceeding 40 total fours are considerably less likely here.
- Detailed fours per ball statistics were largely unavailable from research sources.
- The market has experienced significant upward price movements recently.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 33.5 fours | 51.0% | 45.3% | Market higher by 5.7pp |
| Over 21.5 fours | 0.0% | 61.3% | Model higher by 61.3pp |
| Over 45.5 fours | 0.0% | 0.4% | Model higher by 0.4pp |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Over 21.5 fours
📈 April 28, 2026: 9.0pp spike
Price increased from 2.0% to 11.0%
Outcome: Over 33.5 fours
📈 April 27, 2026: 45.0pp spike
Price increased from 1.0% to 46.0%
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to Yes if the combined total fours hit by both teams in the Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans IPL match, originally scheduled for April 30, 2026, is above 33.5; otherwise, it resolves to No. The market closes after the outcome occurs, or by May 2, 2026, 10:00am EDT. Special conditions include resolution to fair market price for pre-match cancellation, abandonment without an official result, or delays exceeding 48 hours, while shortened matches with an official result resolve based on actual recorded statistics.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 33.5 fours | $0.51 | $0.54 | 51% |
| Over 21.5 fours | $0.98 | $0.89 | 0% |
| Over 45.5 fours | $0.74 | $0.99 | 0% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. What Was the Fours Per Ball Rate at Narendra Modi Stadium?
| Combined Fours Per Ball (April 28, 2024 match) | Approximately 0.113 [^] |
|---|---|
| Data for Last 5 Tournament Matches | Not available due to insufficient granular data [^] |
| Comprehensive Career Stats at Narendra Modi Stadium | Not available [^] |
6. How Many Fours Are Scored in IPL Matches at Narendra Modi Stadium?
| Average Total Fours per Match | 32 fours [^] |
|---|---|
| Powerplay Fours (GT vs RR Match) | 14 fours [^] |
| Powerplay Fours Percentage (GT vs RR Match) | 43.75% [^] |
7. Can RCB and GT Bowling Attacks Be Compared by Fours Conceded Per Over?
| Bowling Attack Comparison | Cannot be definitively performed due to data limitations [^] |
|---|---|
| Rashid Khan Specific Data | Fours conceded and overs bowled not explicitly detailed [^] |
| Mohammed Siraj Specific Data | Fours conceded and overs bowled not explicitly detailed [^] |
8. What is the boundary percentage against spin for RCB and GT middle-order batsmen?
| Specific boundary data vs spin | Not available for RCB or GT middle-order batsmen this season [^] |
|---|---|
| Gujarat Titans middle order performance | Described as "undercooked and underwhelming" in IPL 2026 [^] |
| Rajat Patidar (RCB) batting form | Demonstrated strong form, including a fast IPL fifty and high strike rate [^] |
9. Was 'Total Match Fours' line movement found for RCB vs GT match?
| 'Total Match Fours' Line Data | Not available from major international sportsbooks [^] |
|---|---|
| Line Movement Tracking | No data found for final 12 hours before match [^] |
| Available Research Scope | General betting odds, predictions, live scores, and reports [^] |
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: May 02, 2026
- Closes: May 02, 2026
11. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXIPLFOUR-26APR27RCBDC-46: NO (Apr 27, 2026)
- KXIPLFOUR-26APR27RCBDC-34: NO (Apr 27, 2026)
- KXIPLFOUR-26APR27RCBDC-22: NO (Apr 27, 2026)
- KXIPLFOUR-26APR28RRPBKS-45: NO (Apr 28, 2026)
- KXIPLFOUR-26APR28RRPBKS-33: YES (Apr 28, 2026)
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