KCC Egis vs Wonju DB Promy
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- KCC Egis's key player injuries (Huh Hoon, Choi Jun-yong) are critical.
- Returns of Song Kyo-chang and Heo Woong bolster KCC Egis's lineup.
- KCC Egis shows superior recent form and dominant head-to-head record.
- Betting markets strongly favor KCC Egis winning the match.
- KCC Egis securing playoffs may reduce their motivation for this game.
- Recent market movements reflect increasing confidence in KCC Egis.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wonju DB Promy | 44.0% | 50.1% | KCC Egis faces significant injuries and may lack motivation after securing their playoff spot. |
| KCC Egis | 58.0% | 49.9% | KCC Egis shows strong betting market confidence, superior recent form, and a dominant head-to-head record. |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: KCC Egis
📈 April 13, 2026: 11.0pp spike
Price increased from 43.0% to 54.0%
📈 April 12, 2026: 53.0pp spike
Price increased from 23.0% to 76.0%
Outcome: Wonju DB Promy
📈 April 11, 2026: 17.0pp spike
Price increased from 6.0% to 23.0%
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to YES if KCC Egis wins the KCC Egis vs Wonju DB Promy KBL basketball game, originally scheduled for April 13, 2026, 6:00 AM EDT; otherwise, it resolves to NO, with outcomes verified by Flashscore and Sofascore. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open for a rescheduled game within two weeks, or resolves to a fair price if canceled or delayed further than two weeks. The market closes after the outcome occurs or by April 27, 2026, 6:00 AM EDT, and certain individuals affiliated with the league or teams are prohibited from trading.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| KCC Egis | $0.58 | $0.44 | 58% |
| Wonju DB Promy | $0.44 | $0.57 | 44% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. How Will KCC Egis's Injuries Affect the Match Outcome?
| KCC Egis Key Player Status | Facing an "injury crisis" affecting their "Big Four" [^] |
|---|---|
| Huh Hoon's Injury Status | Recovering from a fractured nose, return critical but uncertain [^] |
| Wonju DB Promy Performance | Currently performing well and favored to win [^] |
6. How Do Player Returns Impact KCC Egis vs Wonju DB Promy Match Probabilities?
| Key Player Returns | Song Kyo-chang and Heo Woong for Busan KCC Egis [^] |
|---|---|
| Previous Injury Status | Several KCC "Big Four" players, including Song Kyo-chang and Heo Woong, were sidelined [^] |
| Impact on KCC Lineup | Expected to bolster KCC's lineup and performance [^] |
7. What Factors Challenge Market Consensus in KCC Egis vs Wonju DB Promy?
| Head-to-Head Trends | Overlooked performance trends [^] |
|---|---|
| Season Dynamics | League standings [^] |
| Betting Analysis Insights | Detailed insights beyond general perception [^] |
8. What Are the Betting Signals for KCC Egis vs Wonju DB Promy?
| KCC Egis Win Odds | 70% (Polymarket) [^] |
|---|---|
| Wonju DB Promy Win Odds | 30% (Polymarket) [^] |
| Expert Pick | KCC Egis -1.5 at 1.76 odds (Betrush.com) [^] |
9. When Will KCC Egis vs Wonju DB Promy Market Resolve?
| Market Resolution Event | KCC Egis vs Wonju DB Promy basketball game on April 13, 2026 [^] |
|---|---|
| KCC Egis Playoff Status | Secured spot in '6th round of 'Spring Basketball'' as of April 5, 2026 [^] |
| League Standing Competition | Competition for 2nd and 5th places active as of April 5, 2026 [^] |
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: April 27, 2026
- Closes: April 27, 2026
11. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXKBLGAME-26APR120100GOYKNI-KNI: NO (Apr 12, 2026)
- KXKBLGAME-26APR120100GOYKNI-GOY: YES (Apr 12, 2026)
- KXKBLGAME-26APR080600WONEGI-WON: YES (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXKBLGAME-26APR080600WONEGI-EGI: NO (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXKBLGAME-26APR080600DAETHU-THU: NO (Apr 08, 2026)
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