What will Sprouts say during their next earnings call?
1. Executive Verdict
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 49.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Inflation | 39.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Vitamin | 67.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| E-commerce | 1.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Tariff | 16.0% | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Data
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| E-commerce | $1.00 | $0.01 | 100% |
| Holiday | $1.00 | $0.01 | 100% |
| Personalization | $1.00 | $0.01 | 100% |
| Vitamin | $0.67 | $0.36 | 67% |
| Revenue | $0.49 | $0.60 | 49% |
| Inflation | $0.39 | $0.79 | 39% |
| Delivery | $0.33 | $0.81 | 33% |
| SNAP / Food Stamp | $0.26 | $0.89 | 26% |
| Tariff | $0.16 | $0.89 | 16% |
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