1. Executive Verdict

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
Revenue 49.0% Insufficient data
Inflation 39.0% Insufficient data
Vitamin 67.0% Insufficient data
E-commerce 1.0% Insufficient data
Tariff 16.0% Insufficient data

2. Market Data

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Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Implied probability
E-commerce $1.00 $0.01 100%
Holiday $1.00 $0.01 100%
Personalization $1.00 $0.01 100%
Vitamin $0.67 $0.36 67%
Revenue $0.49 $0.60 49%
Inflation $0.39 $0.79 39%
Delivery $0.33 $0.81 33%
SNAP / Food Stamp $0.26 $0.89 26%
Tariff $0.16 $0.89 16%