New York M vs Los Angeles D
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Probable starting pitchers for both New York and Los Angeles are identified.
- Batter versus pitcher statistics for April 14, 2026 are unavailable.
- Dodger Stadium will host the Mets vs. Dodgers game on April 14, 2026.
- The home plate umpire for the upcoming game is currently unidentified.
- Confirmed batting orders for both the Mets and Dodgers are available.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| yes Andy Pages: 1+,yes Max Muncy: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+ | 0.3% | 0.2% | The available evidence provides only generic career team statistics for Shohei Ohtani and critically lacks specific data for the other three players and the identified opposing pitchers, which is essential for assessing total bases prop bets, thus leaving the debiased price of 0.2% as a fair reflection. |
| no Freddie Freeman: 1+,no Kyle Tucker: 1+,no Bo Bichette: 1+,no Francisco Lindor: 1+ | 0.0% | 0.0% | The background research provides no specific Batter vs. Pitcher (BvP) data or any other relevant information for April 14, 2026, for Freddie Freeman, Bo Bichette, or Francisco Lindor, and only general career team stats for Kyle Tucker, thus offering no specific evidence to shift the debiased market price of 0.0% for all four players to go hitless. |
| no Freddie Freeman: 1+,yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,no Bo Bichette: 1+,no Francisco Lindor: 1+ | 0.0% | 0.0% | The research provides only general career statistics for Kyle Tucker against the Dodgers and no relevant data for the other three players, and crucially lacks specific pitcher matchups for any player on April 14, 2026, making it impossible to assess the specific outcome, thus supporting the debiased market price of 0.0%. |
| yes Freddie Freeman: 1+,yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Francisco Lindor: 1+ | 0.0% | 0.0% | Model and market aligned |
| yes Freddie Freeman: 1+,yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+ | 0.0% | 0.0% | Research error: web research is temporarily unavailable. |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
A YES resolution occurs if Freddie Freeman, Kyle Tucker, Shohei Ohtani, and Teoscar Hernández each achieve 1+. A NO resolution is triggered if this specific condition is not met. The market opens on April 13, 2026, closes on April 16, 2026, and has a projected payout on April 16, 2026, at 10:00 am EDT. Outcomes are verified from the league governing the game, specifically citing ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs and nfl.com.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| yes Andy Pages: 1+,yes Max Muncy: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+ | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| no Freddie Freeman: 1+,no Kyle Tucker: 1+,no Bo Bichette: 1+,no Francisco Lindor: 1+ | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| no Freddie Freeman: 1+,yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,no Bo Bichette: 1+,no Francisco Lindor: 1+ | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| yes Freddie Freeman: 1+,yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Francisco Lindor: 1+ | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| yes Freddie Freeman: 1+,yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+ | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| yes Freddie Freeman: 1+,yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 2+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+ | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+,yes Francisco Lindor: 1+ | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+,yes Bo Bichette: 1+,yes Francisco Lindor: 1+ | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| yes Max Muncy: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+,yes Will Smith: 1+,yes Bo Bichette: 1+ | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| yes Max Muncy: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+,yes Will Smith: 1+,yes Francisco Lindor: 1+ | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+,yes Bo Bichette: 1+,yes Francisco Lindor: 1+ | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
4. What are Key Batter Stats vs. Teams for April 14, 2026 Games?
| Shohei Ohtani Career vs New York Mets | .222 AVG, 2 HR, 4 RBI (Sources [^]) |
|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker Career vs Los Angeles Dodgers | .265 AVG, 2 HR, 9 RBI (Source [^]) |
| Specific Pitcher Information | Not identified for April 14, 2026 games (Sources [^]) |
5. Can Parlay Hit Probability for All Players Be Calculated?
| Required Data Missing | Individual 'To Record a Hit' prop odds (sources [^]) |
|---|---|
| Calculation Status | Cannot be calculated with available research [^] |
| Relevant Game | New York M vs. Los Angeles D (sources [^]) |
6. Does Dodger Stadium's Environment Alter Base Hit Probability?
| Matchup | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets [^] |
|---|---|
| Game Date | April 14, 2026 [^] |
| Venue | Dodger Stadium (venueId=22) [^], [^] |
7. Who is the Home Plate Umpire for Mets vs. Dodgers April 14, 2026?
| Assigned Home Plate Umpire | Not identified in provided sources (Sources [^]) |
|---|---|
| Umpire Historical Strike-Zone Tendencies | Cannot be determined without umpire identity (Sources [^]) |
| Hitter Performance Splits | Not ascertainable without umpire identity (Sources [^]) |
8. What are the confirmed Mets and Dodgers batting orders for April 14, 2026?
| Mets 3rd Batter | Francisco Lindor (SS) [^] |
|---|---|
| Dodgers Leadoff Batter | Mookie Betts (2B) [^] |
| Dodgers 2nd Batter | Shohei Ohtani (DH) [^] |
9. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: April 16, 2026
- Closes: April 16, 2026
10. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
12. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 0 resolved YES, 20 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202621AF182429D-C085DE20646: NO (Apr 14, 2026)
- KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026151C91D18C2-E9815ABFD0D: NO (Apr 14, 2026)
- KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026D845C31900E-51CB1540E41: NO (Apr 14, 2026)
- KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264487BF4D546-CF3F6DD16B5: NO (Apr 14, 2026)
- KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264487BF4D546-4BD075ADEFB: NO (Apr 14, 2026)
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