1. Executive Verdict

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Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
Above $3.00 100.0% Insufficient data
Above $2.90 100.0% Insufficient data
Above $2.80 100.0% Insufficient data
Above $3.20 98.0% Insufficient data
Above $3.40 85.0% Insufficient data

2. Market Data

View on Kalshi →

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Implied probability
Above $2.80 $1.00 $0.01 100%
Above $2.90 $1.00 $0.01 100%
Above $3.00 $1.00 $0.02 100%
Above $3.20 $0.98 $0.10 98%
Above $3.40 $0.85 $0.25 85%