CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026?
1. Executive Verdict
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2.3% | 1.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Exactly 3.2% | 3.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Exactly 2.5% | 13.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Exactly 3.4% | 1.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Exactly 2.4% | 24.0% | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Data
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2.9% | $0.61 | $0.92 | 61% |
| Exactly 2.4% | $0.24 | $1.00 | 24% |
| Exactly 2.7% | $0.23 | $0.89 | 23% |
| Exactly 2.8% | $0.16 | $0.88 | 16% |
| Exactly 2.5% | $0.13 | $0.93 | 13% |
| Exactly 2.6% | $0.10 | $0.91 | 10% |
| Exactly 3.0% | $0.09 | $0.92 | 9% |
| Exactly 2.1% | $0.03 | $0.98 | 3% |
| Exactly 3.2% | $0.03 | $1.00 | 3% |
| Exactly 3.3% | $0.03 | $0.98 | 3% |
| Exactly 3.5% | $0.03 | $0.98 | 3% |
| Exactly 2.0% | $0.02 | $0.99 | 2% |
| Exactly 2.2% | $0.02 | $0.99 | 2% |
| Exactly 3.1% | $0.02 | $0.99 | 2% |
| Exactly 2.3% | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| Exactly 3.4% | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
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