CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?
1. Executive Verdict
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2.1% | 1.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Exactly 2.2% | 50.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Exactly 2.0% | 59.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Exactly 2.3% | 1.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Exactly 2.4% | 1.0% | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Data
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2.1% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 2.3% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 2.4% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 2.5% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 2.6% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 2.7% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 2.8% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 2.9% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 3.0% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 3.1% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 3.2% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 3.3% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 3.4% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 3.5% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% |
| Exactly 2.0% | $0.59 | $0.97 | 59% |
| Exactly 2.2% | $0.50 | $1.00 | 50% |
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